Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No specific industry investment ratings are provided in the report. 2. Core Views - The decline of soybean oil futures on September 17, 2025, was due to multiple factors, and the subsequent trend should be treated with a bias towards a downward oscillation [3][4]. - The A - share market is expected to continue high - level oscillation in the short term [7]. - For gold, it is recommended to wait for the result of the Fed's September interest - rate decision before making a decision [11]. - Iron ore should be treated with an oscillation mindset as the start of restocking may support raw materials [13]. - Glass can be considered from a low - buying perspective [17]. - Pulp is expected to maintain a low - level oscillation, and high - selling and low - buying within the range can be considered [24]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Soybean Oil - Supply: The current domestic soybean arrival volume remains high, the oil mill operating rate is at a high level in recent years, and last week's actual crushing volume reached 2.3039 million tons. The soybean inventory at ports increased to 9.661 million tons, and the commercial inventory of soybean oil also continued to accumulate, reaching 1.2513 million tons as of September 5, a month - on - month increase of 12,500 tons [4]. - Demand: There is not much new demand currently. Although some groups have started small - package stockpiling, the external sales of bulk oil have decreased, and the concentrated release of stocking demand for the Mid - Autumn Festival and National Day has not yet arrived [4]. - International Market: The continuous weak operation of US soybean futures has weakened the support for domestic soybean oil [4]. - Inventory: On September 12, the domestic commercial inventory of soybean oil was 1.26 million tons, a week - on - week decrease of 10,000 tons, a month - on - month increase of 100,000 tons, and a year - on - year increase of 110,000 tons. High inventory suppresses the price increase space [21]. A - share Market - Market Performance: The three major A - share indices opened lower and oscillated in the morning on September 18, 2025, and started to recover after 10:30. The Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index performed stronger than the Shanghai Composite Index [8]. - News: The Ministry of Commerce and eight other departments issued "Several Policy Measures to Expand Service Consumption", and the market awaited the result of the Fed's September interest - rate decision at 0:00 on September 18 [7]. - Outlook: The market is expected to continue high - level oscillation in the short term [7]. Gold - Market Condition: Gold oscillated after reaching a new high, and the market was waiting for the result of the Fed's September interest - rate decision [11]. - Recommendation: Wait for the news to land before making a decision [11]. Iron Ore - Supply: The shipment is stable, and steel mills are showing signs of gradual resumption of production. The molten iron is expected to maintain a high - level operation [14]. - Demand: As the National Day approaches in the middle and late period, steel mills' restocking may support raw materials [13][14]. - Outlook: It is still in a high - level wide - range oscillation range and should be treated with an oscillation mindset [13]. Glass - Supply: The daily melting is basically stable, and the factory inventory has decreased slightly [18]. - Demand: The recovery of downstream deep - processing orders is not sufficient, and attention should be paid to the restocking situation near the peak season [18]. - Outlook: After a small adjustment today, it can be considered from a low - buying perspective [17]. Pulp - Price: The pulp price in Shandong area remained stable today [24]. - Inventory: The port inventory started to decrease slightly and remained at a medium - high level [24]. - Outlook: There is expected to be a boost before the Mid - Autumn Festival peak season, but no improvement has been seen yet. It is expected to maintain a low - level oscillation, and high - selling and low - buying within the range can be considered [24].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Report's Core View - The double - offset paper market shows a pattern of supply - demand weakness. The spot price in Shandong is stable, downstream demand is weak, and the industry profit has narrowed below the cost line. It is expected to remain volatile in the short term, with attention to device operation and pulp price changes [8]. - The pulp market also has a supply - demand weakness. The price of silver leaf pulp in Shandong is stable with a downward trend, the industry's operating rate is low, and the futures price has fallen. It is expected to maintain range - bound fluctuations, suggesting a high - selling and low - buying strategy [13]. - For both pulp and double - offset paper, the long - position main force has reduced positions, which is bearish [16]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Double - Offset Paper - **Supply and Inventory**: Some停产 enterprises have resumed production this week, and the capacity utilization rate has increased month - on - month. However, downstream consumption has not improved, and users mainly make rigid - demand purchases. Traders mostly follow a just - in - time inventory strategy. Enterprise inventory has slightly increased compared to last week, and on - site inventory has continued a small rebound, remaining at a high level in recent years [2]. - **Price and Market Outlook**: The spot price of double - offset paper in Shandong remains stable today. With weak supply and demand, the shut - down factories have not resumed production on a large scale. The industry profit has continued to narrow below the cost line. In the short term, it is expected to remain volatile, and future focus should be on device operation and pulp price changes [8]. Pulp - **Price and Market Outlook**: The price of silver leaf pulp in Shandong is stable with a downward trend today. With weak supply and demand, the industry's operating rate remains low, and the futures price has fallen. It is expected to maintain range - bound fluctuations, and a high - selling and low - buying strategy is recommended [13]. - **Main Force Trend**: The long - position main force in the pulp market has reduced positions, which is bearish [16].

本刊由金信期货研究院撰写 2025/09/17 GOLDTRUST FUTURES CO.，LTD 焦煤大举反弹，价格升至近一个月高点 2025年9月16日，焦煤期货连续第四日上涨，涨幅达5.84% ，收于1240元。 感谢您下载包图网平台上提供的PPT作品，为了您和包图网以及原创作者的利益，请勿复制、传播、销售，否则将承担法律责任！包图网将对作品进行维权，按照传播下载次数进行十倍的索取赔偿！ ibaotu.com 热点聚焦 从基本面来看，山西安检趋严或许会阶段性限制产量释放，但目前钢厂利润修复有限，铁水产量处于中低 位，焦炭刚需不足，而且焦化厂库存高企，采购意愿低迷。 从消息面来说，煤矿供应端扰动或持续至十一前后，但双焦下游采购节奏放缓，投机需求有所弱化。 金信期货日刊 整体来看，碳元素供应依然充裕，下游铁水有逐渐恢复的预期，受事件影响短期降幅较大，市场情绪对煤 炭查超产仍有预期。 焦炭盘面升水，焦煤盘面升水，价格受"反内卷"政策预期扰动仍大，波动率较大。把握震荡偏多的机会。 GOLDTRUST FUTURES 数据来源：公开资料、金信期货 观点仅供参考，市场有风险，入市需谨慎 GOLDTRUST FUTU ...

金信期货日刊 本刊由金信期货研究院撰写 2025/09/16 GOLDTRUST FUTURES CO.，LTD ibaotu.com 热点聚焦 焦煤大举反弹，价格升至近一个月高点 2025年9月15日，焦煤期货连续第三日上涨，涨幅达4.40% ，收于1187元。 感谢您下载包图网平台上提供的PPT作品，为了您和包图网以及原创作者的利益，请勿复制、传播、销售，否则将承担法律责任！包图网将对作品进行维权，按照传播下载次数进行十倍的索取赔偿！ 从基本面来看，山西安检趋严或许会阶段性限制产量释放，但目前钢厂利润修复有限，铁水产量处于中低 位，焦炭刚需不足，而且焦化厂库存高企，采购意愿低迷。 从消息面来说，煤矿供应端扰动或持续至十一前后，但双焦下游采购节奏放缓，投机需求有所弱化。 整体来看，碳元素供应依然充裕，下游铁水有逐渐恢复的预期，受事件影响短期降幅较大，市场情绪对煤 炭查超产仍有预期。 焦炭盘面升水，焦煤盘面升水，价格受"反内卷"政策预期扰动仍大，波动率较大。把握震荡偏多的机会。 GOLDTRUST FUTURES 数据来源：公开资料、金信期货 观点仅供参考，市场有风险，入市需谨慎 GOLDTRUST FUTU ...

金信期货日刊 本刊由金信期货研究院撰写 2025/09/15 GOLDTRUST FUTURES CO.，LTD ibaotu.com 热点聚焦 焦煤盘面升水，价格受"反内卷"政策预期扰动仍大 2025年9月12日，焦煤期货连续第二日上涨，涨幅达0.88% ，收于1144元。 感谢您下载包图网平台上提供的PPT作品，为了您和包图网以及原创作者的利益，请勿复制、传播、销售，否则将承担法律责任！包图网将对作品进行维权，按照传播下载次数进行十倍的索取赔偿！ 从基本面来看，山西安检趋严或许会阶段性限制产量释放，但目前钢厂利润修复有限，铁水产量处 于中低位，焦炭刚需不足，而且焦化厂库存高企，采购意愿低迷。 从消息面来说，煤矿供应端扰动或持续至十一前后，但双焦下游采购节奏放缓，投机需求有所弱化。 整体来看，碳元素供应依然充裕，下游铁水有逐渐恢复的预期，受事件影响短期降幅较大，市场情 绪对煤炭查超产仍有预期。 焦炭盘面升水，焦煤盘面升水，价格受"反内卷"政策预期扰动仍大，波动率较大。把握震荡偏多 的机会。 GOLDTRUST FUTURES 数据来源：公开资料、金信期货 观点仅供参考，市场有风险，入市需谨慎 GOLDTRU ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - In the short term, the price of crude oil will fluctuate in a weak trend, and in the long term, the global crude oil market will face a situation of oversupply [3] - The price of PX will mainly fluctuate, and the supply - demand pattern of PTA is strong in the near term and weak in the long term, limiting its price rebound space [3] - The price of MEG will fluctuate and adjust in the short term, and there is a risk of supply - demand gap under low inventory [4] - The price rebound space of BZ and EB is limited [4] Summary by Related Catalogs Crude Oil - OPEC+ decided to increase the oil production cap of 8 major oil - producing countries by 137,000 barrels per day in October compared to September [3] - The market is concerned about the upcoming 19th round of EU sanctions on Russia and Trump's secondary tariffs on countries importing Russian oil [3] - After the peak energy demand season ends, the price will fluctuate in a weak trend in the short term, and there will be an oversupply situation in the long - term global crude oil market [3] PX & PTA - Domestic PX weekly average capacity utilization rate is 84.63%, unchanged from last week, and the Asian PX weekly average capacity utilization rate is 74.45% (+0.36%) [8] - The PX - naphtha spread remains at around $235 per ton [8] - Fuguida Chemical's 700,000 - ton PX device will start maintenance next week and restart in November [3][8] - South Korea's major petrochemical companies plan to cut naphtha cracking capacity, which will affect Asian PX production. China's PX import dependence is 19.9%, with 40% from South Korea [8] - PTA device changes are frequent, with two 2.5 - million - ton devices restarted, and the overall load is 74.95% (+4.3%) [3] - PTA processing fees have weakened to 129 yuan per ton, at a low level in recent years [3] - There is an expectation of a 3 - million - ton/year new PTA device being put into production in the fourth quarter, and the supply - demand pattern is strong in the near term and weak in the long term [3] MEG - The MEG operating rate continues to rise, and port arrivals are scarce in early September. Port inventories will decline in the next two weeks and are at a historical low [4] - There is an expectation of inventory accumulation in the far - month, suppressing the valuation of the 2601 contract [4] - In the short term, pay attention to the supply - demand gap risk under low MEG inventory [4] - The price of MEG is expected to fluctuate and adjust in the short term [4] BZ & EB - The pure benzene operating rate remains high, with new domestic capacities concentrated in August - September, and the supply pressure is large, with high port inventories and possible further inventory accumulation [4] - The downstream operating rate of benzene has weakened again, and the overall profit is still poor [4] - The BZN has weakened and then stabilized [4] - The styrene operating rate is 74.98% (down 4.76% from last week), and new capacities will be gradually released from September - October, with supply expected to increase [4] - The 3S operating rate has rebounded slightly, but the downstream finished product inventory is high, and the procurement enthusiasm is limited [4] - The port inventory of styrene is slowly being depleted, and the price rebound space is limited [4] Polyester Industry - The weekly average capacity utilization rate of the domestic polyester industry is 87.9%, up 0.57% from last week [26] - The comprehensive operating rate of chemical fiber weaving in Jiangsu and Zhejiang is 62.42% (unchanged from last week), and the average order days are 14.55 days (up 0.66 days from last week), with a slight inventory accumulation in factories [26] - The terminal weaving market lacks overall driving force, downstream demand has not improved significantly, and the market is still in the recovery stage [26] Pure Benzene and Styrene - The pure benzene operating rate is 79.29% (down 0.14% from last week), and the styrene operating rate is 74.98% (down 4.76% from last week), with BZN dropping to around $120 per ton [34] - Among the downstream 3S, the PS operating rate is 61.9% (+0.9), the EPS operating rate is 61% (-8.48), and the ABS operating rate is 70% (+1.0), with the ABS inventory pressure being large [34] - In the "Golden September and Silver October" peak season, the downstream demand has improved month - on - month, and the styrene port inventory has started to decline [34]

金信期货日刊 本刊由金信期货研究院撰写 2025/09/12 GOLDTRUST FUTURES CO.，LTD ibaotu.com 热点聚焦 焦煤盘面升水，价格受"反内卷"政策预期扰动仍大 2025年9月11日，焦煤期货收盘上涨26.0元，涨幅达2.33% ，收于1141元。 GOLDTRUST FUTURES 数据来源：公开资料、金信期货 观点仅供参考，市场有风险，入市需谨慎 感谢您下载包图网平台上提供的PPT作品，为了您和包图网以及原创作者的利益，请勿复制、传播、销售，否则将承担法律责任！包图网将对作品进行维权，按照传播下载次数进行十倍的索取赔偿！ 从基本面来看，山西安检趋严或许会阶段性限制产量释放，但目前钢厂利润修复有限，铁水产量处 于中低位，焦炭刚需不足，而且焦化厂库存高企，采购意愿低迷。 从消息面来说，煤矿供应端扰动或持续至十一前后，但双焦下游采购节奏放缓，投机需求有所弱化。 整体来看，碳元素供应依然充裕，下游铁水有逐渐恢复的预期，受事件影响短期降幅较大，市场情 绪对煤炭查超产仍有预期。 焦炭盘面升水，焦煤盘面升水，价格受"反内卷"政策预期扰动仍大，波动率较大。把握震荡偏多 的机会。 GOLDT ...

金信期货纸浆、双胶纸日刊 本刊由金信期货研究院撰写 2025/09/11 GOLDTRUST FUTURES CO.，LTD 双胶纸基本面分析 基本情况 ①价格：本期双胶纸企业均价偏弱整理，70g双胶纸企业含税均价为4785.7元/吨，环比降幅1.2%。 感谢您下载包图网平台上提供的PPT作品，为了您和包图网以及原创作者的利益，请勿复制、传播、销售，否则将承担法律责任！包图网将对作品进行维权，按照传播下载次数进行十倍的索取赔偿！ ibaotu.com 热点聚焦 ②供应端：本期双胶纸产量19.5万吨，较上期减少1.0万吨，降幅4.9%，产能利用率52.9%，较上期 下降2.7%。行业盈利水平仍较低，工厂转产情况存在，部分新增装置生产趋稳，行业货源供应有所 增量。需求端疲弱：出版招标订单释放有限，零星低价压制市场预期。 ③成本端：针叶浆阔叶浆横盘，成本支撑有限。 ④需求端：经销商延续谨慎备库心理，下游印厂社会面接单一般，部分成交存在商谈空间，整体需 求偏刚需。 【策略】停产企业暂未完全恢复胶版纸排产，行业盈利情况承压，个别产线或有检修安排，预期下 周双胶纸行业供应增加有限。基本面偏弱+价格低位，建议震荡偏弱对待。 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - No investment ratings for industries are provided in the report. 2. Core Views - On September 10, 2025, the main contract of soybean oil futures dropped by 1.92% to 8256 yuan/ton. The decline was due to multiple factors including strong expectations of international soybean harvest, increased domestic soybean arrivals, high oil - mill operating rates leading to rising inventories, weak demand in the traditional off - season, enhanced substitution by palm oil, and market sentiment. Investors should monitor international soybean market trends, domestic demand changes, and policy adjustments to seize short - selling opportunities [3]. - For stock index futures, with a doji candlestick on the chart, and considering news such as an 8 - month CPI decline of 0.4% year - on - year, a PPI decline of 2.9% year - on - year, and tightened account - opening conditions for mainland residents by the world's largest online brokerage, the market is expected to remain in high - level oscillations in the short term [6]. - For gold futures, as the US August non - farm payroll data was below expectations and there is a high probability of a Fed rate cut in September, which is positive for gold. With sufficient weekly - line adjustments, the price is expected to continue rising in the short term [11]. - For iron ore futures, with stable supply shipments, signs of steel mills'复产, high - level operation of hot metal, and approaching National Day, steel mills' restocking may support raw materials. Technically, it is in a high - level wide - range oscillation range, and investors should watch for breakthroughs [14][15]. - For glass futures, daily melting is stable, factory inventories are accumulating, and downstream deep - processing orders' recovery is insufficient. Technically, it continued to adjust today, and a low - buying strategy can be adopted [18][19]. - For palm oil futures, due to large cumulative gains in the recent oil market, increased inventory pressure, and lack of demand support, the market's upward momentum has weakened, and profit - taking pressure has increased. It should be treated with a bearish and oscillatory view [22]. - For pulp futures, the pulp price in Shandong remained stable today, and port inventories started to decline slightly but remained at a medium - to - high level. There are expectations of a boost before the Mid - Autumn Festival peak season, but no improvement has been seen yet. It is expected to remain in low - level oscillations, and short - term long positions are recommended [25]. 3. Summaries by Related Catalogs Hot Focus - Soybean Oil - On September 10, 2025, the main contract of soybean oil futures fell 1.92% to 8256 yuan/ton. Supply - side factors include strong international soybean harvest expectations, increased domestic soybean arrivals, and high oil - mill operating rates leading to rising inventories. Demand - side factors include weak demand in the traditional off - season, enhanced substitution by palm oil, and market sentiment. Investors should adjust strategies based on market and policy changes [3]. Technical Analysis - Stock Index Futures - The market closed with a doji candlestick. News includes an 8 - month CPI decline of 0.4% year - on - year, a PPI decline of 2.9% year - on - year, and tightened account - opening conditions for mainland residents by the world's largest online brokerage. It is expected to oscillate at high levels in the short term [6]. Technical Analysis - Gold - The US August non - farm payroll data was below expectations, and there is a high probability of a Fed rate cut in September, which is positive for gold. After sufficient weekly - line adjustments, the price is expected to rise in the short term [11]. Technical Analysis - Iron Ore - Supply shipments are stable. Steel mills are showing signs of复产, and hot metal is expected to operate at a high level. With the approaching National Day, steel mills' restocking may support raw materials. Technically, it is in a high - level wide - range oscillation range, and breakthroughs should be watched [14][15]. Technical Analysis - Glass - Daily melting is stable, factory inventories are accumulating, and downstream deep - processing orders' recovery is insufficient. Technically, it continued to adjust today, and a low - buying strategy can be adopted [18][19]. Technical Analysis - Palm Oil - Due to large cumulative gains in the recent oil market, increased inventory pressure, and lack of demand support, the market's upward momentum has weakened, and profit - taking pressure has increased. It should be treated with a bearish and oscillatory view [22]. Technical Analysis - Pulp - The pulp price in Shandong remained stable today, and port inventories started to decline slightly but remained at a medium - to - high level. There are expectations of a boost before the Mid - Autumn Festival peak season, but no improvement has been seen yet. It is expected to remain in low - level oscillations, and short - term long positions are recommended [25].

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Report's Core View - For double - offset paper, with weak fundamentals and low prices, it is recommended to treat it with a weak - oscillating outlook. For pulp futures, a short - selling on rallies approach is suggested [6][13] Group 3: Summary According to Related Catalogs Double - Offset Paper - **Price**: The average enterprise price of double - offset paper was weakly adjusted. The tax - inclusive average price of 70g double - offset paper was 4,785.7 yuan/ton, with a month - on - month decline of 1.2% [3] - **Supply**: The output was 195,000 tons, a decrease of 10,000 tons (4.9% decline) from the previous period. The capacity utilization rate was 52.9%, a 2.7% drop from the previous period. Although the industry's profitability was low and there was production conversion, new installations increased the supply [4] - **Cost**: The prices of softwood pulp and hardwood pulp were flat, providing limited cost support [5] - **Demand**: Dealers were cautious in stockpiling. Downstream printing factories had average orders, and the overall demand was mainly for essential needs [5] - **Inventory**: The production enterprise inventory was 1.196 million tons, with a month - on - month increase of 0.4%. The inventory continued a slight upward trend and was at a multi - year high [7] - **Strategy**: As some suspended production enterprises had not fully resumed production and the industry's profitability was under pressure, it was expected that the supply increase next week would be limited [6] Pulp Futures - **Basic Situation**: The price of Silverleaf pulp in Shandong dropped. The spot price was stable, but downstream procurement demand did not improve. The industry operating rate remained low, and the support at the 5,000 - point level was weakening [13] - **主力动向**: The short - side main force reduced positions, which was bullish; the long - side main force of double - offset paper reduced positions, which was bearish [16]