智通财经APP获悉，国金证券发布研报称，Meta(META.US)2026年全年资本开支指引超预期，闪迪 (SNDK.US)2026第三财季业绩指引超预期。继续看好覆铜板及存储芯片涨价趋势，具有较强的持续性， 从产业链公司陆续公布的营收及利润来看，业绩在持续兑现，看好核心受益公司。整体来看，AI-PCB 及核心算力硬件、苹果产业链及自主可控受益产业链值得关注。 国金证券主要观点如下： Meta预计2026年全年资本支出在1150亿至1350亿美元之间，主要用于数据中心、服务器和网络基础设 施，较25年的约700亿美元CAPEX实现显著增长。国金证券指出，AI对meta自身业务实现了积极帮助， AI改进了推荐算法，直接导致用户在平台上的停留时间增加，新的序列学习模型结合GEM模型，使 Facebook的广告点击率提升了3.5%，Instagram的转化率提升了超过1%，同时得益于推荐质量的提升， Instagram Reels在美国的观看时间同比增长了30%。Facebook的视频观看时间在美国也实现了两位数的 增长。 风险提示：需求恢复不及预期的风脸；AIGC进展不及预期的风险；外部制裁进一步升级的风险。 M ...

本期为证券社交媒体指数(2025年12月)。 本期为证券社交媒体指数(2025年12月)。 中信证券TALK 平安训 80.69 03 大同证券 国泰海议 80.51 04 国金证券 中彩顶 79.30 05 财富零 国投证券 79.17 06 渤海证券 山西订 76.42 07 太平洋证券 德邦ü 75.61 08 兴业! 申万宏源投教基地 75.31 09 国信订 中原证券 75.25 10 视频号指数榜 | 排名 | 名称 | 指数 | 雷达图 | 排名 | 名称 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 01 | 东方财富 | 81.06 | | 11 | 德邦训 | | 02 | 中信证券 | 77.83 | | 12 | 东方订 | | 03 | 申万宏源投教基地 | 76.80 | | 13 | 金融街 | | 04 | 开源证券 | 75.55 | | 14 | 国金i | | 05 | 广发头条 | 75.49 | | 15 | 长江证券丈 | | 06 | 国泰海通君弘 | 74.42 | | 16 | 招商订 | | 07 | 红塔证券 | 73 ...

来源：中国能源网 国金证券近日发布石油化工行业研究：基本面依然供过于求，前期支撑原油价格的利好寒潮以及哈萨克 斯坦产量减少的供应下降已经开始修复。同时俄乌达成停火一周协议，泽连斯基确认停止袭击俄罗斯能 源设施，关注俄乌近一步进展。地缘问题仍是市场交易核心，伊朗问题是主要焦点。 以下为研究报告摘要： 地缘政治扰动超预期；海外经济出现衰退；行业及国际政策环境变化。(国金证券 孙羲昱,陈浩越) 炼油：下周春运陆续开启，跨城出行增加，汽油需求增加，户外基建陆续停工，用油单位开工率进一步 下滑，柴油需求持续处于低位，"汽强柴弱"格局。本周国内主营炼厂平均开工负荷为80.02%，较上周上 涨1.24个百分点。山东地炼常减压装置平均开工负荷为53.6%，较上周持平。山东地炼汽油库存57.55万 吨，环比下跌3.75%；山东地炼柴油库存86.56万吨，环比下跌4.15%。本周期山东地炼平均炼油毛利为 165.98元/吨，较上周期下跌88.39元/吨。本周期主营炼厂平均炼油毛利为659.83元/吨，较上周期下跌 101.65元/吨。零批价差方面，周内汽油零批价差1314元/吨，前值1224元/吨，周内上涨90元/吨，涨幅 7. ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that the domestic steel industry is experiencing a mixed trend in raw material prices, with export policies driving external prices higher while domestic prices remain under pressure [1][2] - Steel mills are currently in a raw material stocking phase, with iron ore imports increasing but steel inventory remaining low, suggesting a cautious approach to restocking due to weak price differentials and expectations of low post-holiday production [2][3] - The profitability of steel companies has slightly decreased to 39.4%, indicating that previous raw material price increases may have started to impact financial statements [1][2] Group 2 - The average price of hot-rolled coils in major markets is reported at 3355 CNY/ton, showing a slight decrease of 1 CNY/ton from the previous week, while the inventory of hot-rolled coils has decreased by 2.82 million tons week-on-week [3] - The price index for metallurgical coke has remained stable, with trade prices for first-grade coke at 1470 CNY/ton and second-grade coke at 1570 CNY/ton, while inventory levels at major ports have decreased [4] - The price index for domestic iron concentrate shows mixed results, with the price for 66% concentrate at 978 CNY/ton, reflecting a 0.72% increase, while overall iron ore inventory at ports continues to rise [5]

化工主题ETF正在成为资金流入的重要方向。今年以来，化工主题ETF净流入资金逾260亿元。随着资 金持续涌入，化工主题ETF总规模超过500亿元。与此同时，多只化工主题ETF份额创上市以来新高。 化工主题ETF规模大增 进入2026年，化工主题ETF持续吸引资金流入。据Choice测算，截至1月29日，今年以来化工主题ETF净 流入261.89亿元。其中，鹏华化工ETF净流入144.2亿元，富国化工50 ETF为57.02亿元，华宝化工ETF为 34.52亿元，天弘化工ETF为14.24亿元。 过去一年，化工主题ETF总规模大增20多倍。具体来看，截至2025年1月1日，共有5只化工主题ETF上 市交易，规模合计为21.59亿元。截至2026年1月29日，上市的化工主题ETF数量增至7只，规模增至 539.57亿元。 从诺安安鑫混合基金前十大重仓股来看，截至2025年底，其名单中包括云天化、亚钾国际、兴发集团、 华鲁恒升等化工股。 "针对材料板块，未来将左侧布局供需改善、盈利修复的品种。过去三年由于产能扩张，上游环节的价 格和盈利大幅收缩，个股估值也回落到较低水平。随着供给端的产能投放结束，叠加'反内卷'政策 ...

Group 1: Precious Metals and Market Trends - The precious metals sector is showing increasing speculative attributes, warranting caution [2] - The current market is experiencing a style shift from small-cap to large-cap stocks and from themes to quality [2] - The overall trend indicates a potential for profit margin recovery in cyclical sectors, driven by a shift in Chinese policy from expansion to quality improvement [2] Group 2: AI and Technology Opportunities - There is a focus on AI applications and energy storage as key growth areas, with expectations for recovery in lithium battery materials and storage sectors [3] - The AI industry remains a long-term focus, with significant policy support and market optimism surrounding its applications [5] - The technology theme, including AI applications and structural recovery opportunities, is highlighted as a key area for investment [7] Group 3: Spring Market Dynamics - The spring market is expected to continue its upward trend, supported by ample liquidity and positive domestic fundamentals [5] - High elasticity growth themes may still perform well after a phase of profit-taking, with potential for further gains in February [4] - Sector rotation is anticipated to be a dominant theme leading up to the Spring Festival, with a focus on structural opportunities [9] Group 4: Commodity Recommendations - A recommendation has been made to adjust the order of investment focus to include crude oil, copper, aluminum, tin, and lithium, reflecting a shift towards industrial pricing [8] - The emphasis on physical assets is expected to strengthen, with a focus on sectors like chemicals and consumer goods benefiting from domestic recovery [8] Group 5: Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - The market sentiment remains cautious but optimistic, with expectations for continued support from domestic policies and liquidity [5][6] - The potential for structural recovery in manufacturing and resource sectors is noted, with clear paths for profit recovery [9] - The upcoming credit and inflation data in January may provide additional positive signals for the market [4]

中国经济网北京1月31日讯 北京证券交易所上市委员会2026年第10次审议会议于2026年1月30日上 午召开，审议结果显示，鹤壁海昌智能科技股份有限公司（以下简称"海昌智能"）符合发行条件、上市 条件和信息披露要求。这是2026年过会的第14家企业（其中，上交所和深交所一共过会5家，北交所过 会9家）。 海昌智能的保荐机构为国金证券股份有限公司，签字保荐代表人为周刘桥、解明。这是国金证券今 年保荐成功的第2单IPO项目。2026年1月5日，国金证券保荐的舟山晨光电机股份有限公司过会。 无。 审议会议提出问询的主要问题： 1.关于业绩增长可持续性。请发行人：（1）结合行业协会等机构发布的公开市场数据，说明国内 汽车销售量及新能源汽车渗透率增速放缓对发行人经营业绩的影响；（2）结合2025年境外业务实际开 展及国际市场竞争情况，说明开拓境外市场的规划及实施情况，进一步论证业绩增长可持续性。请保荐 机构及申报会计师核查并发表明确意见。 2.关于关联交易。请发行人说明关联关系与关联交易披露的真实准确完整性，防范利益冲突或利益 输送风险的具体措施及有效性。请保荐机构及发行人律师核查并发表明确意见。 海昌智能是一家主要 ...

Group 1 - The China Securities Association updated the classification list of sponsoring representatives, with 16 individuals categorized as D-class, indicating a temporary suspension of their signing qualifications [2][5] - Compared to the D-class list updated in June 2025, four representatives were removed, while three new representatives were added from First Capital Securities, Guolian Minsheng Securities, and Dongwu Securities [2][5] - The D-class list includes representatives who have received administrative penalties from the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) or have been deemed unsuitable for related business by self-regulatory organizations [2][9] Group 2 - Fan Benyuan from First Capital Securities was penalized for failing to detect misuse of approximately 1.7 billion yuan in fundraising during the Hongda Xingye convertible bond project, resulting in a total penalty of 16.98 million yuan [5] - Jin Yaping from Guolian Minsheng Securities was fined over 10 million yuan for violations during his 17 years of service, including 16 years of illegal stock trading [6] - Ma Yuanyuan from Donghai Securities faced a record penalty of 60 million yuan for failing to identify financial fraud and undisclosed related transactions during a major asset restructuring project [8] Group 3 - The updated D-class list aims to enhance the awareness of responsibilities and risks among sponsoring representatives, encouraging them to adhere to legal and ethical standards [9] - The introduction of the D-class category follows revisions to the sponsorship business rules, which now include a public disclosure mechanism for negative evaluations of sponsoring representatives [8][9]

Core Insights - The securities industry is experiencing a significant transformation, with a reduction in workforce and a shift towards a more professional and service-oriented model [3][10]. Workforce Changes - By the end of 2025, the total number of employees in the securities industry is projected to decrease by 5,897, bringing the total to 320,000, marking three consecutive years of decline since 2023 [13]. - The number of employees in general securities business and securities brokers has significantly decreased, with both categories losing over 5,000 employees [10]. - Conversely, the number of analysts increased by 336, and investment advisors saw a net increase of 5,754, indicating a shift towards specialized roles [10][12]. Analyst Growth - The analyst workforce has seen a notable increase, surpassing 6,000 by 2025, doubling from around 3,000 before 2022 [12]. - Despite pressures in other business lines, competition for research talent among brokerages has intensified, with several prominent analysts switching firms [12]. - The top ten firms with the largest increases in analyst numbers include Guotai Junan Securities, CITIC Securities, and Founder Securities, with Guotai Junan adding 43 analysts [14]. Decline in Sponsoring Representatives - The number of sponsoring representatives has decreased for the first time in eight years, totaling 8,526 by the end of 2025, down by 180 from the previous year [15]. - This decline is attributed to a slowdown in equity financing and stricter regulatory requirements, leading to a "project drought" in the market [15].

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - In January 2026, the A-share market saw a total of 9 new listed companies, a decrease of 25% compared to the same period last year, while the net fundraising amount increased by 33.79% to 8.425 billion yuan [1]. Group 1: IPO Performance - A total of 9 new companies were listed in January 2026, with 3 on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, 1 on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, and 5 on the Beijing Stock Exchange [1]. - The net fundraising amount for these new listings was 8.425 billion yuan, up from 6.297 billion yuan in the same month last year [1]. Group 2: Underwriter Performance - Eight underwriting institutions handled the IPOs of the 9 new listed companies in January 2026, with CICC ranking first with 2 deals [2]. - Seven other securities firms, including Shenwan Hongyuan, Guotou Securities, Dongwu Securities, Dongxing Securities, CITIC Securities, Guojin Securities, and Guotai Junan, each managed 1 deal [2][3]. Group 3: Law Firm Performance - Six law firms provided legal services for the IPOs, with Shanghai Jintiancheng, Beijing Zhonglun, and Beijing Kangda each handling 2 cases, ranking them jointly first [5]. - Beijing Jindu, Guohao (Shanghai), and Beijing Deheng each managed 1 case [5][6]. Group 4: Accounting Firm Performance - Six accounting firms provided auditing services for the new listings, with Rongcheng leading with 3 cases [7]. - Zhonghui ranked second with 2 cases, while Xinyong Zhonghe, Lixin, Tianjian, and Zhongxinghua each handled 1 case [7][8].