Core Viewpoint - The A-share photovoltaic sector has experienced a significant surge, with multiple stocks hitting a 20% limit-up, driven by Elon Musk's endorsement of space photovoltaics at the Davos Forum. However, the industry faces a harsh reality of prolonged losses, overcapacity, and persistent price pressure, with major companies expected to report substantial losses in 2025 [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Performance - The photovoltaic industry has seen widespread losses, with 23 out of 32 listed companies expected to report losses in 2025, accounting for over 70% of the sample [2]. - Major players like Tongwei Co. anticipate a net loss of 90 to 100 billion yuan in 2025, up from a loss of 70.39 billion yuan the previous year, marking it as the only company with a projected loss exceeding 100 billion yuan [2]. - Trina Solar and JinkoSolar are also expected to report significant losses, with Trina Solar projecting a loss of 65 to 75 billion yuan, and JinkoSolar estimating a loss of 59 to 69 billion yuan [2][3]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The photovoltaic supply chain is experiencing intensified losses due to weak terminal demand, overcapacity, and stagnant product prices, which are the main contributors to the industry's financial struggles [2][3]. - Despite some companies like Daqo Energy and Longi Green Energy reducing their losses, the overall trend remains negative, with Daqo Energy expecting a loss of 14.18 to 17.18 billion yuan, a reduction of 52.17% to 63.21% year-on-year [3]. - The industry is facing a dual challenge of weak supply and demand, with overcapacity leading to low prices, which is the primary cause of losses [4][5]. Group 3: Cost Pressures - The rapid increase in raw material prices, particularly silver, has significantly impacted production costs, with silver prices rising over 118% since October of the previous year [6][7]. - The cost of silver paste, a critical material in photovoltaic technology, has surged, further straining the profitability of companies in the sector [6][7]. - Companies are exploring cost-reduction strategies, including substituting silver with copper and aluminum, but the impact of these innovations on profitability remains limited [7]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The industry is expected to undergo structural reforms characterized by capacity utilization improvements, elimination of outdated capacity, and potential mergers and acquisitions, which are essential for recovery [7]. - A return to a healthy supply-demand balance and a restoration of product prices to reasonable levels are crucial for the fundamental improvement of companies' profitability [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the power equipment sector [6] Core Insights - The report highlights new opportunities in the photovoltaic industry driven by space solar power initiatives and rising prices of battery components [1][17] - It emphasizes the importance of supply-side reforms and technological advancements in creating long-term growth opportunities within the industry [1][19] - The report identifies key companies to watch in various segments, including supply chain price increases, new technology growth, and perovskite solar cell developments [1][19][21] Summary by Sections Photovoltaics - The price of multi-crystalline silicon n-type raw materials remains stable, with an average transaction price of 59,200 RMB per ton [17] - N-type battery cell prices have increased to 0.42 RMB per watt, with a price range of 0.40-0.43 RMB per watt [17] - The report notes that rising silver prices have led to increased component costs, with distributed component prices now ranging from 0.70 to 0.80 RMB per watt [17] - SpaceX and Tesla plan to achieve a combined solar manufacturing capacity of 200GW annually in the U.S. within three years, with 40GW dedicated to space solar power [1][18] - Key companies to focus on include Tongwei Co., GCL-Poly, LONGi Green Energy, JA Solar, and Trina Solar for supply-side reform opportunities [1][19] Wind Power & Grid - The Netherlands will launch a 1GW offshore wind project tender in September 2026, with a subsidy budget of approximately 32.45 billion RMB [19][20] - Turkey plans to initiate its first offshore wind tender by the end of 2026, aiming for 5GW of installed capacity by 2035 [19][20] - Southern Power Grid has set a fixed asset investment of 180 billion RMB for 2026, focusing on new power system construction and strategic emerging industries [20] - Companies to watch include Goldwind, Yunda, Mingyang Smart Energy, and Sany Heavy Energy in the wind turbine sector [20] Hydrogen Energy - A ceremony for the operation of 300 hydrogen fuel heavy trucks was recently held, showcasing advancements in hydrogen energy technology [3][21] - The trucks are equipped with a 130kW fuel cell system and can achieve a range of over 600 kilometers [3][21] - Key companies in this sector include Shuangliang Energy, Huadian Heavy Industry, and Shenghui Technology [3][21] Energy Storage - The report forecasts that new energy storage installations in China will reach 58.6GW/175.3GWh in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 38%/60% [4][22] - The average bid price for 2-hour energy storage systems is projected to be 0.55 RMB/Wh in 2025, down 16.9% from 2024 [4][22] - Companies to focus on include Sungrow Power, Canadian Solar, and Kehua Data for large-scale energy storage opportunities [4][22] New Energy Vehicles - CATL launched the "Tianxing II" series solutions for light commercial vehicles, including the industry's first intelligent battery management application [5][27] - The solutions cater to various scenarios, including high-frequency urban distribution and extreme temperature conditions [5][27] - Key companies in the battery sector include CATL, Penghui Energy, and Guoxuan High-Tech [5][29]

Group 1: Events and Forums - The "Dubai Business Forum - China" will take place in Shenzhen on May 14, 2026, focusing on the theme "Working Together for New Economic Growth" to introduce Dubai's economic agenda (D33) and explore new paths for cooperation and strategic investment between Chinese and Dubai businesses [2] Group 2: Company Developments - Over 50 brands, including Honor, Baseus, and Nubia, have signed with AliExpress for the "Super Brand Going Global Plan" to accelerate overseas market expansion, particularly in high-value categories like consumer electronics and smart hardware [3] - Eagle Network's new game "Arknights: Endfield" has launched globally, supported by Alibaba Cloud to handle high concurrency demands during the launch, ensuring smooth operation and real-time player interaction [3] - TikTok Shop in Southeast Asia is projected to double its GMV by 2025, with daily GMV increasing by 90% year-on-year, indicating a significant consumption upgrade in the region [4] - Ninebot has initiated Malaysia's first autonomous vehicle testing project in collaboration with local postal and logistics companies, with over 16,000 autonomous vehicles already operating globally [4] - Jiutian Chuangzhi signed a multi-million dollar order in Oman for autonomous cleaning vehicles, expanding its market reach to Malaysia, Turkey, and Palestine [5] - Cao Cao Mobility plans to deploy 100,000 customized Robotaxis globally by 2030, transitioning towards unmanned operations [5] - Baidu's "Luobo Kuaipao" has launched a fully autonomous driving service in Abu Dhabi, marking its first overseas public service [6] - Cainiao's global overseas warehouse order volume is expected to grow by 32% year-on-year by 2025, with plans for expansion and automation upgrades in key markets [6] - JD Logistics and Honor are collaborating to build overseas warehouses in the Middle East, aiming to support Honor's mobile phone sales in Saudi Arabia [6] - Ant International's Alipay+ has connected with Italy's Tinaba digital wallet, enabling seamless payment solutions for Chinese merchants [7] - UBTECH has partnered with Airbus to deploy humanoid robots in manufacturing processes, with significant order growth expected in the coming years [7] - Longi Green Energy is collaborating with NeoVolta to build an 8GWh battery storage manufacturing plant in Georgia, USA, to meet growing energy storage demands [7] Group 3: Investment and Financing - Zhongke Kelan has completed a multi-million angel round financing to accelerate product development and international expansion of its biodegradable plastics [8] - Yanhua Technology has secured nearly 100 million yuan in A1 round financing to enhance production capacity and global market reach for its perovskite solar cells [8] - Muxin Intelligent has completed a B round financing exceeding 100 million yuan, focusing on product development and global market channel expansion [9] Group 4: Market Trends - The overseas micro-short drama market is expected to exceed $5 billion by 2026, with Chinese apps capturing 90% of the market share [10] - Despite high tariffs, Chinese electric vehicle sales in Europe surged by 127% year-on-year in December 2025, with market share doubling to 9.5% [10]

内蒙古 库布齐。图片来源：视觉中国 【编者按】 2026年冬季达沃斯论坛，马斯克提出，瓦特将取代货币成为未来财富的衡量单位，而中国凭借太阳能等可再生能源的海量产出，已占据先机。大洋另一侧， 现实却是，中国光伏业仍在一场产能过剩导致的全行业亏损中苦苦挣扎。 这个产业长期行走于光影之间——前方是能源与算力革命预示的光明前景，身后是过剩与内卷投下的漫长阴影。行业龙头之一——隆基绿能就是一个缩影。《财富》通 过连续数月对隆基、它的伙伴与对手、行业人士的深度采访，试图以它的故事为切片，讲述中国光伏业在这场能源终局降临之际的集体自救。 正午，内蒙古库布齐沙漠，太阳把沙子晒得发烫。 一大片深蓝色、离地数米高的光伏板矗立在大漠间，列队整齐，延绵数十公里不绝。从高处远眺，荒漠的粗糙质地被这些人造物近乎完美的镜面反射所取 代。视线下探，在光伏板投下的大片阴影中，青草在金属支架间摇摆。 这里是位于黄河"几"字弯南岸的中国第七大沙漠，它曾因风沙肆虐被称为 " 死亡之海 " 。 很难想象植物能在这里扎下根系，更违背直觉的是，这场生态 修复的发起者是一排排兀自扎于沙砾之间、与生命毫无关联的工业品。 十多年前，中国的光伏公司开始进入大漠深 ...

Core Viewpoint - Major photovoltaic companies such as JinkoSolar, Tongwei Co., and LONGi Green Energy have recently announced significant projected losses for 2025, primarily due to rising silver prices impacting their performance [3][4]. Group 1: Financial Projections - JinkoSolar expects a net loss of 5.9 billion to 6.9 billion yuan for 2025, while Tongwei Co. anticipates losses between 9 billion to 10 billion yuan, and LONGi Green Energy projects a net loss of 6 billion to 6.5 billion yuan [3]. - The rising costs of silver paste, a key material in photovoltaic cell production, have been cited as a major factor contributing to these losses [4]. Group 2: Cost Structure and Material Impact - Silver paste, which is crucial for manufacturing photovoltaic cells, accounts for approximately 62% of the non-silicon costs in TOPCon solar cells, with a projected cost of 0.138 yuan/W by the end of 2025 [4]. - The current spot price of silver has surged to over $100 per ounce, having more than tripled in the past year, adding to the cost pressures faced by these companies [4]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Pricing Strategies - Companies are attempting to pass on costs by slightly increasing the prices of photovoltaic modules; however, this is constrained by a supply-demand imbalance in the industry [5]. - The domestic market demand is weakening, and overseas procurement is also declining, which may further limit the ability of companies to raise prices [5]. Group 4: Technological Developments - Companies are exploring alternatives to reduce silver usage, such as the development of "silver-free" technologies and the use of copper plating [5][6]. - While significant R&D efforts are underway, the maturity and effectiveness of these technologies remain uncertain, and their economic viability is under scrutiny [6]. Group 5: Future Outlook on Silver Prices - In the short term, the impact of alternative technologies on silver prices is expected to be limited due to their nascent stage of development [7]. - Long-term trends may see downward pressure on silver prices as these technologies mature and photovoltaic installation volumes potentially decline [7]. - The strategic resource status of silver, influenced by policy changes, may continue to support its price [8].

Core Viewpoint - Major photovoltaic companies such as JinkoSolar, Tongwei Co., and LONGi Green Energy have issued profit warnings for 2025, citing significant losses primarily due to rising silver prices impacting their production costs [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Forecasts - JinkoSolar expects a net loss of 5.9 billion to 6.9 billion yuan for 2025 [1] - Tongwei Co. anticipates losses between 9 billion to 10 billion yuan [1] - LONGi Green Energy projects a net loss of 6 billion to 6.5 billion yuan attributable to increased costs of silver paste and silicon materials [1] Group 2: Cost Drivers - The surge in silver prices has been a critical factor, with current spot silver prices exceeding $100 per ounce, having more than tripled over the past year [2] - The cost of silver paste, a key material in photovoltaic cell production, is projected to reach 0.138 yuan/W by the end of 2025, accounting for approximately 62% of the non-silicon costs in TOPCon solar cells [1] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The photovoltaic industry is experiencing a "strong supply, weak demand" scenario, limiting the ability of companies to pass on increased costs to consumers [3] - Domestic market demand is declining, and overseas procurement is also slowing down, which may further weaken future demand [3] Group 4: Technological Developments - Companies are exploring alternatives to reduce silver usage, such as the development of "silver-free" technologies and the use of copper plating [3][4] - LONGi Green Energy has achieved mass production of its high-efficiency BC second-generation products, which utilize less silver [4] Group 5: Future Outlook - The maturity of alternative technologies and potential declines in photovoltaic installation volumes may exert downward pressure on silver prices in the long term [4] - Silver's strategic resource status is expected to strengthen, potentially driving prices higher due to policy influences [4]

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic (PV) industry is experiencing significant momentum, particularly in the equipment sector, with clear RSR signals indicating strong market activity [1]. Group 1: Company Performance - Jiejia Weichuang is highlighted as a key player in the industry [3]. - Maiwei Co., Ltd. is noted for leading the market with unusual trading volumes and signals of acceleration into the second phase of growth [4]. - Aotwei and Jingcheng Machinery are also mentioned as companies that have entered the second phase of acceleration [5][7]. - High Measurement Co. and Dier Laser are part of the group showing strong performance, with most companies just entering the second phase [8][10]. - The characteristics of these stocks include significant price increases of over 50% and a strong breakout above previous highs, indicating a bullish trend [12]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The photovoltaic industry is classified as a typical cyclical industry, with performance fluctuations similar to non-ferrous metals and chemicals, driven by expectations of industry recovery and supply-side reforms [16]. - Equipment manufacturers often outperform the core industry stocks, as seen in the non-ferrous sector where mining equipment stocks have shown greater gains [16]. - Component stocks are lagging behind equipment stocks, with JinkoSolar showing potential due to its advanced technology and market position, surpassing previous leaders [18]. Group 3: Historical Context - Historical bull stocks serve as a guide for current market behavior, with current bull stocks following similar patterns of clear upward trends and compact adjustment structures [19].

为确保期货市场与实体产业高效对接，广期所在多晶硅期货合约设计中采用注册品牌交割制度，并对交 割品质量标准设定进行了详尽调研，以满足上下游企业产销需求。 广发期货分析师纪元菲表示，多晶硅生产企业产能较为集中，行业内的贸易对品牌声誉、质量标准较为 重视，具备品牌管理基础。同时，品牌交割制度有利于保障产业客户的需求，进一步确保入库商品质量 的可追溯性与一致性。 ● 本报记者王超 作为服务实体经济的重要金融工具，多晶硅期货上市已满一周年，在稳定光伏产业链、优化行业生态方 面发挥了不容忽视的作用。作为光伏产业链的核心原材料，当前多晶硅仍面临供需阶段性错配、价格大 幅波动的风险。期货工具的引入，为产业企业提供了重要的价格"晴雨表"和风险"防护垫"，为整个光伏 行业平滑周期波动、管理风险、转型升级持续注入力量。 服务国家战略契合产业迫切需求 在"硅料-硅片-电池片-组件"组成的光伏产业链中，多晶硅位于上游，是决定光伏产品性能与成本的核心 环节。中国作为多晶硅全球最大的生产国和消费国，已建立起全球领先的产业优势。然而，近年来其价 格受产业周期、技术迭代等多重因素影响波动显著，给上下游企业的稳定经营带来挑战。数据显示， 202 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the growing interest and investment in space photovoltaic technology among various companies, despite some facing significant losses in the traditional photovoltaic sector [2][3] - Several companies in the photovoltaic industry are actively pursuing space photovoltaic opportunities through investments, acquisitions, and self-research, with some already having products in mass production [2] - The market has seen a surge in stock prices for companies involved in space photovoltaic, such as Optec, JinkoSolar, and others, indicating a renewed optimism in this segment [2] Group 2 - Mingyang Smart Energy is making a strategic move by acquiring control of Zhongshan Dehua Chip Technology Co., which specializes in high-end compound semiconductor technology, to extend its reach into the space photovoltaic sector [4] - Gallium arsenide solar cells are identified as a mature solution for space photovoltaic applications, with Qianzhao Optoelectronics being the leading supplier of gallium arsenide solar cell epitaxial wafers in China [4] - The P-type ultra-thin heterojunction (HJT) battery technology is viewed as a key cost-reduction strategy for satellite solar wings, with companies like Dongfang Risen capable of mass delivery of HJT products [5] Group 3 - Some companies have issued risk warnings regarding their involvement in space photovoltaic, indicating that their products or technologies are not yet applicable in this field [6] - JunDa Co. has highlighted several risks associated with its investment in space photovoltaic, including technical, business, and market uncertainties, emphasizing that its current focus remains on ground photovoltaic applications [6] - Other companies, such as Solar Energy and Yamaton, have stated that their business does not currently involve space photovoltaic technology, focusing instead on their respective core areas [7]

Market Overview - The A-share market continued its upward trend, with significant gains in sectors such as non-ferrous metals and renewable energy, leading to all four major indices closing in the green [2] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4136.16 points, up 0.33%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.79% to 14439.66 points [2] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 30.853 trillion yuan, an increase of over 390 billion yuan compared to the previous day [2] Space Industry Developments - The commercial aerospace sector saw a surge in interest, particularly in space photovoltaic technology, which became a focal point for active capital [2][3] - Blue Arrow Aerospace's IPO process on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board is progressing rapidly, with its application status changing to "under inquiry" as of January 22 [3] - SpaceX announced plans to launch its second-generation Starlink system by 2027, while Blue Origin is set to deploy a satellite communication network consisting of 5408 satellites by the fourth quarter of 2027 [3] Photovoltaic Sector Performance - The photovoltaic equipment index rose by 8.69%, with 64 stocks in the sector, of which only two declined, and several stocks, including Maiwei Co. and Jiejia Weichuang, hitting the 20% limit up [4] - Longi Green Energy, a leading company in the photovoltaic sector, also recorded a limit-up performance [4] - Space photovoltaic energy utilizes solar technology in outer space environments, providing a stable and lightweight energy solution compared to traditional fossil fuels and nuclear energy [4] Technological Advancements - SpaceX has confirmed the use of P-type HJT battery technology for large-scale production of space solar cells, which is seen as a short-term optimal alternative due to its cost-effectiveness and material flexibility [5] - The demand for GW-level space photovoltaic solutions is expected to grow significantly, with the existing arsenide gallium batteries unable to meet deployment needs [5] Investment Outlook - Market sentiment is optimistic, with institutions suggesting a focus on company performance as the annual earnings forecast period approaches [5] - The strategy team at CITIC Securities indicates that the market is in an upward trend, with active capital likely to seek thematic investment opportunities, particularly in commercial aerospace [5] - Investors are advised to concentrate on high-growth sectors, such as semiconductor equipment driven by storage expansion [5]