（一）会议审议通过了《公司关于 2026 年度日常关联交易预计的议案》。 经审核，我们认为：公司日常关联交易预计是根据公司生产经营的需要进行 的合理估计，是生产经营过程当中必须发生的持续性交易行为，目的是保证公司 正常开展生产经营活动，促进公司发展。我们认为，上述可能发生的关联交易是 在公平、互利的基础上进行的，定价是公允的，对公司持续经营能力和独立性没 有不利影响，不存在损害公司及全体股东尤其是公司中小股东合法权益的情形， 关联交易的实施不会对公司产生不利影响，符合中国证监会和深圳证券交易所的 有关规定。我们一致同意将该议案提交公司董事会审议，同时关联董事应按规定 回避表决。 表决结果：3 票同意；0 票弃权；0 票反对。 （二）会议审议通过了《公司关于铜陵有色金属集团财务有限公司为关联方 提供金融服务的风险处置预案》。 经审核，我们认为：公司制定的风险处置预案符合《深圳证券交易所上市公 司自律监管指引第 7 号——交易与关联交易》的规定，充分考虑了可能影响公司 铜陵有色金属集团股份有限公司 2025 年第五次独立董事专门会议决议 铜陵有色金属集团股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）2025 年第五次独立董 事 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the non-ferrous and steel industries [9]. Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the sustained upward trend of copper, gold, and aluminum driven by industrial logic, despite uncertainties regarding future interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [9][14]. - It suggests that the primary driver for non-ferrous metal pricing will shift from interest rate expectations to industrial demand growth, presenting ongoing investment opportunities [9][14]. - The report highlights the potential for gold prices to rise due to increased liquidity from the Federal Reserve's asset purchase program, which may weaken the dollar's credit [9][14]. - It notes that tight supply conditions are expected to support copper prices in the medium term, with significant inventory shortages in non-American regions [9][15]. - The aluminum sector is poised to benefit from the accelerated industrialization of aluminum as a substitute for copper in air conditioning systems, driven by rising copper prices [9][15]. Summary by Sections Non-Ferrous Metals - The report anticipates a super cycle for industrial metals, particularly copper, gold, and aluminum, supported by strong industrial demand [9][14]. - It recommends focusing on investment opportunities in the gold sector, particularly companies with improving production metrics [9][14]. - For copper, it highlights companies with significant resource reserves and ongoing production expansion as attractive investment targets [9][15]. Steel Industry - The steel sector is experiencing weak supply-demand fundamentals during the off-season, leading to pressure on steel profitability [16][20]. - Weekly rebar consumption has decreased significantly, with a 6.40% decline compared to the previous week and a 14.55% drop year-on-year [20]. - Steel prices have shown a slight overall decline, with the average price index for common steel dropping by 1.14% [32][33]. New Energy Metals - Lithium carbonate production in October 2025 saw a substantial year-on-year increase of 67.28%, indicating strong supply growth [37]. - The demand for new energy vehicles remains robust, with significant year-on-year growth in production and sales [41]. - Prices for lithium and cobalt have risen, reflecting increased demand and supply constraints in the market [46][48].

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve has completed its third interest rate cut of the year, lowering the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to a range of 3.50%-3.75%, totaling a 75 basis point reduction for the year [1] - The Fed's dovish signals and the announcement of a short-term Treasury bond purchase plan have weakened the US dollar and lowered US Treasury yields, reducing the holding costs for gold assets and creating upward potential for gold prices [1] - Central banks globally are increasing their gold reserves, with China's central bank having added gold for 13 consecutive months, indicating a strong long-term support for gold assets [1] Group 2 - As of December 12, 2025, the CSI Hong Kong-Shenzhen Gold Industry Stock Index has risen by 2.17%, with notable increases in constituent stocks such as Xiaocheng Technology (up 7.28%) and Western Gold (up 6.23%) [2] - The gold stock ETF has seen an active trading volume with a turnover rate of 11.96% and a transaction value of 12.96 million yuan, indicating a vibrant market [2] - The gold stock ETF has experienced a significant growth in scale, increasing by 6.22 million yuan over the past week [2] Group 3 - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Hong Kong-Shenzhen Gold Industry Stock Index account for 68.26% of the index, with major companies including Zijin Mining and Shandong Gold [3] - The index is composed of 50 large-cap stocks involved in gold mining, refining, and sales, reflecting the overall performance of gold industry companies in the mainland and Hong Kong markets [2][3]

Core Viewpoint - Tongling Nonferrous Metals Group's performance is significantly influenced by the market price fluctuations of copper concentrate processing fees, and the company will continue to focus on its main business while monitoring market conditions [2] Group 1: Company Operations - The company sources gold and silver primarily from purchased copper concentrates containing gold (silver), self-produced copper concentrates containing gold (silver), and self-produced gold concentrates [2] - A high proportion of the gold and silver used in the smelting process comes from purchased copper concentrates [2] Group 2: Future Outlook - The company aims to enhance its production and operational management while remaining attentive to market conditions [2] - Investors are encouraged to monitor the company's regular reports for specific performance details [2]

Core Viewpoint - The international copper prices have reached historical highs due to increasing concerns over global supply shortages, although a recent pullback was observed on December 9 [1][2]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The core factor driving the rise in copper prices is the sustained tightness in supply, with several mining companies lowering their mid-term production forecasts and a significant number of cancellation requests for LME warehouse receipts [3]. - Demand for copper is steadily increasing in sectors such as electric vehicles, power grid construction, and AI data centers, contributing to a robust demand outlook [3]. Market Performance - Following a surge in copper prices since November 28, related A-share concept stocks have shown strong performance, with companies like Shengton Mining and Jiangxi Copper seeing cumulative increases of 17.36% and 13.96%, respectively [2]. - On December 9, copper futures on the LME fell over 1%, with the main contract on the Shanghai Futures Exchange dropping 1.46%, reflecting a broader market reaction [2]. Long-term Outlook - Institutions maintain an optimistic long-term outlook for copper prices, with expectations of new highs by 2026 driven by factors such as the ongoing U.S. interest rate cycle and geopolitical stability [4]. - The International Copper Study Group (ICSG) anticipates a supply gap of 150,000 tons by 2026 due to limited new copper mining capacity, further supporting price increases [4]. Structural Supply Concerns - While short-term supply is expected to meet demand, there are concerns about potential structural shortages in the long term, driven by economic recovery and growth in emerging industries [5]. - The overall market sentiment is cautious, with indications of profit-taking among investors, suggesting a need for careful position management [5].

Group 1 - The copper metal concept sector experienced a decline of 2.58%, ranking among the top losers in the market, with companies like China Metallurgical Group and *ST Zhengping hitting the daily limit down [1] - Major companies in the copper sector that saw significant declines include Luoyang Molybdenum (-6.10%), China Metallurgical Group (-10.03%), and Jiangxi Copper (-6.06%) [2][3] - Conversely, a few companies in the sector saw gains, with ST HZ rising by 4.86%, Shengda Resources by 3.61%, and Zhongtung High-tech by 2.86% [1][5] Group 2 - The copper metal concept sector faced a net outflow of 5.915 billion yuan, with 67 stocks experiencing outflows, and 15 stocks seeing outflows exceeding 100 million yuan [2] - Luoyang Molybdenum led the outflows with 771 million yuan, followed by China Metallurgical Group and Zijin Mining, each with 486 million yuan [2] - On the other hand, stocks like Zhongtung High-tech, Shengda Resources, and Zhangyuan Tungsten saw net inflows of 122 million yuan, 81.115 million yuan, and 31.799 million yuan respectively [5]

从资金流向上来看，当日安徽国企改革板块主力资金净流出9.31亿元，游资资金净流入8808.66万元，散户资金净流入8.43亿元。安徽国企改革板 块个股资金流向见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 000630 | 铜陵有色 | - 5.47 | -5.03% | 404.56万 | 22.28亿 | | 600585 | 海螺水泥 | 22.06 | -2.69% | 42.44万 | 9.43亿 | | 000859 | 国风新材 | 9.06 | -2.58% | 183.50万 | 16.94亿 | | 688165 | 埃夫特 | 21.25 | -2.43% | 6.11万 | 1.31亿 | | 600318 | 新力金融 | 8.88 | -2.42% | 17.69万 | 1.58亿 | | 000596 | 古井贡酒 | 150.20 | -2.39% | 3.48万 | 5.24亿 | | 002556 | 辉煌股份 | 5.87 | -2.17% | 1 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for Tongling Nonferrous Metals Group Co., Ltd. (000630) [4] Core Insights - The company has established a comprehensive copper industry chain, including exploration, mining, smelting, and deep processing, but faces short-term profit pressure due to declining copper processing fees [1][3] - The company has shown steady growth in revenue and net profit over the past five years, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.99% in revenue and 34.20% in net profit from 2020 to 2024 [1][27] - Despite short-term profit pressures, the long-term growth trend remains positive, driven by the upcoming production from the Mirador Phase II project and increasing global copper demand [4][25] Summary by Sections Company Overview - Tongling Nonferrous Metals Group is one of the few companies in China with a complete copper industry chain, covering key areas such as copper mining, smelting, and deep processing [13][19] - The company has a significant resource advantage and has successfully listed its subsidiary, Tongguan Copper Foil, on the stock market [1][19] Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 121.89 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.66%, but net profit decreased by 35.13% to 1.77 billion yuan [1][25] - The company's revenue for 2025 is projected to reach 160.15 billion yuan, with net profits of 2.72 billion yuan, reflecting a long-term upward trend despite short-term challenges [4][25] Market Dynamics - Global copper supply growth is slowing, with a 2% year-on-year decline in copper reserves expected in 2024, primarily concentrated in a few countries [2][55] - Demand for copper products is being driven by the power and new energy sectors, while traditional sectors like real estate have not yet shown signs of recovery [2][55] Production Capacity and Growth Potential - The Mirador Phase II project is expected to significantly boost copper concentrate production, with annual output projected to exceed 200,000 tons by 2025 and 300,000 tons by 2026 [3][22] - The company has a competitive advantage in smelting due to its geographical location and has completed upgrades for green transformation [3][23] Profitability and Margins - The company's copper product gross margin has been under pressure, with a decrease to 4.38% in 2024, down 1.27 percentage points year-on-year [30][39] - However, by leveraging by-products such as gold and sulfuric acid, the company is finding new profit support [1][30] Future Outlook - The company is expected to enter a rapid growth phase with the production ramp-up from the Mirador project and increasing global copper consumption [4][25] - Long-term revenue projections for 2025-2027 are optimistic, with expected revenues of 160.15 billion, 164.27 billion, and 174.25 billion yuan respectively [4][25]

Market Performance - The Anhui state-owned enterprise reform sector rose by 0.13% compared to the previous trading day, with Tongguan Copper Foil leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3924.08, up 0.54%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13329.99, up 1.39% [1] Top Gainers - Tongguan Copper Foil (301217) closed at 32.86, up 6.65% with a trading volume of 502,100 shares and a transaction value of 1.643 billion [1] - Jinghe Integrated (688249) closed at 32.46, up 5.18% with a trading volume of 543,000 shares and a transaction value of 1.728 billion [1] - Hefei Urban Construction (002208) closed at 12.22, up 4.98% with a trading volume of 1,061,400 shares and a transaction value of 1.284 billion [1] Top Losers - Hengnong Heavy (600971) closed at 6.62, down 2.22% with a trading volume of 132,300 shares and a transaction value of 88.0431 million [2] - Anhui Electric Power (000543) closed at 8.16, down 1.57% with a trading volume of 345,200 shares and a transaction value of 282 million [2] - Huai Bei Mining (600985) closed at 11.60, down 1.53% with a trading volume of 235,200 shares and a transaction value of 273 million [2] Capital Flow - The Anhui state-owned enterprise reform sector experienced a net outflow of 26.9167 million from main funds, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 43.5742 million [2] - The main funds showed a significant net inflow in Jinghe Integrated (688249) amounting to 267.1 million, while retail investors had a net outflow of 26.4 million [3] - Tongguan Copper Foil (301217) had a net inflow of 86.5213 million from main funds, with retail investors contributing a net inflow of 23.5911 million [3]

Core Insights - The Yangtze River Delta region's top 100 enterprises were announced, highlighting significant contributions from Anhui Province with 10 companies listed, equally split between state-owned and private enterprises [1][2] Group 1: Financial Performance of Anhui Enterprises - The total revenue for the top 10 enterprises in Anhui is projected to reach 1.5 trillion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 10.90% [1] - Net profit for these enterprises is expected to be 53.74 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 6.51% [1] - Total assets amount to 1.6 trillion yuan, showing a growth of 16.88% [1] - Owner's equity is estimated at 462.27 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 9.35% [1] - Total tax contributions are projected at 78.75 billion yuan, marking a significant increase of 59.01% [1] - Research and development expenses are expected to reach 35.64 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 21.77% [1] - The workforce across these enterprises totals 335,000 employees, reflecting an increase of 8.19% [1] Group 2: Key Contributors to Growth - Chery Holding Group and Hefei BYD are the primary drivers of revenue growth in Anhui, with Chery achieving 429.51 billion yuan in revenue, a 55.20% increase, and Hefei BYD reaching 101.94 billion yuan, a 66.35% increase [2] - All 10 listed enterprises in Anhui reported profits, with 7 companies experiencing profit increases totaling 5.86 billion yuan, a growth rate of 16.63% [2] - Notable profit growth was observed in companies such as Sunshine Power, Chery Holding, Hefei BYD, and others, with growth rates exceeding 10% [2] Group 3: Comparison with Other Provinces - In the manufacturing sector, Anhui has 13 companies in the top 100, compared to 32 from Jiangsu, 15 from Shanghai, and 40 from Zhejiang [2] - In the service sector, Anhui has 9 companies listed, while Jiangsu has 27, Shanghai has 35, and Zhejiang has 29 [2]