Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [1]. Core Views - The company is entering a fast development phase, being the only platform for overseas uranium resource development under China General Nuclear Power Group, with significant revenue growth following acquisitions [2]. - The company benefits from strong internal demand for nuclear power and has a cost advantage due to its mining operations, with projected sales volumes increasing significantly in the coming years [2]. - The uranium market is expected to remain tight due to geopolitical conflicts and recovering nuclear power demand, with a forecasted supply growth of approximately 8.51% in 2024 and 6.03% in 2025 [2]. - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 84.46 billion, 96.48 billion, and 99.72 billion HKD respectively, with corresponding net profits of 6.20 billion, 9.22 billion, and 10.53 billion HKD [2]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Company Overview - The company was established in 2001 and is the sole platform for overseas uranium resource development under China General Nuclear Power Group, with significant acquisitions enhancing its market position [6]. - The company is controlled by the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission, with a majority stake held by China General Nuclear Power Group [11]. Section 2: Uranium Industry - The uranium industry is characterized by a tight supply-demand balance, with long-term demand expected to outstrip supply due to increasing nuclear power installations and geopolitical factors [33][47]. - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the expected recovery in nuclear power demand, with significant growth in uranium prices anticipated [40][44]. Section 3: Profit Forecast - The company is projected to achieve substantial revenue and profit growth over the next three years, with a corresponding increase in earnings per share [49]. - The forecasted earnings reflect a strong recovery in uranium prices and increased production volumes from the company's mining operations [49].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [1] Core Views - The company is entering a fast development phase, being the only platform for overseas uranium resource development under China General Nuclear Power Group, with significant revenue growth following acquisitions [2][7] - The company benefits from rich resources and significant cost advantages due to strong internal nuclear power demand and flexible pricing under new agreements [2][18] - The uranium market is expected to remain tight due to nuclear power recovery and geopolitical conflicts, with supply growth projected at 8.51% in 2024 and 6.03% in 2025 [2][40] - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are HKD 84.46 billion, HKD 96.48 billion, and HKD 99.72 billion respectively, with net profits expected to grow significantly [2][49] Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company was established in 2001 and is the only platform for overseas uranium resource development under China General Nuclear Power Group, with significant acquisitions enhancing its operational capacity [7][12] - The company is controlled by the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission, with a majority stake held by China General Nuclear Power Group [12] Uranium Industry - The uranium industry is characterized by a tight supply-demand balance, with long-term demand expected to outstrip supply due to increasing nuclear power installations and geopolitical factors [34][47] - The recovery of uranium prices is anticipated as long-term contracts stabilize and demand from nuclear power generation increases [40][47] Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of HKD 84.46 billion, HKD 96.48 billion, and HKD 99.72 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of HKD 6.20 billion, HKD 9.22 billion, and HKD 10.53 billion [2][49] - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be HKD 0.08, HKD 0.12, and HKD 0.14 for the same years [49]

Economic Indicators - In May, the U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 139,000, exceeding the market expectation of 130,000[10] - The unemployment rate remained stable at 4.2%, while the labor force participation rate decreased by 0.2% to 62.4%[10] - Average hourly earnings rose by 0.4% month-on-month, surpassing the expected 0.3%[10] Labor Market Trends - The downward revision of non-farm payrolls for the previous two months totaled a decrease of 95,000[10] - The number of voluntary job leavers has significantly decreased, indicating potential labor market weakness[10] - Initial jobless claims in recent weeks suggest a possible rebound in the unemployment rate, although this is not reflected in the current non-farm report due to the declining labor participation rate[10] Macro Economic Outlook - The U.S. economy is showing signs of moderate weakening, with the possibility of a global economic slowdown increasing[3] - The U.S. dollar is currently positioned in the middle of the "smile curve," typically strengthening during periods of strong economic performance or severe recession, and weakening during moderate economic slowdowns[3] - A significant risk is posed by potential severe recession or strong economic growth, which could cause the dollar to move towards the extremes of the smile curve[4] Federal Reserve Insights - The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain a cautious stance in upcoming meetings, with market pricing indicating two potential rate cuts within the year[28] - Fed Chair Powell emphasized the need for data-driven adjustments to monetary policy, maintaining a focus on achieving full employment and price stability[24] - Concerns about trade barriers potentially increasing inflation risks were raised by Chicago Fed President Goolsbee[26]

Economic Indicators - In May, the U.S. added 139,000 non-farm jobs, exceeding the market expectation of 130,000[10] - The unemployment rate remained stable at 4.2%[10] - Labor force participation rate decreased by 0.2% to 62.4%[10] - Average hourly wage increased by 0.4% month-on-month, surpassing the expected 0.3%[10] Market Trends - The U.S. economy is showing signs of moderate weakening, with recent employment data indicating a potential future rise in unemployment rates[3] - The dollar is currently positioned in the middle of the "smile curve," typically strengthening during periods of strong economic performance or severe recession, while weakening during moderate economic slowdowns[3] - Emerging market equities are seen as having higher allocation value in a weak dollar environment[3] Risks - There is a risk of significant U.S. economic recession or a substantial strengthening of the economy, which could cause the dollar to move towards the extremes of the smile curve[4][29]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [2][39]. Core Viewpoints - The agricultural sector has shown a slight increase, with the agricultural index rising by 0.91%, ranking 20th among 31 primary industries [5][12]. - The pig market is characterized by strong supply and weak demand, leading to a continuous decline in prices, with the average price of pigs at 14.17 CNY/kg as of June 8, 2025, down 0.64% from the previous week [6][16]. - The white feather chicken market is experiencing stable yet slight adjustments in prices, with chick prices at 2.90 CNY/chick and meat chicken prices at 3.60 CNY/jin, both showing a decline [30][31]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The agricultural sector has rebounded, with the agricultural index increasing by 0.91%, while the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.13% [12]. - Among sub-sectors, planting and agricultural product processing led the gains, while meat chicken breeding and animal vaccine sectors faced significant adjustments [13][14]. Livestock Industry Chain Tracking Pigs - The pig price is under pressure, with a continued downward trend expected due to strong supply and weak demand [6][19]. - As of June 6, 2025, self-breeding pigs have a profit of approximately 33 CNY per head, while purchased piglets incur a loss of 121 CNY per head [17][20]. - The breeding stock remains stable, with the number of breeding sows fluctuating between 40-41 million, indicating controlled supply growth for 2025 [19][29]. White Feather Chicken - Chick prices are experiencing slight adjustments, with a focus on domestic breeding due to uncertainties in imports caused by avian influenza outbreaks [30][31]. - The industry is currently well-supplied, and domestic breeding enterprises may benefit from reduced overseas imports [30][31]. Planting Industry Chain Tracking - Sugar prices have adjusted downwards, with white sugar priced at 6090 CNY/ton, down 25 CNY from the previous week [33]. - Soybean prices have seen a slight increase, with the Brazilian soybean landed price at 3725 CNY/ton, up 1.8% [33]. - Corn prices have shown minor fluctuations, with an average price of 2336 CNY/ton, up 4 CNY from the previous week [33].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [2][39]. Core Viewpoints - The agricultural sector has shown a slight rebound, with the agricultural index rising by 0.91%, ranking 20th among 31 primary industries [12][13]. - The pig market is characterized by strong supply and weak demand, leading to a continuous decline in prices. As of June 8, 2025, the average price of pigs was 14.17 CNY/kg, down 0.64% from the previous week [6][16]. - The profitability of self-breeding pigs has decreased, with average profits around 33 CNY per head, while external piglets are facing losses of 121 CNY per head [17][20]. - The white feather chicken market is experiencing stable yet slight adjustments in prices, with chick prices at 2.90 CNY per chick and meat chicken prices at 3.60 CNY per jin [30][31]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The agricultural sector index increased by 0.91%, with the pig farming and animal vaccine sectors experiencing significant adjustments [12][13]. Livestock Industry Chain Tracking Pigs - The pig price is expected to continue its downward trend due to strong supply and weak demand. The supply of pigs is anticipated to increase in the second half of 2025 [6][19]. - The current breeding stock remains stable, with the number of breeding sows fluctuating between 40 million and 41 million, indicating controlled supply growth [19][20]. - Cost competition is expected to be a key focus in 2025, with recommendations to prioritize companies with cost advantages [20]. White Feather Chicken - The chick price has slightly decreased, and the market is currently stable with sufficient supply across the industry [30][31]. - Concerns regarding imported breeds have eased, presenting opportunities for domestic breeding companies [30]. Planting Industry Chain Tracking - Sugar prices have adjusted downwards, while soybean prices have seen a slight increase. Cotton prices have shown minor fluctuations, and corn prices have experienced slight increases [33][36].

证券研究报告：金融工程报告 研究所 分析师:肖承志 SAC 登记编号:S1340524090001 Email:xiaochengzhi@cnpsec.com 研究助理:冯昱文 SAC 登记编号:S1340124100011 Email:fengyuwen@cnpsec.com 近期研究报告 《结合基本面和量价特征的 GRU 模 型》 - 2025.06.05 《Claude 4 系列发布，谷歌上线编程 智能体 Jules——AI 动态汇总 20250526》 - 2025.05.27 《谷歌发布智能体白皮书，Manus 全面 开放注册——AI 动态汇总 20250519》 - 2025.05.20 《证监会修改《重组办法》，深化并购 重组改革——微盘股指数周报 20250518》 - 2025.05.19 《通义千问发布 Qwen-3 模型， DeepSeek 发布数理证明大模型——AI 动态汇总 20250505》 - 2025.05.06 《基金 Q1 加仓有色汽车传媒，减仓电 新食饮通信——公募基金 2025Q1 季报 点评》 - 2025.04.30 《泛消费打开连板与涨幅高度，ETF 资 金平铺机 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative price increase of over 20% compared to the benchmark index within the next six months [5][13]. Core Insights - The domestic EDA (Electronic Design Automation) industry is expected to accelerate its growth due to recent supply chain disruptions affecting major global EDA suppliers, which will likely enhance the company's market position and innovation capabilities [3]. - The company plans to acquire 100% of Chip and Semiconductor Technology Co., Ltd. to fill critical gaps in its tool offerings and create a comprehensive solution from chip to system level, aligning with industry trends towards system-level optimization [4]. - Revenue projections for the company are optimistic, with expected revenues of 1.595 billion, 2.081 billion, and 2.712 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, alongside net profits of 201 million, 302 million, and 414 million yuan for the same years [5][9]. Company Overview - The latest closing price of the company's stock is 122.91 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 66.7 billion yuan and a total share capital of 543 million shares [2]. - The company has a low debt-to-asset ratio of 11.1% and a high price-to-earnings ratio of 614.55, indicating a strong financial position but also a potentially overvalued stock [2].

Quantitative Models and Construction Methods 1. Model Name: Diffusion Index Model - **Model Construction Idea**: The diffusion index is used to monitor the critical points of market trend changes, helping to identify potential buy or sell signals based on the distribution of stock price movements within the micro-cap index components [5][35]. - **Model Construction Process**: The diffusion index is calculated by analyzing the relative price changes of micro-cap index components over a specific time window. For example, if all stocks in the index drop by 5% after 5 days, the diffusion index value is 0.37. The formula and methodology involve tracking the relative price changes over different time horizons (e.g., 10 to 20 trading days) and calculating the index value based on the distribution of these changes [35][37]. - **Model Evaluation**: The diffusion index remains in a high volatility range, indicating that the market is neither "too expensive" nor "too cheap." It is sensitive to large price movements, which can trigger buy or sell signals [5][36]. 2. Model Name: Threshold Methods (First and Delayed) - **Model Construction Idea**: These methods aim to provide trading signals (e.g., open or close positions) based on predefined threshold values of the diffusion index [5][39][43]. - **Model Construction Process**: - **First Threshold Method**: Triggered when the diffusion index crosses a specific threshold. For instance, on May 8, 2025, the index value of 0.9850 triggered a sell signal [39]. - **Delayed Threshold Method**: Similar to the first method but with a delayed response. For example, on May 15, 2025, the index value of 0.8975 triggered a sell signal [43]. - **Model Evaluation**: These methods are effective for identifying turning points in the market but may require careful calibration to avoid false signals [5][43]. 3. Model Name: Dual Moving Average Method - **Model Construction Idea**: This method adapts to market trends by using two moving averages to generate trading signals [5][44]. - **Model Construction Process**: - Signals are generated when the short-term moving average crosses the long-term moving average. For example, on April 30, 2025, the method provided a buy signal [44]. - **Model Evaluation**: The dual moving average method is adaptive and suitable for trending markets but may lag in highly volatile conditions [5][44]. --- Model Backtesting Results 1. Diffusion Index Model - Current value: 0.79 (as of June 6, 2025) [35][36] 2. Threshold Methods - **First Threshold Method**: Triggered a sell signal at 0.9850 on May 8, 2025 [39] - **Delayed Threshold Method**: Triggered a sell signal at 0.8975 on May 15, 2025 [43] 3. Dual Moving Average Method - Provided a buy signal on April 30, 2025 [44] --- Quantitative Factors and Construction Methods 1. Factor Name: Free Float Ratio Factor - **Factor Construction Idea**: Measures the proportion of freely tradable shares to total shares, indicating liquidity [4][16]. - **Factor Construction Process**: Calculated as the ratio of free float shares to total shares. Weekly rank IC: 0.091; historical average: -0.012 [4][16]. 2. Factor Name: Dividend Yield Factor - **Factor Construction Idea**: Represents the annual dividend as a percentage of the stock price, reflecting income generation potential [4][16]. - **Factor Construction Process**: Calculated as annual dividends divided by the current stock price. Weekly rank IC: 0.085; historical average: 0.021 [4][16]. 3. Factor Name: Leverage Factor - **Factor Construction Idea**: Indicates the financial leverage of a company, reflecting its debt-to-equity ratio [4][16]. - **Factor Construction Process**: Calculated as total debt divided by total equity. Weekly rank IC: 0.072; historical average: -0.006 [4][16]. 4. Factor Name: Single-Quarter ROE Factor - **Factor Construction Idea**: Measures the return on equity for a single quarter, indicating profitability [4][16]. - **Factor Construction Process**: Calculated as net income divided by shareholders' equity for a single quarter. Weekly rank IC: -0.002; historical average: 0.023 [4][16]. 5. Factor Name: Standardized Expected Earnings Factor - **Factor Construction Idea**: Reflects the market's expectations of future earnings, standardized for comparison [4][16]. - **Factor Construction Process**: Derived from analysts' earnings forecasts, adjusted for standardization. Weekly rank IC: -0.008; historical average: 0.014 [4][16]. --- Factor Backtesting Results Top 5 Factors (Weekly Rank IC) 1. Free Float Ratio Factor: 0.091 [4][16] 2. Dividend Yield Factor: 0.085 [4][16] 3. Leverage Factor: 0.072 [4][16] 4. Single-Quarter ROE Factor: -0.002 [4][16] 5. Standardized Expected Earnings Factor: -0.008 [4][16] Bottom 5 Factors (Weekly Rank IC) 1. Unadjusted Stock Price Factor: -0.153 [4][16] 2. Nonlinear Market Cap Factor: -0.119 [4][16] 3. Logarithmic Market Cap Factor: -0.119 [4][16] 4. PB Reciprocal Factor: -0.116 [4][16] 5. Profitability Factor: -0.084 [4][16]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [1] Core Views - The company plans to acquire 100% of Rui Cheng Microelectronics and 45.64% of NaNeng Microelectronics through a combination of stock issuance and cash payment, aiming to build a dual-engine model of "EDA + IP" [4] - The company has achieved a revenue of 419 million yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 27.42%, with a significant contribution from EDA software licensing and semiconductor device testing systems [5] - The company has increased its R&D investment to 289 million yuan in 2024, accounting for 68.90% of its operating revenue, indicating a strong commitment to innovation and domestic substitution [6] Company Overview - The latest closing price of the company's stock is 27.66 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 12 billion yuan [3] - The company has a total share capital of 4.35 billion shares, with 1.78 billion shares in circulation [3] - The company has a debt-to-asset ratio of 20.0% and a negative price-to-earnings ratio of -125.73 [3] Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 525 million yuan, 658 million yuan, and 826 million yuan in 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 10 million yuan, 30 million yuan, and 64 million yuan [8][10] - The projected growth rates for revenue are 25.29%, 25.39%, and 25.46% for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [10] - The company anticipates a significant improvement in net profit margins, with a projected net profit margin of 7.7% by 2027 [10]