Industry Overview - The price of dysprosium oxide in China remained above 2 million yuan per ton from 2021 to 2023, driven by explosive growth in the global electric vehicle industry leading to supply-demand imbalances [1][7] - As a key additive in neodymium-iron-boron permanent magnets, the demand for dysprosium surged with the increase in electric vehicle production, while supply chain responses lagged, causing temporary supply shortages and irrational price increases [1][7] - By mid-2025, dysprosium prices fell to 1.615 million yuan per ton, a year-on-year decrease of 11.26%, due to multiple factors including increased global rare earth mining capacity and technological advancements reducing production costs [1][7] Industry Chain - The upstream of the dysprosium industry chain includes raw materials and production equipment, with raw materials primarily being rare earth mineral resources [4] - The midstream involves the production and manufacturing of dysprosium, while the downstream applications include magnetic materials, laser technology, electronics, new energy batteries, aerospace, and medical devices [4] Market Dynamics - Global rare earth reserves are approximately 90 million tons, with China holding 44 million tons, accounting for 48.9% of the total [6][7] - In 2024, China produced 270,000 tons of rare earths, representing 69.2% of global production, ensuring a stable supply for dysprosium production [6][7] Key Companies - China Rare Earth Group has an annual dysprosium production capacity of about 300 tons, with a product purity of 99.99% [11] - Guangsheng Nonferrous Metals, the only rare earth mining rights holder in Guangdong, produced 900 tons of dysprosium in 2023, expected to increase to 1,100 tons by 2025 [11] - Northern Rare Earth is a leading producer with a dysprosium output of 1,000 tons in 2023, projected to rise to 1,200 tons by 2025 [11] Industry Trends - The Chinese government is enhancing regulation of the rare earth industry, promoting integration and green transformation, with new policies aimed at protecting and rationally utilizing rare earth resources [17] - Technological innovations, such as the successful trial of the "physical vapor deposition combined with grain boundary diffusion method," have reduced dysprosium usage by 70% while improving magnetic properties [18][19] - The rapid development of global electric vehicles, wind power, and humanoid robots is creating new growth points for the dysprosium industry, with electric vehicles being a major demand driver [20]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Guosheng Securities indicates that the long-term quotes from major tungsten manufacturers have significantly increased, suggesting a continued upward trend in tungsten prices due to ongoing supply-demand tightness [1][2]. Price Trends - As of August 5, the prices for black tungsten concentrate, APT, and tungsten carbide powder have risen by 12%, 13%, and 14% respectively compared to early July, with current prices at 194,500 CNY/ton, 285,000 CNY/ton, and 422,500 CNY/ton [2]. - The long-term quotes for major manufacturers in early August include: Xiamen Tungsten Industry at 279,500 CNY/ton for APT, Zhangyuan Tungsten at 192,500 CNY/ton for black tungsten concentrate and 283,000 CNY/ton for APT, and Jiangxi Tungsten Group at 194,000 CNY/ton for black tungsten concentrate [2]. Market Dynamics - The current strong performance of tungsten prices is driven by three factors: the manufacturing sector is at a cyclical low, inventory levels among industries and traders are low, and external tungsten prices have been rising since June, reflecting a recovery in exports [3]. - The price gap between domestic and international tungsten prices has reached historical highs, indicating strong demand for domestic products as external markets recover [3]. Supply Situation - The long-term quotes from major manufacturers are close to market price announcements, indicating that the tight supply situation persists [4]. - The Bakuta tungsten mine in Kazakhstan has resumed normal shipments since May, with an average monthly output of around 800 tons. However, the domestic tungsten price remains strong, suggesting that local demand and supply constraints have effectively mitigated any potential market disruption from this new supply [5]. Investment Recommendations - Companies positioned at both ends of the tungsten industry chain are expected to benefit from the rising tungsten prices. Recommended stocks include Zhongtung High-tech (000657.SZ) and Anyuan Coal Industry (600397.SH), with related stocks being Xiamen Tungsten Industry (600549.SH), Zhangyuan Tungsten (002378.SZ), and Xianglu Tungsten (002842.SZ) [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the companies involved in the tungsten industry, specifically recommending Zhongtung High-tech and Anyuan Coal Industry [4]. Core Viewpoints - The tungsten price is expected to continue rising due to tight supply and demand dynamics, with significant price increases observed in various tungsten products as of early August [1][2]. - The report identifies three main reasons for the strong performance of tungsten prices: the manufacturing sector is at a cyclical bottom, low inventory levels prompting restocking, and a recovery in export demand since June [2][3]. - The long-term outlook for tungsten prices remains positive due to persistent supply constraints and the scarcity of resources, which is likely to elevate the price center [4]. Summary by Sections Market Prices - As of August 5, 2023, black tungsten concentrate prices reached 194,500 CNY/ton, up 12% from early July; APT prices were 285,000 CNY/ton, up 13%; and tungsten carbide powder prices were 422,500 CNY/ton, up 14% [1]. Long-term Quotes - Major companies have set long-term quotes close to market prices, indicating ongoing raw material shortages. For instance, Xiamen Tungsten's APT quote was 279,500 CNY/ton, while Zhangyuan Tungsten's black tungsten concentrate was quoted at 192,500 CNY/ton [2][3]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The report notes that the domestic tungsten price remains strong despite the normal output from the Bakuta tungsten mine in Kazakhstan, which has a capacity of nearly 10,000 tons of tungsten concentrate per year. The market has absorbed this supply increase without significant price drops [3]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that short-term price elasticity will be driven by restocking and export recovery, while long-term supply issues will support higher tungsten prices. Recommended stocks include Zhongtung High-tech and Anyuan Coal Industry, with related stocks being Xiamen Tungsten, Zhangyuan Tungsten, and Xianglu Tungsten [4].

Market Performance - The small metals sector increased by 0.49% on August 6, with Jintian Titanium leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3633.99, up 0.45%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 11177.78, up 0.64% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Jintian Titanium (688750) closed at 23.01, up 4.64% with a trading volume of 119,700 shares and a transaction value of 273 million yuan [1] - Baotai Co. (600456) closed at 32.62, up 3.56% with a trading volume of 257,500 shares and a transaction value of 843 million yuan [1] - Caoyuan Tungsten (002378) closed at 9.33, up 2.64% with a trading volume of 439,600 shares and a transaction value of 409 million yuan [1] - Other notable performers include Baowu Magnesium (002182) up 2.30% and Zhongtung High-tech (000657) up 2.09% [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The small metals sector experienced a net outflow of 452 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 355 million yuan [2][3] - The main funds showed a significant outflow from Jintian Titanium, with a net outflow of 37.02 million yuan [3] - Retail investors contributed positively to Jintian Titanium with a net inflow of 7.50 million yuan [3] Summary of Key Stocks - Jintian Titanium had a notable trading day with a significant increase in share price despite main fund outflows [1][3] - Baotai Co. and Caoyuan Tungsten also showed positive price movements, indicating investor interest in these stocks [1] - The overall small metals sector reflects mixed capital flows, with retail investors actively participating [2][3]

流动性方面，稀土ETF嘉实盘中换手2.78%，成交1.15亿元。拉长时间看，截至8月1日，稀土ETF嘉实近1周日均成交3.57亿元，居可比基金第一。 规模方面，稀土ETF嘉实近1周规模增长1.38亿元，实现显著增长，新增规模位居可比基金第一。份额方面，稀土ETF嘉实近1周份额增长2.94亿份，实现显 著增长，新增份额位居可比基金第一。 资金流入方面，拉长时间看，稀土ETF嘉实近5个交易日内有4日资金净流入，合计"吸金"5.75亿元。 截至8月1日，稀土ETF嘉实近1年净值上涨62.04%，指数股票型基金排名153/2944，居于前5.20%。从收益能力看，截至2025年8月1日，稀土ETF嘉实自成立 以来，最高单月回报为41.25%，最长连涨月数为4个月，最长连涨涨幅为83.89%，上涨月份平均收益率为10.02%。 数据显示，截至2025年7月31日，中证稀土产业指数前十大权重股分别为北方稀土、包钢股份、中国稀土、盛和资源、卧龙电驱、中国铝业、领益智造、格 林美、厦门钨业、金风科技，前十大权重股合计占比59.32%。 截至2025年8月4日 11:07，中证稀土产业指数上涨0.01%，成分股湘电股份上涨3. ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the industry [9] Core Viewpoints - The report suggests focusing on gold stocks for a potential second wave of market opportunities within the year, driven by three dimensions: gold prices, valuations, and investment style [2][4] - Gold prices are expected to rise due to a pure driving force this year, breaking away from traditional interest rate frameworks, with a 90% probability of a rate cut in September [2][4] - Valuations of nearly all A-share gold stocks have adjusted to levels seen before the Q1 rally, indicating a high risk-reward ratio for investors [2][4] - The relative performance of gold stocks has diverged significantly from gold prices, reaching a new high in this cycle [2][4] Summary by Sections Precious Metals - The report emphasizes the importance of gold stocks and suggests increasing allocation to them, highlighting companies such as Zhaojin Mining, Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining, Shandong Gold, and Shengda Resources [4] - Strategic metals like rare earths and tungsten are also highlighted for their potential value reassessment, driven by national policies and international market dynamics [5] - The report notes that the prices of rare earths have shown a significant increase, with Baotou Steel's rare earth concentrate price rising to 19,100 yuan/ton, a 1.5% increase [5] Industrial Metals - Industrial metals are experiencing downward pressure due to domestic demand concerns and a stronger US dollar, with copper and aluminum prices declining by 1.7% and 2.3% respectively [6][24] - The report indicates that the overall industrial metal market is in a state of fluctuation, with expectations of a rebound if the Federal Reserve implements rate cuts or if domestic stimulus measures are intensified [7] Lithium and Cobalt - The report highlights the short-term price fluctuations in lithium and cobalt, with battery-grade lithium carbonate prices dropping by 9.9% to 68.5 yuan/kg, while cobalt prices have shown an upward trend [25][29] - The report suggests monitoring supply disruptions in Jiangxi and emphasizes the potential for price increases in cobalt due to supply constraints [5][29]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform" [2] Core Insights - The report highlights the supply-demand imbalance and rebalancing in the base metals sector, with a focus on the cyclical nature of recession and recovery [3][10] - In the precious metals sector, central bank gold purchases and a shift in risk appetite are expected to drive gold prices upward [4][26] - The small metals sector is characterized by cyclical demand trends, with both supply-demand tug-of-war and long-term opportunities [5][46] - The rare earth permanent magnet sector is anticipated to enter a new cycle, driven by the growing demand for high-performance materials in electric vehicles [6][65] - The report discusses the sandwich structure of investment in new metal materials, emphasizing long-term technological trends and short-term performance elasticity [7][80] Summary by Sections Base Metals - Base metals are closely tied to manufacturing and economic cycles, with copper facing supply constraints primarily at the mining level due to previous capital expenditure limitations [3][15] - Aluminum supply is bottlenecked at the smelting stage, with profitability per ton determining operational capacity [22][24] Precious Metals - Central banks have significantly increased gold purchases, contributing to rising demand [27][32] - The correlation between gold prices and U.S. Treasury yields has shifted, indicating a market response to extreme risks [35][36] Small Metals - The small metals sector shows stronger price elasticity compared to industrial metals, with tungsten and tin being highlighted for their strategic importance and demand from the electronics sector [5][49][55] Rare Earths - The demand for high-performance neodymium-iron-boron magnets is expected to grow, particularly in the automotive sector, while supply remains rigid [6][75] - The report notes a tightening supply-demand balance in the rare earth sector, driven by increasing demand from various applications [6][75] New Metal Materials - The investment framework for new metal materials is described as a sandwich structure, focusing on long-term trends, mid-term growth attributes, and short-term performance [7][80] - The report identifies key investment opportunities in semiconductor materials and high-performance applications driven by AI and power density trends [83][84]

Industry Overview - The ammonium paratungstate (APT) industry in China has seen significant development driven by national policy support and market demand, with China being the largest producer and seller of tungsten globally [1][7] - As of June 2025, the price of APT in China reached 251,500 yuan per ton, marking a year-on-year increase of 19.19% [1][7] - The Chinese government has implemented strict total control and quota management on tungsten mining to ensure sustainable resource utilization, with the first batch of tungsten mining indicators for 2025 being tightened, reducing the total control indicator by 4,000 tons, a decrease of 6.45% compared to 2024 [1][7] Supply and Demand Dynamics - The supply of tungsten concentrate is limited due to government policies, which in turn affects APT production [1][7] - There is a continuous increase in demand for APT driven by rapid global manufacturing and infrastructure development, particularly in downstream industries such as hard alloys, tungsten material processing, and petrochemicals [1][7] Production and Profitability - As of June 2025, the operating rate of APT in China was 74.95%, an increase of 9.76 percentage points year-on-year, driven by high APT prices that expanded profit margins for producers [9] - The gross profit margin for APT in the last week of June 2025 was 0.08 yuan per ton, a decrease of 52.94% year-on-year, indicating challenges in maintaining profitability due to raw material price fluctuations and increased competition [11] Export Trends - China has historically been a major exporter of APT, with export volumes significantly exceeding imports. However, in 2025, the implementation of export control policies led to a notable decline in export quantities, with a 52.78% year-on-year decrease in the first five months of 2025 [12] Key Players in the Industry - Major companies in the APT market include Xiamen Tungsten Industry Co., Ltd., Zhangyuan Tungsten Industry Co., Ltd., and Jiangxi Tungsten Industry Group, which are leaders in production scale, technology, and market share [14] - Xiamen Tungsten Industry has an annual APT production capacity of 45,000 tons and is recognized for its high-purity APT production technology [16] - Zhangyuan Tungsten Industry has a production capacity of 22,000 tons per year and has achieved significant improvements in production efficiency through advanced technologies [18] Industry Development Trends - The APT industry is expected to focus on technological innovation and green production methods to enhance product quality and production efficiency while minimizing environmental impact [20] - Companies are likely to accelerate the integration and extension of the industrial chain to enhance competitiveness and reduce risks, potentially through mergers and acquisitions [21] - The demand for APT is anticipated to expand further due to the acceleration of global industrialization and the growth of high-end manufacturing sectors such as renewable energy and aerospace [22]

Group 1 - The company approved the establishment of a wholly-owned subsidiary, Chengdu Jinlu Cutting Tools Co., Ltd., to undertake the construction of a cutting tool production base project in Chengdu, with a registered capital of 400 million yuan [1] - The total investment for the project is 1.05207 billion yuan, with fixed investment accounting for 1.00192 billion yuan, and the project is expected to be completed by December 2030 [1] - The new facility will have an annual production capacity of 30 million indexable tools, 4 million solid tools, and 200 million superhard tools, aligning with national industrial policies and the company's strategic development plan [1] Group 2 - The company extended the duration of its third employee stock ownership plan from 24 months to 48 months, now set to expire on August 16, 2027 [2] - The extension was approved with 6 votes in favor, while related directors recused themselves from the vote [2]

Key Points - The article highlights significant corporate announcements from August 1, including stock reductions, project investments, contract wins, operational data, equity acquisitions, share buybacks, and performance results [1] Group 1: Stock Reductions - Beijiajie reduced holdings by 1.025 million shares and 0.575 million shares from July 23 to July 28 [1] - Yongxin Zhicheng plans to reduce no more than 4% of its shares [1] Group 2: Project Investments - Xiamen Tungsten's subsidiary intends to establish a wholly-owned subsidiary to undertake the construction of a cutting tool production base in Chengdu [1] - Aorijin plans to invest in the construction of an overseas production line project [1] Group 3: Contract Wins - China National Petroleum Engineering's subsidiary won a contract for the Iraq seawater pipeline project [1] - Nanfeng Co. secured a project worth 61.57 million yuan [1] Group 4: Operational Data - BYD reported total new energy vehicle sales of 344,300 units in July [1] - Qianli Technology achieved total vehicle sales of 10,222 units in July, representing a year-on-year increase of 142.34% [1] Group 5: Equity Acquisitions - Zhaosheng Technology plans to acquire 49% of Maikelong for 231 million yuan [1] - *ST Yazhen intends to acquire 51% of Guangxi Zirconium for 55.449 million yuan [1] Group 6: Share Buybacks - Nova Star Cloud plans to repurchase shares worth between 75 million and 150 million yuan [1] - Baiyun Electric intends to repurchase shares worth between 10 million and 20 million yuan [1] Group 7: Performance Results - Hikvision reported a net profit of 5.657 billion yuan for the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 11.71% [1] - Ninebot Company achieved a net profit of 1.242 billion yuan in the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 108.45% [1] Group 8: Other Announcements - Jingyan Technology plans to issue convertible bonds to raise no more than 578 million yuan for new consumer electronics and data server components production projects [1] - Borui Pharmaceutical signed a cooperation and research agreement with China Resources Sanjiu [1]