Investment Rating - The report maintains a standard rating for the non-ferrous metals industry, indicating a positive outlook for investment in this sector [1]. Core Insights - The non-ferrous metals industry has seen a significant increase in performance, with an overall rise of 8.37% in the last two weeks, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.41 percentage points, ranking 5th among 31 industries [2][11]. - The small metals and new materials sectors have shown particularly strong performance, with increases of 21.87% and 13.84% respectively in the same period [2][16]. - The report highlights the positive impact of government policies on the rare earth sector, leading to a rapid price recovery for rare earth products [4][72]. Industry Analysis Market Performance - As of August 28, 2025, the non-ferrous metals industry has increased by 16.08% this month and 44.99% year-to-date, ranking 5th and 2nd respectively among 31 industries [11][12]. - The small metals sector has surged by 77.45% year-to-date, while the new materials sector has risen by 55.77% [16]. Price Trends - As of August 28, 2025, key prices include: - LME copper at $9,839.50 per ton - LME aluminum at $2,607 per ton - LME lead at $1,988 per ton - LME zinc at $2,787 per ton - LME nickel at $15,300 per ton - LME tin at $34,825 per ton [22]. - The rare earth price index reached 226.27, up 21.16 from early August, with specific prices for praseodymium-neodymium oxide averaging 604 yuan per kilogram [41][72]. Company Performance - Notable companies in the sector include: - China Rare Earth (000831) and Kingstone Permanent Magnet (300748), which are recommended for attention due to their strong market positions [73]. - In the last two weeks, the top-performing stocks include Zhangyuan Tungsten (57.70%), Kingstone Permanent Magnet (54.48%), and Northern Rare Earth (46.39%) [18][20]. - Year-to-date, the top gainers are Copper Crown Copper Foil (217.60%), Zhongzhou Special Materials (211.00%), and Northern Rare Earth (165.00%) [20].

Group 1 - The small metals sector increased by 3.78% on August 28, with Chinese rare earths leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3843.6, up 1.14%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12571.37, up 2.25% [1] - Notable performers in the small metals sector included China Rare Earths, which rose by 10.00% to a closing price of 53.02, and Xianglu Tungsten Industry, which also increased by 10.00% to 12.76 [1] Group 2 - The small metals sector experienced a net outflow of 754 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 341 million yuan [2] - The main capital flow data indicated that China Rare Earths had a net inflow of 1.81 billion yuan from institutional investors, despite a net outflow of 1.14 billion yuan from speculative funds [3] - Other companies like Yunnan Pig Industry and Xianglu Tungsten Industry also showed varied capital flows, with Yunnan Pig Industry experiencing a net inflow of 243 million yuan from institutional investors [3]

Core Viewpoint - The tungsten market is experiencing significant price increases, driven by supply constraints and surging demand from military and renewable energy sectors [1][4]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - As of August 27, 2023, ammonium paratungstate (APT) prices reached 360,000 CNY per ton, up 10,000 CNY from the previous day, marking a 70.62% increase since the beginning of the year [1]. - Black tungsten concentrate (≥65%) and white tungsten concentrate (≥65%) prices both rose by 8,000 CNY per ton to 241,000 CNY and 240,000 CNY per ton, respectively, reflecting over a 68% increase year-to-date [1]. - The tungsten sector index hit a historical high of 1,904.20 points, with a year-to-date increase exceeding 80% [2]. Group 2: Company Performance - Xiamen Tungsten reported a revenue of 19.178 billion CNY for the first half of 2023, a year-on-year increase of 11.75%, while Xianglu Tungsten had the lowest revenue at 931 million CNY [3]. - Zhangyuan Tungsten emerged as a "dark horse" with a revenue growth of 32.27% to 2.399 billion CNY [3]. - Xiamen Tungsten's net profit increased by 7.53% to 923 million CNY, while Zhongtung High-tech saw a substantial profit increase of 310.54% to 484 million CNY [4]. Group 3: Supply and Demand Factors - Supply constraints are attributed to reduced mining quotas in China, environmental inspections leading to lower operational rates, and declining ore grades globally [4]. - Demand is driven by increased military orders, rising penetration of tungsten in photovoltaic applications, and new requirements from nuclear fusion devices [4]. - Speculative trading and stockpiling by traders have also contributed to the price surge, alongside geopolitical tensions enhancing the strategic resource premium [4]. Group 4: Profitability and Challenges - Not all tungsten companies are benefiting equally; companies with higher self-sufficiency in raw materials are likely to see greater profits [4]. - Zhangyuan Tungsten's net profit decreased by 4.36% to 107 million CNY, attributed to rising raw material costs and a lag in price transmission for their powder products [6]. - The company reported a gross margin of 14.14%, down 3.17 percentage points year-on-year, indicating challenges in maintaining profitability amid rising costs [6]. Group 5: Future Outlook - Analysts suggest monitoring domestic mining quotas, overseas new mine production schedules, and demand data from military and photovoltaic sectors for potential market shifts [7]. - The tungsten price is expected to remain high in the short term, with long-term projections indicating a potential upward trend due to resource depletion and expanding demand [6][7].

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights a significant increase in tungsten prices, with ammonium paratungstate (APT) reaching 350,000 yuan/ton, a rise of 10,000 yuan/ton from the previous day and a 65.9% increase since the beginning of the year [1] - Black tungsten concentrate (≥65%) is priced at 233,000 yuan/standard ton, and white tungsten concentrate (≥65%) at 232,000 yuan/standard ton, both showing a daily increase of 7,000 yuan/ton and over 60% rise year-to-date [1] - Despite the rising tungsten prices, related concept stocks experienced a collective decline, with the tungsten index dropping 3.7%, marking the largest decline in August [1] Group 2 - Leading companies in the industry have also raised their prices, with Xiamen Tungsten's APT long-term price reaching 279,500 yuan/ton in early August, an increase of 16,500 yuan/ton from late July [2] - The A-share tungsten sector has seen a general rise, with the Tonghuashun tungsten index increasing over 31% in August, and specific companies like Zhangyuan Tungsten and Xianglu Tungsten experiencing stock price increases of 45.56% and 34.48%, respectively [2] - The supply side is under pressure, with a reduction in tungsten ore mining quotas for 2025, decreasing by 4,000 tons or 6.45% compared to 2024, leading to tighter supply expectations [2] Group 3 - Export data shows that tungsten exports in July totaled 1,692.7 tons, a 34.1% increase from June and a 25.2% increase year-on-year, although the cumulative exports from January to July still reflect a 17.9% year-on-year decline [3] - Market analysts maintain an optimistic outlook, citing a significant supply shortage due to reduced mining quotas and delayed allocation of the second batch of quotas, which are expected to influence tungsten prices [3] - The demand side is also expected to grow steadily, driven by new applications in photovoltaic tungsten wire, nuclear shielding materials, and solid-state battery tungsten-based anode materials, maintaining a tight supply-demand balance [3]

Company Overview - Xiamen Tungsten Co., Ltd. is located at 81 Zhanhong Road, Xiamen, Fujian Province, established on December 30, 1997, and listed on November 7, 2002. The company engages in the production, sales, and R&D of tungsten concentrate, tungsten-molybdenum intermediate products, powder products, wire and plate materials, hard alloys, cutting tools, various rare earth oxides, rare earth metals, rare earth luminescent materials, magnetic materials, hydrogen storage rare earths, and lithium battery materials, along with real estate development and management [1]. Business Composition - The revenue composition of Xiamen Tungsten is as follows: tungsten and molybdenum products account for 46.21%, battery materials 39.28%, rare earth business 14.36%, and real estate and related management 0.14% [1]. Stock Performance - On August 26, Xiamen Tungsten's stock fell by 5.22%, trading at 27.60 CNY per share, with a transaction volume of 1.106 billion CNY and a turnover rate of 2.55%. The total market capitalization is 43.817 billion CNY [1]. Fund Holdings - Xiamen Tungsten is a significant holding in the fund managed by Zhongtai Securities Asset Management. The Zhongtai Tianze Steady 6-Month Holding Mixed Fund (FOF) A (017589) held 50,000 shares, representing 1.27% of the fund's net value, making it the second-largest holding. The estimated floating loss today is approximately 76,000 CNY [2]. Fund Performance - The Zhongtai Tianze Steady 6-Month Holding Mixed Fund (FOF) A (017589) was established on March 21, 2023, with a latest scale of 42.8303 million CNY. Year-to-date, it has achieved a return of 10.34%, ranking 493 out of 1062 in its category. Over the past year, it has returned 16.02%, ranking 592 out of 1014, and since inception, it has returned 13.93% [2]. Fund Management - The fund manager of Zhongtai Tianze Steady 6-Month Holding Mixed Fund (FOF) A (017589) is Tang Jun, who has been in the position for 2 years and 160 days. The total asset size of the fund is 82.3383 million CNY, with the best return during his tenure being 13.93% and the worst being 12.83% [3].

Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT), along with the National Development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Natural Resources, has officially released the "Interim Measures for Total Quantity Control Management of Rare Earth Mining and Smelting Separation" on August 22, 2023, which aims to regulate the rare earth industry more effectively and protect resources [1][2]. Group 1: Policy Background and Changes - The new measures are based on the "Rare Earth Management Regulations" announced by the State Council, which will take effect on October 1, 2024, establishing total quantity control for rare earth mining and smelting separation [1][2]. - The new measures replace the previous 2012 notification, which was deemed outdated due to changes in the industry [1][2]. - The new policy allows for a broader definition of rare earth production enterprises, not limited to large state-owned groups, thus providing opportunities for other companies, including those engaged in imported ore processing [4][6]. Group 2: Implementation and Reporting Changes - The reporting structure has shifted from a provincial level to a county level, streamlining the process and enhancing efficiency in data reporting [5][7]. - The new measures require enterprises to report their monthly and annual data to local county-level authorities, which will then aggregate and report to higher levels, simplifying the previous multi-tiered reporting system [5][7]. - The inclusion of imported rare earth ores and independent minerals into the smelting separation index management is a significant change, allowing for better control over these resources [7]. Group 3: Market Impact and Future Outlook - The implementation of the new measures is expected to significantly constrain the supply side of rare earth smelting and separation, potentially leading to a revaluation of smelting assets and stimulating market activity in the rare earth sector [8]. - The upcoming peak season for electric vehicles is anticipated to drive strong replenishment demand from domestic and international companies, contributing to a rapid increase in rare earth prices [8]. - The measures are designed to stabilize market prices and prevent excessive resource extraction, although there are concerns that the inability to quickly adjust supply in response to rising demand could lead to price increases and supply shortages [8][9].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - The company reported a significant performance increase in H1 2025, achieving revenue of 19.178 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.75%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 972 million yuan, a decrease of 4.37% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 923 million yuan, an increase of 7.53% year-on-year [2][4]. - In Q2 2025, the company achieved revenue of 10.802 billion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 28.95% and a year-on-year increase of 21.48%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 581 million yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 48.65% but a year-on-year decrease of 1.41% [2][4]. - The profit structure for H1 2025 showed that tungsten-molybdenum, new energy materials, and rare earths accounted for 74.98%, 20.06%, and 7.38% of total profits, respectively. The growth in Q2 was primarily driven by contributions from tungsten-molybdenum and new energy sectors [2][4]. Summary by Relevant Sections Tungsten-Molybdenum - The tungsten-molybdenum segment achieved a total profit of 1.268 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 10.94%. In Q2 2025, the profit totaled 739 million yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 40% [9]. - The increase in tungsten prices significantly contributed to the performance, with the company having a production capacity of 12,000 tons of tungsten concentrate. The domestic tungsten concentrate price began to rise sharply in Q2 2025, enhancing performance elasticity [9]. - The deep processing sector showed strong profitability, with cutting tools achieving a gross margin of over 40%. The company adjusted product prices to enhance market penetration and explore new applications for tungsten wire products [9]. New Energy Materials - The new energy materials segment reported a total profit of 339 million yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 35.47%. In Q2 2025, the profit was 215 million yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 73% [9]. - The demand for lithium cobalt oxide was strong, driven by favorable policies and consumer electronics demand. The company sold 28,800 tons of lithium cobalt oxide in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 57% [9]. Rare Earth Magnetic Materials - The rare earth magnetic materials segment achieved a total profit of 125 million yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 6.71%. In Q2 2025, the profit was 59 million yuan, a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 11% [9]. - The company expanded its production capacity in the rare earth sector, with new projects expected to contribute to performance in the coming years [9].

Group 1 - The small metal sector experienced a significant increase of 5.6% on August 25, with Zhangyuan Tungsten leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3883.56, up 1.51%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12441.07, up 2.26% [1] - Notable performers in the small metal sector included Caoyuan Tungsten, which rose by 10.03% to a closing price of 13.38, and Xianlu Tungsten, which increased by 9.97% to 12.13 [1] Group 2 - The small metal sector saw a net inflow of 459 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 308 million yuan [2][3] - The top stock in terms of main fund inflow was Northern Rare Earth, with a net inflow of 357 million yuan, representing 1.57% of its total [3] - Xiamen Tungsten and Xianglu Tungsten also saw significant main fund inflows of 88.19 million yuan and 71.57 million yuan, respectively [3]

Summary of Xiamen Tungsten Industry Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Xiamen Tungsten Industry - **Date**: August 22, 2025 Key Financial Performance - **Net Profit**: The company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 580 million yuan for Q2 2025, with a non-recurring profit of 923 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 7.53% [2][3] - **Total Assets**: As of June 30, 2025, total assets reached 47.1 billion yuan, an increase of 3.64% from the previous year [2][5] - **Net Assets**: Shareholder equity was 16.3 billion yuan, up 2.32% year-on-year [2][5] - **Return on Equity**: The weighted average return on equity was 15.96%, down 2.79 percentage points due to refinancing impacts [2][5] - **Cash Flow**: Operating cash flow was approximately 800 million yuan, a decrease attributed to increased inventory [2][5] Revenue Breakdown by Segment - **Tungsten and Molybdenum**: Contributed 46% of total revenue and 75% of total profit [6] - **Energy New Materials**: Accounted for nearly 40% of revenue and 20% of profit [7] - **Rare Earths**: Contributed 14% of revenue and about 7% of profit [8] Market Dynamics - **Tungsten Prices**: The average price of domestic black tungsten concentrate was approximately 150,000 yuan/ton, with APT prices reaching a historical high of 222,900 yuan/ton, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 12.23% [8] - **Market Position**: The company maintains a strong position in the tungsten market, with APT and other products ranking among the top domestically [9] Segment Performance Highlights - **Cutting Tools**: Revenue grew by approximately 13%, with a profit increase of 29%. Key customer sales rose by 50%, and overseas revenue saw significant growth [10] - **Rare Earths**: Prices for neodymium-praseodymium oxide increased by 12%, while the company achieved a 40% increase in domestic sales of magnetic materials [16] - **Battery Materials**: Revenue reached 7.534 billion yuan, up 18%, with lithium cobalt oxide sales increasing by 57% [20] Strategic Initiatives - **Investment Projects**: The company invested 977 million yuan in various projects, including 656 million yuan in wood business and 155 million yuan in rare earth projects [21] - **Future Plans**: The company aims to achieve 5 billion yuan in revenue from the cutting tools business within five years through organic growth and acquisitions [29] Challenges and Risks - **Cost Pressures**: Rising raw material prices pose challenges to cost control, although the company is optimizing supply chain management [40] - **Market Demand**: Despite healthy demand, there are concerns about customer hesitance due to rising prices, which could affect order volumes [44] Conclusion - **Outlook**: The company is well-positioned in the tungsten and rare earth markets, with strong financial performance and strategic initiatives aimed at growth. However, it must navigate cost pressures and market dynamics to maintain its competitive edge.

Core Viewpoint - The company has experienced significant performance growth in Q2 2025, driven by its tungsten-molybdenum and cathode businesses, with multiple projects underway across various segments, indicating a potential for diversified growth as demand recovers [1]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 972 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.37%. In Q2 2025, the net profit was 581 million yuan, down 1.41% year-on-year but up 48.65% quarter-on-quarter, aligning with expectations [2]. - The company adjusted its EPS forecasts for 2025-2027 to 1.22, 1.31, and 1.42 yuan respectively, reflecting potential impacts from international trade tensions and declining photovoltaic demand [2]. - The target price was raised to 36.6 yuan, based on a 30x PE for 2025, up from the previous 24.11 yuan [2]. Segment Performance - In H1 2025, profits from the tungsten-molybdenum, energy new materials, rare earth, and real estate segments were down 10.94%, up 35.47%, up 6.71%, and down 1.35 million yuan respectively, with total profits of 1.268 billion, 339 million, 125 million, and a loss of 41 million yuan [2]. - The decline in tungsten-molybdenum performance was attributed to resource tax payments and decreased revenue and margins from fine tungsten wire [2]. - The energy new materials segment saw significant profit growth due to increased demand for lithium iron phosphate and lithium cobalt oxide products [2]. - The rare earth business benefited from overseas market expansion and optimized customer structure, leading to substantial profit increases [2]. Q2 Segment Highlights - In Q2 2025, profits from the tungsten-molybdenum, energy new materials, rare earth, and real estate segments increased by 40.2%, 73.4%, decreased by 10.6%, and a slight profit of 1 million yuan respectively, totaling 740 million, 215 million, 59 million, and a loss of 20 million yuan [3]. - Despite a decrease in fine tungsten wire sales, the tungsten products' prices rose, and the output of smelting products increased, contributing to profit growth in the tungsten-molybdenum segment [3]. - The energy new materials segment saw high growth in sales of lithium cobalt oxide and ternary materials, leading to significant profit increases [3]. - The rare earth segment experienced a slight decline in performance due to rising raw material prices, despite increased sales of magnetic materials [3]. Future Outlook - The company is actively developing multiple projects from resource extraction to deep processing, indicating a strong potential for diversified growth across its business segments [1][3]. - The Ninghua Hangluokeng tungsten mine is undergoing resource verification and deep exploration, with potential for increased reserves, while the oil mapo tungsten-molybdenum mine is under construction with an expected output of 3,200 tons of tungsten concentrate upon completion [3].