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业绩减亏,拐点确认?隆基绿能:反弹仍需反内卷政策落地
市值风云· 2025-12-08 10:08
Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic industry is experiencing a significant shift due to the implementation of anti-involution policies, which have led to a recovery in pricing, particularly in the silicon material segment, despite overall losses in the sector [3][4]. Group 1: Company Performance - Longi Green Energy reported a third-quarter revenue of 18.1 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 9.78%, with a net profit loss of 0.834 billion, significantly reduced from a loss of 1.26 billion the previous year [3]. - The entire photovoltaic industry has seen a substantial reduction in losses, confirming the industry's profit bottom, especially in the silicon material segment [3]. Group 2: Industry Dynamics - The entire photovoltaic supply chain, from silicon materials to modules, has benefited from anti-involution policies, reversing the trend of declining prices [4]. - Rumors of major players in the silicon material industry planning to consolidate excess capacity and inventory have led to significant stock price increases from September to November [4]. - However, a recent statement from a senior executive at JA Solar regarding the failure of a storage platform caused a sharp decline in industry stocks, highlighting the volatility and uncertainty in the market [4]. Group 3: Technological Developments - Longi Green Energy's strategy to address industry challenges focuses on innovation, particularly in reducing costs and improving efficiency of BC batteries [5]. - The company has faced challenges due to a large-scale production of BC batteries without a significant cost advantage over TOPCon batteries, leading to substantial inventory and equipment write-downs [7]. - Longi Green Energy aims to achieve a 50% share of high-efficiency BC battery production by the end of 2025, with a target production capacity of 50 GW for BC batteries [10]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The profitability and stock prices in the photovoltaic sector remain closely tied to the effectiveness of anti-involution policies, with challenges in executing capacity reductions [10]. - The competition is expected to shift towards perovskite battery technology in the long term, rather than just between BC and TOPCon batteries [10]. - Longi Green Energy is exploring hydrogen energy as a strategic differentiator, focusing on green electricity and green hydrogen production [12].
隆基绿能间接控股子公司2.44亿元项目环评获原则同意
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-08 08:49
上期(总第223期)A股绿色周报显示,共有9家上市公司在近期暴露了环境风险。 每经AI快讯,"A股绿色报告"项目监控到的数据显示,隆基绿能(SH601012)间接控股子公司鄂尔多斯市隆基光伏科技有限公司技 术改造项目环评审批获原则同意。该项目总投资额达2.44亿元。该审批信息于2025年11月21日被相关监管机构披露。 "A股绿色报告"项目由每日经济新闻联合环保领域知名NGO公众环境研究中心(IPE)共同推出,旨在让上市公司环境信息更加阳光 透明。本项目基于31个省(区、市)、337个地级市政府发布的权威环境监管数据,筛选监控上市公司及其旗下公司(包括分公司、 参股公司和控股公司)的环境表现,加以专业数据分析及深入解读,每日智能写作及时发布上市公司AI绿报,每周推出A股绿色周 报,定期动态更新上市公司环境风险榜。 (记者 刘志远 张益铭) 免责声明:本文内容与数据仅供参考,不构成投资建议,使用前核实。据此操作,风险自担。 2024年年报显示,隆基绿能的主营业务为新能源行业,占营收比例为:100.0%。 | 市值(亿元) | 时间 | 2023Y | 2024Y | 2025前三 | | --- | --- | ...
光伏破局:全面调整期的“反内卷”攻坚与价值重构丨2025·大复盘
Tai Mei Ti A P P· 2025-12-08 07:57
Core Insights - The photovoltaic industry is facing severe challenges in 2025, with significant overcapacity and price declines across the supply chain, leading to widespread losses [2][4] - The industry is transitioning from an "efficiency era" to a "value era," with a focus on quality and technological differentiation as companies target emerging overseas markets [3][25] - The "anti-involution" campaign is gaining momentum, aiming to curb unhealthy competition and stabilize prices, with various government initiatives and industry meetings addressing these issues [5][6] Group 1: Industry Challenges - By Q2 2025, nominal capacities for silicon materials, wafers, cells, and modules exceeded 1200 GW, while global new installation demand is projected at only 570-630 GW, indicating severe overcapacity [2] - The price of silicon materials dropped to 35,000 CNY/ton, with significant declines in other components, leading to substantial losses for companies in the sector [4] - A total of 50+ photovoltaic companies have filed for bankruptcy or liquidation, reflecting the industry's dire financial situation [10] Group 2: Government and Industry Response - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has emphasized the need to regulate low-price competition and promote quality improvements in the photovoltaic sector [5][6] - Various meetings and policies have been initiated to address the "anti-involution" issue, including a focus on orderly exit of outdated capacities and establishing a warning mechanism for companies selling below cost [6][9] - The establishment of a silicon material storage mechanism is being considered to balance supply and demand, with industry leaders expressing cautious optimism about its implementation [7][9] Group 3: Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - The photovoltaic industry is expected to see a decline in new installations in 2026, influenced by policy changes and market conditions, with projections of 270-300 GW for 2025 and a potential drop in 2026 [31][32] - The average prices for silicon materials, wafers, and cells have shown signs of recovery, with increases of 31.6%, 6.8%, and 6.5% respectively by September 2025 [11] - Companies are increasingly focusing on overseas markets, with significant growth in exports to emerging markets, despite a decline in overall export value [16][20] Group 4: Technological Advancements - The industry is undergoing a technological shift from P-type to N-type solar cells, with TOPCon technology leading in market share and efficiency improvements [25][26] - Innovations such as silver-free and low-silver technologies are being pursued to reduce costs, particularly in light of rising silver prices [27] - The integration of different technologies, including TOPCon, HJT, and BC, is expected to shape the future landscape of the photovoltaic industry [25][29]
听说光伏企业,提前放假了
投中网· 2025-12-08 03:01
Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic (PV) industry is experiencing significant challenges, with many companies announcing extended holidays and layoffs due to market volatility and demand uncertainty, raising concerns about the industry's recovery timeline [5][6][12]. Group 1: Industry Challenges - Several major PV companies have announced early holidays, with some employees encouraged to leave, indicating a severe response to market fluctuations [5][8]. - Reports indicate that production has drastically reduced, with some factories operating only a few days a month, leading to high employee turnover and dissatisfaction [8][12]. - The industry is facing a deep adjustment cycle, with over one-third of listed PV companies reporting losses, totaling over 26.9 billion yuan among major players [18][19]. Group 2: Financial Strain - The total debt of 140 listed PV companies reached 2.32 trillion yuan, with an overall debt ratio of 63.20%, suggesting severe financial pressure across the sector [18][19]. - At least 70 PV companies have filed for bankruptcy since the beginning of 2024, highlighting the financial distress within the industry [19]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - Despite recent price increases in the PV supply chain, the supply-demand imbalance remains unresolved, contributing to ongoing industry struggles [18]. - The industry has seen a significant increase in installed solar capacity, with a 43.8% year-on-year growth in domestic solar power generation capacity from January to October [17]. Group 4: Strategic Responses - Companies are increasingly competing on product innovation, with many launching new high-capacity modules to capture market share [20]. - Financial strategies are being employed to optimize cash flow, such as reducing material costs and extending payment cycles, even amidst ongoing losses [21]. Group 5: Future Outlook - There are signs of potential recovery, with government policies aimed at reducing market competition and improving industry conditions [23]. - The shift from price competition to value competition is being encouraged through changes in procurement standards by state-owned enterprises [23].
电力设备行业跟踪周报:储能锂电淡季不淡、AIDC和人形加速-20251207
Soochow Securities· 2025-12-07 14:47
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the power equipment industry [1] Core Insights - The energy storage lithium battery sector is experiencing strong demand even in the off-season, with significant growth expected in 2025. The report highlights advancements in humanoid robotics and artificial intelligence-driven automation (AIDC) as key growth areas [1][3] Industry Trends - The electric equipment sector saw a slight increase of 0.22%, underperforming compared to the broader market. Wind power rose by 3.48%, while solar energy saw a decline of 1.61% [3] - The humanoid robot sector is gaining momentum, with significant developments such as the establishment of a national training base for humanoid robots in Beijing and the launch of emotional companion robots by companies like UBTECH [3] - In energy storage, there is a push for virtual power plant models in photovoltaic projects, and integrated "source-grid-load-storage" systems are being promoted in pilot areas [3] Market Data - In November, the wholesale sales of new energy vehicles in China reached 1.72 million units, a year-on-year increase of 20% [3] - The average price of cobalt increased by 2.6% to 413,500 CNY per ton, while lithium carbonate prices saw a slight decrease of 0.5% [3] - The report notes that the total investment in the power grid is projected to be 23.1 billion CNY, with the approval of a high-voltage AC project expected to commence next year [3] Investment Strategy - The report emphasizes the expected 60%+ growth in large-scale energy storage demand in China, driven by new pricing policies and robust market conditions. It forecasts a global energy storage installation growth of 50-60% in the coming year [3] - The report recommends several companies for investment, including CATL, Sungrow Power, and BYD, highlighting their strong market positions and growth potential [6]
电力设备与新能源行业周观察:看好变压器、燃气轮机海外需求,机器人产业化推进
HUAXI Securities· 2025-12-07 12:16
证券研究报告|行业研究周报 [Table_Date] 2025 年 12 月 7 日 [Table_Title] 看好变压器&燃气轮机海外需求,机器人产业化推 进 [Table_Title2] 电力设备与新能源行业周观察 [Table_Summary] 报告摘要 随着海内外企业布局加速&AI 技术突破,人形机器有望迎来量产落 地时点。在降本需求的驱动下,人形机器人核心零部件的国产替代 需求强烈,市场空间广阔,率先取得突破的国内企业有望深度受 益。灵巧手、大脑和轻量化是人形机器人商业化落地的关键环节, 重点看好技术迭代和产业演进领先的国内生产厂商。 多家车企公布 11 月新能源汽车交付/销量 我们认为,在行业旺季趋势下,11月国内多数车企实现新能源汽车 交付/销量环比增长,全年新能源汽车表现亮眼。明年展望来看, 国内新能源汽车预计保持稳定增长,商用车电动化率提升叠加单车 带电量的增加预计带动动力电池需求较快增长。叠加国内外储能高 景气度,预计全年锂电池出货同比增长明显。在前期供给过剩导致 价格大幅下跌的背景下,动力及储能电池产业链多数企业出现亏 损。在"反内卷"趋势下,叠加海内外动储需求共振,电池及材料 环节迎 ...
隆基入局 光伏巨头抢滩储能赛道
经济观察报· 2025-12-06 08:10
Core Viewpoint - The entry of leading photovoltaic companies into the energy storage sector is a strategic response to industry pressures and a shift towards integrated energy solutions, highlighting the growing importance of energy storage in the renewable energy landscape [1][10]. Group 1: Industry Trends - The frequency of discussions around "energy storage" has significantly increased, indicating a shift in focus among photovoltaic companies from traditional products to energy storage solutions [2]. - Major players in the photovoltaic sector, including LONGi Green Energy, Trina Solar, and JinkoSolar, have all made moves into the energy storage market, seeking new growth opportunities amid competitive pressures [3][5]. - The energy storage market is seen as a critical component of the renewable energy system, transitioning from policy-driven to market-driven growth [10][11]. Group 2: Company Strategies - LONGi Green Energy's acquisition of a controlling stake in Suzhou Jingkong Energy Technology Co., Ltd. marks its formal entry into the energy storage sector, aiming to leverage existing technologies and market resources [5]. - Trina Solar has been an early entrant into the energy storage market, with significant investments in research and development since 2015, leading to a substantial increase in its energy storage shipments [7]. - JinkoSolar and JA Solar have also made strategic moves into energy storage, with JinkoSolar targeting a shipment goal of 6 GWh for 2025, primarily in high-profit overseas markets [8][20]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The global photovoltaic market is experiencing a slowdown, with projections indicating a decrease in new installations, which is prompting companies to diversify into energy storage as a new growth avenue [14][15]. - The demand for energy storage is driven by the need for grid stability and the integration of renewable energy sources, with significant growth expected in both domestic and international markets [11][19]. - The Chinese government has set ambitious targets for energy storage capacity, aiming for over 180 GW by 2027, which is expected to further stimulate market growth [19]. Group 4: Investment and Growth Potential - Energy storage is viewed as a "second growth curve" for leading photovoltaic companies, with expectations that it will become a standard component of renewable energy projects in the next 3 to 5 years [19][20]. - Companies are leveraging their existing brand and market presence to integrate energy storage solutions into their offerings, enhancing their competitive edge and addressing market demands [12][20]. - The transition to energy storage is seen as a necessary evolution for companies to maintain relevance and profitability in a changing energy landscape [10][12].
【金融头条】隆基入局 光伏巨头抢滩储能赛道
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-12-06 04:28
Core Insights - The frequency of discussions around "energy storage" has significantly increased in the renewable energy sector, indicating a shift in focus among companies towards energy storage solutions as a response to market pressures and competition in the photovoltaic (PV) industry [2][3]. Industry Trends - Major players in the photovoltaic sector, such as Trina Solar and LONGi Green Energy, are increasingly integrating energy storage into their business models, with LONGi officially entering the energy storage market by acquiring a controlling stake in Suzhou Jingkong Energy Technology [4][5][6]. - The trend of "photovoltaic + energy storage" is becoming a new competitive landscape, with all leading PV companies now participating in the energy storage sector [7]. Company Strategies - Companies like Trina Solar and Canadian Solar have been early entrants into the energy storage market, with Trina Solar's storage business entering a growth phase and Canadian Solar adjusting its business structure to focus on the U.S. market [9][16]. - The energy storage market is viewed as a critical component of the renewable energy system, with companies recognizing the need to adapt to market-driven demands rather than solely relying on policy incentives [11][12]. Market Dynamics - The global photovoltaic market is experiencing a slowdown, with projections indicating that the growth rate of new installations will decline in the coming years, prompting companies to seek alternative growth avenues such as energy storage [15][17]. - The demand for energy storage is driven by the increasing need for grid stability and the integration of renewable energy sources, with significant growth expected in both domestic and international markets [13][20]. Future Outlook - The energy storage sector is anticipated to become a standard component of renewable energy projects within the next 3 to 5 years, supported by favorable policies and market conditions [18][19]. - Companies are expected to see substantial growth in their energy storage business, with projections indicating that the shipment of energy storage systems will double in the coming year, particularly in high-margin markets like Europe and North America [20].
隆基绿能着力拓展BC产品海外市场
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-12-05 16:37
Group 1 - Longi Green Energy has intensified its overseas expansion of Back Contact (BC) products, recently partnering with Petronas to supply efficient BC modules for clean energy projects in the Asia-Pacific market [2] - The collaboration with Petronas aims to enhance the strategic partnership and promote high-level BC technology demonstration projects [2] - Longi Green Energy's Hi-MO9 module has shown a stable power generation increase of 1.21% to 3.92% compared to mainstream TOPCon modules, particularly excelling in high-temperature and high-humidity environments [3] Group 2 - Longi Green Energy has signed a strategic cooperation memorandum with Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia (UKM) to focus on solar technology innovation and local talent development [3] - The company has also signed a cooperation agreement for the 1.5GW solar project in Abu Dhabi, which is the largest single solar power plant under construction globally, supplying the latest Hi-MO9BC modules [4] - Longi Green Energy's net profit for the first three quarters of the year has reduced losses by approximately 48%, with operating cash flow turning positive, indicating a strong recovery momentum [5] Group 3 - The BC products have a significant premium in overseas markets, particularly in Europe, contributing to the company's financial recovery [6] - As of mid-2025, approximately 45% of Longi Green Energy's BC product sales occurred in overseas markets, with plans to increase BC second-generation capacity to 50GW by the end of 2025 [7] - The company's recent overseas market strategies are expected to enhance its global market share amid complex international conditions [7]
隆基绿能正式入局储能
Zhong Guo Hua Gong Bao· 2025-12-05 09:55
佘海峰强调,为践行"极致安全"的价值主张,隆基选择与精控能源(PotisEdge)展开深度合作,将为隆 基储能解决方案提供技术支撑。 此外,为加速欧洲能源转型进程,隆基宣布在欧洲设立首个光储技术创新中心。该中心将整合项目咨 询、技术培训、运维支持与备件服务等核心职能,致力于提供快速响应、覆盖全生命周期的本地化专业 服务。 面对2050年全球电力需求预计翻倍的挑战,隆基绿能集团副总裁佘海峰首次提出以光伏、储能、氢能为 核心的"稳定三角"能源架构。"光伏是清洁能源的创造者,储能是电力系统的稳定器,氢能则是平衡能 源系统的调节器。"佘海峰表示,"三者的协同将构建真正广普及、高韧性、可负担的零碳能源体系。" 据悉,目前隆基已在光伏与氢能领域积累了技术——HIBC电池效率达27.81%、ALK电解槽产能全球第 一。此次布局储能业务,标志着隆基"光储氢"全价值链闭环的战略布局进一步完善。 中化新网讯 当地时间11月26日,隆基绿能在英国伦敦首次向外界阐述其储能战略,正式宣布进军储能 领域,并推出隆基储能一站式解决方案。 ...