Group 1 - The chemical market is experiencing its worst sentiment in nearly seven to eight years, with expectations for 2026 indicating a continued oversupply and a potential decline in price volatility [1] - The chemical market is projected to face a "downward trend" in 2025, with excess pressure from industry expansion becoming more pronounced in the second half of the year [1] - Energy prices, including crude oil, ethane, and propane, have not yet found a bottom, and coal price support has weakened after a rebound [1] Group 2 - The methanol market is expected to normalize due to changes in logistics, with limited domestic supply increases but significant impacts from foreign production on port operations [2] - The polyester industry chain maintains optimistic demand expectations, with a potential increase in operating levels in 2026 and a recovery in profitability, particularly for ethylene glycol [2] - PVC faces historically high inventory issues, with prices dropping below historical records, and the main drivers in 2026 will come from capacity reductions in domestic and foreign supply [2] Group 3 - The main uncertainties for 2026 are related to "anti-involution" and "dual control," with the overall chemical sector lacking sufficient demand and driving forces, leading to a likely decrease in price volatility [3]

12月24日午后，非银金融板块走强，截至13时10分，瑞达期货涨超7%，此前触及涨停，南华期货、华 金资本、中银证券等涨超2%。 | 代码 | 名称 | | 涨幅% 1 | 涨跌 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 002961 | 瑞达期货 | 28.51 | 7.38 | 1.96 | | 600599 | *ST熊猫 | 10.36 | 3.50 | 0.35 | | 603093 | 南华期货 | 19.42 | 2.97 | 0.56 | | 000532 华金资本 | | 16.06 | 2.75 | 0.43 | | 601696 中银证券 | | 14.95 | 2.75 | 0.40 | | 600927 永安期货 | | 15.33 | 2.68 | 0.40 | | 600643 | 爱建集团 | 5.40 | 2.27 | 0.12 | | 601688 | 华泰证券 | 23.66 | 1.98 | 0.46 | | 601555 | 东吴证券 | 9.03 | 1.92 | 0.17 | 上证报中国证券网讯 12月24日午后，非银金融板块走强，截 ...

Core Viewpoint - Nanhua Futures has successfully listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, marking a significant milestone in the internationalization of China's futures industry and establishing a dual capital platform with A+H shares [1][2][3] Group 1: Company Overview and Market Position - Nanhua Futures is the second domestic futures company to achieve dual listing (A+H) after Hongye Futures, expanding the A+H futures company landscape to two [2] - The company has a market capitalization of approximately 120 billion RMB for A-shares and about 10 billion HKD for H-shares, totaling nearly 130 billion RMB, positioning it among the top in the domestic futures industry [2] - Nanhua Futures' H-share listing fills the gap for Chinese futures companies in the Hong Kong market in 2025, serving as a benchmark for cross-border IPOs in the non-bank financial sector [2][3] Group 2: Internationalization Strategy - Nanhua Futures has a 19-year history of internationalization, establishing its first overseas subsidiary in Hong Kong in 2006 and expanding to major financial centers including the US, Singapore, and the UK [4][5] - The company has developed a 24-hour trading service system across Asia, North America, and Europe, providing comprehensive derivatives trading, clearing, and risk management services [4] - Nanhua Futures has obtained membership qualifications from 18 major global exchanges and 15 clearing member qualifications, creating a competitive barrier that is difficult for domestic peers to replicate [5] Group 3: Financial Performance - In 2024, Nanhua Futures' overseas business revenue reached 654 million RMB, accounting for approximately 48.3% of total revenue, with a compound annual growth rate of 68.26% from 2022 to 2024 [6] - The gross profit margin of overseas business has consistently increased, reaching 71.26% in 2024, significantly higher than domestic business margins [6] - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 941 million RMB and a net profit of 351 million RMB, showing a slight decline of 1.92% year-on-year, outperforming the industry average [7] Group 4: Capital and Growth Potential - The net fundraising amount of 1.203 billion HKD from the H-share listing will enhance the capital strength of overseas subsidiaries, crucial for expanding international business and managing risks [8][9] - The dual capital platform provides flexible financing options, allowing the company to optimize financing methods based on market conditions, thereby reducing costs and enhancing risk resilience [9] - The internationalization of the futures industry is becoming essential for survival, driven by the increasing demand for cross-border risk management services as Chinese enterprises expand globally [10][11] Group 5: Future Outlook - Nanhua Futures is positioned to leverage its dual platform for significant growth in capital strength, brand influence, and business scale, potentially becoming a benchmark for the global futures industry [12][13] - The ongoing policy support for the opening of the futures market and the increasing demand for risk management services will provide long-term growth momentum for the company's overseas business [12][13]

Core Viewpoint - Nanhua Futures has successfully listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, marking its "A+H" dual listing and enhancing its international strategy and business innovation [1] Group 1: Listing and Market Impact - The listing signifies Nanhua Futures' completion of a multi-faceted layout in both domestic and international capital markets, injecting strong momentum into its internationalization strategy [1] - The entry of Nanhua Futures into the Hong Kong market adds a quality futures industry listing to the stock market [1] Group 2: Global Clearing Network - Nanhua Futures has established a comprehensive clearing network covering major global derivatives markets, positioning itself as a benchmark enterprise in the industry's internationalization process [2] - The company has obtained membership qualifications from 18 major global exchanges and 15 clearing member seats, significantly surpassing most domestic futures companies [2] - In the U.S. market, Nanhua has secured clearing memberships with top exchanges such as CME Group and ICE, enabling it to handle high-frequency clearing needs for commodities like gold and silver [2] - In Europe, Nanhua has acquired clearing qualifications from the London Metal Exchange (LME) and ICE Europe, effectively addressing cross-border clearing demands for energy products [2]

南华期货焦煤焦炭2026年度展望 ——终端需求弹性缺失下的价格僵局 张泫（投资咨询资格证号：Z0022723） 交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1290号 2025年12月23日 第一章 观点概要 【核心观点】展望2026年，国内煤焦市场将继续在"能源保供稳价"的基础上，通过"环保限产"、"查超产"、"控 能耗"等行政手段约束过量供应、稳定价格预期，并为焦煤价格提供相对稳固的底部支撑，预计全年国内焦煤 产量将同比小幅收紧（-0.5%）。此外，焦煤进口规模有望进一步扩张，预计全年净进口量较今年增加 （+3.3%）。在总量扩张的同时，焦煤进口结构也将面临调整，具体表现为来自蒙古、俄罗斯、加拿大的焦 煤进口增加，美国煤进口减少，澳煤份额则维持相对稳定。投资者需重点关注蒙煤进口规模扩大对国内焦煤 供需结构的冲击，以及澳煤作为海运市场的关键定价基准，其对国内焦煤价格反弹空间的估值约束。焦炭方 面，我们认为2026年焦化行业的利润修复面临双重制约。一方面，钢材出口监管趋严与"反内卷"政策共同作 用，或将削弱我国钢材的国际价格优势，进而拖累短期出口增速；另一方面，国内房地产、基建等传统内需 领域难有起色，黑色终端需求 ...

从资金流向上来看，当日多元金融板块主力资金净流出6.26亿元，游资资金净流入2.45亿元，散户资金 净流入3.81亿元。多元金融板块个股资金流向见下表： 以上内容为证券之星据公开信息整理，由AI算法生成（网信算备310104345710301240019号），不构成投资建议。 证券之星消息，12月23日多元金融板块较上一交易日下跌0.82%，南华期货领跌。当日上证指数报收于 3919.98，上涨0.07%。深证成指报收于13368.99，上涨0.27%。多元金融板块个股涨跌见下表： ...

·南华期货：白银价格回调风险可能进一步累积黄金形态相对良好 ·东吴期货：美元信用式微贵金属将维持上涨趋势 ·金瑞期货：金银价格的长期核心驱动因素仍保持稳健 ·Kitco Metals：避险升温推动下期金下一目标是收盘站稳4500美元 金瑞期货表示，美国此前公布的非农以及CPI数据偏弱，有利于美联储进一步降息，叠加议息会议结果 偏鸽，使得金银获得一定利好。而白银继续受到工业和金融双重属性影响，在供需缺口和现货偏紧的驱 动下强势上涨。而中长期来说，宏观上包括主权国家赤字问题、地缘风险以及去美元化驱动的央行购金 等因素并未改变，金银价格的长期核心驱动因素仍保持稳健，短期调整不改长期趋势，且下方空间相对 有限。 Kitco Metals高级市场分析师Jim Wyckoff在最新点评中写道，在地缘政治紧张局势加剧的情况下，金银 价格强劲上涨并创下了历史新高。日内发生的两大事件推升了市场对地缘局势紧张的担忧。一方面，美 国继续在委内瑞拉附近扣押油轮，美国加强对委内瑞拉的石油封锁导致原油和贵金属价格上涨。另一方 面，俄罗斯高级将领在莫斯科因汽车炸弹身亡，也推高了避险。此外，外部环境对贵金属价格也较为有 利：美元指数温和下跌 ...

Core Viewpoint - Nanhua Futures has successfully listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, achieving an "A+H" dual listing, marking a significant milestone in its capital market strategy [1] Group 1: Listing Details - Nanhua Futures raised a total of HKD 1.203 billion through this listing [1] - The listing follows the precedent set by Hongye Futures, making Nanhua Futures the second futures company to achieve an "A+H" dual capital platform [1] Group 2: Fund Utilization - The net proceeds from the global offering will be allocated entirely to Henghua International [1] - The company aims to use the funds to expand its overseas business, optimize its business structure, and enhance its competitiveness and risk management capabilities in the global market [1]

Group 1 - Four newly listed stocks in the Hong Kong market experienced significant declines on their debut, with drops of 49.46%, 29.32%, 24.17%, and 35.28% respectively, marking a record low for first-day performance in 2025 [1][8] - Among these, Ming Kee Hospital saw the largest drop, nearly halving its value, which is attributed to its high issuance price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of approximately 29.8 times, significantly above the industry average of about 17 times [5][10] - Impression Da Hong Pao, despite being oversubscribed by 3,397 times, still faced a drop of over 35% on its first day, indicating a decline in its shareholder profits [5][14] Group 2 - The collective failure of these new stocks is linked to tightening market liquidity, with southbound capital inflows significantly reduced in December and average daily trading volume on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange falling below HKD 200 billion [4][12] - Concerns regarding the valuation and fundamental performance of the new stocks have emerged, particularly for Ming Kee Hospital, which has seen a profit decrease of 34.95% year-on-year for 2024 [5][11] - The new IPO pricing mechanism introduced by the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in August, which allows a minimum public subscription ratio of 10%, has been criticized for potentially exacerbating the situation for companies with high valuations and low institutional interest [6][12] Group 3 - The Hong Kong IPO market has cooled significantly since November, with a 50% first-day drop rate among newly listed stocks, compared to 30.23% in the first half of the year and 35.71% for the entire year of 2024 [7][12] - Analysts suggest that the misalignment between primary market pricing and secondary market risk appetite, along with a heavy reliance on southbound capital, has made new stocks particularly vulnerable to sell-offs [13] - The recent performance of these four new stocks serves as a warning to investors that the era of easy profits from IPOs may be over, emphasizing the importance of fundamental quality and reasonable pricing in determining future performance [13]

Group 1 - International gold and silver prices reached historical highs, with spot gold at $4,412.62 per ounce, up 1.33% in a day, and silver showing an annual increase of over 139% [2][7] - Four main factors driving the rise in gold prices include the depreciation of the dollar due to the interest rate cut cycle, expectations of further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, the appeal of gold as a hedge against inflation, and increased demand for gold as a risk hedge amid international tensions [2][7] - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange saw four new stocks debut and all experienced price declines, indicating a cooling market for new listings [2][7] Group 2 - The former Bank of Japan official warned that aggressive fiscal stimulus could lead to interest rate hikes exceeding expectations, with potential increases of up to three times to 1.5% [2][7] - The Japanese inflation rate has exceeded the central bank's 2% target for nearly four years, with companies passing costs onto consumers [2][7] Group 3 - The control of Xusheng Group is set to change, with Guangzhou Industrial Control Group and its associates acquiring shares to hold a total of 27.05%, making the Guangzhou Municipal Government the actual controller [3][8] - Xusheng Group is focusing on precision aluminum alloy components and expanding into energy storage and robotics [3][8] Group 4 - The Hainan Free Trade Zone concept saw a surge, with 29 stocks rising and 22 hitting the daily limit, driven by themes like autonomous driving and a rebound in technology stocks [3][9] - The market is reacting positively to the full closure of the Hainan Free Trade Port, with a booming duty-free consumption market in Sanya [3][9] Group 5 - The computing power industry is seeing multiple companies announce capital increases and acquisitions, indicating active market movements [3][9] - Notable announcements include Yongding's subsidiary seeking to introduce investors through capital expansion and Lingyi's plan to acquire a 35% stake in Limin Da for 875 million yuan [3][9] Group 6 - Over 66,000 individuals faced liquidation in the cryptocurrency market as global interest rate cuts influenced market dynamics [4][10] - The People's Bank of China announced a one-time credit repair policy to assist individuals in restoring their credit status [4][10] Group 7 - Major institutions have differing views on the A-share market outlook, with some predicting a cross-year rally and others focusing on structural activity in the market [5][10] - Citic Securities highlights factors supporting the appreciation of the renminbi, while Everbright Securities notes the potential for a cross-year market rally [5][10] Group 8 - Elon Musk became the first person in history to surpass a net worth of $700 billion, with his wealth increasing to $749 billion due to the restoration of Tesla stock options valued at $139 billion [5][10] - The wealth gap between Musk and the second richest individual is nearly $500 billion [5][10]