Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the machinery industry, particularly the technology innovation sector, presents significant investment opportunities looking towards 2026 [1] - Despite uncertainties in the export sector, there are structural opportunities due to the advancement of internationalization and the anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [1] - In terms of domestic demand, while there is unlikely to be a large-scale capacity expansion in the short term, stock prices are expected to rebound as capacity is cleared and general enterprises transition to growth industries [1]

证监会主席吴清近日明确提出对优质券商"适度松绑"，进一步优化风控指标，适度打开资本空间和杠杆 限制。这一表态被市场视为券商行业政策环境转向积极的重要信号。 12月6日，中国证监会主席吴清在中国证券业协会第八次会员大会上表示，各证券公司要立足自身资源 禀赋，发挥好比较优势，从价格竞争加快转向价值竞争。头部机构要保持时不我待、不进则退的紧迫 感，在市场竞争力、客户和投资者服务、风险管理等方面树标杆做表率，要进一步增强资源整合的意识 和能力，用好并购重组机制和工具，实现优势互补、高效配置，力争在"十五五"时期形成若干家具有较 大国际影响力的头部机构。 "需要强调的是，一流投行不是说就是头部机构的专属，中小机构也要把握优势、错位发展，在细分领 域、特色客户群、重点区域等方面集中资源，深耕细作，努力打造'小而美'的精品投行、特色投行和特 色服务商。"吴清说。 吴清表示，证监会将着力强化分类监管、扶优限劣，对优质机构适当松绑，进一步优化风控指标，适度 打开资本空间和杠杆限制，提升资本利用效率；对中小券商、外资券商在分类评价、业务准入等方面， 探索实施差异化监管，促进特色化发展；对少数问题券商要依法从严监管，违法的要依法从 ...

Core Viewpoints - The article emphasizes the expectation of a robust economic start in 2026 driven by proactive macro policies and structural reforms as part of the "14th Five-Year Plan" [1][5] - The appreciation of the RMB is anticipated to improve, nearing the "7" mark against the USD [1][19] Focused Commentary - Wu Qing highlights the importance of enhancing the inclusivity and adaptability of capital market systems during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, focusing on public fund reforms and aligning investor interests [3] - The article discusses the need for a binding mechanism for public funds to ensure investor profit and loss are core to assessments, promoting the development of equity funds and index investments [3] Equity Market - CITIC Securities predicts a more proactive policy direction in the upcoming Central Economic Work Conference, with a focus on consumption expansion, technological innovation, and real estate risk mitigation [5] - Huaxia Fund suggests that the "spring rally" may start earlier due to key meetings, improved macro liquidity, and easing of funding pressures, recommending a focus on AI, domestic demand recovery, and resource sectors [6] -招商证券 notes that December's market will be influenced by the Federal Reserve's meetings and domestic conferences, with a preference for large-cap stocks and blue-chip dividends [7] Industry Research - Galaxy Securities indicates that the power industry will see opportunities for capacity upgrades during the "14th Five-Year Plan," with a focus on stable profitability in thermal power and growth in nuclear power [12] - Harvest Fund expresses optimism for the energy storage sector, highlighting its transition to a growth phase driven by policy and technological advancements [13] - CITIC Construction Investment Securities sees significant growth potential in the low-altitude economy, predicting a market size exceeding one trillion by 2030 [14] Macro and Fixed Income - Huatai Securities anticipates a gradual appreciation of the RMB, with a forecast of 6.82 against the USD by the end of 2026, driven by strong export growth and seasonal currency settlement peaks [19] - Bosera Fund notes a cautious sentiment in the bond market, with a need for clearer signals of policy easing to boost demand [20] - Guotai Fund believes that the bond market may see a recovery opportunity following recent volatility, suggesting it could be a good time for long-term positioning [21] Asset Allocation - CICC recommends maintaining a "barbell" strategy in asset allocation, combining dividend stocks with technology investments, while adjusting weights based on market conditions [23]

Group 1 - The article discusses the potential impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and the upcoming Central Economic Work Conference on the macroeconomic landscape [2][4] - It highlights the expected changes in dollar liquidity and the reasons behind the recent strength of the Renminbi [4][5] - The article emphasizes the anticipated shift in global liquidity favoring AH shares and the revaluation of Renminbi assets, alongside the potential for a bull-bear transition in the US stock market [7][8] Group 2 - The analysis includes projections for the agricultural product market, questioning whether a global upcycle is beginning and identifying trading opportunities in grains, oils, cotton, sugar, and live pigs [10] - It estimates that the reallocation of household assets could bring approximately 5.4 to 12.0 trillion yuan of incremental funds to the A-share market by 2030 [12] - The potential incremental funds from insurance capital entering the A-share market are projected to be around 6.0 to 9.6 trillion yuan by 2026 [13]

Investment Rating - Maintain "Buy" rating for the REITs sector [5] Core Insights - The REITs market is expected to benefit from a low interest rate environment in 2025, with three main investment strategies suggested: focusing on policy-driven projects, recognizing the value of weak-cycle assets, and monitoring the expansion of REITs alongside new issuances [4][5] - The C-REITs secondary market has shown a general pullback, with only the data center sector performing positively, while other sectors like transportation and consumer infrastructure have seen significant declines [12][4] REITs Index Performance - The CSI REITs total return index decreased by 0.85% this week, closing at 1031.5 points, while the CSI REITs index fell by 0.98% to 801.2 points [10][11] - Year-to-date, the CSI REITs total return index has increased by 6.57%, ranking fourth among major indices [2][10] Secondary Market Performance - As of December 5, the total market capitalization of listed REITs is approximately 217.37 billion yuan, with an average market cap of about 2.8 billion yuan per REIT [12] - This week, 17 REITs increased in value while 58 declined, with an average weekly decline of 0.86% [12] Trading Activity - The data center sector exhibited the highest trading activity, with an average daily turnover rate of 0.6% [3] - The average daily trading volume for listed REITs was 121.9 million shares, with a turnover rate of 0.4% [3] Valuation Performance - The internal rate of return (IRR) for listed REITs has shown significant differentiation, with the top three being China Communications Construction REIT (9.7%), Ping An Guangzhou Guanghe REIT (9.6%), and E Fund Guangkai Industrial Park REIT (8.8%) [3] - The price-to-net asset value (P/NAV) ratio for REITs ranges from 0.7 to 1.8, with the highest being 1.8 for Harvest Wumei Consumer REIT [3]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the insurance sector, with a recommendation to focus on strong insurance companies such as New China Life Insurance, China Ping An, China Life Insurance H, and China Taiping [2][17] Core Insights - The non-bank financial sector (Shenwan) index increased by 2.27%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.99 percentage points, while the insurance sector saw a significant rise of 5.08% [1][9] - The insurance sector's growth is attributed to several factors, including a reduction in long-term stock holding risk factors, expected strong performance in dividend insurance products, and improved global liquidity due to anticipated interest rate cuts in the US [2][16] - The brokerage sector is expected to experience a valuation correction, with a current price-to-book (PB) ratio of 1.36x, indicating potential for recovery in profitability and valuation [2][19] - The banking sector has underperformed, with a decline of 1.18%, and is currently undervalued with a PB ratio of 0.55x, suggesting room for future valuation improvement [3][20] Summary by Sections Insurance Sector - The insurance index rose by 5.08%, significantly outperforming the CSI 300 index by 3.80 percentage points, driven by regulatory adjustments that lowered risk factors for long-term stock holdings [1][13] - The sector is expected to benefit from a favorable environment for dividend insurance products, with strong growth anticipated in the coming year [2][16] - Key recommendations include focusing on companies like New China Life Insurance and China Ping An, which are positioned for growth [17] Brokerage Sector - The brokerage index increased by 1.14%, with a current PB ratio of 1.36x, indicating a potential mismatch between profitability and valuation [2][19] - Regulatory changes are expected to enhance capital efficiency for leading brokerages, creating opportunities for investment in firms with strong fundamentals [2][18] - Recommended stocks include Guotai Junan, Huatai Securities, and Orient Securities, particularly those involved in mergers or restructuring [19] Banking Sector - The banking sector saw a decline of 1.18%, with a PB ratio of 0.55x, indicating that banks are currently undervalued [3][20] - Concerns about asset quality, particularly related to real estate and local government debt, have affected market perceptions, but there is potential for recovery as regulatory support continues [23][24] - Recommendations include focusing on high-quality city commercial banks in economically developed regions, such as Hangzhou Bank and Ningbo Bank [20][24]

非银金融 2025 年 12 月 07 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 -29% -19% -10% 0% 10% 19% 29% 2024-12 2025-04 2025-08 非银金融 沪深300 数据来源：聚源 相关研究报告 《监管态度转向积极，看好券商板块 行情—吴清主席在中证协大会的致辞 学习》-2025.12.7 《大国崛起需建设金融强国，券商海 外业务迎发展良机—券商海外业务深 度研究》-2025.11.30 《公募 REITs 试点纳入商业不动产， 险企开门红向好 — 行 业 周 报 》 -2025.11.30 券商杠杆上限有望松绑，险企调降风险因子释放资金 ——行业周报 lukun@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790524040002 周观点：券商杠杆上限有望松绑，险企调降风险因子释放资金 证监会主席吴清表态积极且超预期，保险投资端松绑政策符合预期。券商和保险 行业业务端景气延续，叠加政策端向好和全年相对滞涨，看好非银板块布局机会。 券商：监管表态积极，行业有望进入"政策宽松期"，杠杆上限提升助力 ROE 12 月 6 日证监会主席吴清在中证协第八次会员大会上致辞，表态积极，核心 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the brokerage sector, indicating a potential for gradual realization of the sector's rebound logic [3]. Core Insights - The recent speech by the chairman of the China Securities Association has shifted market expectations positively for the brokerage sector, with a strong certainty of an upward adjustment in the long-term ROE central [3]. - The report highlights three main investment themes: 1. The attractiveness of the equity market will benefit wealth management and asset management businesses of brokerages, with a specific recommendation for Dongfang Securities [3]. 2. Companies benefiting from an improved competitive landscape, with key recommendations including Guotai Junan, GF Securities, and CITIC Securities [3]. 3. Valuation mismatches in Huatai Securities A+H and strong international business competitiveness in China Galaxy and CICC [3]. Market Review - The Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index closed at 4,584.54, with a weekly change of +1.28%. The non-bank index closed at 1,975.96, with a weekly change of +2.27%. The brokerage, insurance, and diversified financial sectors reported changes of +1.14%, +5.08%, and +0.49%, respectively [6]. - The average daily trading volume for the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 16,962.89 billion, with a year-to-date increase of 61.08% compared to the previous year [17]. Non-Bank Industry Data - As of December 5, 2025, the 10-year government bond yield was 1.85%, with a weekly change of +1.14 basis points. The credit spread for corporate bonds was 0.54%, with a weekly change of +3.61 basis points [11]. - The insurance sector's original premium income for the first ten months of 2025 reached 5.48 trillion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 8% [28]. Individual Stock Highlights - In the insurance sector, notable A-share performances included China Pacific Insurance (+8.23%), Ping An (+5.09%), and China Life (+4.32%) [8]. - In the brokerage sector, the top performers included Zhongyin Securities (+7.89%) and Xingye Securities (+6.35%) [8].

12月6日，在中国证券业协会第八次会员大会上，选举产生了会 、专职副会 、兼职副会 。其中，常务 理事、会长为国泰海通证券董事长朱健。其余9位兼职副会长中有8位在证券公司任职，分别为中信建投 （601066）证券刘成、申万宏源证券（000562）刘健、中信证券邹迎光、国信证券张纳沙、中金公司 （601995）陈亮、广发证券林传辉、华泰证券周易、招商证券霍达。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the establishment of a digital research platform by CICC, aiming to provide efficient, professional, and accurate research services by integrating insights from over 30 specialized teams and covering more than 1800 individual stocks [1]. Group 1: Research Services - CICC's digital research platform, "CICC Insight," offers a one-stop service that includes research reports, conference activities, fundamental databases, and research frameworks [1]. - The platform utilizes advanced model technology to enhance the research process and deliver timely insights [1]. Group 2: Research Content - The platform features daily updates on research focuses and selects articles for timely dissemination [4]. - It includes over 3,000 complete research reports covering macroeconomics, industry research, and commodities [9]. Group 3: Data and Frameworks - CICC Insight provides access to more than 160 industry research frameworks and over 40 premium databases, along with a sophisticated data dashboard [10]. - The platform incorporates AI search capabilities for efficient information retrieval and intelligent Q&A features [10].