Core Viewpoint - The performance of various industries in the first half of the year has shown significant improvement, with 52.88% of the 938 listed companies reporting a year-on-year increase in net profit attributable to shareholders [1] Group 1: Non-ferrous Metals Industry - The non-ferrous metals sector has experienced substantial profit growth, driven by rising prices of raw materials such as copper and gold [2] - 20 companies in the non-ferrous metals industry reported a year-on-year profit increase of over 50%, with 6 companies achieving a profit doubling [2] - For instance, Jincheng Mining expects a net profit of 1.07 billion to 1.12 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 74.62% to 82.78%, attributed to increased sales volume and prices of mineral products [2] - Luoyang Molybdenum anticipates a net profit of 8.2 billion to 9.1 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 51.37% to 67.98% due to rising copper and cobalt prices [2] - Huayou Cobalt's profit is expected to rise by 55.62% to 67.59%, with a projected net profit of 2.6 billion to 2.8 billion yuan, driven by increased cobalt prices [2] Group 2: Gold Industry - The gold sector has also reported strong performance, with companies like Western Gold expecting a net profit of 130 million to 160 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 96.35% to 141.66% [3] - Shandong Gold anticipates a net profit of 2.55 billion to 3.05 billion yuan, reflecting an increase of 84.30% to 120.50% due to higher gold sales prices and increased sales volume [3] - Other gold companies, including Chifeng Gold and Zhongjin Gold, also expect net profit increases exceeding 50% [3] Group 3: Agricultural Chemicals Industry - The agricultural chemicals sector has seen significant profit growth, with 49 out of 89 companies reporting increases, representing 55.1% [4] - Xian Da Co. expects a net profit of 130 million to 150 million yuan, a staggering year-on-year increase of 2443.43% to 2834.73%, driven by rising market prices of its main product [4] - Su Li Co. anticipates a net profit of 72 million to 86 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 1008.39% to 1223.91% due to increased sales of pesticides [4] - Li Min Co. expects a net profit of 260 million to 280 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 719.25% to 782.27% [4] Group 4: Fertilizer Industry - Fertilizer companies like Yara International and Dongfang Iron Tower are also forecasting over 50% profit growth due to increased product demand [5] - Yara International expects a net profit of 730 million to 930 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 170% to 244%, driven by higher production and sales volumes [5] - Dongfang Iron Tower anticipates a net profit of 451 million to 495 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 63.80% to 79.78% [5] Group 5: Fluorochemical Industry - The fluorochemical sector has benefited from rising market prices, with companies like Sanmei Co. expecting a net profit of 948 million to 1.042 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 146.97% to 171.67% [6] - Juhua Co. anticipates a net profit of 1.97 billion to 2.13 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 136% to 155% due to rising prices of fluorinated refrigerants [6] - Yonghe Co. expects a net profit of 255 million to 280 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 126.30% to 148.49% [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Neutral" rating for the steel industry and a "Positive" rating for the non-ferrous metals industry, with specific "Buy" ratings for companies such as Luoyang Molybdenum, Zhongjin Gold, Shandong Gold, Zijin Mining, and China Aluminum [5][6]. Core Views - The report highlights the commencement of a major hydropower project in the Yarlung Tsangpo River basin, which is expected to significantly increase the demand for special steel products due to the project's requirements [4][18]. - The report anticipates that the domestic economic stimulus policies will gradually show effects, supporting the prices of copper and aluminum, while the lithium market faces oversupply pressure [5][40][47]. - The report notes a substantial increase in China's rare earth exports in June, indicating a potential for price strengthening in the rare earth sector due to improved export demand [4][62]. Industry Summary Steel Industry - The Yarlung Tsangpo River hydropower project has a total investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan, which will likely boost demand for special steels [4][18]. - As of July 18, the total steel inventory was 13.3141 million tons, showing a slight decrease of 0.12% from the previous week and a year-on-year decrease of 22.71% [26]. - The average price index for steel on July 18 was 3,462.31 yuan per ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 0.99% [39]. Non-Ferrous Metals - The report indicates that the copper market is experiencing tight supply and low inventory, which may support prices in the short term [40]. - For aluminum, domestic policies are expected to support prices despite uncertainties in overseas tariff policies [47]. - The lithium market is under pressure from oversupply, but recent policy changes may provide some support for price recovery [53][54]. Rare Earths and Minor Metals - In June, China's rare earth exports reached 7,742.2 tons, a significant month-on-month increase of 32.02%, suggesting a positive outlook for rare earth prices [4][62]. - The report also notes price movements in minor metals, with tungsten concentrate prices increasing by 2.27% to 180,000 yuan per ton [64].

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market showed volatility, with the Hang Seng Index closing at 25,130.03 points, up 0.54% or 135.89 points, with a total turnover of HKD 266.07 billion [1] - The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index rose 0.39% to 9,075.6 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 0.38% to 5,606.83 points [1] Blue Chip Performance - BYD (01211) saw a significant increase of 5.09%, closing at HKD 134.2, contributing 37.78 points to the Hang Seng Index [2] - In the first half of 2023, BYD's domestic sales exceeded 2.113 million units, a year-on-year increase of 31.5%, while overseas sales reached 472,000 units, up 128.5% [2] - Other notable blue chips included Xinyi Glass (00868) up 7.23%, Zhongsheng Holdings (00881) up 6.15%, while New Oriental (09901) and Bank of China Hong Kong (02388) saw declines of 4.92% and 3.5% respectively [2] Sector Highlights - Coal stocks surged, with Mongolian Coking Coal (00975) up 11.55% and Yancoal Australia (01171) up 9.53%, driven by rumors of capacity control measures in the coal industry [3][4] - Infrastructure stocks performed strongly, with China Communications Construction (01800) rising 7.57% and China Railway Construction (01186) up 6.03% [4] - The launch of the Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project, with an investment of approximately CNY 1.2 trillion, is expected to boost infrastructure investment [5] Commodity and Material Stocks - Non-ferrous metal stocks continued to rise, with Ganfeng Lithium (01772) up 8.94% and Luoyang Molybdenum (03993) up 7.12%, supported by upcoming policies aimed at stabilizing growth in key industries [6] - The photovoltaic sector was active, with Kaisa New Energy (01108) rising 8% and GCL-Poly Energy (03800) up 6.67%, as supply-side reforms are anticipated to improve industry conditions [7] Notable Stock Movements - China Longgong (03339) surged 15.83% after announcing a significant profit increase forecast for the first half of 2025 [8] - Fufeng Group (00546) rose 10.8% on expectations of a substantial profit increase due to higher sales and lower raw material costs [9] - Lijun Pharmaceutical (01513) reached a new high, up 9.37%, following positive clinical trial results for a new drug [10] - Harbin Electric (01133) climbed 8.14% after announcing a profit forecast that exceeded expectations [11] - Meizhong Jiahe (02453) faced pressure, down 6%, due to a planned share placement at a discount [12]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the non-ferrous metal industry is experiencing a strong upward trend, with the industry index rising by 1.86% and individual stocks like Tungsten High-tech and Yahua Group seeing significant gains of 10.02% and 9.99% respectively [1] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is set to release a growth stabilization plan for key industries, including non-ferrous metals, focusing on structural adjustments, supply optimization, and phasing out outdated production capacity [1] - The copper and aluminum sectors are highlighted for their high-quality development plans, with an emphasis on addressing the overcapacity issues in copper smelting and alumina production [1] Group 2 - The non-ferrous metal industry index (399395) includes 50 prominent securities, reflecting the overall performance of listed companies in the non-ferrous metal sector on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges [2] - As of June 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the non-ferrous metal industry index account for 50.02% of the index, with companies like Zijin Mining and Luoyang Molybdenum among the leaders [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Increase" rating for the non-ferrous metals sector, indicating a projected investment return that exceeds the market benchmark index by 5% to 15% over the next 6-12 months [5]. Core Insights - In Q2 2025, the holdings of actively managed equity funds in the non-ferrous metals sector increased, with a notable rise in rare earth and minor metals [1][2]. - The total market value of heavy holdings in the non-ferrous metals sector reached approximately 70.4 billion yuan, representing 4.29% of the total heavy holdings of funds, an increase from 4.22% in Q1 2025 [1]. - The top ten heavy holdings are concentrated in copper, gold, and aluminum, with Zijin Mining remaining the largest holding at 22.8 billion yuan [1]. Summary by Sections Fund Holdings - The increase in holdings is primarily in rare earth and minor metals, with significant increases in stocks such as Guangsheng Nonferrous (largest increase in rare earth), Haotong Technology (platinum, palladium, rhodium recovery), and others [2]. - Conversely, reductions in holdings were noted in aluminum, gold, and certain processing stocks, with the largest decrease in Western Materials (titanium) [2]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that supply constraints will support price increases for rare earths, copper, and aluminum, while precious metals will benefit from weakened dollar credit and a rate-cutting cycle [2]. - Specific recommendations include: - Rare Earths: Favorable outlook for prices, with recommendations for Northern Rare Earth and Guangsheng Nonferrous [2]. - Copper: Limited supply growth, with a positive demand outlook in Q4 2025; recommended stocks include Jincheng Mining, Zijin Mining, and Luoyang Molybdenum [2]. - Aluminum: Anticipated supply constraints; recommended stock is China Hongqiao [2]. - Gold: Positive outlook due to weakened dollar credit and increasing ETF demand; recommended stocks include Zhongjin Gold and Chifeng Jilong Gold [2]. Key Company Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The report includes earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for key companies, with all recommended companies rated as "Increase" [4]. - Notable companies include: - Zijin Mining: EPS forecast of 1.77 yuan for 2025, PE of 11 [4]. - Luoyang Molybdenum: EPS forecast of 0.62 yuan for 2025, PE of 14 [4]. - Jincheng Mining: EPS forecast of 3.61 yuan for 2025, PE of 13 [4].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the non-ferrous metals sector is "Increase" [5] Core Viewpoints - In Q2 2025, the holdings of non-ferrous metal heavy stocks by active equity funds increased, with significant increases in rare earth and minor metals [1][2] - The total market value of active equity funds' holdings in the non-ferrous metals sector reached approximately 70.4 billion yuan, accounting for 4.29% of the total heavy stock holdings, an increase of 0.07 percentage points from Q1 2025 [1] - The top ten heavy stocks are concentrated in copper, gold, and aluminum, with Zijin Mining remaining the largest heavy stock [1] Summary by Sections Heavy Stock Holdings - The market value of the top ten heavy stocks in the non-ferrous metals sector includes Zijin Mining (22.8 billion yuan), Shandong Gold (4.4 billion yuan), and Zhongjin Gold (3 billion yuan) [1] - The increase in holdings is mainly concentrated in rare earth and minor metal sectors, with the largest increases seen in stocks like Guangsheng Nonferrous (rare earth) and Haotong Technology (platinum, palladium, rhodium recovery) [2] Investment Recommendations - Supply constraints are expected to support the price increases of rare earths, copper, and aluminum, while precious metals will benefit from weakened dollar credit and a rate-cutting cycle [2] - Specific recommendations include: - Rare Earth: Favorable outlook for rare earth prices, with recommendations for Northern Rare Earth and Guangsheng Nonferrous [2] - Copper: Limited supply growth due to reduced capital expenditure, with recommendations for Jincheng Mining, Zijin Mining, and Luoyang Molybdenum [2] - Aluminum: Anticipated supply ceiling for electrolytic aluminum, recommending China Hongqiao [2] - Gold: Positive outlook for gold prices due to weakened dollar credit, with recommendations for Zhongjin Gold and Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining [2] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for key companies are as follows: - Zijin Mining: EPS of 1.21 (2024), PE of 16 (2024) [4] - Luoyang Molybdenum: EPS of 0.63 (2024), PE of 14 (2024) [4] - Jincheng Mining: EPS of 2.54 (2024), PE of 19 (2024) [4] - Western Mining: EPS of 1.23 (2024), PE of 14 (2024) [4] - China Hongqiao: EPS of 2.36 (2024), PE of 8 (2024) [4] - Northern Rare Earth: EPS of 0.28 (2024), PE of 126 (2024) [4]

Group 1 - The Guozheng Free Cash Flow Index decreased by 0.08% as of July 22, 2025, with mixed performance among constituent stocks, including Dongfang Electric and Zhejiang Construction Investment hitting the upper limit, while Shanghai Steel Union and others led the decline [1][3] - The Free Cash Flow ETF (159201) fell by 0.19%, with the latest price at 1.06 yuan, and it recorded a turnover rate of 2.85% with a transaction volume of 112 million yuan [1] - Over the past nine days, the Free Cash Flow ETF has seen continuous net inflows, with a maximum single-day net inflow of 94.76 million yuan, totaling 232 million yuan, averaging 25.79 million yuan in daily net inflow [1] Group 2 - As of June 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the Guozheng Free Cash Flow Index accounted for 57.97% of the index, including SAIC Motor, China National Offshore Oil, Midea Group, and Gree Electric [3] - The latest financing buy-in amount for the Free Cash Flow ETF reached 6.89 million yuan, with a financing balance of 26.45 million yuan [3] Group 3 - The top ten stocks by weight in the Free Cash Flow ETF include SAIC Motor (10.18%), Midea Group (9.28%), and Gree Electric (7.56%), with varying performance in terms of price changes [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the gold, copper, aluminum, tin, and antimony industries [14][15]. Core Insights - The gold market is expected to maintain an upward trend due to the Federal Reserve's ongoing interest rate cuts [14]. - Short-term demand for copper and aluminum is weak, but medium to long-term supply-demand dynamics are expected to tighten [14]. - Tin prices are supported by tight supply, while antimony prices are expected to remain weak in the short term but are supported by long-term supply constraints [15]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector (Shenwan) saw a weekly increase of 1.32%, ranking in the middle among all Shenwan first-level industries [24]. - The top three performing sub-sectors were lithium (+6.19%), silver (+5.44%), and tungsten (+5.23%) [24]. 2. Precious Metals Market Data - London gold price was $3355.10 per ounce, with a slight increase of $3.00 per ounce (0.09%) [34]. - London silver price reached $38.27 per ounce, up by $0.77 per ounce (2.05%) [34]. - SPDR gold ETF holdings decreased to 30.34 million ounces, down by 130,000 ounces [34]. 3. Industrial Metals Data - LME copper closed at $9720 per ton, up by $80 per ton (0.83%) [40]. - SHFE copper closed at 78,410 yuan per ton, down by 160 yuan per ton (-0.20%) [40]. - Domestic copper social inventory was reported at 143,300 tons, down by 0.04 tons from the previous week [40]. 4. Key Recommended Stocks - Gold industry recommendations include Zhongjin Gold, Shandong Gold, and Chifeng Jilong Gold [16]. - Copper industry recommendations include Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Western Mining [16]. - Aluminum industry recommendations include Shenhuo Co., Yunnan Aluminum, and Tianshan Aluminum [16].

金融界7月21日消息，上证指数高开高走，中证香港300上游指数 (H300上游，H30100)报2739.89点。 数据统计显示，中证香港300上游指数近一个月上涨3.08%，近三个月上涨17.66%，年至今上涨 12.89%。 据了解，中证香港300主题指数系列从中证香港300指数样本中根据中证行业分类选取符合相应主题的证 券作为指数样本，反映了在香港交易所上市各主题证券的整体表现。该指数以2004年12月31日为基日， 以1000.0点为基点。 资料显示，指数样本每半年调整一次，样本调整实施时间分别为每年6月和12月的第二个星期五的下一 交易日。特殊情况下将对指数进行临时调整。当样本退市时，将其从指数样本中剔除。样本公司发生收 购、合并、分拆等情形的处理，参照计算与维护细则处理。 本文源自：金融界 作者：行情君 从指数持仓来看，中证香港300上游指数十大权重分别为：中国海洋石油（28.06%）、中国石油股份 （13.23%）、紫金矿业（10.89%）、中国神华（9.44%）、中国石油化工股份（9.23%）、中国宏桥 （4.71%）、中煤能源（3.3%）、招金矿业（3.07%）、洛阳钼业（2.83%）、兖矿 ...

洛阳栾川钼业集团股份有限公司的主营业务是基本金属、稀有金属的采、选、冶等矿山采掘及加工业务 和矿产贸易业务。公司的主要产品是矿山采掘及加工、钼、钨、铜（不含NPM）、钴、铌、磷、铜金 （NPM）、矿产贸易、矿物金属贸易、精炼金属贸易。 从行业市盈率排名来看，公司所处的小金属行业市盈率平均64.24倍，行业中值55.44倍，洛阳钼业排名 第5位。 本文源自：金融界 截至2025年一季报，共有212家机构持仓洛阳钼业，其中基金212家，合计持股数42257.90万股，持股市 值35.58亿元。 作者：行情君 7月21日，洛阳钼业今日收盘8.63元，上涨5.12%，滚动市盈率PE（当前股价与前四季度每股收益总和的 比值）达到11.98倍，创13天以来新低，总市值1846.33亿元。 最新一期业绩显示，2025年一季报，公司实现营业收入460.06亿元，同比-0.25%；净利润39.46亿元，同 比90.47%，销售毛利率22.33%。 序号股票简称PE(TTM)PE(静)市净率总市值(元)1洛阳钼业11.9813.642.511846.33亿行业平均 64.2468.404.35221.77亿行业中值55.4457 ...