Investment Rating - The report maintains an "OUTPERFORM" rating for Leapmotor [1][2][20]. Core Insights - Leapmotor has entered a clear margin-improvement cycle, with sustained profitability and enhanced gross margins driven by scale benefits and cost optimization [3][14]. - The company is on track to achieve its annual sales target of 580,000 to 650,000 units, with a revised forecast of 633,000 units for 2025 [4][15]. - Leapmotor's overseas expansion strategy is taking shape, with significant order growth and localization projects planned for 2026 [5][16][17]. - The company has established a comprehensive product matrix with four major series, enhancing its market positioning [6][18][19]. - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 have been updated, reflecting a strong model pipeline and expected market share growth [7][20]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Leapmotor reported revenue of Rmb19.45 billion, a 97% year-on-year increase, with a gross margin of 14.5% [3][14]. - The net profit for Q3 was Rmb150 million, marking a significant improvement from a loss of Rmb690 million in the same period last year [3][14]. - The company had cash reserves of Rmb33.92 billion at the end of Q3, indicating a strong liquidity position [3][14]. Sales and Delivery - Year-to-date deliveries reached 466,000 units through October, with management confident in achieving the full-year target [4][15]. - October saw single-month deliveries surpassing 70,000 units for the first time, reflecting strong demand [3][14]. Overseas Expansion - Leapmotor's overseas orders reached approximately 12,000 in October, with expectations to exceed 15,000 in November [5][16]. - The company aims for overseas sales of 100,000 to 150,000 units by 2026, maintaining a low-margin strategy for market penetration [5][16][17]. Product Development - Leapmotor has completed its ABCD product series, with new models set to launch in the coming months [6][18][19]. - The company is also developing a new category-creating product expected to launch in 2027 or 2028 [6][19]. Valuation - The updated revenue forecast for 2025-2027 is Rmb64.9 billion, Rmb94.6 billion, and Rmb127.6 billion, respectively [7][20]. - A target price of HK$73.51 is assigned based on a 1.0x price-to-sales ratio for 2026 [7][20].

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market continues to face pressure, with the Hang Seng Index opening down 0.8%, the National Enterprises Index down 0.72%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index down 1.25% [1] - Major stocks such as China Hongqiao, Hansoh Pharmaceutical, Li Auto, and NetEase experienced declines, with China Hongqiao dropping 7.74% [1] Company Performance - XPeng Motors reported a significant reduction in net loss for the three months ending September 30, 2025, with a loss of 381 million RMB, down 78.93% year-on-year. Revenue reached 20.381 billion RMB, a 101.76% increase, with automotive sales revenue at 18.054 billion RMB, up 105.27% [1] - The gross profit for XPeng Motors was 4.104 billion RMB, a 166.26% increase, with a quarterly gross margin of 20.1%, up 4.8 percentage points from the same period in 2024 [1] - Leap Motor reported a net profit of 150 million RMB for Q3 2025, with total net profit for the first three quarters reaching 180 million RMB. Q3 revenue was 19.45 billion RMB, a 97.3% increase from 9.86 billion RMB in Q4 2024 [2] - The gross margin for Leap Motor in Q3 2025 was 14.5%, up 0.9 percentage points from Q2 2025 [2] Debt Issuance - Yanzhou Coal Mining Company announced the successful issuance of its third phase of technology innovation bonds for 2025, raising 3 billion RMB with a term of 3+N years and an interest rate of 2.06% [2] Market Sentiment - Investor sentiment is cautious due to cooling interest rate cut expectations and a lack of surprises in earnings reports, leading to a downward trend in major indices [3] - The overall market is expected to maintain a volatile pattern in the short term, with significant support at 26,000 points and resistance at 27,000 points [3]

Core Viewpoint - The new consumption concept stocks in Hong Kong continue to decline, with significant drops observed in several companies [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Xiaopeng Motors (09868.HK) experienced a decline of over 10% [1] - Hou Shang A Yi (02589.HK) fell nearly 4% [1] - Other companies such as Leap Motor (09863.HK), Laopu Gold (06181.HK), Li Auto (02015.HK), and Pop Mart (09992.HK) all saw declines exceeding 3% [1]

Group 1 - The Leap A10 is positioned as a compact pure electric SUV, featuring lidar for advanced driver assistance, with a focus on interior space practicality and passenger comfort [2] - The exterior design includes a three-segment daytime running light and semi-hidden door handles, enhancing safety and intelligent driving experience with multiple high-definition cameras [2] - The charging interface is located at the front fender, and the vehicle is expected to adopt a front-wheel-drive layout [4] Group 2 - The Leap D19 is positioned as a large flagship SUV with a 6-seat layout, offering both pure electric and range-extended versions, with pre-sales expected to start in the first half of 2026 [5] - The interior features high-end comfort configurations such as a "color TV, refrigerator, large sofa," zero-gravity seats adjustable up to 120 degrees, an onboard oxygen generator, and double-layer soundproof glass [5] - The intelligent cockpit is built on the LEAP 4.0 central domain control architecture, equipped with dual 8797 chips, achieving a computing power of 1280 TOPS, supporting VLA advanced intelligent driving functions [5] Group 3 - The Leap Lafa5 is based on the LEAP 3.5 architecture B platform, positioned as a compact pure electric vehicle, with a pre-sale price range of 105,800 to 131,800 yuan [7] - It is equipped with an 8295 chip and lidar, with a CLTC range of 515 km to 605 km [7] - The new model is set to launch on November 27, with a derivative Ultra version expected to be launched and delivered in the second quarter of 2026 [7]

Core Insights - Leap Motor has reported significant growth in revenue, profit, and delivery volume for Q3 2025, marking a transition to high-quality development [2] - The company achieved a record delivery of 173,852 vehicles in Q3 2025, a 101.77% increase compared to 86,150 vehicles in Q4 2024, solidifying its position as the top-selling brand among new forces in China [2] - Leap Motor has completed its annual target of 500,000 vehicle deliveries ahead of schedule and aims to reach a new target of 1 million vehicles in 2026 [2] Financial Performance - The company reported a net profit of 150 million yuan in Q3 2025, a significant turnaround from a loss of 690 million yuan in the same period of 2024, indicating a structural improvement in profitability [3] - The gross margin increased to 14.5% in Q3 2025, up from 8.1% in Q4 2024 and 13.6% in Q2 2025, reflecting advantages in supply chain management and production scale [3] - Operating cash flow reached 4.88 billion yuan, a 149% year-on-year increase, with free cash flow at 3.84 billion yuan, indicating a healthy financial position [3] Market Position and Strategy - Leap Motor's product matrix effectively covers mainstream consumer markets, validated by its leading sales performance [4] - The company plans to expand its market presence with new models and overseas market development, supported by strong financial reserves and an optimized profit structure [4] - Leap Motor's competitive edge is bolstered by its self-research strategy in key areas such as smart cockpit, intelligent driving, and power batteries, enhancing product competitiveness [3]

Core Viewpoint - Leapmotor announced two related party transactions involving adjustments to annual transaction limits with Huayuxin Technology and a new procurement framework agreement with Hangzhou Pearl, both compliant with Hong Kong Stock Exchange regulations [2][3]. Group 1: Transaction Adjustments with Huayuxin Technology - The annual transaction limits for the new product purchase framework agreement with Huayuxin Technology have been revised for 2025 and 2026, with the 2025 procurement limit set at CNY 192 million and sales limit at CNY 280 million, while the 2026 limits are CNY 400 million for procurement and CNY 550 million for sales [2][3]. - Historical transaction data shows that in 2024, Leapmotor's procurement from Huayuxin Technology amounted to CNY 635,000, with sales of CNY 162,000, and in the first nine months of 2025, procurement was CNY 43,000 while sales reached CNY 611,000 [2][3]. Group 2: Factors for Adjustment - The adjustment of transaction limits is based on three main factors: the transaction scale achieved in the first three quarters of 2025, significant customer expansion and order increases in Leapmotor's energy storage projects, and strong business growth expectations for Huayuxin Technology driven by the "dual carbon" strategy and overseas market demand [3]. - Leapmotor aims to leverage its technological expertise in the smart vehicle sector to enhance its product offerings and revenue sources, thereby benefiting the overall interests of the company and its shareholders [3]. Group 3: New Agreement with Hangzhou Pearl - Leapmotor has established a procurement framework agreement with Hangzhou Pearl for charging piles and guns, with a cumulative procurement limit of CNY 140 million for 2025 and CNY 640 million for 2026 [4]. - The procurement of charging equipment is intended to support vehicle sales, operational facilities, and overseas exports, with demand expected to rise alongside the company's growing vehicle sales [4]. - Hangzhou Pearl is recognized for its stable product quality and reliable supply capabilities, which are expected to enhance Leapmotor's procurement system and market competitiveness [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [4][11]. Core Insights - The company's Q3 2025 financial results show significant growth in vehicle sales and revenue, with a total of 174,000 new cars sold, representing a year-on-year increase of 101.8% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 29.6%. Total revenue reached 19.45 billion yuan, up 97.3% year-on-year and 36.7% quarter-on-quarter [1]. - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 14.5%, an increase of 6.4 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit for the quarter was 150 million yuan, marking a turnaround from losses in the previous year [2][3]. - The company is expected to continue its strong operational performance, driven by a robust new car cycle and strong overseas market expansion. The report highlights the company's competitive advantages in product development and low manufacturing costs [2][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q3 2025 saw the company sell 174,000 vehicles, with revenue of 19.45 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 101.8% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 29.6%. The average selling price (ASP) per vehicle was 111,900 yuan, showing a slight decrease of 2.2% quarter-on-quarter but an increase of 5.4% year-on-year [1]. - The company reported a gross margin of 14.5% for Q3 2025, up 6.4 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit was 150 million yuan, a significant improvement compared to the previous year [2][3]. Cost and Expenses - The report indicates that the sales, administrative, and R&D expense ratios for Q3 2025 were 4.9%, 3.2%, and 6.2%, respectively, with a mixed trend in expenses. Although the expense ratios showed some improvement, total expenses continued to rise, particularly in R&D [2]. Future Outlook - The company is projected to maintain strong sales momentum into Q4 2025, with expectations of continued growth in monthly sales. The report anticipates that 2026 will be a significant year for new car launches, with several models expected to perform well in the market [2][4]. - The long-term strategy of self-research and self-supply is expected to continue to yield cost advantages, enhancing the company's competitive position in the market [4].

Core Viewpoint - Zhaoyin International reports that Leap Motor (09863) maintains robust profitability in its automotive business for Q3, with a revenue increase of 37% quarter-on-quarter to 19.5 billion RMB, exceeding previous forecasts by 5% due to higher-than-expected average selling prices [1] Financial Performance - Q3 gross margin increased by 0.9 percentage points to 14.5% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The combined expense ratio for sales management and R&D decreased by 1.8 percentage points to 14.3%, aligning with forecasts [1] - Net profit remained stable at 150 million RMB, primarily influenced by non-automotive business factors [1] Future Outlook - Q4 profitability is expected to be more resilient, with a sales forecast increase of 20,000 units to 620,000 units for 2025, implying a 29% increase in Q4 sales volume to 224,000 units [1] - After considering potential carbon credit income of 500 million RMB, Q4 net profit is anticipated to increase 4.5 times quarter-on-quarter to 677 million RMB [1] - Strong sales momentum is projected to continue into 2026, with over 25,000 new orders from Europe in October and November 2025 [1] Sales Targets - Leap Motor's overseas sales target of 100,000 to 150,000 units for 2026 is deemed achievable [1] - Total sales are expected to grow by 52% year-on-year to 940,000 units in 2026, driven by the launch of the Lafa5 and four new models (two D series and two A series) [1] - The newly unveiled D19 model has received significantly higher pre-order volumes than management expectations, enhancing confidence in the A series models for the upcoming year [1]

Core Viewpoint - Zhaoyin International reports that Leap Motor (09863) maintains robust profitability in its automotive business for Q3, with revenue increasing by 37% quarter-on-quarter to RMB 19.5 billion, exceeding previous forecasts by 5% due to higher-than-expected average selling prices [1] Financial Performance - Q3 gross margin increased by 0.9 percentage points to 14.5% quarter-on-quarter [1] - Combined sales, management, and R&D expense ratios decreased by 1.8 percentage points to 14.3%, aligning with forecasts [1] - Net profit remained stable at RMB 150 million, primarily influenced by non-automotive business factors [1] Future Outlook - Q4 profitability is expected to be more resilient, with sales forecasted to increase by 29% quarter-on-quarter to 224,000 units, raising the 2025 sales forecast by 20,000 units to 620,000 units [1] - Anticipated net profit for Q4 could increase 4.5 times quarter-on-quarter to RMB 677 million, considering potential carbon credit income of RMB 500 million [1] - Strong sales momentum is projected to continue into 2026, with over 25,000 new orders from Europe in October-November 2025 [1] Sales Targets - Leap Motor's overseas sales target of 100,000 to 150,000 units for 2026 is deemed achievable [1] - Total sales are expected to grow by 52% year-on-year to 940,000 units in 2026, driven by the launch of the Lafa5 and four new models (two D series and two A series) [1] - The D19 model, unveiled on October 16, has received significantly higher pre-order volumes than management expectations, enhancing confidence in the A series models for the following year [1]

Core Insights - Leap Motor reported a net profit of 150 million yuan for Q3 2025, marking consecutive quarterly profitability [1] - The company delivered 173,852 new vehicles, achieving a 101.8% increase compared to the same period in 2024, leading the sales among new energy vehicle brands in China [1] - Revenue reached 19.45 billion yuan, a 97.3% year-on-year growth, with a gross margin of 14.5%, significantly improved from previous periods [1] Financial Performance - Net profit for Q3 2025 was 150 million yuan, continuing a trend of quarterly profitability [1] - Revenue for the quarter was 19.45 billion yuan, reflecting a 97.3% increase year-on-year [1] - The gross margin improved to 14.5%, indicating enhanced operational efficiency [1] Vehicle Deliveries - The company delivered 173,852 vehicles in Q3 2025, a 101.8% increase from Q3 2024 [1] - Leap Motor has maintained its position as the top-selling new energy vehicle brand in China for eight consecutive months since March 2025 [1] - Monthly sales records were broken, with over 60,000 units sold in September and over 70,000 units in October 2025 [1] R&D and Product Development - Leap Motor introduced a new flagship D platform with six advanced technologies, enhancing its product offerings in range, battery capacity, and smart features [4] - The C10 model achieved cumulative sales of over 200,000 units within 18 months, with an average monthly sales of 15,000 units in Q3 2025 [4] - The C11 model has sold approximately 300,000 units since its launch in 2021, while the B01 model has consistently sold over 10,000 units monthly since its second month on the market [4] Service and Customer Experience - The company is enhancing its service ecosystem by focusing on channel, retail, and service collaboration [5] - Leap Motor's service philosophy emphasizes quick response, repair, and parts supply, achieving a 92.6% on-time delivery rate for parts [5] - The company has improved its vehicle repair success rate by 4.8 percentage points through advanced diagnostic technology [5] Future Outlook - Leap Motor has exceeded its 2025 sales target of 500,000 units ahead of schedule and aims for a million units in 2026 [5] - The company is positioned for continued growth and profitability, with a focus on technological innovation and cost optimization [5]