Core Insights - Yili and Mengniu are transitioning away from high growth models, facing significant goodwill impairments from past acquisitions, particularly in the infant formula market [1][3][4] Financial Performance - In 2024, Yili reported revenue of 115.78 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 8.24%, and a net profit of 8.453 billion yuan, down 18.94%, primarily due to a 3.037 billion yuan impact from goodwill impairment related to Aoyou [1][6] - Mengniu's revenue for 2024 was 88.675 billion yuan, a decrease of 10.1%, with a net profit of 105 million yuan, a staggering drop of 97.8%, largely due to a 3.9814 billion yuan impact from goodwill impairment related to Bellamy [1][5] Market Trends - The focus of goodwill impairments for both companies is centered on the infant formula market, which has been experiencing a downturn since 2022 [3][4] - The infant formula market is facing challenges, with offline sales down 9.8% and sales volume down 9.4% in 2024, indicating a shift towards a saturated market [5][10] Strategic Moves - Yili's acquisition of Aoyou and Mengniu's acquisition of Bellamy were strategic moves aimed at entering the high-end infant formula market, despite the declining market conditions [3][5] - Both companies are now focusing on high-margin products, with Yili's milk powder and dairy products achieving a gross margin of 41.02% in 2024, compared to lower margins in liquid milk and ice cream [8][11] Future Outlook - Yili and Mengniu are adjusting their strategies to improve profitability, with Yili aiming for a diversified product portfolio and Mengniu targeting revenue growth by 2025 [22][23] - The competition in the infant formula market is expected to intensify as companies strive for profitability amidst a shrinking market [24][25]

这是新消费智库第 2 6 3 5 期文章 新消费导读 新消费 1. 安慕希 × 绿箭推出清新薄荷味酸奶 1. 安慕希 × 绿箭推出清新薄荷味酸奶 2. 52TOYS 上线异形系列新品 3. Alexander Wang 与喜茶携手推出联名系列 4. 和其正推新养生水 5. 雀巢冠能发布抗过敏猫粮新品 6. 山东未来机器人获数亿元战略领投 7. 青岛啤酒拟收购即墨黄酒 100% 股权 8. 博裕基金拟收购北京 SKP 最高 45% 股权 9. 传欧莱雅有意收购 Medi k8 10. 白犀牛完成 2 亿元 B 轮融资 11. 斯嘉丽 · 约翰逊护肤品牌创业伙伴离职 12. PETA 呼吁爱马仕推出纯素奢侈包袋 13. 美团闪购联合百大品牌推出安心闪购计划 14. CRAFT 于上海和南京双城开店 15. 始祖鸟联手松赞推出纳木措主题系列 安慕希官宣推出与绿箭联名的夏季限定新品：清新薄荷味酸奶。该产品融合薄荷与酸奶风味，希望为消费者带来解暑与清凉体验。营养含量方 面，新品采用无蔗糖配方，每瓶含 7.1 克蛋白质。 （ FBIF 食品饮料创新） 2. 52TOYS 上线异形系列新品 52TOYS 重磅官宣「异形」系 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the food and beverage industry [7] Core Insights - The food and beverage industry is experiencing increased performance differentiation, highlighting the importance of operational management and business strategy [3] - In 2024, the food and beverage sector is expected to achieve a modest single-digit growth, with revenue and net profit growth rates slowing down, indicating ongoing demand pressure [3][10] - Structural growth opportunities exist in sub-sectors like beverages and snacks, with some products/channels showing year-on-year growth rates exceeding 30% [3] Summary by Sections Overall Food and Beverage Industry - In 2024, the food and beverage sector achieved revenue of CNY 10,877.93 billion, a year-on-year increase of 3.91%, with a slowdown of 4.06 percentage points [10] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached CNY 2,104.49 billion, growing by 6.07%, but also showing a slowdown of 10.35 percentage points [10] - The industry ranked 10th and 9th in revenue and net profit growth among 31 first-level industries [10] Baijiu (Chinese Liquor) - The baijiu industry saw revenue and profit growth exceeding 7% in 2024, with over half of A-share listed companies reporting growth [21] - High-end baijiu brands are shifting towards mid-to-high-end markets, with notable growth in brands like Guizhou Moutai and Wuliangye [21][24] - The competitive landscape is intensifying, particularly in the mid-range segment, with companies adopting diverse strategies to maintain market share [22][24] Soft Drinks - The soft drink sector is characterized by strong performance from functional beverages, with companies like Dongpeng Beverage leading with a revenue growth of 40.63% [26][28] - The market is facing challenges from health-conscious consumer trends and competition from tea beverages [26] - Companies are encouraged to innovate and diversify their product offerings to adapt to changing consumer preferences [27] Snacks - The snack industry is experiencing significant growth, particularly through community group buying and e-commerce channels [29] - Companies like Wancheng Group and Yanjinpuzi are expanding rapidly, with Wancheng Group's revenue from snack stores increasing by 262.94% [29] - However, some companies face pressure due to declining foot traffic in physical stores and intense competition [30] Condiments - The condiment sector is benefiting from cost reductions and the expansion of compound condiments, with major players like Haitian Flavor Industry reporting strong performance [32][33] - The industry is expected to accelerate product upgrades and national expansion as the restaurant sector recovers [32] Beer - The beer industry is seeing a slowdown in consumption upgrades, but there are still growth opportunities in the craft beer segment [34][35] - Companies are focusing on product innovation and market penetration to adapt to changing consumer demands [34][35]

内蒙古伊利实业集团股份有限公司第五期长期服务计划第一次持有 人会议依照《内蒙古伊利实业集团股份有限公司长期服务计划》（简称"长 期服务计划"）、《内蒙古伊利实业集团股份有限公司长期服务计划管理 规则》的有关规定，于 2025 年 5 月 16 日以通讯方式召开。会议应当出 席的持有人共 338 人，实际出席会议的持有人共 336 人，代表第五期长 期服务计划份额 279,400,000 份，占本次持股计划总份额的 99.79%。本 次长期服务计划持有人会议由管理委员会负责召集，会议符合《关于上 市公司实施员工持股计划试点的指导意见》等有关规定，合法有效。 证券代码：600887 证券简称：伊利股份 公告编号：临 2025-038 内蒙古伊利实业集团股份有限公司 第五期长期服务计划第一次持有人会议决议公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或 者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 会议审议并通过了以下议案，形成如下决议： 审议通过了《内蒙古伊利实业集团股份有限公司长期服务计划持有 人日常管理办法》。 特此公告 内蒙古伊利实业集团股份有限公司 二○二五年五月 ...

Group 1 - The Shanghai Composite Index decreased by 0.40%, while the CSI 300 Food and Beverage Index reported at 25115.40 points [1] - The CSI 300 Food and Beverage Index has increased by 2.16% in the past month, 7.78% in the past three months, and 2.99% year-to-date [2] - The CSI 300 Index is categorized into 11 primary industries, 35 secondary industries, over 90 tertiary industries, and more than 200 quaternary industries, with a base date of December 31, 2004, and a base point of 1000.0 [2] Group 2 - The top ten weights in the CSI 300 Food and Beverage Index are: Kweichow Moutai (51.86%), Wuliangye (13.12%), Yili (9.68%), Shanxi Fenjiu (5.17%), Luzhou Laojiao (4.78%), Haitian Flavoring (3.64%), Dongpeng Beverage (2.92%), Yanghe (2.1%), Jinshiyuan (1.82%), and Gujing Gongjiu (1.36%) [2] - The market share of the CSI 300 Food and Beverage Index is 76.40% from the Shanghai Stock Exchange and 23.60% from the Shenzhen Stock Exchange [2] Group 3 - The industry composition of the CSI 300 Food and Beverage Index includes: Baijiu (80.20%), Dairy Products (9.68%), Condiments and Edible Oils (4.59%), Soft Drinks (2.92%), Beer (1.31%), and Meat Products (1.30%) [3] - The index sample is adjusted biannually, with adjustments implemented on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December [3] - Weight factors are generally fixed until the next scheduled adjustment, with temporary adjustments made in response to changes in the CSI 300 Index samples [3]

Core Viewpoint - The dairy industry is facing demand pressure in 2024, but policies promoting childbirth subsidies are expected to boost consumption recovery [1][4] Group 1: Performance Review - The dairy industry is experiencing weak recovery in Q4 2024 and Q1 2025 due to external demand pressures and inventory destocking [2] - Major companies like Yili and Mengniu are controlling shipments to destock, leading to revenue declines for most companies in 2024 [2] - Yili and Mengniu have taken steps to clean up their balance sheets by recognizing goodwill impairment, which is expected to lead to improved performance in Q2 2025 [2] Group 2: Operational Situation - Milk prices have been on a downward trend since 2022, leading to a reduction in dairy cow inventory by 4.5% to 6.3 million heads and a 2.8% decrease in raw milk production to 41.61 million tons in 2024 [3] - The overall gross margin of the industry has improved due to falling milk prices, with companies maintaining cautious promotional strategies and reducing sales expense ratios [3] - The profitability of major companies is expected to improve in Q1 2025, with Yili's net profit margin exceeding market expectations after excluding one-time income [3] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The supply side is undergoing accelerated destocking, with continued pressure on upstream operations due to falling milk prices and rising feed costs [4] - Policies promoting childbirth subsidies are expected to enhance dairy product consumption, with companies like Feihe and Yili responding by offering product subsidies of 1.2 billion and 1.6 billion respectively [4] - The overall outlook for the industry is positive, with expectations of improved supply-demand balance and stronger performance from leading companies [4]

Core Viewpoint - The dairy industry is experiencing a significant downturn in 2024, with a notable decline in revenue and net profit among listed companies, attributed to oversupply, weak demand, and high inventory levels [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Performance - In 2023, 19 listed dairy companies in A-shares achieved total revenue of 184.83 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.44% [1]. - The total net profit for these companies fell from 13.10 billion yuan to 9.58 billion yuan, representing a 27% decline [1][2]. - 14 out of 19 companies reported a decrease in revenue, compared to only 6 the previous year [1]. Group 2: Key Companies - Yili Group reported a net profit of 8.45 billion yuan, but experienced an 8.24% decline in revenue and an 18.94% drop in net profit, marking its first instance of dual decline [2]. - Other liquid milk companies, such as Bright Dairy and San Yuan, saw net profit declines of 25.36% and 77.44%, respectively [2]. - Five dairy companies reported losses, including Huangshi Group, Zhuangyuan Pasture, and Xibu Dairy, an increase of two companies from the previous year [2][4]. Group 3: Growth and Resilience - Only 6 companies reported net profit growth, including Beingmate, Pinwo Food, Miaokelando, Yiming Food, New Dairy, and Hairong Technology [3]. - New Dairy has maintained double-digit growth in net profit in recent years, despite a 2.93% revenue decline in 2024 [3][4]. - New Dairy's focus on low-temperature fresh milk and yogurt products has allowed it to avoid intense competition and benefit from rising penetration rates of low-temperature products [4].

Core Insights - The dairy industry is experiencing a significant downturn in 2024, with 19 listed dairy companies in A-shares reporting a total revenue of 184.83 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.44% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders dropped from 13.10 billion yuan to 9.58 billion yuan, with 13 companies reporting a decline in net profit [1] - Key factors suppressing the dairy industry include oversupply, weakened demand, and high inventory levels, leading to a continuous decline in fresh milk prices and intensified competition [1] Revenue and Profitability - 14 out of 19 dairy companies reported a decline in revenue, compared to only 6 the previous year [1] - The median net profit margin for listed dairy companies was only 1.98%, down 2.01 percentage points from the previous year [4] - The highest net profit margins were recorded by Sunshine Dairy (21.84%), Panda Dairy (13.32%), and Huirong Technology (10.18%) [4] Gross Margin Analysis - 12 companies experienced a decline in gross margin, with the most significant drops seen in Western Pastoral, Beingmate, and Zhuangyuan Pastoral [3] - The median gross margin for the 19 listed dairy companies was 25.31%, an increase of 2.18 percentage points from the previous year [2] - Seven companies saw an increase in gross margin, with the most notable improvements from Junyao Health, Huangshi Group, Panda Dairy, and Pinwa Food [2] Market Trends - The dairy industry index has seen a decline of over 50% from its peak in January 2021 to the low in September 2024, but there has been a noticeable increase since September 2024 [1] - The market anticipates that upstream destocking will lead to a bottoming out of raw milk prices, alongside policies promoting fertility to boost demand [1] Company-Specific Performance - Panda Dairy, a leader in the condensed milk segment, reported a revenue decline of 19.29% last year, with a further 8.27% drop in the first quarter of 2024, despite an increase in gross margin due to lower raw material costs [2] - Bright Dairy, a typical regional dairy company, has seen a decline in revenue since 2022, with a low gross margin of around 19%, significantly below that of Yili [5]

Core Viewpoint - The dairy sector has shown a positive performance with a 1.67% increase, ranking fifth among concept sectors, driven by significant gains in stocks like Knight Dairy, Pinwo Food, and Keta Bio [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of May 15, the dairy concept sector rose by 1.67%, with 27 stocks increasing in value [1]. - Leading gainers included Knight Dairy (+7.03%), Pinwo Food (+6.61%), and Keta Bio (+6.25%) [1]. - The sector experienced a net inflow of 199 million yuan, with 18 stocks receiving net inflows, and 8 stocks exceeding 10 million yuan in net inflow [2]. Group 2: Key Stocks and Fund Flow - Yili Group led the net inflow with 97.81 million yuan, followed by Panda Dairy (45.28 million yuan), Pinwo Food (34.40 million yuan), and Miaokelando (33.50 million yuan) [2]. - The top three stocks by net inflow ratio were Panda Dairy (11.31%), New Agricultural Development (10.95%), and Yili Group (8.64%) [3]. - The trading turnover rates for key stocks included Panda Dairy (11.57%), Pinwo Food (20.55%), and Miaokelando (3.82%) [3][4].

Core Viewpoint - The dairy industry is experiencing a significant downturn in 2024, with a notable decline in revenue and profit across many companies, attributed to oversupply, weakened demand, and high inventory levels [1][2][3]. Industry Overview - In 2023, 19 dairy companies in A-shares reported a total revenue of 184.83 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.44%. 14 companies experienced revenue declines, compared to only 6 the previous year [1]. - The total net profit for these companies fell from 13.10 billion yuan to 9.58 billion yuan, with 13 companies reporting profit declines [1]. - The dairy industry has faced a continuous decline in raw milk prices since 2021, with the dairy index dropping over 50% from its peak in January 2021 to its low in September 2024 [1]. Company Performance - Yili Group remains the dominant player in the industry, with a revenue of 115.78 billion yuan, followed by Bright Dairy, New Hope Dairy, and San Yuan Dairy, with revenues of 24.28 billion yuan, 10.67 billion yuan, and 7.01 billion yuan, respectively [1]. - The revenue of Yili Group decreased by 8.24%, while Bright Dairy and San Yuan Dairy saw declines of 8.33% and 10.73%, respectively [2][6]. - The number of companies with revenue declines increased from 6 to 14, indicating that nearly 74% of dairy companies faced revenue drops, with a median decline of 10.75% [3]. Notable Declines - The five companies with the most significant revenue declines include Huangshi Group, Pinwa Food, Panda Dairy, Jiahe Food, and Xibu Dairy, all of which have revenues below 2.5 billion yuan [3]. - Huangshi Group's revenue dropped significantly due to the transfer of its subsidiaries and ongoing diversification efforts that have not yielded expected returns [3]. - Pinwa Food, primarily an imported food company, reported a 24.9% decrease in revenue, while Panda Dairy faced overall product declines due to weak consumer demand [4]. Growth Opportunities - Five dairy companies reported revenue growth, including Huirong Technology, Beingmate, Yiming Food, Tianrun Dairy, and Knight Dairy, with Huirong Technology showing the highest growth due to its focus on plant-based and dairy fats [5]. - Beingmate, specializing in infant formula and nutritional products, achieved a revenue increase of 9.7%, although its gross margin declined due to increased sales discounts [5].