New Stock Listings - HanGao Group listed on July 30, 2025, with an issue price of 15.43[1] - *ST Zitian and *ST Suwu are under severe abnormal fluctuations as of July 30, 2025[1] - Tianlu Convertible Bonds listed on July 30, 2025, with a risk warning[1] Market Alerts - Multiple stocks including *ST Xinchao and *ST Yuancheng are flagged for severe abnormal fluctuations on July 30, 2025[1] - New listings include companies like Xianghe Precision and Shenshui Planning, with announcements made on July 30, 2025[1] - The report includes links to detailed announcements for each stock, ensuring transparency and accessibility for investors[1] Trading Insights - The report highlights the importance of monitoring newly listed stocks for potential volatility and investment opportunities[1] - Investors are advised to review the latest announcements and risk warnings associated with these stocks to make informed decisions[1]

Group 1: Stock Recommendations - The report recommends 10 stocks and 3 ETFs based on a top-down approach for August allocation [1] - Lu'an Huanneng is highlighted for its high spot coal ratio, significant earnings elasticity, and low PB valuation [1][8] - Huayou Cobalt benefits from integrated layout advantages, stable incremental profit from wet nickel production, and a significant decrease in cobalt imports in June [1][8] - Geely Automobile's privatization of Zeekr will enhance resource integration and decision-making efficiency, with an adjusted annual sales target of 3 million vehicles [2][8] - Cambrian is positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for AI chips and has plans for hardware and software platform development [2][8] - SMIC is advancing in domestic computing capabilities with improved yield rates and is expected to benefit from the semiconductor cycle [2][8] - North Navigation is a leader in the long-range fire industry, experiencing rapid demand recovery and implementing stock incentives [3][8] - Shengquan Group is a leading supplier in high-frequency resin, expected to see rapid growth due to PCB industry demand [3][8] - CITIC Securities is well-positioned in the financial sector with a solid market position and ample IPO reserves [3][8] - Jiao You International focuses on cross-border mineral logistics, particularly in Africa, ensuring efficient and secure transportation [3][8] - China Jinmao has made significant impairment provisions and is on track to meet its sales target [4][8] Group 2: ETF Recommendations - Recommended ETFs include Military Industry ETF, TMT ETF, and Chemical ETF, reflecting sectoral strengths [4][10] - The Military Industry ETF has a total net value of 171.45 billion yuan with a year-to-date growth rate of 14.33% [10] - The TMT ETF shows a year-to-date growth rate of 12.27% and a total net value of 5.02 billion yuan [10] - The Chemical ETF has a total net value of 33.81 billion yuan with a growth rate of 9.22% [10] Group 3: Financial Data Highlights - Lu'an Huanneng's EPS is projected to be 0.65 yuan in 2025, with a PE ratio of 23 [9] - Huayou Cobalt's EPS is expected to rise to 3.11 yuan in 2025, with a PE ratio of 15 [9] - Geely Automobile's EPS is forecasted at 1.61 yuan in 2025, maintaining a PE ratio of 11 [9] - Cambrian is projected to have an EPS of 3.04 yuan in 2025, with a high PE ratio of 234 [9] - SMIC's EPS is expected to reach 0.64 yuan in 2025, with a PE ratio of 144 [9] - North Navigation's EPS is projected at 0.17 yuan in 2025, with a PE ratio of 104 [9] - Shengquan Group's EPS is expected to be 1.53 yuan in 2025, with a PE ratio of 21 [9] - CITIC Securities is projected to have an EPS of 1.56 yuan in 2025, with a PE ratio of 19 [9] - Jiao You International's EPS is expected to be 1.49 yuan in 2025, with a PE ratio of 8 [9] - China Jinmao's EPS is projected at 0.12 yuan in 2025, with a PE ratio of 11 [9]

盘面上，煤炭、油气股活跃，影视院线、军工电子、稀土永磁板块小幅走高；医药股集体回调；婴童概 念跌幅居前。 09:29 煤炭板块多数高开，陕西黑猫、郑州煤电涨超2%，潞安环能涨超1%，中国神华、山煤国际等跟 涨。 09:25 A股开盘丨三大股指集体低开 上证指数跌0.04%，深证成指跌0.23%，创业板指跌0.45%。 | 代码 | 名称 | 两日图 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 000001 | 上证指数 | 1 | 3608.35c | -1.36 | -0.04% | | 399001 | 深证成指 | W | 11262.98 c | -26.43 | -0.23% | | 399006 | 创业板指 | N | 2395.86c | -10.74 | -0.45% | 09:15 人民币对美元中间价报7.1441，调升70个基点。前一交易日中间价报7.1511。 09:21 港股开盘丨恒生科技指数跌1.83% 恒指低开0.74%，恒生科技指数跌1.83%。新能源车企全线走弱，理想汽车发布i8新款后低开9%，比亚 迪股 ...

证券之星消息，7月29日煤炭开采板块较上一交易日上涨0.62%，潞安环能领涨。当日上证指数报收于 3609.71，上涨0.33%。深证成指报收于11289.41，上涨0.64%。煤炭开采板块个股涨跌见下表： 以上内容为证券之星据公开信息整理，由AI算法生成（网信算备310104345710301240019号），不构成投资建议。 从资金流向上来看，当日煤炭开采板块主力资金净流入6692.24万元，游资资金净流出5055.48万元，散 户资金净流出1636.76万元。煤炭开采板块个股资金流向见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 6619109 | 路安休能 | 14.70 | 5.38% | 116.59万 | 16.66亿 | | 601101 | 吴华能源 | 7.67 | 2.13% | 17.75万 | · 1.34亿 | | 000983 | 山西焦煤 | 7.45 | 2.05% | 123.03万 | 9.02亿 | | 600985 | 淮北矿业 | 12.97 ...

Group 1 - The coal sector experienced a significant rebound on July 29, with coal ETFs turning from decline to an increase of nearly 1%, and major coal companies like Lu'an Huanneng seeing a surge of nearly 6% [1][3] - The primary driver for this rebound is the rise in Asian coal prices, which have reached a five-month high due to increased electricity demand from air conditioning amid high temperatures and reduced inventory levels [1][3] - Newcastle thermal coal futures in Australia rose to $115.50 per ton, marking the highest level since February of this year, despite still being approximately 75% lower than the peak prices seen after the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2022 [3] Group 2 - Domestic coal prices are showing signs of increase, with Qinhuangdao port thermal coal prices rising to 645 yuan per ton, an increase of 11 yuan per ton week-on-week as of July 26 [5] - The price of thermal coal from Shanxi reached 580 yuan per ton, up 5 yuan per ton week-on-week, while Inner Mongolia's coal prices also saw increases [5] - According to China International Capital Corporation (CICC), a rebound in thermal coal prices is expected in the second half of the year, particularly as the heating season begins in October, suggesting that the low point for thermal coal prices may have occurred in June [6] Group 3 - The outlook for coking coal prices is also positive, with expectations of a rebound; however, the sustainability of this rebound will depend on whether production cuts are realized [6] - Open-source securities indicate that the coal sector fundamentals remain favorable, with the current low holdings in coal stocks suggesting it may be an opportune time for investment [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the coal industry is "Positive (Maintain)" [1] Core Views - The coal market is experiencing a rebound in prices for thermal coal and coking coal, indicating a favorable fundamental outlook [4][17] - The current price of Qinhuangdao Q5500 thermal coal is 653 CNY/ton, reflecting a 7.2% increase from the lowest price earlier this year [4][35] - The supply side remains constrained with a low operating rate of 81.3% among 442 coal mines in Shanxi, Shaanxi, and Inner Mongolia [4][25] - The demand for electricity coal is high due to the summer peak season, supporting price increases [4][25] - Coking coal prices have also surged, with the price of main coking coal at Jing Tang Port reaching 1680 CNY/ton, a 16.67% increase [4][26] Summary by Sections Investment Perspective - The coal market fundamentals are favorable, and it is time to position for growth as prices are expected to recover towards long-term contract prices around 670 CNY [4][17] - The price of coking coal is more influenced by supply and demand dynamics, with current prices indicating a recovery from previous lows [4][17] Market Performance - The coal index rose by 7.98%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 6.29 percentage points [28] - Major coal companies have shown significant price increases, with Lu'an Energy up by 31.22% and Jinko Coal up by 18.83% [28] Key Indicators - The average PE ratio for the coal sector is 12.23, and the PB ratio is 1.26, indicating relatively low valuations compared to other sectors [29][32] - The port price for thermal coal has seen a slight increase, with Qinhuangdao Q5500 thermal coal price rising by 1.71% [35][38] Supply and Demand Dynamics - The operating rate of coal mines is at a low level, which may lead to further price increases as supply tightens [4][25] - The demand for non-electric coal remains strong, with methanol production rates at historical highs [4][25] Investment Recommendations - Four main investment lines are suggested: 1. Cycle logic: Jin控煤业 and 兖矿能源 for thermal coal 2. Dividend logic: 中国神华 and 中煤能源 for dividend potential 3. Diversified aluminum elasticity: 神火股份 and 电投能源 4. Growth logic: 新集能源 and 广汇能源 [5][18]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.12% on July 28, with 15 industries experiencing gains, led by defense and military industry at 1.86% and non-bank financials at 1.51% [1] - The coal industry saw the largest decline, dropping by 2.60%, followed by the steel industry at 1.41% [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The net outflow of main funds in the two markets was 18.575 billion yuan, with 8 industries seeing net inflows [1] - The electronics industry had the highest net inflow of 3.655 billion yuan, increasing by 1.10%, followed by the communications industry with a net inflow of 2.848 billion yuan and a daily increase of 1.24% [1] - A total of 23 industries experienced net outflows, with the computer industry leading at a net outflow of 6.892 billion yuan, followed by the non-ferrous metals industry at 3.254 billion yuan [1] Coal Industry Specifics - The coal industry experienced a decline of 2.60% with a net outflow of 1.046 billion yuan, affecting all 37 stocks in the sector [2] - The top three stocks with the largest net outflows were Shanxi Coking Coal at 177.90 million yuan, Yongtai Energy at 147.91 million yuan, and Lu'an Environmental Energy at 109.55 million yuan [2] - The stocks with the highest net inflows included Huaihe Energy at 8.5515 million yuan, followed by Panjiang Coal and New Dazhou A at 8.0408 million yuan and 5.6844 million yuan respectively [2][3]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [10] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the potential for coal prices to rebound due to the "anti-involution" policy, which is expected to lead to actual production cuts and improve coal prices. The analysis is based on the mean reversion of return on equity (ROE) and the reasonable profit distribution levels of thermal coal and coking coal within their respective industrial chains [2][6][8] Summary by Sections Introduction - The "anti-involution" policy has catalyzed significant increases in coal commodities and equity prices. The report highlights the importance of understanding the future space for coal under this policy, particularly following the State Energy Administration's notice regarding coal mine production inspections [6][18] ROE Perspective - The report calculates the expected central price levels for thermal coal and coking coal based on historical average ROE. The central price for thermal coal is estimated at 749 CNY/ton, which is 96 CNY/ton higher than the price of 653 CNY/ton on July 25, 2025 (+14.7%). For coking coal, the central price is estimated at 1838 CNY/ton, which is 158 CNY/ton higher than the July 25 price of 1680 CNY/ton (+9.4%) [6][34][35] Industry Chain Perspective - The report assesses the reasonable price levels for thermal coal and coking coal based on profit distribution in the coal-electricity and coal-steel industrial chains. It estimates that the reasonable price for thermal coal could be between 776 CNY/ton and 835 CNY/ton, reflecting potential increases of 18.9% and 27.9% respectively from current prices. For coking coal, the reasonable price could range from 1707 CNY/ton to 2094 CNY/ton, with corresponding increases of 1.6% to 24.7% [7][44][45] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that there is still room for price-to-book (PB) mean reversion, indicating a favorable investment ratio for coal stocks. It recommends focusing on short-term rebounds and long-term reversal opportunities in the coal sector. Specific stock recommendations include: 1. Elastic stocks: Lu'an Environmental Energy, Pingmei Shenma, Huaibei Mining, Shanxi Coking Coal, Yanzhou Coal, Jinkong Coal, and Shanmei International 2. Long-term stable profit leaders: China Coal Energy (A+H), China Shenhua (A+H), and Shaanxi Coal and Chemical 3. Transition growth stocks: Electric Power Investment Energy and New Energy [8][50][52]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the coal mining industry is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The current phase is seen as the beginning of a new upward cycle in the coal economy, supported by both fundamental and policy factors, making it an opportune time to invest in the coal sector [11][12] - The report highlights a tightening supply side due to government policies aimed at curbing overproduction, which is expected to support a rebound in coal prices [3][11] - The underlying investment logic of coal capacity shortages remains unchanged, with a balanced short-term supply-demand situation and a medium to long-term gap still anticipated [11][12] Summary by Sections Coal Price Tracking - As of July 26, the market price for Qinhuangdao port thermal coal (Q5500) is 645 CNY/ton, an increase of 11 CNY/ton week-on-week [30] - The price for coking coal at Jing Tang port is reported at 1650 CNY/ton, up 230 CNY/ton week-on-week [32] Supply and Demand Tracking - The capacity utilization rate for sample thermal coal mines is 94%, down 0.6 percentage points week-on-week, while the utilization rate for coking coal mines is 86.9%, up 0.8 percentage points [11][42] - Daily coal consumption in inland provinces has decreased by 51,000 tons/day (-13.04%) and in coastal provinces by 19,600 tons/day (-8.1%) [11][42] Inventory Situation - Coal inventory in coastal provinces increased by 429,000 tons week-on-week, while inland provinces saw a slight increase of 85,000 tons [11] Company Performance - The coal sector has shown strong performance, with the coal mining sector rising by 8.00% this week, outperforming the broader market [15][17] - Key companies to focus on include China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry, and China Coal Energy, which are noted for their stable operations and solid performance [12][13]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the coal industry [10] Core Insights - The recent notice from the National Energy Administration regarding coal mine production checks is interpreted as a significant policy move to curb overproduction, potentially leading to a marginal reduction in coal supply of 140 million tons in the second half of the year, which represents 3% of the projected national coal output for 2024 [2][7] - The coal index (Yangtze) increased by 7.93% this week, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 6.24 percentage points, indicating strong market performance [6][20] - The price of thermal coal at Qinhuangdao port reached 653 RMB/ton, an increase of 11 RMB/ton week-on-week, while coking coal prices at Jingtang port rose to 1680 RMB/ton, up 240 RMB/ton week-on-week [6][20] Summary by Sections Policy and Production Impact - The policy aims to stabilize coal prices above long-term contract prices by enforcing stricter production limits, with annual coal output not exceeding announced capacity and monthly output limited to 110% of announced capacity [8] - The production check will cover eight provinces, including Shanxi, Inner Mongolia, and Xinjiang, with significant overproduction noted in Xinjiang and some months exceeding 100% capacity utilization in Shaanxi and Inner Mongolia [8][14] Market Performance - The coal sector's strong performance is attributed to favorable fundamentals and expectations of reduced supply due to the production checks, leading to a positive outlook for coal prices in the short term [6][20] - The report highlights that the demand for thermal coal is expected to rise due to high temperatures increasing electricity consumption, further supporting price increases [20] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several companies based on their potential for growth and stability, including: - Elastic stocks: Lu'an Energy, Pingmei Shenma, Huabei Mining, Shanxi Coking Coal, Yanzhou Coal, and Shanxi Coal International - Long-term stable profit leaders: China Coal Energy (A+H), China Shenhua (A+H), and Shaanxi Coal and Chemical - Transitioning growth companies: Electric Power Investment Energy and New Energy [9]