Summary of Huayou Cobalt Co., Ltd. Conference Call Industry Overview - The commodity prices are supported by weak demand and supply disruptions, with a stabilization in the market due to improved China-U.S. trade relations [2][3] - The energy metals sector has shown a clear upward trend, particularly driven by the surge in demand for electric vehicles [2] - Energy metals have underperformed the non-ferrous sector by 80% over the past three years, but cobalt prices have increased from 150,000 CNY/ton in 2024 to 400,000 CNY/ton in February 2025, with expectations to reach 500,000 CNY/ton by 2026 [2][5] Company Insights: Huayou Cobalt - Huayou Cobalt's business encompasses cobalt, nickel, and lithium, with cobalt currently reflecting the catalytic effect, while nickel and lithium have not yet significantly contributed to performance [2][5] - The company benefits from the Congolese government's policies and the growing demand for new energy, with minimal downstream impact even if cobalt prices rise to 500,000 CNY/ton [2][6] - The Indonesian project is expected to achieve a production capacity of 220,000 to 240,000 tons next year, including approximately 24,000 tons of cobalt, unaffected by quotas [2][6] Market Dynamics - The lithium carbonate market is driven by energy storage demand, with expectations of achieving supply-demand balance or even shortages by 2026 [2][7] - Despite a recent downturn, lithium prices are stabilizing, and if energy storage demand continues to grow, prices are likely to rise [7] Cost Management and Production Efficiency - Huayou Cobalt has significantly reduced its lithium production costs from 120,000 CNY/ton to 70,000 CNY/ton, with future projections of 60,000 CNY/ton as the sulfate lithium project scales up [4][8] - The company aims for an annual lithium production capacity of 60,000 to 80,000 tons through improved recovery rates and resource utilization [8] Financial Performance and Projections - The company is expected to generate profits of 3 billion CNY each from nickel and cobalt businesses, totaling 6 billion CNY [6] - Plans to increase wet-process capacity by 120,000 tons by 2027 could effectively double the company's output [6] Competitive Advantages - Huayou Cobalt's integrated operational model enhances synergy across upstream metals, midstream precursors, and downstream cathode materials, leading to cost reductions [13] - Strong project execution capabilities and a competitive edge in Indonesian wet-process refining contribute to its market position [13] Future Outlook - The energy metals sector is at a transformative point, with prices expected to rise due to stable demand and marginal supply changes [14] - Huayou Cobalt's integrated operations and financial optimization position it well to capitalize on industry opportunities, indicating significant growth potential and undervaluation in stock price [14]

从资金流向上来看，当日能源金属板块主力资金净流入1.79亿元，游资资金净流出1.53亿元，散户资金净 流出2599.45万元。能源金属板块个股资金流向见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 主力净流入(元) | 主力净占比 游资净流入(元) | | 游资净占比 散户净流入(元) | | 散户净占比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 603799 | 华友钻业 | 1.02 Z | 1.84% | -6722.36万 | -1.21% | -3514.36万 | -0.63% | | 002460 | 赣锋锂业 | 5062.43万 | 0.99% | -5382.21万 | -1.05% | 319.78万 | 0.06% | | 002466 | 天齐锂业 | 4501.73万 | 1.49% | -4139.24万 | -1.37% | -362.49万 | -0.12% | | 000762 西藏矿业 | | 3017.67万 | 5.82% | -2165.60万 | -4.18% | -852.07万 | -1.64% | | 30 ...

Group 1: New Energy ETF Performance - The New Energy ETF has seen a turnover of 3.36% during trading, with a transaction volume of 46.41 million yuan [3] - The ETF's scale has increased by 19.18 million yuan over the past week, and its shares have grown by 18.8 million since the beginning of the month, ranking first among comparable funds [3] - The latest net inflow into the ETF is 12.67 million yuan, accumulating a total of 129 million yuan over the last 12 trading days [3] - As of October 24, the ETF's net value has risen by 57.63% over the past six months, placing it in the top 10.58% among index equity funds [3] - The ETF has achieved a maximum monthly return of 25.07% since its inception, with the longest streak of monthly gains being five months and an overall increase of 62.44% [3] Group 2: Battery Industry Growth - The power battery industry is experiencing steady growth, driven by strong sales of new energy vehicles, which has bolstered demand for upstream lithium batteries [3] - In the first half of 2025, China's total installed capacity of power batteries reached 299.6 GWh, marking a year-on-year increase of 47.3% [3] - The total installed capacity of power batteries is expected to exceed 600 GWh for the entire year of 2025, supported by the continuous rise in new energy vehicle production and sales, as well as explosive growth in the energy storage market [3] Group 3: Energy Storage Policies - Several provinces, including Inner Mongolia, Hebei, Gansu, Ningxia, and Shandong, have introduced capacity pricing and compensation policies, providing strong baseline returns for energy storage [4] - The capacity pricing policy, combined with market-based peak and valley arbitrage, has significantly improved the economic viability of independent energy storage [4] - There is strong demand for large-scale and commercial energy storage in overseas markets such as Europe, the United States, and Southeast Asia, with various countries implementing energy storage subsidy policies [4] Group 4: Top Weight Stocks in New Energy Index - As of September 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Securities New Energy Index include CATL, Sungrow Power, EVE Energy, Longi Green Energy, Huayou Cobalt, TBEA, China Nuclear Power, Ganfeng Lithium, Lead Intelligent, and Three Gorges Energy, collectively accounting for 45.2% of the index [6]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the recent trends in stock recommendations and target price adjustments by brokerages from October 20 to October 26, indicating significant movements in the market [1][2]. Group 2 - During the period, brokerages issued a total of 326 target price adjustments, with notable increases for Zhongrun Optical and Guibao Pet, showing target price increases of 74.39% and 66.37% respectively, belonging to the computer equipment and feed industries [1]. - A total of 381 listed companies received brokerage recommendations, with Yanjing Beer receiving the highest number at 21 recommendations, followed by Ningde Times with 20 and Runben Co. with 18 [1]. - Five companies had their ratings upgraded, including Huatai Securities raising Shuangliang Energy's rating from "Hold" to "Buy," and Huayuan Securities upgrading Huayou Cobalt from "Hold" to "Buy" [1]. - Conversely, five companies experienced rating downgrades, such as Zhongyou Securities lowering Shenma Power's rating from "Buy" to "Hold," and Tianfeng Securities downgrading Dirui Medical from "Buy" to "Hold" [1]. Group 3 - In terms of initial coverage, brokerages provided 65 first-time ratings, with Yanjiang Co. receiving a "Buy" rating from Tianfeng Securities, and Qianfang Technology and Zhongyao Holdings both receiving "Buy" ratings from Dongwu Securities [2]. - Other companies like Yingluohua and Yipuli also received ratings, with Yingluohua getting an "Increase" rating from Hualong Securities and Yipuli a "Buy" rating from Global Fortune Management [2].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for several companies in the non-ferrous metals sector, including Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and China Aluminum [5][6]. Core Views - The report highlights that industrial metal prices are expected to remain strong due to seasonal demand and supply disruptions, particularly for copper and aluminum [2][3]. - Energy metals like lithium and cobalt are projected to perform well, driven by strong demand in the energy storage market and supply constraints [3]. - Precious metals are anticipated to experience price fluctuations in the short term, but long-term trends remain bullish due to central bank gold purchases and weakening dollar credit [4]. Summary by Sections Industrial Metals - Copper prices are supported by macroeconomic sentiment and supply disruptions, with the SMM import copper concentrate index at $51.2/ton, down $0.6/ton month-on-month [2]. - Aluminum demand is robust, particularly from the automotive sector, with domestic aluminum ingot social inventory at approximately 618,000 tons, down 9,000 tons week-on-week [2]. - Key companies recommended include Luoyang Molybdenum, Zijin Mining, and China Aluminum [2]. Energy Metals - Lithium supply is increasing due to new production lines, while demand from the energy storage market is exceeding expectations, supporting strong prices [3]. - Cobalt prices are rising due to supply concerns from the Democratic Republic of Congo, with Chinese companies receiving fewer export quotas than expected [3]. - Recommended companies include Huayou Cobalt and Yichun Lithium [3]. Precious Metals - Gold prices are experiencing short-term volatility due to optimistic international conditions, but long-term outlook remains positive with central bank purchases [4]. - Silver prices are influenced by industrial demand and follow gold's price movements [4]. - Recommended companies include Western Gold and Shandong Gold [4].

Investment Rating - Industry rating: Recommended [3] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the strategic revaluation of key metals, particularly focusing on rare earths and cobalt [24] - Nickel prices are expected to be supported due to tightened supply expectations following Indonesia's new regulation reducing the approval cycle for mining plans from three years to one year [26][27] - Cobalt prices have continued to rise, with expectations of increasing supply tightness further driving prices up [30][33] - Antimony supply is expected to remain tight, providing a bottom support for antimony prices [34] - Lithium carbonate prices are projected to remain strong due to ongoing demand and inventory depletion [16] - China's dominance in rare earth supply is reinforced by stricter export controls, which are expected to support rare earth prices [18] - Tin supply remains uncertain due to ongoing challenges in overseas supply, which is expected to support tin prices [19] - Tungsten prices are supported by a tightening supply situation, with production rates slowing down [20] - Uranium supply tightness is anticipated to continue, supporting uranium prices [21] Summary by Sections Nickel and Cobalt Industry Update - Indonesia's new regulation on mining approvals is expected to tighten future ore supply, supporting nickel prices [26] - As of October 24, LME nickel price was $15,085 per ton, up 1.04% from October 17 [26] - Cobalt prices have risen significantly, with electrolytic cobalt reaching 408,500 CNY per ton, a 6.94% increase [30] Antimony Industry Update - Domestic antimony prices have decreased, but long-term supply tightness is expected to support prices [34] - China's antimony production is projected to dominate global supply, accounting for 60% of the total [34] Lithium Industry Update - Lithium carbonate prices have increased, with a market average of 73,700 CNY per ton as of October 24 [16] - Demand from the battery sector continues to drive price support [16] Rare Earth Industry Update - China's strict export controls on rare earths are expected to tighten supply and support prices [18] - The report highlights the importance of China's role in the global rare earth supply chain [18] Tin Industry Update - Tin prices are supported by supply uncertainties, particularly from Myanmar and Indonesia [19] - As of October 24, LME tin price was $35,925 per ton, up 2.42% from October 17 [19] Tungsten Industry Update - The tungsten supply situation is tightening, with production rates slowing down [20] - Prices for tungsten concentrate have increased, reflecting supply constraints [20] Uranium Industry Update - The report indicates a continued tight supply situation for uranium, supporting price stability [21] - Recent production guidance reductions from major suppliers are expected to impact future supply [21]

Group 1 - The actual controller of Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co., Ltd., Mr. Chen Xuehua, holds 82,505,146 shares, accounting for 4.34% of the total share capital, with 22,270,000 shares pledged, representing 26.99% of his holdings and 1.17% of the total share capital [2] - Mr. Chen Xuehua and his concerted party, Huayou Holding Group Co., Ltd., collectively hold 391,169,847 shares, accounting for 20.60% of the total share capital, with 204,389,994 shares pledged, representing 52.25% of their holdings and 10.76% of the total share capital [2] - Mr. Chen Xuehua has recently notified the company about the partial release of share pledges, and any future pledge matters will be disclosed in accordance with legal requirements [3] Group 2 - The company has completed the issuance of its first phase of green technology innovation bonds for 2025, with an issuance amount of 500 million RMB, a term of 2 years, and an interest rate of 2.89% [8] - The funds raised from the bond issuance will be used to replace self-owned funds spent on the recycling of waste power batteries and their dismantled materials within the last three months, as well as for daily operational procurement [8]

Core Viewpoint - Huayou Cobalt achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.216 billion yuan in Q1-Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 39.59% [1] - The company is expected to benefit from rising cobalt prices due to a shift from oversupply to shortage as inventory is consumed [1] Financial Performance - In Q3 alone, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.505 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 11.53% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3.18%, aligning with expectations [1] Industry Outlook - Cobalt prices are anticipated to continue rising as supply-demand dynamics improve [1] - The company, as a leading player in the cobalt industry, has abundant cobalt raw material sources from Indonesia, positioning it to benefit significantly from price increases [1] Nickel Business Expansion - The company is expanding its nickel business counter-cyclically, with a planned capacity of 405,000 tons in Indonesia (both pyrometallurgical and hydrometallurgical processes) [1] - A potential reversal in nickel prices could lead to substantial increases in the company's performance [1] Competitive Positioning - The signing of large contracts is expected to enhance the company's core competitiveness in the lithium battery supply chain, effectively improving long-term profitability [1] - Current cobalt prices are on the rise, while nickel and lithium are at historical low prices, indicating potential for significant performance growth once prices recover [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the strong performance of the new energy sector, with significant increases in stock prices and ETF values, indicating robust market interest and investment potential [1][2]. - As of October 23, 2025, the New Energy ETF has seen a net value increase of 54.16% over the past six months, ranking 341 out of 3777 index stock funds, placing it in the top 9.03% [1]. - The New Energy ETF has experienced a monthly return of 25.07% at its peak since inception, with an average monthly return of 8.85% during its rising months [1]. Group 2 - In the first nine months of 2025, China's new energy storage sector achieved a total of 214.7 GWh in new overseas orders and collaborations, marking a year-on-year growth of 131.75% [2]. - The cost advantages of Chinese energy storage cells and systems are enabling companies to win large projects abroad with lower Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) [2]. - By 2030, China's energy storage industry chain and supply chain output value is expected to reach between 2 to 3 trillion yuan, with cumulative installed capacity projected to exceed 300 GW [2]. Group 3 - As of September 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the China New Energy Index include CATL, Sungrow Power, and EVE Energy, collectively accounting for 45.2% of the index [4].

Core Points - Huayou Cobalt's stock price increased by 2.02% on October 24, reaching 64.02 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 1.283 billion CNY and a market capitalization of 121.591 billion CNY [1] - The company has seen a year-to-date stock price increase of 122.55%, with a 4.17% rise in the last five trading days, 26.60% in the last 20 days, and 46.87% in the last 60 days [1] - Huayou Cobalt's main business includes the research and manufacturing of new energy lithium battery materials and cobalt new materials, with revenue contributions from nickel products (34.54%), cathode materials (16.28%), and others [1] Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Huayou Cobalt achieved a revenue of 58.941 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 29.57%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.216 billion CNY, up 39.59% year-on-year [2] - The company has distributed a total of 3.876 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 2.835 billion CNY distributed in the last three years [3] Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, Huayou Cobalt had 257,100 shareholders, an increase of 31.78% from the previous period, with an average of 7,328 circulating shares per shareholder, down 15.22% [2] - Major shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, holding 148 million shares, and various ETFs such as Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF and E Fund CSI 300 ETF, with some increasing and others decreasing their holdings [3]