洛阳栾川钼业集团股份有限公司的主营业务是基本金属、稀有金属的采、选、冶等矿山采掘及加工业务 和矿产贸易业务。公司的主要产品是矿山采掘及加工、钼、钨、铜（不含NPM）、钴、铌、磷、铜金 （NPM）、矿产贸易、矿物金属贸易、精炼金属贸易。 从行业市盈率排名来看，公司所处的小金属行业市盈率平均64.24倍，行业中值55.44倍，洛阳钼业排名 第5位。 本文源自：金融界 截至2025年一季报，共有212家机构持仓洛阳钼业，其中基金212家，合计持股数42257.90万股，持股市 值35.58亿元。 作者：行情君 7月21日，洛阳钼业今日收盘8.63元，上涨5.12%，滚动市盈率PE（当前股价与前四季度每股收益总和的 比值）达到11.98倍，创13天以来新低，总市值1846.33亿元。 最新一期业绩显示，2025年一季报，公司实现营业收入460.06亿元，同比-0.25%；净利润39.46亿元，同 比90.47%，销售毛利率22.33%。 序号股票简称PE(TTM)PE(静)市净率总市值(元)1洛阳钼业11.9813.642.511846.33亿行业平均 64.2468.404.35221.77亿行业中值55.4457 ...

Group 1 - The CSI Hong Kong-Shanghai-Shenzhen Interconnection Small Comprehensive Materials Index reported a value of 4406.56 points, showing a monthly increase of 7.39%, a three-month increase of 14.25%, and a year-to-date increase of 15.75% [1] - The index is categorized into 11 industries based on the classification standards of the CSI Hong Kong-Shanghai-Shenzhen Index Series, which includes the CSI 500, CSI Hong Kong-Shanghai-Shenzhen Interconnection Small Comprehensive Index, and the CSI Hong Kong-Shanghai-Shenzhen Comprehensive Index [1] - The top ten weighted stocks in the index include Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (1.53%), Zhaojin Mining Industry (1.28%), China Rare Earth (1.16%), and others, indicating a diverse representation of companies in the materials sector [1] Group 2 - The market share of the index's holdings shows that Shenzhen Stock Exchange accounts for 49.61%, Shanghai Stock Exchange for 38.62%, and Hong Kong Stock Exchange for 11.76% [2] - In terms of industry composition, non-ferrous metals represent 40.64%, chemicals 37.39%, non-metallic materials 9.51%, steel 8.03%, and paper and packaging 4.43% [2] - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with adjustments occurring on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December, ensuring that the weight factors are updated accordingly [2]

Core Insights - The article highlights the rapid growth and strategic importance of the nano-metal materials industry in China, driven by technological advancements and increasing market demand [1][14]. Industry Overview - Nano-metal materials, characterized by grain sizes between 1-100 nanometers, exhibit superior properties such as ultra-high strength, excellent thermal stability, and unique electromagnetic characteristics [1][14]. - The market size for nano-metal materials in China is projected to grow from 28.98 billion yuan in 2018 to 74.451 billion yuan in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 17.03% [1][14]. - Key applications of nano-metal materials include electronics, new energy development, biomedicine, and aerospace [1][14]. Production Methods - The production methods for nano-metal materials are categorized into physical and chemical methods, including evaporation-condensation, high-energy ball milling, and chemical reduction [5]. Policy Support - The Chinese government has identified nano-materials as a key area for development, with various policies aimed at promoting innovation and industrial upgrades [7]. Industry Chain - The upstream of the nano-metal materials industry includes raw material supply and manufacturing equipment, while the downstream encompasses applications in biomedical, aerospace, construction, automotive, and electronics sectors [9]. Key Companies - Notable companies in the nano-metal materials sector include Jiangsu Boqian New Materials Co., Ltd., Jiangxi Baohong Nano Technology Co., Ltd., and Shandong Changxin Nano Technology Co., Ltd., which are involved in the R&D and production of high-performance nano-metal materials [17][19][21]. Development Trends - The industry is moving towards high-performance and multifunctional materials, with innovations in atomic-level structure design and surface modification technologies [25]. - There is a shift towards green and low-carbon production methods, emphasizing sustainable practices in the manufacturing of nano-metal materials [26][27]. - Cross-disciplinary integration is expanding the application boundaries of nano-metal materials, particularly in biomedicine and information technology [28].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the non-ferrous metals industry is "Positive" (maintained) [5][10]. Core Viewpoints - The report highlights a "反内卷" (anti-involution) trend leading to a general increase in commodity prices, with specific catalysts such as policy expectations driving price movements in copper, aluminum, lithium, and cobalt [4][6][10]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - Important macroeconomic information includes the U.S. June core CPI being below expectations at 2.9%, and retail sales showing a month-on-month increase of 0.6% [10]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) is set to release a growth stabilization plan for key industries including steel, non-ferrous metals, and petrochemicals [10]. 2. Industrial Metals 2.1 Copper - Copper prices are expected to rebound due to policy expectations, with LME copper prices increasing by 0.83% and SHFE copper prices slightly decreasing by 0.03% [6][25]. - Inventory levels have risen, with LME copper stocks increasing by 12.37% [22][25]. - Downstream demand is recovering, with copper rod operating rates at 74.2%, up by 7.2 percentage points [6]. 2.2 Aluminum - Aluminum prices are also expected to rise, with alumina prices increasing by 0.16% to 3165 CNY/ton [6][36]. - SHFE aluminum prices fell by 1.01% to 20500 CNY/ton, but are projected to recover due to strong policy support [6][36]. 2.3 Lead and Zinc - LME lead prices decreased by 1.38%, while SHFE lead prices fell by 1.70% [46]. - LME zinc prices increased by 1.24%, but SHFE zinc prices dropped by 0.45% [46]. 2.4 Tin and Nickel - LME tin prices fell by 0.73%, and SHFE tin prices decreased by 0.65% [60]. - LME nickel prices decreased by 0.33%, while SHFE nickel prices fell by 0.78% [60]. 3. Energy Metals 3.1 Lithium - Lithium prices are on the rise, with lithium carbonate increasing by 4.55% to 66650 CNY/ton, and lithium spodumene rising by 5.49% to 711 USD/ton [75]. - Supply issues are noted, with a slight increase in production but ongoing inventory accumulation [75]. 3.2 Cobalt - Cobalt prices are under pressure, with domestic cobalt prices down by 1.22% to 243000 CNY/ton [88]. - The Democratic Republic of Congo has extended its cobalt export ban by three months, which may lead to a price rebound in Q4 [88].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the metals and new materials industry, indicating a "Buy" recommendation [3][4]. Core Views - The report highlights a strengthening expectation against "involution" in the industry, with a focus on the upward trend of bottom metal prices [3]. - The report notes that the precious metals sector is expected to see continued upward price momentum due to central bank purchases and a favorable economic outlook [4][21]. - Industrial metals are projected to have limited downside due to supply constraints and stable demand, particularly in the context of ongoing investments in infrastructure and appliances [4]. Weekly Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.69%, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 2.04%, and the CSI 300 Index gained 1.09% [4][5]. - The non-ferrous metals index outperformed the CSI 300 by 0.73 percentage points, with a weekly increase of 1.82% [4][5]. - Year-to-date, the non-ferrous metals index has risen by 22.61%, outperforming the CSI 300 by 19.47 percentage points [5][8]. Price Changes - Industrial and precious metals saw varied price movements, with copper, aluminum, and energy metals showing increases of 1.71%, 0.03%, and 3.31% respectively [4][9]. - Lithium prices increased by 5.49% for spodumene and 3.94% for battery-grade lithium carbonate, indicating strong demand in the battery sector [4][14]. - The report notes that gold prices have been influenced by U.S. fiscal policies and central bank purchasing trends, with a long-term upward price trajectory expected [4][21]. Key Company Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong fundamentals and growth potential, such as Zijin Mining, Shandong Gold, and Zhongjin Gold [4][18]. - For industrial metals, companies like Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Western Mining are highlighted as potential investment opportunities [4][18]. - In the aluminum sector, companies such as Tianshan Aluminum and China Hongqiao are recommended due to their stable performance and dividend yields [4][18]. Inventory and Supply Analysis - Copper inventories showed a slight decrease in domestic social inventory, while exchange inventories increased, indicating mixed supply dynamics [4][32]. - The aluminum sector is experiencing a tightening supply situation, with production capacity constraints expected to support long-term price increases [4][48]. - Steel production has decreased due to reduced electric furnace output, while demand remains stable, suggesting a balanced supply-demand scenario [4][72].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the performance and valuation of Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. in the small metals industry, indicating a relatively low PE ratio compared to the industry average [1][2] - As of July 18, Luoyang Molybdenum's closing price was 8.21 yuan, with a PE ratio of 11.40 and a total market capitalization of 175.65 billion yuan [1] - The company ranks 5th in the small metals industry, which has an average PE ratio of 63.07 and a median of 53.34 [1][2] Group 2 - The latest financial report for Q1 2025 shows that Luoyang Molybdenum achieved a revenue of 46.006 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 0.25% year-on-year, while net profit increased by 90.47% to 3.946 billion yuan [1] - The gross profit margin for the company stands at 22.33% [1] - A total of 70 institutions hold shares in Luoyang Molybdenum, with a combined holding of 139.7292 million shares valued at 1.177 billion yuan [1]

Core Views - The report maintains a positive long-term outlook on gold, copper, and aluminum, emphasizing the importance of strategic metals [1][3] - In H1 2025, domestic economic indicators show signs of bottoming out, with improvements in real estate construction and a gradual shift towards new economic drivers [4][8] - The global economic landscape is being reshaped by fluctuating interest rate expectations from the Federal Reserve and the impacts of trade wars, leading to significant changes in resource sectors [4][8] Investment Strategies - **Main Line 1: Expansion on the Denominator Side - Gold and Silver**: Focus on gold and silver, with specific attention to the performance of gold stocks and the potential for silver due to its high price ratio to gold [4][5] - **Main Line 2: Improvement on the Numerator Side - Aluminum, Copper, Tin**: Anticipate continued high profitability in aluminum due to falling costs, while remaining cautious of potential short-term demand weakness [4][7] - **Main Line 3: Key Strategic Metals**: Highlighting opportunities in rare earths and other strategic metals amid US-China tensions, particularly in six key strategic metals [4][7] - **Main Line 4: Supply-Side Disruptions from Anti-Competition**: The report suggests that supply-side constraints in sectors like lithium carbonate may present attractive bottom-fishing opportunities [4][7] Market Performance - The CRB metal spot index increased by 7.08% from the beginning of 2025 to June 30, 2025, indicating a general upward trend in metal prices [9][10] - Gold prices surged by 23.93% during the same period, driven by expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut [12][14] - Industrial metals, particularly tin and copper, saw significant price increases of 19.91% and 15.59% respectively, while zinc prices fell by 5.55% [16][19] Supply and Demand Dynamics - Global copper inventories saw a significant reduction, with LME copper stocks decreasing by 66.17% by June 30, 2025 [21][69] - The report anticipates limited growth in global copper supply due to insufficient capital expenditure in mining, projecting only a 2.3% increase in global copper production in 2025 [62][64] - The refined copper market is expected to remain slightly short, with a projected demand growth of 7.1% for 2025, supporting a high price center for copper [69] Sector Performance - The non-ferrous metal sector outperformed the broader market, with a cumulative increase of 19.17% from January to June 2025, compared to a 5.6% rise in the Shanghai Composite Index [38][40] - Sub-sectors such as tungsten, gold, and rare earths performed particularly well, with respective increases of 39.64%, 33.57%, and 31.88% [42][44] - Companies closely tied to resource price fluctuations, particularly in gold and rare earths, showed strong performance, while midstream processing companies faced challenges due to weak downstream demand [44]

Investment Rating - Investment rating is maintained as "Buy" [2] Core Views - The company expects a net profit attributable to shareholders of 8.2 to 9.1 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 51.37% to 67.98% [6] - In the first half of 2025, copper production is projected to be 353,600 tons, up 12.68% year-on-year, and cobalt production is expected to be 61,100 tons, up 13.05% year-on-year [7] - The company completed the acquisition of Lumina Gold in June 2025, gaining 100% ownership of the Cangrejos gold mine in Ecuador, which has a resource reserve of 1.376 billion tons and a gold content of 638 tons [8] - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 16.217 billion, 18.093 billion, and 18.759 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 10.67, 9.57, and 9.23 [9] Financial Summary - The company anticipates a revenue of 213.029 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 14.4%, and projected revenues of 223.839 billion, 232.065 billion, and 240.274 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [11] - The gross profit margin is expected to be 16.5% in 2024, increasing to 17.0% by 2026 and remaining stable in 2027 [11] - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 19.1% in 2024, peaking at 20.2% in 2025, and then declining to 18.3% by 2027 [11]

Core Viewpoint - The strong performance of leading mining companies, Zijin Mining and Luoyang Molybdenum, is attributed to resource premium realization and capacity structure optimization, despite their stock prices remaining relatively stable after earnings announcements [1][4]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Zijin Mining is expected to achieve a net profit of approximately 232 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of about 54% from 151 billion yuan [3][4]. - Luoyang Molybdenum anticipates a net profit between 82 billion and 91 billion yuan for the same period, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 51.37% to 67.98% [3][4]. - Both companies reported significant increases in production volumes for key minerals, with Zijin Mining's copper and gold production rising by 10% and 17% respectively, while Luoyang Molybdenum's copper and cobalt production increased by approximately 12.68% and 13.05% [3][4]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - Despite strong earnings, the stock prices of Zijin Mining and Luoyang Molybdenum have shown limited movement, indicating that market participants may be cautious about potential cyclical peaks in commodity prices [5][6]. - Analysts suggest that the current risk premium for strategic resources like gold and copper is in an upward cycle, which could enhance the overall value of related stocks [6][7]. Group 3: Strategic Actions - Both companies are actively pursuing acquisitions to expand their resource base, with Zijin Mining planning to acquire a large gold mine in Kazakhstan for $1.2 billion and Luoyang Molybdenum completing a deal for a gold mine in Ecuador [8][9]. - Luoyang Molybdenum has expressed intentions to continue exploring operational efficiencies and potential new acquisitions in copper and gold projects [9].

Group 1 - The gold concept sector experienced a decline of 0.13%, ranking among the top losers in the market, with notable declines from companies such as Wolong New Energy and Jinyi Culture [1] - The top gainers in the gold concept sector included Qizhou Development, Hainan Mining, and Baoding Technology, with increases of 6.21%, 3.07%, and 2.26% respectively [1] - The concept sectors with the highest gains included the Armament Restructuring Concept at 4.22% and the Tonghuashun Fruit Index at 3.37% [1] Group 2 - The gold concept sector saw a net outflow of 1.271 billion yuan, with 50 stocks experiencing net outflows, and five stocks seeing outflows exceeding 100 million yuan [1] - The stock with the highest net outflow was Chifeng Gold, with a net outflow of 213 million yuan, followed by Zijin Mining and Jinyi Culture with outflows of 170 million yuan and 129 million yuan respectively [1] - The stocks with the highest net inflows included Qizhou Development, Baoding Technology, and Western Mining, with inflows of 84.43 million yuan, 29.77 million yuan, and 26.88 million yuan respectively [1] Group 3 - The top stocks in the gold concept sector by net outflow included Chifeng Gold (-1.99%), Zijin Mining (-0.37%), and Jinyi Culture (-3.14%) [2] - Other notable stocks with significant outflows included Luoyang Molybdenum (-0.25%) and Hunan Gold (-0.61%) [2] - The overall trading activity in the gold sector was characterized by a high turnover rate, with Jinyi Culture reaching 9.29% [2]