Core Insights - The report highlights that the public fund fee reform has concluded, and insurance companies are expected to perform well, indicating potential investment opportunities in the spring market [1][6]. Group 1: Industry Performance - As of December 31, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3968.84 points, up 0.13%, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.58% [11]. - The average daily trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 2.13 trillion yuan, an increase of 8.30% week-on-week [6]. Group 2: Insurance Sector - Insurance companies are anticipated to maintain high growth in performance, with short-term results expected to exceed expectations and long-term interest rate spreads likely to improve [17]. - The Ministry of Finance released a draft revision of the accounting standards, enhancing the clarity of profit sources for insurance companies and improving comparability across industries [17]. - Key stocks to watch in the insurance sector include China Ping An, China Life, and New China Life, among others [17]. Group 3: Securities Sector - The public fund fee reform is expected to save investors approximately 51 billion yuan annually, with a fee reduction of about 20% [18]. - The reform includes differentiated redemption fee structures aimed at promoting long-term investment and reducing short-term trading behaviors [19]. - The introduction of new REITs regulations is expected to enhance the market's quality and expand opportunities for securities firms [24][28]. Group 4: Valuation and Financial Analysis - China Ping An (601318.SH) has a target price of 85.17 yuan, with an estimated EPS of 8.91 yuan for 2025, reflecting a PE ratio of 7.68 [7]. - New China Life (601336.SH) has a target price of 94.21 yuan, with an estimated EPS of 14.04 yuan for 2025, indicating a PE ratio of 4.96 [7]. - The report suggests that the valuation metrics for various companies in the sector indicate potential upside, with several stocks rated as "Buy" [7].

Core Viewpoint - The report from CITIC Securities indicates that the biggest expected divergence in 2026 will stem from the balance between external and internal demand, with a trend towards imposing tariffs on external demand and subsidizing internal demand, marking an important beginning this year [1][7]. Market Overview - The market is expected to experience a higher probability of upward movement after the New Year, given the relatively low funding enthusiasm at the end of last year and the prevailing sentiment of wanting to see market growth [1][8]. - The overall market sentiment is currently restrained, with many investors waiting for the right entry point, suggesting limited potential for significant market corrections in the absence of major unexpected risks [8]. Investment Strategy - The company recommends adopting a mindset focused on "earning performance money rather than expecting valuation money" for mid-term investments, favoring sectors with lower heat and concentration but increasing attention and catalysts, such as chemicals, engineering machinery, electric power equipment, and new energy [1][10]. - There is a cautious approach towards high prosperity and high heat sectors that have seen stagnant stock prices, while new industry themes like commercial aerospace are expected to continue to evolve and warrant ongoing attention [1][10]. Performance Analysis - In 2025, the median return for actively managed public funds tracked by CITIC Securities was 28.2%, ranking third over the past decade, with a significant disparity in returns between the top and bottom deciles [2]. - The overall performance of the A-share and Hong Kong stock markets in 2025 can be divided into five phases, with notable fluctuations driven by external factors such as tariff impacts and AI application narratives [3][4]. Structural Market Dynamics - The significant money in the structural bull market in 2025 primarily came from the correction of expected divergences and performance growth, particularly in the context of external and internal demand dynamics [4]. - The report highlights that the market's perception of external demand has shifted from optimism to caution, with geopolitical factors influencing expectations throughout the year [7]. Future Outlook - The anticipated structural adjustments in trade policies, including increased tariffs and stricter export controls, indicate a shift in China's approach to external trade, aiming to balance external and internal demand [7]. - The report emphasizes that the market may struggle to quickly price in these significant structural changes, which could serve as both a source of expected divergence and potential performance growth [7].

Core Viewpoint - The market is experiencing a structural bull market driven by a significant re-evaluation of China's technological capabilities and the complexities of US-China relations, alongside resilient external demand and an explosion in AI inference demand [1][2][3] Group 1: Market Performance and Expectations - In 2025, the median return of actively managed public funds is projected to be 28.2%, ranking third in the past decade and sixth in the last twenty years [1][12] - The overall market performance can be divided into five phases, with the total return of the CSI All A Shares Index at 27.7% and the Hang Seng Tech Index at 23.4% for the year [2][13] - The first phase shows a brief market excitement before the Spring Festival, while the second phase sees a significant rally in the Hang Seng Tech Index due to a shift in narrative regarding China's autonomous technology [2][13] Group 2: Structural Bull Market Dynamics - The "big money" in the structural bull market comes from substantial expected differences and performance growth, primarily driven by the correction of pessimistic expectations regarding external demand and the AI industry's evolution [3][14] - The market's perception of external demand shifted from pessimism to optimism throughout the year, culminating in a consensus on external demand exposure by year-end [3][14] - The AI industry's demand surge has filled gaps during transitional phases, leading to significant valuation recoveries for key companies [4][14] Group 3: Liquidity and Market Dynamics - Incremental liquidity is viewed as a result of the expected difference and performance realization, rather than a primary driver of market growth [5][15] - The net inflow of ETFs was 230.6 billion yuan for the year, indicating that liquidity does not directly correlate with market index increases [5][15] - The market is not lacking in funds but rather in investable assets and imaginative space [5][15] Group 4: Future Expectations and Strategies - The largest expected difference for 2026 will stem from balancing external and internal demand, with a trend towards taxing external trade and subsidizing domestic demand [6][16] - The market sentiment at the end of 2025 was relatively restrained, suggesting a higher probability of upward market movement in early 2026 [7][17] - Investment strategies should focus on sectors with lower heat and concentration but increasing attention and catalysts, such as chemicals, engineering machinery, and renewable energy [9][19]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the securities industry, indicating an expected stock performance that will exceed the market by more than 10% over the next 12 months [9]. Core Insights - The public fund sales fee reform has been smoothly implemented, with a focus on benefiting investors and addressing market concerns. The reform is expected to save approximately 51 billion CNY in investment costs annually, with a comprehensive fee rate reduction of about 20% [5]. - The new rules on redemption fees have been established to protect market liquidity while benefiting investors. The differentiation in redemption fees is aimed at encouraging long-term investment practices [5]. - The classification of products and supporting policies have been upgraded to create a more refined fee rate regulatory system, promoting the development of index funds and equity funds [5]. - The report emphasizes the importance of wealth management institutions' service capabilities in the context of the growing equity fund market, suggesting a focus on companies like Huatai Securities, CICC, Guotai Junan, and CITIC Securities [5]. Summary by Sections Regulatory Changes - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) issued new regulations on public fund sales fees, effective from January 1, 2026, marking the completion of a three-phase fee reduction process [5]. - The third phase of the reform is projected to provide approximately 30 billion CNY in annual benefits to investors [5]. Product Classification - The new regulations simplify redemption fee structures into three tiers and allow flexible arrangements for different types of funds, particularly benefiting individual investors in index funds [5]. - The maximum subscription fee rates have been refined, with specific caps for different fund types, encouraging the growth of index funds [5]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies that are well-positioned to benefit from the reforms and the anticipated growth in the equity fund market, including Huatai Securities (AH), CICC (H), Guotai Junan (AH), and CITIC Securities (AH) [5].

Core Viewpoint - The court ruled that CITIC Securities must compensate its client, Fuanna, for investment losses, marking a significant precedent in financial disputes involving listed companies [2][34]. Group 1: Case Background - CITIC Securities customized a directional asset management plan for Fuanna starting in April 2018, with Fuanna investing approximately 100 million yuan annually in a rolling investment scheme [34][35]. - The third phase of investment, amounting to 100 million yuan, was directed into a trust that ultimately defaulted due to the bankruptcy of the underlying asset's developer, Land Resources [3][34]. Group 2: Legal Findings - The court analyzed the asset management industry's practices, including "single contract, rolling investment" and the applicability of suitability obligations for professional investors [35][40]. - The court determined that CITIC Securities failed to fulfill its suitability obligations before the third phase of investment, which involved higher risk assets compared to previous phases [37][59]. Group 3: Professional Investor Status - CITIC Securities argued that Fuanna, as a professional investor, did not require the same level of risk disclosure as ordinary investors [41][42]. - The court clarified that being a professional investor does not exempt one from the obligation to understand their investment preferences and risk tolerance [45][56]. Group 4: Risk Disclosure Obligations - The court emphasized that financial institutions must provide specific and substantial risk disclosures rather than generic warnings [55][56]. - Despite Fuanna's acknowledgment of risks in a risk disclosure document, the court found that the disclosures were too vague to be considered adequate [55][56]. Group 5: Compensation and Loss Assessment - The court ruled that CITIC Securities must compensate Fuanna for 50% of the unrecovered principal amounting to approximately 29.29 million yuan [30][62]. - The court noted that even without the completion of asset liquidation, losses could still be recognized based on the circumstances surrounding the investment [60][61].

Core Viewpoint - The 2025 IPO market shows significant recovery compared to the low point in 2024, with a total of 297 IPOs across A-shares, Hong Kong, and the US markets, marking a notable increase in activity [2][51]. Group 1: IPO Market Overview - The Hong Kong market emerged as the largest IPO market globally in 2025, with 117 companies listed, a nearly 70% increase from 69 in 2024 [2][52]. - A-shares also saw a recovery, with 113 companies listed, up 13% from 100 in 2024, raising a total of 131.77 billion yuan, a 95.6% increase from 673.53 billion yuan in 2024 [52]. - The US market for Chinese companies remained subdued, with only 67 companies listed, raising approximately 8.03 billion yuan, significantly lower than the 18.56 billion yuan in 2024 [53]. Group 2: Investment Institutions - The "TOP100" list for 2025 includes 17 institutions that made the list for the first time in six years, while 18 institutions have maintained their presence for six consecutive years [51]. - The average number of IPO projects per institution in the TOP100 was 4.85, up from 3.19 in 2024, indicating a recovery in market activity [51]. - The threshold for inclusion in the TOP100 was set at 2 IPO projects, compared to 1 in 2024 [51]. Group 3: Fundraising and Project Distribution - The total fundraising amount in the Hong Kong market reached 261.53 billion yuan, a 218.6% increase from 82.1 billion yuan in 2024 [52]. - The average fundraising size for IPOs in Hong Kong was 2.255 billion yuan, significantly higher than 1.19 billion yuan in 2024 [56]. - The top fundraising projects included Ningde Times, which raised 37.701 billion yuan, followed by Zijin Mining and Sany Heavy Industry [57]. Group 4: City and Industry Distribution - In 2025, 89 cities in mainland China and Hong Kong hosted IPO projects, with Shanghai leading at 27 projects, followed by Beijing with 21 and Shenzhen with 16 [58]. - The most active industries for IPOs were biomedicine (26 projects), hardware equipment (25 projects), and software services (22 projects), reflecting the focus on AI technology [61]. - The total fundraising in the electrical equipment sector reached 53.03 billion yuan, driven by leading companies like Ningde Times [61].

Core Viewpoint - EVE Energy Co., Ltd. (亿纬锂能) has submitted a prospectus for an IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, marking its second attempt after a previous application expired in June 2025 [1]. Group 1: Company Overview - EVE Energy, established in 2001, is a leading lithium battery platform company globally, covering consumer batteries, power batteries, and energy storage batteries [2]. - The company has a comprehensive R&D platform that includes materials, battery cells, BMS, and systems, serving various applications in smart living, green transportation, and energy transition [2]. Group 2: Production and Market Position - EVE Energy operates 8 production bases globally and has 2 additional bases under construction, with sales and service networks covering 7 countries and regions [4]. - In 2024, the company is projected to ship 2.1 billion consumer batteries and 80.7 GWh of power and energy storage batteries [4]. - According to Frost & Sullivan, EVE Energy ranks among the top three globally in consumer battery shipments with a market share of 11.7% in 2024 [4]. Group 3: Financial Performance - The company's revenue for the years 2022, 2023, 2024, and the first nine months of 2025 were RMB 36.30 billion, RMB 48.78 billion, RMB 48.61 billion, and RMB 45.00 billion respectively [12]. - Net profits for the same periods were RMB 3.67 billion, RMB 4.52 billion, RMB 4.22 billion, and RMB 2.98 billion [12]. Group 4: Shareholder Structure - Prior to the IPO, the controlling shareholders of EVE Energy are Dr. Liu Jincheng and Ms. Luo Jinhong, who collectively hold 37.33% of the shares [7]. - The shareholder structure includes various other stakeholders, with a significant portion held by A-share shareholders [8]. Group 5: Management Team - The board of directors consists of 8 members, including 4 executive directors and 3 independent non-executive directors, with Dr. Liu Jincheng serving as the chairman [10]. Group 6: Advisory Team - The IPO advisory team includes CITIC Securities as the sole sponsor, with various legal and auditing firms providing support [14].

Core Insights - In 2025, a total of 40 companies were approved for mergers and acquisitions in the A-share market, achieving a 100% approval rate [1][9]. Independent Financial Advisors Performance Ranking - A total of 19 independent financial advisory firms participated in the 40 approved M&A projects, with the top three firms being: - First: Huatai United with 8 projects - Second: CITIC Construction with 7 projects - Third: CITIC Securities with 6 projects [1][11][12]. Legal Advisors Performance Ranking - 25 law firms were involved in the legal services for the 40 approved M&A projects, with the top three being: - First: Beijing King & Wood Mallesons with 5 projects - Second: Beijing Jiyuan with 4 projects - Third: Beijing Zhonglun, Shanghai Jintiancheng, and Zhejiang Tiancai, each with 3 projects [2][13][15]. Accounting Firms Performance Ranking - 19 accounting firms provided auditing services for the 40 approved M&A projects, with the top three being: - First: Tianjian with 9 projects - Second: Lixin with 7 projects - Third: Xinyong Zhonghe with 4 projects [4][16]. Asset Appraisal Agencies Performance Ranking - 20 asset appraisal agencies were involved in the asset evaluation for the 40 approved M&A projects, with the top three being: - First: Zhonglian Appraisal with 10 projects - Second: Jinzhen Appraisal with 5 projects - Third: Zhongqihua with 4 projects [6][17].

Core Viewpoint - In 2025, all 40 companies that underwent merger and acquisition (M&A) reviews in the A-share market were approved, achieving a 100% approval rate. Group 1: Independent Financial Advisors Performance Ranking - A total of 19 independent financial advisory firms participated in the 40 approved M&A projects, with the top three firms being: - First: Huatai United with 8 projects - Second: CITIC Construction with 7 projects - Third: CITIC Securities with 6 projects [1] Group 2: Legal Advisors Performance Ranking - 25 law firms were involved in the legal services for the 40 approved M&A projects, with the top three firms being: - First: Beijing King & Wood Mallesons with 5 projects - Second: Beijing JY with 4 projects - Third: Beijing Zhonglun, Shanghai Jintiancheng, and Zhejiang Tiance each with 3 projects [3] Group 3: Accounting Firms Performance Ranking - 19 accounting firms provided auditing services for the 40 approved M&A projects, with the top three firms being: - First: Tianjian with 9 projects - Second: Lixin with 7 projects - Third: Xinyong Zhonghe with 4 projects [7] Group 4: Asset Appraisal Agencies Performance Ranking - 20 asset appraisal agencies were involved in the asset evaluation for the 40 approved M&A projects, with the top three agencies being: - First: Zhonglian Appraisal with 10 projects - Second: Jinzhen Appraisal with 5 projects - Third: Zhongqihua with 4 projects [10]

Core Viewpoint - Wallen Technology Co., Ltd. (stock code: 06082.HK) successfully listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on January 2, 2026, becoming the "first GPU stock in Hong Kong" with a base issuance scale of $717 million, which can expand to a maximum of $825 million with the exercise of the over-allotment option, marking the largest new stock issuance since the implementation of the Chapter 18C special technology company listing mechanism in Hong Kong [1][3]. Group 1: Company Overview - Wallen Technology, established in 2019, is a leading provider of general intelligent computing solutions in China, focusing on self-developed GPU products to provide robust, secure, and efficient computing infrastructure across various industries [6]. - The company is committed to an original core architecture and has pioneered the Chiplet high-performance chip, aiming to build a technology system that fosters soft and hard collaborative innovation, thereby contributing to the development of the domestic intelligent computing industry ecosystem [6]. Group 2: Market Performance - The public offering segment of Wallen Technology's IPO received approximately 2,348 times oversubscription, reflecting strong market interest and confidence in the company's growth potential [3][5]. - The international placement attracted a wide range of investors, including top global long-term funds, domestic long-term funds, industrial capital, multi-strategy funds, and private equity funds, indicating high recognition of Wallen Technology and the prospects of domestic computing power development [5]. Group 3: Strategic Importance - Wallen Technology is recognized as a key high-tech enterprise supported by the National Development and Reform Commission and a key "specialized and innovative" small giant enterprise by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, emphasizing its role in supporting national artificial intelligence strategies and breaking through critical technology bottlenecks in intelligent computing chips [3][6]. - The company aims to create a domestic intelligent computing industry ecosystem and is deeply involved in major projects, having achieved commercial deployment of its first-generation training integrated general-purpose high-performance GPU with major clients [3].