Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the industry and specific companies within the sector [6]. Core Views - The report highlights a positive outlook for industrial metals driven by domestic policies aimed at reducing competition and boosting infrastructure investment, alongside U.S. fiscal expansion and ongoing interest rate cuts [2][3]. - Energy metals, particularly lithium and cobalt, are expected to see price increases due to supply disruptions and strong demand from the new energy sector [3]. - Precious metals are favored due to heightened demand for gold as a safe haven amid global trade tensions and ongoing central bank purchases [4]. Summary by Sections Industrial Metals - The report notes that industrial metal prices are rising due to domestic "anti-involution" policies and infrastructure investment, with copper prices experiencing short-term fluctuations due to trade changes [2]. - Key statistics include a weekly increase in aluminum prices by 1.22% and copper prices by 1.07%, while zinc prices rose by 2.65% [11]. - Recommended companies include Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and China Nonferrous Mining [2]. Energy Metals - Lithium prices are rebounding significantly due to supply concerns from regions like Jiangxi and Qinghai, with expectations for continued price increases [3]. - Cobalt prices are also anticipated to rise due to raw material shortages and increased demand as the market recovers from a low trading volume [3]. - Recommended companies in this sector include Huayou Cobalt and Zangge Mining [3]. Precious Metals - The report emphasizes the increasing demand for gold driven by global trade uncertainties and central bank purchases, predicting a long-term upward trend in gold prices [4]. - Gold prices have shown a weekly increase of 0.68%, while silver prices rose by 2.13% [11]. - Recommended companies include Shandong Gold and Zhongjin Gold [4].

Core Viewpoint - Jinchengxin (603979.SH) is solidifying its sustainable development in the mining sector by issuing convertible bonds to raise up to 2 billion yuan for investment in various projects, including the Zambia Luban Copper Mine [1][2] Group 1: Financial Performance - From 2022 to 2024, the company's net profit is projected to increase from 611 million yuan to 1.584 billion yuan, representing a growth of 159.25% [1][5] - For the first half of 2025, the company expects a net profit of 1.07 billion to 1.12 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 74.62% to 82.78% [1][6] - Revenue is anticipated to grow from 5.355 billion yuan in 2022 to 9.942 billion yuan in 2024, marking an increase of 85.66% [5] Group 2: Investment and Projects - The company plans to allocate 800 million yuan for the Zambia Luban Copper Mine project, which has a designed capacity of 2.5 million tons per year but has not yet reached production [2] - The project is expected to yield a post-tax internal rate of return of 17.36% and a payback period of 7.4 years [2] - Jinchengxin has expanded its resource projects to five across four countries, focusing on copper, silver, gold, and phosphate mining [3] Group 3: Market Expansion - Jinchengxin has been active in overseas markets for over 20 years, with foreign revenue reaching 7.038 billion yuan in 2024, accounting for 70.78% of total revenue [1][4] - The company has made significant investments in projects such as the Congo (DRC) Lonshi Copper Mine and the Alacran copper-gold-silver mine in Colombia [4]

Core Viewpoint - The performance of various industries in the first half of the year has shown significant improvement, with 52.88% of the 938 listed companies reporting a year-on-year increase in net profit attributable to shareholders [1] Group 1: Non-ferrous Metals Industry - The non-ferrous metals sector has experienced substantial profit growth, driven by rising prices of raw materials such as copper and gold [2] - 20 companies in the non-ferrous metals industry reported a year-on-year profit increase of over 50%, with 6 companies achieving a profit doubling [2] - For instance, Jincheng Mining expects a net profit of 1.07 billion to 1.12 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 74.62% to 82.78%, attributed to increased sales volume and prices of mineral products [2] - Luoyang Molybdenum anticipates a net profit of 8.2 billion to 9.1 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 51.37% to 67.98% due to rising copper and cobalt prices [2] - Huayou Cobalt's profit is expected to rise by 55.62% to 67.59%, with a projected net profit of 2.6 billion to 2.8 billion yuan, driven by increased cobalt prices [2] Group 2: Gold Industry - The gold sector has also reported strong performance, with companies like Western Gold expecting a net profit of 130 million to 160 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 96.35% to 141.66% [3] - Shandong Gold anticipates a net profit of 2.55 billion to 3.05 billion yuan, reflecting an increase of 84.30% to 120.50% due to higher gold sales prices and increased sales volume [3] - Other gold companies, including Chifeng Gold and Zhongjin Gold, also expect net profit increases exceeding 50% [3] Group 3: Agricultural Chemicals Industry - The agricultural chemicals sector has seen significant profit growth, with 49 out of 89 companies reporting increases, representing 55.1% [4] - Xian Da Co. expects a net profit of 130 million to 150 million yuan, a staggering year-on-year increase of 2443.43% to 2834.73%, driven by rising market prices of its main product [4] - Su Li Co. anticipates a net profit of 72 million to 86 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 1008.39% to 1223.91% due to increased sales of pesticides [4] - Li Min Co. expects a net profit of 260 million to 280 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 719.25% to 782.27% [4] Group 4: Fertilizer Industry - Fertilizer companies like Yara International and Dongfang Iron Tower are also forecasting over 50% profit growth due to increased product demand [5] - Yara International expects a net profit of 730 million to 930 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 170% to 244%, driven by higher production and sales volumes [5] - Dongfang Iron Tower anticipates a net profit of 451 million to 495 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 63.80% to 79.78% [5] Group 5: Fluorochemical Industry - The fluorochemical sector has benefited from rising market prices, with companies like Sanmei Co. expecting a net profit of 948 million to 1.042 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 146.97% to 171.67% [6] - Juhua Co. anticipates a net profit of 1.97 billion to 2.13 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 136% to 155% due to rising prices of fluorinated refrigerants [6] - Yonghe Co. expects a net profit of 255 million to 280 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 126.30% to 148.49% [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the non-ferrous metals sector is "Increase" [5] Core Viewpoints - In Q2 2025, the holdings of non-ferrous metal heavy stocks by active equity funds increased, with significant increases in rare earth and minor metals [1][2] - The total market value of active equity funds' holdings in the non-ferrous metals sector reached approximately 70.4 billion yuan, accounting for 4.29% of the total heavy stock holdings, an increase of 0.07 percentage points from Q1 2025 [1] - The top ten heavy stocks are concentrated in copper, gold, and aluminum, with Zijin Mining remaining the largest heavy stock [1] Summary by Sections Heavy Stock Holdings - The market value of the top ten heavy stocks in the non-ferrous metals sector includes Zijin Mining (22.8 billion yuan), Shandong Gold (4.4 billion yuan), and Zhongjin Gold (3 billion yuan) [1] - The increase in holdings is mainly concentrated in rare earth and minor metal sectors, with the largest increases seen in stocks like Guangsheng Nonferrous (rare earth) and Haotong Technology (platinum, palladium, rhodium recovery) [2] Investment Recommendations - Supply constraints are expected to support the price increases of rare earths, copper, and aluminum, while precious metals will benefit from weakened dollar credit and a rate-cutting cycle [2] - Specific recommendations include: - Rare Earth: Favorable outlook for rare earth prices, with recommendations for Northern Rare Earth and Guangsheng Nonferrous [2] - Copper: Limited supply growth due to reduced capital expenditure, with recommendations for Jincheng Mining, Zijin Mining, and Luoyang Molybdenum [2] - Aluminum: Anticipated supply ceiling for electrolytic aluminum, recommending China Hongqiao [2] - Gold: Positive outlook for gold prices due to weakened dollar credit, with recommendations for Zhongjin Gold and Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining [2] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for key companies are as follows: - Zijin Mining: EPS of 1.21 (2024), PE of 16 (2024) [4] - Luoyang Molybdenum: EPS of 0.63 (2024), PE of 14 (2024) [4] - Jincheng Mining: EPS of 2.54 (2024), PE of 19 (2024) [4] - Western Mining: EPS of 1.23 (2024), PE of 14 (2024) [4] - China Hongqiao: EPS of 2.36 (2024), PE of 8 (2024) [4] - Northern Rare Earth: EPS of 0.28 (2024), PE of 126 (2024) [4]

Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai Stock Exchange has approved the refinancing plan of Jincheng Mining Management Co., Ltd. (金诚信), confirming that it meets the issuance, listing, and information disclosure requirements [1] Group 1: Issuance Details - Jincheng plans to issue convertible bonds with a total fundraising amount not exceeding 200 million RMB, which will be used for various projects including the Zambia Lubanbi Copper Mine [3][4] - The convertible bonds will have a face value of 100 RMB each and a term of six years from the date of issuance [3][5] - The bonds will be convertible into A-shares of the company, with the conversion period starting six months after issuance [6] Group 2: Project Investments - The total investment for the Zambia Lubanbi Copper Mine project is approximately 80.12 million RMB, with 80 million RMB expected to be funded from the bond issuance [4] - Other projects include mining operation and infrastructure equipment purchases, domestic and international mining engineering projects, and research on underground green unmanned intelligent equipment [3][4] Group 3: Credit Rating and Underwriting - The credit rating for Jincheng's bonds has been assessed as AA by a credit rating agency [7] - The underwriting for this issuance is handled by China Galaxy Securities Co., Ltd. [8]

证券代码：603979 证券简称：金诚信 公告编号：2025-062 转债代码：113615 转债简称：金诚转债 金诚信矿业管理股份有限公司 关于向不特定对象发行可转换公司债券申请 获得上海证券交易所上市审核委员会审核通过的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 上海证券交易所上市审核委员会于 2025 年 7 月 21 日召开 2025 年第 24 次 审议会议（以下简称"会议"），对金诚信矿业管理股份有限公司（以下简称"公 司"）向不特定对象发行可转换公司债券的申请进行了审议。根据会议结果，公 司本次向不特定对象发行可转换公司债券的申请符合发行条件、上市条件和信息 披露要求。 公司本次向不特定对象发行可转换公司债券事项尚需获得中国证券监督管 理委员会（以下简称"证监会"）作出同意注册的决定后方可实施。本次发行最 终能否获得证监会同意注册的决定及其时间尚存在不确定性。公司将根据该事项 的进展情况，按照相关规定和要求及时履行信息披露义务，敬请广大投资者注意 投资风险。 特此公告。 金诚信矿业管理股份有限公司 ...

IPO and Financing Overview - Two companies are scheduled for IPO review next week, aiming to raise a total of 1.397 billion yuan [1] - 恒坤新材 plans to reduce its fundraising target from 1.2 billion yuan to 1.007 billion yuan, removing the SiARC development project from its proposal [2] - 泰凯英 has also cut its fundraising target from 770 million yuan to 390 million yuan, with several projects being deleted or adjusted [4] 恒坤新材 Company Profile - 恒坤新材 focuses on the research and industrial application of key materials for integrated circuits, being one of the few domestic companies capable of developing and mass-producing key materials for 12-inch integrated circuit wafers [7] - The company reported a net profit of 96.91 million yuan in the last year, with a total asset value of 2.645 billion yuan [9] 泰凯英 Company Profile - 泰凯英 specializes in the design, research, sales, and service of tires for the global mining and construction industries, particularly in engineering radial tires and all-steel truck tires [11] - The company reported a net profit of 156.65 million yuan for the last year, with total assets amounting to approximately 1.647 billion yuan [12] Upcoming Financing Plans - Next week, two companies are set to review their refinancing plans, aiming to raise a total of 3.5 billion yuan [1] - 金诚信 plans to issue convertible bonds to raise 2 billion yuan, focusing on mining services and resource development [15] - 应流股份 aims to raise 1.5 billion yuan through convertible bonds, specializing in high-temperature alloy products and precision castings [18]

Core Views - The report maintains a positive long-term outlook on gold, copper, and aluminum, emphasizing the importance of strategic metals [1][3] - In H1 2025, domestic economic indicators show signs of bottoming out, with improvements in real estate construction and a gradual shift towards new economic drivers [4][8] - The global economic landscape is being reshaped by fluctuating interest rate expectations from the Federal Reserve and the impacts of trade wars, leading to significant changes in resource sectors [4][8] Investment Strategies - **Main Line 1: Expansion on the Denominator Side - Gold and Silver**: Focus on gold and silver, with specific attention to the performance of gold stocks and the potential for silver due to its high price ratio to gold [4][5] - **Main Line 2: Improvement on the Numerator Side - Aluminum, Copper, Tin**: Anticipate continued high profitability in aluminum due to falling costs, while remaining cautious of potential short-term demand weakness [4][7] - **Main Line 3: Key Strategic Metals**: Highlighting opportunities in rare earths and other strategic metals amid US-China tensions, particularly in six key strategic metals [4][7] - **Main Line 4: Supply-Side Disruptions from Anti-Competition**: The report suggests that supply-side constraints in sectors like lithium carbonate may present attractive bottom-fishing opportunities [4][7] Market Performance - The CRB metal spot index increased by 7.08% from the beginning of 2025 to June 30, 2025, indicating a general upward trend in metal prices [9][10] - Gold prices surged by 23.93% during the same period, driven by expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut [12][14] - Industrial metals, particularly tin and copper, saw significant price increases of 19.91% and 15.59% respectively, while zinc prices fell by 5.55% [16][19] Supply and Demand Dynamics - Global copper inventories saw a significant reduction, with LME copper stocks decreasing by 66.17% by June 30, 2025 [21][69] - The report anticipates limited growth in global copper supply due to insufficient capital expenditure in mining, projecting only a 2.3% increase in global copper production in 2025 [62][64] - The refined copper market is expected to remain slightly short, with a projected demand growth of 7.1% for 2025, supporting a high price center for copper [69] Sector Performance - The non-ferrous metal sector outperformed the broader market, with a cumulative increase of 19.17% from January to June 2025, compared to a 5.6% rise in the Shanghai Composite Index [38][40] - Sub-sectors such as tungsten, gold, and rare earths performed particularly well, with respective increases of 39.64%, 33.57%, and 31.88% [42][44] - Companies closely tied to resource price fluctuations, particularly in gold and rare earths, showed strong performance, while midstream processing companies faced challenges due to weak downstream demand [44]

Key Points - Zhongsheng Gaoke is planning a change in company control, with a potential transfer of 22.35% of shares at a valuation of 2.5 billion yuan, leading to a stock suspension starting July 16, 2025 [3][4] - Yanshan Technology's subsidiary is participating in a partnership to invest 41.64 million yuan in a fund that will ultimately invest in Bytedance Ltd [5] - Sanyuan Bio received an initial ruling of a 450.64% anti-dumping duty from the US Department of Commerce on erythritol, prompting a shift in sales strategy towards domestic markets [6] - Chutianlong is exploring digital currency projects but faces risks related to new technology development and commercial application [7] - Bertley is establishing a partnership to invest in humanoid robots and other emerging sectors, committing 198 million yuan [8] - China Merchants Highway's chairman resigned due to reaching retirement age [9] - Tibet Summit's controlling shareholder is under investigation for information disclosure violations, but it will not affect the company's operations [10][11] - ST Weir plans to acquire 51% of Zijiang New Materials for 546 million yuan, entering the lithium battery materials sector [12] - ST Yazhen's stock will be suspended for three days due to abnormal trading fluctuations [13] - Dahua Technology's subsidiary is shifting its listing to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [14] Performance Forecasts - Zhongji Xuchuang expects a net profit increase of 52.64% to 86.57% for the first half of 2025, driven by strong demand for high-end optical modules [15] - Juchip Technology anticipates a 122.28% increase in net profit for the same period, benefiting from successful AI audio chip promotions [16] - Sitwei forecasts a net profit growth of 140% to 180%, with significant revenue increases from smartphone collaborations [17] - Tianyu Co. expects a net profit increase of 144.29% to 238.25%, aided by improved product structure and market strategies [18] - Jinli Yongci predicts a net profit growth of 151% to 180%, focusing on renewable energy and related sectors [19] - Blue Ocean Huaten expects a net profit increase of 152.76% to 190.68%, driven by growth in the new energy heavy truck market [20] - Maiqu'er anticipates a turnaround with a net profit of 1.4 million to 2 million yuan, compared to a loss in the previous year [21] - China Galaxy expects a net profit increase of 45% to 55%, with growth across various business segments [23] - Baicheng Pharmaceutical forecasts a significant decline in net profit, down 95.53% to 100% [24] Major Contracts - Jincheng signed a contract worth approximately 52.98 million USD for underground mining operations in the Democratic Republic of Congo [25] - ST Yundong entered a strategic cooperation agreement for drone development and investment with two companies [26] - Changgao Electric New's subsidiary won contracts totaling 445 million yuan from the State Grid [27] Shareholding Changes - Angli Education plans to reduce its repurchased shares by up to 573.1 million shares [28][29] - Lingzhi Software's shareholders plan to collectively reduce their holdings by up to 2.11% [30] - Founder Technology's major shareholder intends to reduce its stake by up to 2.27% [31] - Zhongfu Shenying's shareholder plans to reduce its stake by up to 1% [32] - Hangzhou Bank's shareholder intends to reduce its stake by up to 0.7% [33] - Haoyun Technology's chairman plans to reduce his stake by up to 400,000 shares [34] Financing Activities - Yuanwang Valley plans to raise up to 300 million yuan through a private placement for RFID production line projects and working capital [35]

Group 1 - Rock Mountain Technology's subsidiary, Hainan Ruihong, is investing 20.32 million yuan in Jiaxing Lansheng, which aims to raise a total of 41.64 million yuan, targeting investments in Bytedance Ltd. [1] - Hangzhou Bank's shareholder, China Life, plans to reduce its stake by up to 0.7%, equating to a maximum of 5,078,940 shares [2] - Sinochem International is planning to acquire 100% equity of Nantong Xingchen, with stock suspension expected to last no more than 10 trading days [3] Group 2 - Zhongsheng High-Tech is undergoing a potential change in control, with a 25 billion yuan transfer of 22.35% of shares, leading to stock suspension for up to 2 trading days [4] - Bertley intends to invest 198 million yuan in a partnership focused on high-growth sectors like humanoid robots and automotive intelligence [5] - Jinli Permanent Magnet expects a net profit of 300 million to 335 million yuan for the first half of the year, marking a growth of 151% to 180% year-on-year [6] - Zhongji Xuchuang anticipates a net profit of 3.6 billion to 4.4 billion yuan for the first half, representing a year-on-year increase of 52.64% to 86.57% [7] - China Galaxy expects a net profit of 6.362 billion to 6.801 billion yuan for the first half, reflecting a growth of 45% to 55% year-on-year [7] - Kaisheng New Energy projects a net loss of 435 million to 462 million yuan for the first half of the year [9] - Dalian Thermal Power anticipates a net loss of 39 million to 42 million yuan for the first half of 2025 [9]