炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 中国证券业协会数据显示，证券业从业人数连续3年下滑，从2022年末35.61万人，减少至2025年末32.78 万人，近3万人离场。从结构来看，"一般证券业务"人员连续两年减少超过2万人。证券经纪人数量更是 每年下滑，8年间（2018年至2025年）累计减少逾6万人。 | 国金证券人数变化 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 分类 | 2024/12/31 | 2025/12/31 人数变化 | | | 从业人员数 | 4809 | 5240 | 431 | | 一般证券业务 | 3402 | 3641 | 239 | | 证券经纪人 | 74 | 56 | -18 | | 分析师 | 122 | 165 | 43 | | 投资顾问 | 921 | 1082 | 161 | | 保荐代表人 | 290 | 296 | 6 | | 数据来源:choice | | | | 2025年最为津津乐道的就是国金证券的分析师变动，2025年国金证券分析师人数从122人增加到165人， 组建起30余个研究团队，实现 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the long-term profitability trends in the technology sector, particularly focusing on the high R&D investments leading to a significant proportion of loss-making stocks in the Sci-Tech Innovation ETF [1] - The performance of the Sci-Tech Innovation ETF (588360) is linked to the Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index (931643), which includes 50 securities with large market capitalization and good liquidity, reflecting the overall performance of technology innovation-related listed companies [1] - The article notes that while the pre-earnings rate for electronics and communications remains stable for 2024, there is an improvement in the computer and media sectors, indicating a certain expansion in the technology industry cycle [1] Group 2 - The article emphasizes that the growth momentum in the AI industry is not limited to the technology sector but is also spreading to the midstream manufacturing segment [1] - The ETF's daily price fluctuation limit is set at 20%, and it covers various high-tech fields such as information technology, healthcare, and renewable energy, showcasing significant innovation growth characteristics [1] - The importance of order and business commercialization progress is highlighted as being more critical than profitability for certain stocks within the sector [1]

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metals market is entering a high volatility phase, influenced by factors such as the Federal Reserve's interest rate narrative and profit-taking activities, leading to significant price fluctuations in precious and non-ferrous metals [2] Group 1: Market Dynamics - Recent price volatility in metals like gold, silver, copper, aluminum, lead, and zinc is attributed to the Federal Reserve's interest rate changes and profit-taking [2] - Market institutions suggest that the non-ferrous metals sector will experience a phase of reduced volatility in trading, maintaining its overall direction, supported by strong fundamentals in the latter part of Q1 [2][6] - The current non-ferrous cycle is characterized by a backdrop of de-globalization, reshaping of overseas manufacturing, and unconventional inventory accumulation, differing from traditional monetary cycles and potentially extending over a longer time frame [2][6] Group 2: Influencing Factors - The nomination of Kevin Warsh as the Federal Reserve Chairman has been identified as a catalyst for increased market volatility, with his hawkish stance leading to significant asset adjustments [3] - Concerns regarding the effectiveness of the "de-dollarization" narrative, geopolitical risk premiums, and rapid price increases driven by liquidity are contributing to market uncertainties [3][4] - The recent sharp declines followed by rebounds are seen as a result of macroeconomic shocks and structural adjustments, rather than a fundamental change in the metal market's logic [4] Group 3: Long-term Outlook - Institutions remain optimistic about the non-ferrous metals sector, expecting a resurgence of upward momentum by mid-year, contingent on stable macroeconomic expectations [6] - The fundamental drivers of low supply, strong demand, and significant inventory accumulation remain unchanged, with expectations of a robust performance in metal prices following short-term corrections [6] - Key investment opportunities in the non-ferrous sector are identified, with gold, copper, and aluminum as primary choices, alongside smaller metals like rare earths, natural uranium, and tin [6]

Group 1 - Chengdu has 7 companies listed in the "2025 Hurun China 500," with a threshold of 34 billion yuan, an increase of 7.5 billion yuan from the previous year, representing a growth of 28% [1] - The total value of the 500 companies increased by 21 trillion yuan, a growth of 38%, reaching 77 trillion yuan, with an average value growth of 41.5 billion yuan, totaling 1.53 trillion yuan [1] - Among the top three companies, TSMC's value increased by 3.5 trillion yuan to 10.5 trillion yuan, Tencent's value grew by 1.9 trillion yuan to 5.3 trillion yuan, and ByteDance's value rose by 1.8 trillion yuan to 3.4 trillion yuan [1] Group 2 - Chengdu's representative company, Xinyi Technology, saw its value increase by 218.5 billion yuan to 309 billion yuan, ranking 31st and rising 89 places [2] - In the innovative drug sector, Chengdu's representative company, Baili Tianheng, experienced a value increase of 79.5 billion yuan to 153 billion yuan, ranking 86th and rising 56 places [2] - The other five Chengdu companies listed are: Tongwei Co., Ltd. (ranked 120th, 116 billion yuan), Langjiu (ranked 205th, 72 billion yuan), Kelun Pharmaceutical (ranked 279th, 55 billion yuan), New Hope (ranked 354th, 45 billion yuan), and Guojin Securities (ranked 457th, 36 billion yuan) [2]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the varying exposure of different commodities to AI, highlighting that metals like vanadium, copper, lithium, gallium, and aluminum significantly contribute to the value of data centers and electrical grid facilities, while gold serves as a hedge against the AI bubble due to its financial attributes. In contrast, crude oil stands in opposition to the AI narrative due to its inflation-suppressing political implications [2][4][55]. Group 1: Data Centers and Power Systems - AI technology is reshaping global metal demand, with data centers becoming critical infrastructure for national economic security. From 2024 to 2035, global data center capacity is expected to triple, with investments reaching $3-7 trillion by 2030. The electrical grid is projected to require $600 billion in investments by 2030, with a total length of 110 million kilometers by 2035 [7][4]. - Data centers and grid upgrades require substantial amounts of copper and aluminum for conductivity, while energy storage systems need lithium, cobalt, and nickel. High-end motors and transformers also require rare earth materials [7][4]. - Each megawatt (MW) of data center capacity corresponds to 60-75 tons of mineral metals, with cooling systems consuming the largest share (35-45%) of metals, primarily iron, aluminum, and copper [9][10][11]. Group 2: Contribution of Minerals to Data Center Value - The contribution of various minerals to the total value of data centers is significant, with gallium contributing 6.0%, germanium 2.4%, and tin 1.2%. Copper contributes only 0.9%, while iron, aluminum, and carbon contribute between 0.1% and 0.3% [12]. - The expansion of electrical demand from data centers is driving the construction of transmission and distribution (ET&D) infrastructure, which will also increase the demand for minerals and metals [13][18]. Group 3: AI-Related Commodity Rankings - The ranking of metals related to AI investments, based on their contribution to data center and electrical grid facilities, is as follows: vanadium, copper, lithium, gallium, and aluminum [20]. - Vanadium's current demand is primarily driven by the steel industry, but its potential in long-duration energy storage is expected to grow as the market evolves [21]. - Copper is essential for AI computing infrastructure due to its excellent conductivity and thermal properties, with a projected supply deficit expected by 2026 [25][22]. Group 4: Precious Metals and Oil - Gold serves as a hedge against the AI bubble, with significant inflows into gold ETFs indicating a growing demand for safe-haven assets amid economic uncertainty [45]. - Silver, with its industrial applications and financial attributes, has shown strong elasticity in demand, while platinum and palladium also have significant industrial uses [47][48]. - Crude oil currently opposes the AI narrative due to its association with inflation control and the political landscape, with potential for price rebounds if OPEC countries decide to cut production [52][55].

Core Viewpoint - The company is undergoing a continuous innovation transformation, with multiple innovative pipelines being launched internationally, leading to an upward revision of revenue and profit forecasts for 2026 while maintaining profit forecasts for 2025 and 2027 [1] Group 1: Financial Analysis - The revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are adjusted to 76.3 billion, 100.3 billion, and 110.4 billion respectively, up from previous estimates of 76.3 billion, 91.0 billion, and 110.4 billion [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is revised to 11.5 billion, 16.5 billion, and 16.6 billion respectively, compared to earlier estimates of 11.5 billion, 13.8 billion, and 16.6 billion [1] - The corresponding EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is adjusted to 0.44, 0.64, and 0.64 respectively, up from previous estimates of 0.44, 0.53, and 0.64 [1] Group 2: Product Development - The company received a milestone payment of 40 million USD from AbbVie for SIM0500 on February 3, 2026, following a licensing agreement signed in January 2025 [1] - SIM0500 is a humanized TCE tri-antibody targeting two tumor-associated antigens, showing strong T-cell cytotoxic effects against multiple myeloma cells [2] - The FDA granted SIM0500 a fast track designation for use in patients with multiple myeloma who have received at least three prior lines of therapy and are resistant or intolerant to standard treatments [2] Group 3: Strategic Partnerships - Since 2025, the company has successfully licensed four pipelines internationally, including agreements with AbbVie, NextCure, Ipsen, and Boehringer Ingelheim, with potential total payments reaching up to 10.6 billion USD and 10.16 billion EUR [3] - The partnerships with major multinational corporations (MNCs) validate the company's enhanced innovation capabilities and suggest ongoing opportunities for new business development in the future [3]

国金证券发布研报称，先声药业(02096)创新转型持续加码，多款创新管线陆续出海，考虑到公司26年 首付款、里程碑付款等确认，上调2026年营收和利润预测，维持2025、2027年盈利预测，预计2025- 2027年营业收入分别为76.3/100.3/110.4亿元(原76.3/91.0/110.4亿元)，归母净利润11.5/16.5/16.6亿元(原 11.5/13.8/16.6亿元)，对应EPS为0.44/0.64/0.64元(原0.44/0.53/0.64元)，维持"买入"评级。 国金证券主要观点如下： 经营分析 ③SIM0613(LRRC15ADC)与Ipsen达成合作，可获得最高达10.6亿美元的总交易付款； 2026年2月3日，公司公告收到与AbbVie关于SIM0500(GPRC5D/BCMA/CD3三抗)的近期里程碑付款4000 万美元。2025年1月，公司与AbbVie就SIM0500签订海外许可选择权协议，公司将收取首付款，以及最 高10.55亿美金的选择性权益付款和里程碑付款以及大中华区以外地区净销售额的分级特许权使用费。 ④SIM0709(TL1A/IL-23双抗)与勃林格殷格翰达成独 ...

此次修订拟将全国社保基金、基本养老保险基金、企业(职业)年金、商业保险资金、公募基金、银 行理财等机构投资者纳入战略投资者范畴，并将其界定为"资本投资者"。同时，新规明确了5%的最低 持股比例要求、资本投资者基本条件与信息披露要求。此次修订是对资本市场新"国九条"中引导中长期 资金入市的深化与落实。 近期，为进一步完善上市公司再融资战略投资者制度，中国证监会对《〈上市公司证券发行注册管 理办法〉第九条、第十条、第十一条、第十三条、第四十条、第五十七条、第六十条有关规定的适用意 见——证券期货法律适用意见第18号》（以下简称《法律适用意见》）作出修改，并向社会公开征求意 见。 《法律适用意见》拟完善战略投资者持股要求，坚持战略投资者应当持有上市公司较大比例股份， 进一步明确战略投资者认购上市公司股份原则上不低于5%，可以根据持股比例参与上市公司治理。 在完善信息披露要求方面，《法律适用意见》要求上市公司在年报中披露战略资源导入及整合的落 实情况和效果。同时，进一步强化监管要求，强调战略投资者不得通过任何方式规避最低持股比例、股 份锁定期等要求，避免代持股份、绕道减持等违规行为，防止损害制度公信力。 拟扩大战略投 ...

关于2025年度第一期短期融资券兑付完成的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 国金证券股份有限公司（以下简称"本公司"）于2025年2月20日发行了2025年度第一期短期融资券，发 行金额为人民币10亿元，票面利率为2.00%，发行期限为349天，兑付日为2026年2月4日。详见公司于 2025年2月21日在上海证券交易所网站（www.sse.com.cn）披露的《关于2025年度第一期短期融资券发 行结果公告》以及2026年1月28日登载于中国货币网（www.chinamoney.com.cn）、上海清算所网站 （www.shclearing.com）的《国金证券股份有限公司2025年度第一期短期融资券兑付公告》。 证券代码：600109 证券简称：国金证券 公告编号：临2026-9 国金证券股份有限公司 国金证券股份有限公司 董事会 二〇二六年二月五日 2026年2月4日，本公司兑付了该期短期融资券本息共计人民币1,019,123,287.67元。 特此公告。 ...

证券代码：600109 证券简称：国金证券 公告编号：临2026-9 国金证券股份有限公司 2026年2月4日，本公司兑付了该期短期融资券本息共计人民币 1,019,123,287.67元。 特此公告。 国金证券股份有限公司 董事会 二〇二六年二月五日 关于2025年度第一期短期融资券兑付完成的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或 者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 国金证券股份有限公司（以下简称"本公司"）于2025年2月20日 发行了2025年度第一期短期融资券，发行金额为人民币10亿元，票面 利率为2.00%，发行期限为349天，兑付日为2026年2月4日。详见公司 于2025年2月21日在上海证券交易所网站（www.sse.com.cn）披露的《 关于2025年度第一期短期融资券发行结果公告》以及2026年1月28日登 载于中国货币网（www.chinamoney.com.cn）、上海清算所网站（www.shc learing.com）的《国金证券股份有限公司2025年度第一期短期融资券 兑付公告》。 ...