【导读】车企在激烈厮杀中告别2025，未来竞争更残酷 中国基金报记者 邱德坤 "我觉得每一家车企都是战战兢兢的。"近日，小鹏汽车董事长兼CEO何小鹏向中国基金报等媒体表示， 中国汽车市场变化太快，一年前很难想到现在的情况，如今也很难想象一年后的局面。 对比2024年，2025年车企竞争格局再次骤变：造车新势力"一哥"从理想汽车变为零跑汽车，而国内车 企"一哥"比亚迪正遭遇上汽集团、吉利汽车等车企快速追赶。 车企竞争格局变化的背后，是国内汽车市场的竞争逻辑出现显著变化。2025年以"限时一口价"为代表的 价格战，从上半年愈演愈烈到下半年戛然而止。随后车企集体表态"反内卷"，要求开启"价值战"。 国内新能源汽车购置税补贴退坡将成为车企竞争更为残酷的新因素。岚图汽车董事长、党委书记卢放表 示："一旦走到这个时刻，燃油车和新能源汽车在某种程度上会迎来终极对决。" 车企"一哥"轮流坐庄？ 每个领域的"一哥"都会受到各方关注，但国内车企"一哥"的宝座在2025年难言稳固。 2025年上半年，比亚迪险守国内车企"一哥"宝座，汽车业务营业收入仅比上汽集团多81.70亿元。此 前，上汽集团常年稳坐国内车企"一哥"宝座，但202 ...

Investment Rating - The report suggests a focus on themes of intelligentization and overseas expansion, indicating a positive outlook for companies like BYD and Geely Auto in the export sector, and Li Auto, Xpeng Motors, and others in the intelligentization and robotics sectors [1][18]. Core Insights - Short-term domestic demand is low, with retail sales of passenger vehicles declining year-on-year in November, while exports are expected to be a long-term theme with significant growth potential [1][12]. - The intelligentization and robotics sectors are accelerating, with advancements in autonomous driving and smart cockpit technologies becoming mainstream [15][16]. - The report highlights the importance of focusing on companies with strong export growth and those benefiting from intelligentization trends [1][18]. Summary by Sections Weekly Perspective - Domestic demand is currently weak, with November retail sales of passenger vehicles down 15.8% year-on-year. However, exports have shown strong growth, with a 50% increase in November compared to the previous year [1][11][12]. Industry Data Tracking - The Shanghai Composite Index decreased by 0.28%, while the automotive index increased by 0.10%. Notable stock performances included Zhejiang Shibao (+44.1%) and Haon Automotive (+28.4%) [2][19]. - In November, wholesale passenger vehicle sales reached 2.991 million units, a year-on-year increase of 1.7%, while new energy vehicle (NEV) sales rose by 17.6% [4][34]. Industry Dynamics - The report notes significant developments in the intelligentization of vehicles, with over 60% penetration of L2 and above autonomous driving systems in the market. The trend towards smart cockpits is also highlighted [15][16]. - Robotics technology is advancing rapidly, with new products being launched by domestic manufacturers and increased governmental focus on robotics technology in the U.S. [16][18].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" recommendation for the automotive sector, suggesting that the sector is expected to bottom out and presents a good opportunity for early investment in the upcoming year [3]. Core Insights - Traditional vehicle stocks continue to show weak performance, which is anticipated as the market awaits clarity on 1Q policies and retail trends. The report suggests that the current moment is a favorable time for positioning [3]. - The report highlights significant interest in the intelligent driving sector, particularly with L3 level autonomous driving vehicles, which are expected to gain traction in 2026 due to potential policy and standard implementations [3]. - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the automotive sector's recovery, particularly focusing on companies like Geely and JAC, which are expected to benefit from high-end product strategies and international expansion [5]. Data Tracking - In early December, the discount rate for vehicles decreased slightly, with an average discount amount of 22,156 yuan, down 1,238 yuan from the previous month. The discount rate was reported at 9.7%, a decrease of 0.4 percentage points month-on-month [5]. - In October, wholesale vehicle sales reached 2.96 million units, a year-on-year increase of 7.5% and a month-on-month increase of 3.6%. However, retail sales fell to 2.09 million units, down 9.2% year-on-year and 6.4% month-on-month [5]. - In November, BYD's delivery volume was 480,186 units, showing a significant month-on-month increase of 8.7%, while traditional automaker Geely's sales reached 310,000 units, up 24.0% year-on-year [6][26]. Industry News - On December 15, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology approved two L3 level autonomous driving vehicle models from Changan Automobile and BAIC Blue Valley [9][32]. - The report notes that the automotive sector's performance index increased by 0.09% this week, ranking 9th out of 29 sectors [10]. - The report mentions that the retail market for narrow passenger vehicles is expected to reach approximately 2.3 million units in December, reflecting a month-on-month growth of 3.4% but a year-on-year decline of 12.7% [34].

Group 1 - CATL has launched the world's first humanoid robot for large-scale production of energy storage battery PACK, achieving a connection success rate of over 99% [3] - Ganfeng Lithium has signed a project agreement for a 10GWh zero-carbon industry base in Jiangxi, which will include lithium battery production lines and a distributed photovoltaic power generation system [4] - Envision AESC has officially started production at its Sunderland battery plant in the UK, with an initial capacity of 15.8GWh, enough to supply batteries for over 200,000 electric vehicles annually [5] Group 2 - Guokai Energy has launched a smart manufacturing base for energy storage batteries in Anqing, Anhui, with a planned capacity of 10GWh and an expected annual output value exceeding 5 billion yuan [7] - Pylontech has commenced the second phase of its 10GWh lithium battery R&D and manufacturing base in Hefei, aiming to enhance production capacity and meet market demand [8] - Xinnengda plans to invest 2 billion yuan in a mobile energy storage vehicle production line and related projects in Jiangxi [9] Group 3 - A 27GWh battery cell production project has been signed in Feicheng, Shandong, with a total investment of 5.5 billion yuan, expected to generate an annual output value exceeding 8 billion yuan [10] - A new generation lithium battery project with a capacity of 60GWh has been established in Hunan, capable of meeting the battery needs of approximately 1 million new energy vehicles [11] - Volkswagen's PowerCo has launched its first battery cell production facility in Germany, with a target annual capacity of 20GWh to support around 250,000 electric vehicles [12] Group 4 - Dafu Technology plans to sell a 49% stake in Dasheng Graphite for a minimum price of 206 million yuan [14] - Yongtai Technology has reported a production capacity of 18,000 tons per year for solid-state lithium hexafluorophosphate [15] - Yuntai Holdings has established a complete supply chain for iron phosphate with an annual capacity of 50,000 tons [19] Group 5 - A 2,000-ton silicon-carbon anode material project has been signed in Sichuan, with a total investment of 650 million yuan, expected to achieve an annual output value of about 800 million yuan [20] - Huayou Cobalt has signed a binding memorandum to supply 79,600 tons of ternary precursor products to an international client [18] - Tesla plans to start battery production in Germany by 2027, with a production capacity of up to 8GWh [30] Group 6 - BYD has achieved a significant milestone with the production of its 15 millionth new energy vehicle [31] - CATL and Lantu Motors have signed a 10-year cooperation agreement to enhance collaboration in technology application and product supply [33] - Chery has reported a monthly sales figure of 111,577 units in December, marking a 54% year-on-year growth and positioning itself among the top three in the industry [34]

Group 1 - Apple responds to concerns about iPhone storage issues, stating that users should maintain at least 1GB of free space for optimal performance [3][4] - ByteDance is advancing partnerships with hardware manufacturers like Vivo and Lenovo to develop AI phones, aiming to pre-install AIGC plugins [4] - Alibaba's DingTalk has initiated a secret project called "D Plan," potentially targeting AI hardware, with speculation about launching a product similar to "Doubao phone" [4] Group 2 - Over 500 stores of Mooson Milk have closed, with the founder Zhao Bohua completely exiting the company [6] - SF Express has confirmed its exit from the Douyin e-commerce return service, stating that the contract naturally expired [6] - XREAL won a lawsuit against VITURE for patent infringement, leading to a ban on VITURE products in nine European countries [6] Group 3 - Li Auto has restructured its supply chain department, merging the "Parts Cluster" into the "Manufacturing" department, with nearly 1,000 employees affected [7] - Xiaomi has obtained an L3 level road testing license for its autonomous vehicles in Beijing [7] - Neta Auto is undergoing bankruptcy restructuring, with a management trustee selected to oversee the process [7] Group 4 - Apple's first foldable phone, iPhone Fold, is delayed in mass production until the second half of 2026, with potential supply shortages expected [9] - SoftBank is racing to fulfill its $22.5 billion funding commitment to OpenAI by the end of the year [9] - Elon Musk predicts the gradual extinction of traditional fuel vehicles, emphasizing the future competitiveness of smart vehicles [9] Group 5 - Ford is recalling over 270,000 electric and hybrid vehicles in the U.S. due to parking function issues that could lead to rollaway risks [9] - Geely's autonomous driving unit is undergoing personnel changes, with key scientists leaving the company [9] - ChatGPT mobile app user spending has surpassed $3 billion, with projections for significant growth in the coming years [9] Group 6 - Meta's former chief AI scientist Yann LeCun plans to raise €500 million for his new AI startup, aiming for a valuation of around €3 billion [12] - OpenAI is reportedly planning to raise up to $100 billion, potentially reaching a valuation of $830 billion [12] - Galaxy Z TriFold, Samsung's new foldable phone, has launched in China, starting at ¥19,999 [18]

Group 1: Automotive Market Trends - The retail market for narrow passenger vehicles in December is expected to reach approximately 2.3 million units, representing a month-on-month increase of 3.4% but a year-on-year decline of 12.7%. Among these, the expected retail volume for new energy vehicles is around 1.38 million units, with a penetration rate projected to reach 60% [1] - Ideal Auto has recently restructured its supply chain departments, merging the "Parts Cluster" into the "Manufacturing" department, which now has over 10,000 employees, accounting for one-third of the total workforce in the smart vehicle group [2] - A new automotive technology company, Jetta Automotive Technology (Sichuan) Co., Ltd., was established with a registered capital of 3 billion RMB, focusing on manufacturing automotive parts, electric motors, and smart vehicle equipment [4] Group 2: Company Developments - Xiaomi has obtained an L3-level autonomous driving road test license in Beijing, allowing for conditional autonomous driving tests on designated high-speed road sections [1] - Seyond Tuda has announced a partnership with SAIC Volkswagen for a new model that will feature Tuda's Lingque E1X laser radar, with plans for mass production in 2026 [5] - Toyota plans to sell three models manufactured in the U.S. in the Japanese market starting next year, including the Camry, Highlander SUV, and Tundra pickup [6] Group 3: Safety Recalls - Ford is recalling over 272,000 vehicles in the U.S. due to a potential issue where the integrated parking module may not secure the vehicle in the park position when shifting gears [7] - BMW is recalling 36,922 units of the 2025-2026 X3 models due to a risk of the steering wheel unexpectedly moving while the vehicle is stationary [8]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Li Auto has restructured its supply chain departments by merging the "Parts Cluster" into the "Manufacturing" department, which will now be managed by Vice President Li Bin, reporting to President Ma Donghui [2] - The merger is part of Li Auto's strategy to adopt a vertical integration approach similar to Tesla, ensuring quality and stability in supply through self-built factories and joint ventures [2] - Prior to the merger, the Parts Cluster had nearly 1,000 employees, while the entire Manufacturing department now exceeds 10,000 employees, making it the largest department within the smart vehicle group, accounting for one-third of the total workforce [2] Group 2 - In 2023, Li Auto became the first new energy vehicle company to deliver over 600,000 units cumulatively and achieve a single-month delivery of 50,000 units, setting ambitious delivery targets of 800,000 units for 2024 and 1.2 million units for 2025 [3] - The expansion efforts initiated in the second half of 2023 included significant growth across R&D, sales, and supply chain departments to support increased sales [3] - The Parts Cluster was previously a secondary department under the R&D and Manufacturing Supply Group, but was elevated to a primary department in the second half of 2023, with its head reporting directly to Ma Donghui [3]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Li Auto has reorganized its supply chain departments by merging the "Parts Cluster" under the smart vehicle group into the "Manufacturing" department, which will now be managed by Vice President Li Bin, reporting to President Ma Donghui [1] - The merger is part of Li Auto's strategy to adopt a vertical integration approach similar to Tesla, ensuring quality and supply stability through self-built factories and joint ventures [1] - Prior to the merger, the Parts Cluster had nearly 1,000 employees, and after the merger, the entire manufacturing department now has over 10,000 employees, making it the largest first-level department in the smart vehicle group, accounting for one-third of the total workforce [1] Group 2 - In 2023, Li Auto became the first new energy vehicle company to cumulatively deliver over 600,000 units and achieve a single-month delivery of 50,000 units, setting ambitious delivery targets of 800,000 units for 2024 and 1.2 million units for 2025 [2] - To meet these higher targets, Li Auto initiated a large-scale expansion in the second half of 2023, covering various departments including R&D, sales, and supply [2] - The Parts Cluster was previously a secondary department under the R&D and manufacturing supply group, but was elevated to a first-level department in the second half of 2023, with its head reporting directly to Ma Donghui [2]

Core Insights - In 2025, AI glasses have emerged as a significant trend in the tech industry, with major companies like Meta, Google, and Apple making substantial advancements and product launches in this space [1][3] - Domestic companies in China, including Huawei, Xiaomi, Alibaba, and ByteDance, are also actively developing AI glasses, with notable products like Alibaba's Quark AI glasses experiencing high demand [1][3] - The competition landscape is diverse, with various types of AI glasses categorized into AI audio glasses, AI photography glasses, and AI+AR glasses, each with distinct functionalities [3][7] Industry Overview - The AI glasses market is driven by advancements in large model technology, with companies recognizing the necessity to invest in AI glasses to avoid falling behind in the AI race [3][21] - Meta's Ray-Ban smart glasses have set a successful precedent, selling over 1 million units and demonstrating the feasibility of integrating AI capabilities into eyewear [3][21] - The market is expected to see significant sales growth, with projections indicating that AI glasses could reach 7 million units sold, with Meta accounting for 5 million of that total [9] Competitive Landscape - Major competitors in the AI glasses market include: - Internet platform companies like Alibaba, Baidu, and ByteDance, leveraging their ecosystem advantages [8] - Hardware manufacturers such as Xiaomi and Huawei, utilizing their supply chain and user base [9] - New automotive entrants like Li Auto, which are creating niche products tailored to specific use cases [9] - Specialized XR/AR companies like Rokid and Thunderbird, focusing on optical display technology and lightweight designs [9] Market Dynamics - The pricing of AI glasses varies widely, from hundreds to thousands of yuan, reflecting the differentiation in product features and target markets [12] - The current market is characterized by a mix of established tech giants and agile startups, each pursuing different strategies to capture market share [10][20] - The demand for AI glasses is still being evaluated, with concerns about whether consumers truly need such devices compared to existing technologies like smartphones [13][19] Future Outlook - The AI glasses market is anticipated to evolve, with companies needing to address privacy concerns and enhance user experience to transition from novelty items to essential tools [17][24] - The exploration of AI glasses is seen as a stepping stone towards more advanced human-machine interactions, potentially leading to future innovations like implantable devices or brain-computer interfaces [24][22] - As the market matures, companies are expected to focus on validating the value of AI glasses in B2B applications while nurturing consumer interest in C2C scenarios [20][22]

| LI 理想汽车 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 16.180 + +0.030 +0.19% | | 收盘价 12/18 16:00 美东 | | 16.690 + 0.510 +3.15% | | 盘前价 12/19 04:08 美东 | | 三月24日9月9 | | ● 快捷交易 | | 最高价 16.345 | 开盘价 16.230 | 成交量 343.79万 | | 最低价 16.110 | 昨收价 16.150 | 成交额 5578.96万 | | 平均价 16.227 | 市盈率TM 24.78 | 总市值 163.31亿 (--) | | 振 幅 1.46% | 市盈率(静) 15.02 | 总股本 10.09亿 | | 换手率 0.63% | 市净率 1.581 | 流通值 88.07亿 | | 52周最高 33.120 | 委 比 45.46% | 流通股 5.44亿 | | 52周最低 16.110 | 量 比 0.88 | 每 手 1股 | | 历史最高 47.700 | 股息TIM -- | 换股比率 2.00 | | 历史最低 12.519 | 股息室TM ...