Group 1 - The city宣讲团 is actively promoting the spirit of the 20th Central Committee, aiming to unify thoughts and inspire action among party members and the public [1] - Zhang Jinlin, a member of the宣讲团, delivered a speech at Kuaishou, emphasizing the importance of understanding the committee's spirit and its implications for the internet industry [5] - The report from Zhang highlighted three key areas: understanding the committee's spirit, recognizing achievements during the 14th Five-Year Plan, and promoting the implementation of the committee's spirit to contribute to Beijing's modernization [5] Group 2 - After the report, Zhang engaged in discussions with leaders from key internet companies, addressing their concerns and fostering deeper understanding of the committee's spirit [6] - Hu Xuefeng, another member of the宣讲团, provided a comprehensive explanation of the committee's spirit in Changping District, offering targeted suggestions for developing emerging industries and promoting technological innovation [8] - Following the report, Hu conducted research in the synthetic biology manufacturing industry, exchanging insights with party members and grassroots representatives [10] Group 3 - Du Jianbo, Deputy Secretary of Meituan's Party Committee, expressed commitment to integrating the committee's spirit into corporate governance and enhancing social responsibility [12] - Kong Xixian, Deputy Director of the Changping District Reform Office, emphasized the need to implement the committee's spirit in accelerating the development of the local economy and fostering innovation in agriculture [14]

Core Viewpoint - The Hang Seng Index rose by 0.67% on December 1, with southbound capital recording a total transaction amount of HKD 85.91 billion, resulting in a net inflow of HKD 2.15 billion [1][2] Southbound Capital Activity - Total transaction amount for southbound capital was HKD 85.91 billion, with buy transactions at HKD 44.03 billion and sell transactions at HKD 41.88 billion, leading to a net buy of HKD 2.15 billion [1] - Breakdown of transactions shows that the Shenzhen Stock Connect had a total transaction amount of HKD 31.81 billion, with net buying of HKD 2.91 billion, while the Shanghai Stock Connect had a total transaction amount of HKD 54.10 billion, resulting in a net sell of HKD 0.76 billion [1] Active Stocks - Alibaba-W was the most actively traded stock with a total transaction amount of HKD 11.07 billion and a net buy of HKD 1.32 billion, closing up by 2.24% [1][2] - Other notable stocks included Meituan-W and Xiaomi Group-W, with transaction amounts of HKD 4.50 billion and HKD 4.17 billion, respectively [1][2] - Net buying was observed in 8 stocks, with Alibaba-W leading at HKD 1.32 billion, followed by ZTE Corporation at HKD 0.61 billion and Meituan-W at HKD 0.60 billion [1][2] Continuous Net Buying and Selling - Alibaba-W, Pop Mart, and Meituan-W have seen continuous net buying for over three days, with Alibaba-W leading at a total net buy of HKD 27.87 billion [2] - Conversely, SMIC and Zijin Mining experienced continuous net selling, with total net sells of HKD 24.96 billion and HKD 7.35 billion, respectively [2]

Core Points - On December 1, the Hang Seng Index rose by 0.67%, closing at 26,033.26 points, with a net inflow of HKD 2.148 billion through the southbound trading channel [1] - The total trading volume for the southbound trading on December 1 was HKD 85.910 billion, with a net buying amount of HKD 2.148 billion [1] - In the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect, the trading volume was HKD 54.104 billion with a net selling of HKD 0.765 billion, while in the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect, the trading volume was HKD 31.806 billion with a net buying of HKD 2.913 billion [1] Active Stocks Summary - Alibaba-W was the most actively traded stock in both the Shanghai and Shenzhen Connects, with a total trading amount of HKD 76.90 billion in Shanghai and HKD 33.84 billion in Shenzhen, and a net buying amount of HKD 5.44 billion and HKD 7.77 billion respectively, closing up by 2.24% [1][2] - Xiaomi Group-W and Meituan-W followed as the second and third most traded stocks in Shanghai, with trading amounts of HKD 29.10 billion and HKD 27.80 billion respectively, with Meituan-W closing down by 2.88% [1][2] - Tencent Holdings had the highest net selling amount of HKD 5.83 billion in Shanghai, while its stock price increased by 1.31% [1][2] - In the Shenzhen Connect, Tencent Holdings also had significant trading activity with a total amount of HKD 16.53 billion and a net buying of HKD 67.71 million [2]

Core Insights - Meituan's Q3 2025 financial results show a revenue of 95.49 billion, a 2.0% increase, but operating profit (OP) at -19.76 billion, a decline of 244.4%, and adjusted net profit at -16.01 billion, down 224.8% [1] - The intense competition in the food delivery sector has led to lower-than-expected revenue growth and profitability, although the company maintains a strong long-term outlook for its core domestic business and new growth opportunities overseas [1][3] Group 1: Food Delivery Business - In Q3, the food delivery segment experienced a peak in competition, resulting in revenue decline and significant operating losses, although the company outperformed competitors in high-value order market share [2] - The company anticipates a more rational competitive environment in Q4, with expectations of reduced growth rates in order volume and improved average losses per order [2] Group 2: New Business Developments - New business revenue reached 28.04 billion, a 15.9% increase, with an operating loss of 1.28 billion, showing a notable improvement in operating profit margin (OPM) [3] - The entry of Keeta into the Brazilian market is expected to increase losses in Q4 due to initial investment costs, despite improvements in profitability in existing markets like Hong Kong and Saudi Arabia [3] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The company’s Q3 performance was significantly impacted by competition in the food delivery sector, but it retains a competitive edge in high-value user engagement and operational efficiency [3] - Long-term growth potential remains strong, with a projected core local business GMV of approximately 2.7 trillion for 2025, leading to a target price of 141.9 HKD, maintaining a "strong buy" rating despite short-term disruptions [3]

Core Insights - Meituan reported Q3 2025 revenue of 95.5 billion yuan, a 2% year-on-year increase, demonstrating resilience in its core local commerce segment despite intense industry competition [2] - The number of annual transacting users surpassed 800 million, indicating a broad consumer base and enhanced network effects on the platform [3] - CEO Wang Xing emphasized the unsustainability of the food delivery price war, asserting that it does not create value for the industry [2][3] User Growth and Engagement - The milestone of over 800 million annual transacting users reflects Meituan's extensive market coverage and improved user engagement, with monthly transaction users reaching a historical high [3] - The user structure is continuously optimizing, with more low-frequency users transitioning to high-frequency users, significantly increasing consumption frequency and user stickiness [3] Competitive Positioning - Meituan maintained a strong competitive position in the food delivery market, with a market share recovery, especially in the mid-to-high price order segment, where it holds over 70% of orders above 30 yuan [6] - The company achieved a favorable "battle loss ratio" of 1:2 to 1:3 compared to competitors, showcasing its operational efficiency and resource management [3] Instant Retail Performance - Meituan's instant retail segment, Meituan Flash, continues to lead the industry, with new user growth and increased transaction frequency among core users [4] - The peak daily order volume for instant retail exceeded 150 million in July, with an average delivery time of just 34 minutes, highlighting its competitive fulfillment capabilities [5] International Expansion - Meituan's international strategy has made significant strides, with the Keeta business in Hong Kong achieving profitability ahead of schedule and expanding into new markets like Qatar, Kuwait, UAE, and Brazil [6][7] - The company remains focused on long-term strategic investments to enhance user value and maintain customer loyalty amid competition [7] Ecosystem and Merchant Support - Meituan has increased its investment in rider welfare and merchant support, launching initiatives like the "Prosperity Plan" with 2.8 billion yuan allocated to assist merchants [8] - The company is also enhancing food safety measures through initiatives like the "Bright Kitchen" program, encouraging transparency and consumer trust [9] Technological Advancements - Meituan's R&D investment reached 6.9 billion yuan, a 31% year-on-year increase, with significant advancements in AI applications and logistics technology, including drone delivery services [11] - The company is leveraging technology to improve operational efficiency and enhance service offerings for both merchants and consumers [11] Future Outlook - As industry competition stabilizes, Meituan's long-term investments in user scale, technology, and ecosystem development are expected to translate into sustained competitive advantages [10]

Group 1 - On December 1, 2025, Alibaba-W (09988), Xiaomi Group-W (01810), and Meituan-W (03690) ranked as the top three companies by trading volume in the Southbound Stock Connect, with trading amounts of 76.90 billion, 29.10 billion, and 27.80 billion respectively [1][2] - In the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect, Alibaba-W (09988), Meituan-W (03690), and Tencent Holdings (00700) were the top three companies by trading volume, with amounts of 33.84 billion, 17.15 billion, and 16.53 billion respectively [1][2] Group 2 - The top active companies in the Southbound Stock Connect included Alibaba-W (09988) with a net buy of 5.44 billion, Meituan-W (03690) with a net buy of 4.27 billion, and Xiaomi Group-W (01810) with a net buy of 75.15 million [2] - In the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect, Alibaba-W (09988) had a net buy of 7.77 billion, Meituan-W (03690) had a net buy of 1.67 billion, and Tencent Holdings (00700) had a net buy of 6.77 billion [2]

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market experienced significant net inflows from northbound trading, with a total net buy of 21.48 billion HKD on December 1, 2023, indicating strong investor interest in certain stocks while others faced net sell-offs [1]. Group 1: Northbound Trading Activity - Northbound trading saw a net buy of 29.13 billion HKD through the Shenzhen Stock Connect and a net sell of 7.65 billion HKD through the Shanghai Stock Connect [1]. - The most bought stocks included Alibaba-W (09988), ZTE Corporation (00763), and Meituan-W (03690) [1]. - The most sold stocks were SMIC (00981), CNOOC (00883), and China Pacific Insurance (02328) [1]. Group 2: Individual Stock Performance - Alibaba-W (09988) had a net buy of 13.21 billion HKD, driven by the launch of Quark AI glasses and increased interest in Alibaba Cloud [4]. - ZTE Corporation (00763) saw a net buy of 6.06 billion HKD, with news of the Nubia M153 smartphone featuring the Doubao assistant technology [5]. - Meituan-W (03690) received a net buy of 5.94 billion HKD, reflecting positive market sentiment [6]. - Xiaomi Group-W (01810) had a net buy of 1 billion HKD, indicating stable investor confidence [6]. - CNOOC (00883) faced a net sell of 2.72 billion HKD, suggesting negative market sentiment [6]. - China Pacific Insurance (02328) experienced a net sell of 1.29 billion HKD amid rumors regarding its leadership [6]. - SMIC (00981) had a net sell of 3.02 billion HKD following the termination of an asset acquisition plan [6].

Core Insights - The report highlights three core trends in the consumer services industry: "New Recovery, New Ecology, and New Supply" [6] - Structural factors are aiding certain sectors in stabilizing and improving operations, indicating a gradual recovery from the bottom [7] - The integration of online platforms with offline operations is reshaping the industry ecosystem, enhancing competition and operational efficiency [8] Industry Overview - The consumer services sector has seen a slight revenue increase of 2.57% year-on-year, totaling 183.23 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, despite a 12.7% decline in net profit [20][22] - The sector's performance has been mixed, with tourism and education sectors showing significant growth, while the hotel and restaurant sectors faced slight declines [16][19] New Recovery - The hotel industry is experiencing a rebound due to increased tourism demand and a stabilization in average daily rates (ADR), with occupancy rates showing signs of improvement [31][57] - The Macau gaming market has shown strong recovery, with gross gaming revenue (GGR) reaching 24.086 billion MOP in October 2025, driven by non-gaming attractions [32][44] - The duty-free market is benefiting from policy optimizations, with sales in Hainan reaching 2.425 billion yuan in October 2025, reflecting a 34.86% year-on-year increase [32][38] New Ecology - Major players like Alibaba, Meituan, and JD.com are competing in the instant retail space, each leveraging their strengths to enhance online and offline integration [42] - The restaurant industry is witnessing a shift towards standardized and professional supply chains, with the chain restaurant rate increasing from 15% in 2020 to 23% in 2024 [46][48] New Supply - The tourism sector is transitioning from a "sightseeing + ticket" model to one focused on content innovation and immersive experiences, with companies like Sanxia Tourism and Haichang Ocean Park leading this change [50][53] - The sports industry is evolving to combine spectator and participatory sports, creating new social engagement opportunities through digital platforms [54] Investment Recommendations - Key recommendations include focusing on leading hotel chains like Jinjiang Hotels and ShouLai Hotels, and monitoring companies with strong supply chain advantages in the restaurant sector [6][8] - The report suggests that innovative companies in tourism, sports, and education sectors, particularly those utilizing AI and content innovation, are worth attention for potential growth [8][50]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Meituan-W (03690.HK) is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report indicates that Meituan is increasing short-term investments to consolidate market share amid intensified competition, with expectations of profitability returning in 2026 and a projected net profit growth of 68.4% in 2027 [6][8] - The company's non-IFRS net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been revised down to -19.9 billion, 32.2 billion, and 54.2 billion CNY respectively, reflecting the competitive landscape and increased subsidies [6] - The report highlights that while the core business is facing challenges, new business segments are showing improvement, particularly in Hong Kong and the Middle East [7] Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - Revenue for 2023 is reported at 276.7 billion CNY, with a year-over-year growth of 25.8%. Projections for 2025 and 2026 are 365.4 billion and 433.5 billion CNY respectively, with expected growth rates of 8.2% and 18.6% [10] - Adjusted net profit for 2025 is expected to be a loss of 19.9 billion CNY, improving to a profit of 32.2 billion CNY in 2026 and 54.2 billion CNY in 2027, with corresponding year-over-year growth rates of -145.5%, 261.4%, and 68.4% [10] - The report provides a diluted EPS forecast of -3.2, 5.2, and 8.7 CNY for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with P/E ratios of -29.1, 18.0, and 10.7 for the same years [10]

Core Insights - Meituan's Q3 earnings report highlights its resilience amid fierce competition in the food delivery market, maintaining a leading position in high-value orders despite significant losses [1][2][3] - Goldman Sachs maintains a "Buy" rating on Meituan, citing its strong execution capabilities and the current attractive stock price as key investment factors [1] User Metrics - Meituan's transaction user base has surpassed 800 million, with daily active users (DAU) increasing by over 20% year-on-year, and monthly transaction users for food delivery reaching a historical high [1][3] - The company holds over 70% market share in orders exceeding 30 yuan and over 66% in orders above 15 yuan, indicating strong market dominance in higher-priced segments [2][3] Financial Performance - In Q3, Meituan's core local business revenue (food delivery + in-store) was 67.4 billion yuan, remaining stable compared to the previous year, despite a slowdown in service marketing revenue growth [3] - Adjusted net loss for Q3 was 16 billion yuan, primarily due to losses in the core local business, but this loss is considered manageable compared to competitors [2][3] New Business Developments - Meituan's instant retail business has shown significant growth, with new user acquisition and transaction frequency both increasing [5] - The company has made notable progress in international markets, with its Keeta business achieving monthly profitability in Hong Kong ahead of schedule [5] Ecosystem and Community Support - Meituan has implemented comprehensive support for delivery riders, including pension insurance, welfare benefits, and housing support, covering over a million riders and their families [7][8] - The company has launched initiatives to assist merchants in navigating competitive pressures, including a 2.8 billion yuan support plan and upgrades to its merchant evaluation system [7] Technological Advancements - Meituan has invested 6.9 billion yuan in R&D in Q3, a 31% increase year-on-year, focusing on AI tools and applications to enhance service efficiency [5][6] - The company has expanded its drone delivery services, achieving over 670,000 commercial orders by September, showcasing its commitment to technological innovation [8]