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中信建投证券:预计我国可回收火箭年内迎来密集试飞 更好满足卫星发射需求
Ge Long Hui· 2026-01-12 02:31
Core Viewpoint - CITIC Securities predicts that China's reusable rockets will undergo intensive test flights by 2026, which will help reduce launch costs and increase launch frequency to better meet the surging demand for satellite launches [1] Group 1: Reusable Rocket Development - By 2025, China successfully completed the maiden flights of two reusable rockets, Zhuque-3 and Long March 12A, with both launches achieving success [1] - Further technological iterations and validations are needed for the recovery of the first stage of these rockets [1] - It is expected that around 10 models of reusable rockets will be ready for their maiden or recovery flights by 2026, with some models anticipated to achieve successful recovery [1] Group 2: Launch Frequency and Infrastructure - The gradual construction and utilization of domestic commercial rocket launch sites, along with the improvement of related support systems, are expected to shorten the rocket test flight cycle [1] - The total number of launches in 2026 is projected to exceed 100, up from 92 launches in 2025, laying a solid foundation for the normalization of reusable rocket launches and enhancing satellite transportation capacity [1]
券商晨会精华 | 主题、小票轮动格局还会延续
智通财经网· 2026-01-12 00:55
中信证券:主题、小票轮动格局还会延续 目前的市场仍处于一个配置型和量化资金富裕,存量交易型资金活跃,个股定价型资金匮乏的环境,市 场要走出基本面驱动的单边趋势行情,还有待超预期的内需变化发生。从资金节奏看,今年春节后仅两 周便临近两会,对于在当前躁动主线中踏空的资金而言,"暂缓入市、等待更清晰的基本面线索"是更理 性的选择——无论是提振内需的具体政策、城乡居民增收计划,还是行业"反内卷"的方向,都可待两会 期间线索明朗后再布局。当前市场的一致预期是 "政策难有强变化",这一判断在静态视角下成立。但 动态来看,今年外部贸易环境的复杂度远超去年,任何不利变动都可能进一步加大仅靠外需实现5%左 右GDP 增速的难度,内需的关键性会愈发凸显,政策调整也可能随形势变化随时落地,不能固守固有 政策叙事做线性外推。对配置型资金而言,当下的市场躁动并非调仓追热点的时机,今年3月下旬至4月 才是关键的结构调整决策窗口。从过去20年的历史来看,当年1月涨幅前三的行业与全年涨幅前三的行 业重合的概率为29%,慢牛路还长,踏空的投资者也无需过度焦虑。 上周五市场震荡拉升,沪指高开高走突破4100点,深成指涨超1%。沪深两市成交额3. ...
牛市行情或将继续推进,军工行业催化较多
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2026-01-12 00:27
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the A-share market is expected to continue its bullish trend, supported by improved PMI and inflation data, increased market participation from external funds, and favorable conditions for technology sectors [1] - The A-share market's trading volume has surpassed 3 trillion yuan, indicating a strong market momentum [1] - There is a significant increase in external funding inflow, including financing and foreign capital, with expectations for further inflows from insurance and resident funds [1] Group 2 - The copper market is projected to remain strong, with the price not expected to peak at $13,000, indicating a positive outlook for copper prices through 2026 [2] - The A-share market is underpinned by potential profit improvements and capital inflows, with a favorable liquidity environment anticipated before the Spring Festival [3] - The technology sector is expected to yield significant excess returns during the spring market, with industry catalysts likely to drive market expansion [3]
中信建投:投资与需求端利好频出 关注扩内需与高景气细分赛道
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2026-01-12 00:16
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that the domestic economic investment and demand in China have shown positive signs since the beginning of the year, supported by early issuance of construction project lists and budget plans totaling approximately 295 billion yuan, which is an increase of 95 billion yuan compared to the same period last year [1] - The report highlights that the issuance of special bonds and government bonds has accelerated, with concentrated project commencement and policy support providing strong backing for investment [1] - On the demand side, the price level has rebounded unexpectedly, with the Producer Price Index (PPI) increasing by 0.2% month-on-month and the year-on-year decline narrowing to 1.9% [1] Group 2 - The report mentions that the recent State Council meeting has further deployed a package of fiscal and financial policies to promote domestic demand, focusing on boosting consumption and private investment [1] - It is suggested that investment growth will significantly rebound in the second half of 2025 due to the impact of a series of policy tools, leading to a notable recovery in social demand [1] - The report recommends paying attention to undervalued cyclical sectors such as steel structures and infrastructure, as well as industries with recent positive developments like space photovoltaics, nuclear energy, and storage [1]
中信建投:投资与需求端利好频出,关注扩内需与高景气细分赛道
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that the domestic economic investment and demand in China have shown positive signs since the beginning of the year, supported by government initiatives and policies [1] - The National Development and Reform Commission has issued an early batch of "two heavy" construction project lists and central budget investment plans totaling approximately 295 billion yuan, which is an increase of 95 billion yuan compared to the same period last year [1] - Local special bonds and government bonds are being issued promptly, with concentrated project commencement and policy support providing strong backing for investments [1] Group 2 - On the demand side, the price level has rebounded more than expected, with the Producer Price Index (PPI) increasing by 0.2% month-on-month and the year-on-year decline narrowing to 1.9% [1] - Recent State Council meetings have further deployed a package of fiscal and financial policies to promote domestic demand, focusing on consumption and private investment [1] - It is anticipated that investment growth will significantly rebound in the second half of 2025 due to the impact of a series of policy tools, leading to a notable recovery in social demand [1] Group 3 - The report suggests paying attention to undervalued cyclical sectors such as steel structures and infrastructure [1] - Recent favorable developments in industries like space photovoltaics, nuclear energy, and storage have been noted, with recommendations to focus on nuclear power construction and cleanroom construction companies [1]
中信建投:央国企改革进入纵深推进阶段
Core Viewpoint - The report from CITIC Construction Investment indicates that the reform of central state-owned enterprises (SOEs) will deepen from late 2025 to early 2026, focusing on professional restructuring, strategic upgrades, and industrial synergy [1] Group 1: Restructuring and Integration - The vertical integration of Sinopec and China Aviation Oil serves as a benchmark, creating a comprehensive "refining-storage-distribution" system [1] - This integration not only aligns with the policy direction of SOE reform but also addresses the industry's pain points regarding insufficient collaboration in aviation fuel [1] Group 2: Competitive Advantage and Supply Security - The restructuring enhances international competitiveness and supply security capabilities [1] - The establishment of a Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) industrial ecosystem supports the low-carbon transition of the aviation industry [1] Group 3: Focus Areas for Future Development - Central SOEs are concentrating on intelligent, green, and integrated transformations, leveraging the "14th Five-Year Plan" to expand into emerging industries [1] - Key focus areas include new energy, 6G technology, and biobreeding [1]
券商展望2026年北交所:投资逻辑转向个股深度挖掘
随着"十五五"开局,多家主流券商近期密集发布2026年北交所投资策略。其中,"新质生产 力"与"中小盘成长股"成为共识性的布局焦点。开源证券建议关注春季行情中代表新质生产力的产业链 机会;中信建投证券认为,新质生产力、科技创新与战略资源等领域将孕育丰富的结构性投资机会。作 为服务创新型中小企业的核心阵地,北交所正日益成为资本市场布局前沿科技与产业升级的重要战场。 投资逻辑转变 历经前期的市场发展和估值修复,主流券商普遍认为,北交所的投资逻辑正发生深刻变化,已从板 块普涨转向个股价值深度挖掘。在这一新范式下,具备核心竞争力的企业将脱颖而出。 从市场节奏来看,华源证券认为,2025年有多达34家北交所公司股价翻倍,显示出强大的市场弹 性,2026年北交所的"春季躁动"行情值得投资者积极布局。 业内普遍认为,随着市场生态持续优化,一个"优质企业聚集—流动性改善—制度赋能—业绩兑 现"的正循环已在北交所逐步形成。这个曾经聚焦"小而美"企业的市场,正聚力迈向"强而久"的新发展 阶段。对于投资者而言,2026年的北交所,将更考验其精准识别真成长企业的能力。 聚焦新质生产力 "新质生产力"已成为券商展望2026年北交所时绕 ...
中信建投:铜的行情仍未结束,看好2026年铜价赔率
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-11 13:07
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that the non-ferrous metals market, particularly copper and aluminum, is experiencing a strong year-end performance driven by strategic resource pricing and unexpected monetary easing in the U.S. [1] - The essence of the non-ferrous market is tied to the pricing of the global transition between old and new orders, indicating that copper will take over from gold and silver in terms of market momentum [1] - The report suggests that the current copper price of $13,000 is not the peak for this cycle, and there is optimism for copper price performance through 2026 [1]
中信建投:铜的行情仍未结束 看好2026年铜价赔率
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that the copper market is expected to continue its strong performance, driven by strategic resource security and unexpected monetary easing in the U.S. [1] - The report from CITIC Securities indicates that the performance of non-ferrous metals, particularly copper and aluminum, has been robust towards the end of the year [1] - The article suggests that the copper price is not at its peak, with a target price of $13,000 not being the end point for this round of copper pricing, and it expresses optimism for copper prices through 2026 [1]
中信建投:有色行情仍未结束
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-11 11:50
Group 1: Market Overview - Recent focus in the Chinese capital market is on the RMB exchange rate and non-ferrous metal trends [1][22] - The A-share market opened strong, with the Shanghai Composite Index surpassing 4100 points, marking a 10-year high, while the H-share market experienced slight adjustments [8][24] - The strong performance in the equity market is contrasted by a pullback in the bond market, with the 10-year government bond yield reaching 1.9% [10][26] Group 2: Non-Ferrous Metals - The non-ferrous metal market, particularly copper and aluminum, is expected to maintain strong performance, driven by strategic resource pricing and unexpected monetary easing in the U.S. [2][22] - Copper prices are projected to continue rising, with a target of $13,000 not being the peak for this cycle, and a favorable outlook for 2026 [2][22] - The essence of the non-ferrous market is seen as a reflection of the global shift in pricing and order, with copper expected to take over from gold [2][22] Group 3: Currency Outlook - There is a bullish outlook on the appreciation of the RMB, driven by the return of funds to China and a revaluation of RMB assets [2][22] - The short-term stability of the RMB exchange rate is anticipated, with discussions on appreciation likely to coincide with peaks in foreign exchange settlements [2][22] Group 4: Economic Policies and Data - The People's Bank of China is expected to continue implementing a moderately loose monetary policy, focusing on high-quality economic development and reasonable price recovery [18][37] - Recent economic data shows a positive trend, with December CPI and PPI both increasing by 0.2%, indicating improvements in various sectors [19][38] - The government is taking measures to combat "involution" in sectors like photovoltaics, batteries, and food delivery platforms [36][37] Group 5: Commodity Performance - Geopolitical risks have led to a resurgence in gold and oil markets, with gold prices breaking through $4,500 per ounce and copper prices exceeding $13,000 [16][32] - The oil market is experiencing a rebound driven by geopolitical premiums rather than fundamental improvements, with global oversupply limiting long-term price increases [35][32]