Core Viewpoint - The company achieved steady performance improvement in Q1 2025, marking a "good start" with revenue and profit growth [2] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 6.246 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.09% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 842 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2.46% [1] Business Development - The company is focusing on solidifying its gypsum board and gypsum board+ business while driving growth in waterproof and coating sectors through both organic and external development [2] - The waterproof business achieved revenue of 1.054 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 10.54%, and a net profit of 43 million yuan, up 19.89% [2] - The coating business saw significant growth, with revenue reaching 908 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 111.44%, and a net profit of 44 million yuan, up 48.17% [2] - International business continued to perform well, with revenue increasing by 73% year-on-year and net profit rising by 143.08% [2] Profit Forecast and Investment Rating - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 28.820 billion yuan, 32.373 billion yuan, and 36.249 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with net profits of 4.462 billion yuan, 4.999 billion yuan, and 5.616 billion yuan respectively [3] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 11.2, 10.0, and 8.9 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 [3] - The average valuation for comparable companies in 2025 is 23.1 times PE, and the company maintains an "overweight" rating [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [12] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 6.246 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 5.09%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 842 million yuan, up 2.46% year-on-year [4][5] - The main business of gypsum board remains resilient, with a slight increase in sales expected despite industry pressures, while other segments such as waterproofing and coatings have shown significant growth [5][6] - The company is pursuing a "one body, two wings" strategy, focusing on its core gypsum board business while expanding into new categories and regions, which is expected to drive long-term growth [6] Financial Summary - The company has a total market capitalization of 49.9 billion yuan and a circulating market value of 48.2 billion yuan [3] - The projected revenues for 2025 and 2026 are 29.7 billion yuan and 33.2 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 15.1% and 11.8% [8][11] - The expected net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 and 2026 is 4.56 billion yuan and 5.17 billion yuan, reflecting growth rates of 25.1% and 13.4% [6][11]

证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·建筑材料 建筑材料行业跟踪周报 以稳为主，科技加内需仍是主线 2025 年 04 月 28 日 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 证券分析师 黄诗涛 执业证书：S0600521120004 huangshitao@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 房大磊 执业证书：S0600522100001 fangdl@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 石峰源 执业证书：S0600521120001 shify@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -23% -19% -15% -11% -7% -3% 1% 5% 9% 13% 17% 2024/4/29 2024/8/27 2024/12/25 2025/4/24 建筑材料 沪深300 相关研究 《期待 25 年 Q3 家装迎来明显加速》 2025-04-20 《继续看好内需消费地产链》 2025-04-13 东吴证券研究所 1 / 21 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 本周（2025.4.21–2025.4.25，下同）：本周建筑材料板块（SW）涨跌幅 0.22%，同期沪深 300、万得 ...

事件：公司发布 2025 年一季报，2025Q1 公司实现营业收入 62.46 亿元（yoy+5.09%），归母净利润 8.42 亿元（yoy+2.46%）。 Q1 营收/归母业绩同比增长，持续推进涂料业务布局。 2025Q1，公司实现营收 62.46 亿元，同比增长 5.09%，公司营收 实现同比正向增长，或主要系两翼业务营收增长所致。2025Q1， 公司实现归母净利润 8.42 亿元，同比增长 2.46%，归母净利润增 速低于营收增速或主要因公司费用率增加叠加投资收益同比减 少。公司发布公告，同意子公司北新涂料在安徽省安庆市投资建 设年产 2 万吨工业涂料生产基地项目，目标市场以中部地区安徽、 河南、湖北、湖南、江西 5 省为主，专注于生产工业设备、石油 石化、桥梁等工业工程防腐涂料，开发船舶及汽车涂料，助力北 新涂料开拓华中、西南市场。随产能建设完成达产，公司涂料业 务市场竞争力有望进一步提升，助力营收/业绩规模增长。 2025 年 04 月 28 日 北新建材(000786.SZ) Q1 营收/业绩同比增长，毛利率同比提 升 | | 其他装饰材料 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 投 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the construction materials industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the importance of domestic circulation and cyclical investment opportunities in response to the current economic challenges and geopolitical tensions [4] - It suggests that the central government's recent policy adjustments indicate a shift towards prioritizing domestic demand and infrastructure investment as a more stable and controllable option compared to external factors [4] - The report anticipates that local government bond policies will accelerate, providing liquidity support for the economy, and predicts a potential early turnaround in cyclical sectors [4] Summary by Sections 1. Sector Tracking - The construction materials index rose by 0.2%, while the cement and glass fiber indices experienced declines of 1.0% and increases of 1.8% respectively [8] - Notable stock performances included gains from companies like Jianfeng Group (+14.1%) and losses from companies like Jingang Photovoltaic (-11.7%) [8] 2. Data Tracking 2.1 Cement - The average price of 42.5 cement nationwide is 390.8 RMB/ton, down 1.8 RMB/ton month-on-month but up 35.7% year-on-year [15] - The cement inventory ratio stands at 61.8%, unchanged month-on-month but down 6.6 percentage points year-on-year [15] - The cement shipment rate is 47.6%, down 1.4 percentage points month-on-month and 2.4 percentage points year-on-year [15] 2.2 Float Glass - The average price of 5mm float glass is 1421.7 RMB/ton, up 0.7 RMB/ton month-on-month but down 402.5 RMB/ton year-on-year [31] - The total inventory of key production enterprises in 13 provinces is 5.618 million heavy boxes, down 0.1% month-on-month but up 2.4% year-on-year [31] 2.3 Photovoltaic Glass - The average price for 2.0mm coated photovoltaic glass is 14.3 RMB/sqm, unchanged month-on-month but down 4.1 RMB/sqm year-on-year [36] - The inventory days for photovoltaic glass have increased to 26.85 days, up 3.1% month-on-month and 44.7% year-on-year [36] 2.4 Glass Fiber - The average price of alkali-free glass fiber yarn is 4745.0 RMB/ton, unchanged month-on-month but up 715.0 RMB/ton year-on-year [43] - The average price of electronic yarn is 9100.0 RMB/ton, unchanged month-on-month but up 1750.0 RMB/ton year-on-year [43] 2.5 Carbon Fiber - The average price of large tow carbon fiber is 72.5 RMB/kg, unchanged month-on-month but down 2.0 RMB/kg year-on-year [46] - The average operating rate of carbon fiber enterprises is 60.19%, up 1.09 percentage points month-on-month and 11.45 percentage points year-on-year [46] 3. Industry Dynamics - The report highlights ongoing efforts in various regions to stabilize the real estate market, including new housing plans in Qingdao and government initiatives in Guangdong [14] - The Central Political Bureau's meeting emphasized the need to maintain stability in the real estate market and capital markets, indicating a proactive approach to economic management [14]

Group 1: Business Growth Strategies - The company aims to expand its gypsum board business by targeting the home decoration and rural markets, enhancing product development, and increasing profitability through high-value products and technological innovation [2] - The industrial coatings segment will focus on niche markets, including powder coatings and marine and automotive coatings, while exploring synergies with the overall product system [2][3] Group 2: Market Outlook and Pricing - The company expresses hope for price recovery in the waterproofing industry, encouraging collaboration among industry players to promote healthy development and transformation [3] Group 3: International Expansion - The international business strategy focuses on Southeast Asia, Central Asia, and the Middle East, implementing a "gypsum board first" approach and adapting to market conditions for coatings and waterproofing [3] Group 4: Performance and Incentives - The company will concentrate on three main product systems: gypsum board, waterproof systems, and coatings, aiming for both internal growth and external development to achieve high-quality growth [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Buy" for several key stocks in the construction materials sector, including Puhua Co., China Jushi, Beixin Building Materials, and Yuhua Co. [8] Core Insights - The construction materials sector has shown a slight increase of 1.27% from April 21 to April 25, 2025, with specific segments like glass manufacturing and fiberglass manufacturing performing well [1][12] - The report emphasizes the impact of second-hand housing transactions on the demand for building materials, suggesting a positive correlation with consumption stimulus policies [2] - The report highlights the ongoing challenges in the cement industry, with prices fluctuating around breakeven levels due to increased production cuts [3][17] - Seasonal improvements in glass demand are noted, but there are still supply-demand contradictions, particularly with expectations of declining demand post-2025 [2][28] - The report recommends focusing on companies with strong growth potential and solid performance, such as Puhua Co. and Yuhua Co. [2][8] Summary by Sections Cement Industry Tracking - As of April 25, 2025, the national cement price index is 388.22 CNY/ton, showing a slight decrease of 0.17% week-on-week [3][17] - The cement output reached 3.5205 million tons, an increase of 4.85% from the previous week, indicating some recovery in demand [3][17] - The report notes a current market structure of "infrastructure support, housing drag, and civil supplement," with short-term demand unlikely to see significant improvement [17] Glass Industry Tracking - The average price of float glass is 1331.75 CNY/ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 0.24% [28] - Inventory levels for raw glass in 13 provinces decreased by 60,000 boxes, indicating a slight improvement in demand [28] - The report anticipates price fluctuations in the short term due to stable supply and weak demand [28] Fiberglass Industry Tracking - The fiberglass market is experiencing a stabilization in prices, with the report suggesting that the price war has ended and prices are beginning to recover [2][6] - The demand for wind power fiberglass is expected to increase significantly in 2025, driven by a surge in installation capacity [2][6] Consumer Building Materials - The consumer building materials segment is benefiting from favorable second-hand housing transactions and consumption stimulus policies, with a recommendation for companies like Beixin Building Materials and Weixing New Materials [2][8] - The report indicates a weak recovery in demand for consumer building materials, with upstream raw material prices showing mixed trends [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Buy" for several key stocks in the construction materials sector, including Puhua Co., China Jushi, Beixin Building Materials, and Yuhua Co. [8] Core Insights - The construction materials sector has shown a slight increase of 1.27% from April 21 to April 25, 2025, with specific segments like glass manufacturing and fiberglass manufacturing performing well [1][12] - The report emphasizes the impact of second-hand housing transactions on the demand for building materials, suggesting a positive correlation with consumption stimulus policies [2] - The report highlights the ongoing challenges in the cement industry, with prices fluctuating around break-even levels due to increased production cuts and a focus on cost advantages among leading firms [2][3] Summary by Sections Cement Industry Tracking - As of April 25, 2025, the national cement price index is 388.22 CNY/ton, showing a slight decrease of 0.17% week-on-week, while the cement output increased by 4.85% to 352.05 million tons [3][17] - The cement market is characterized by strong infrastructure demand but weak residential construction, leading to a challenging environment for cement producers [17][23] Glass Industry Tracking - The average price of float glass is 1331.75 CNY/ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 0.24%, with inventory levels showing a slight decrease [28][31] - The report notes a seasonal improvement in glass demand, although supply-demand imbalances persist, particularly with expectations of declining demand post-2025 [2][28] Fiberglass Industry Tracking - The fiberglass market is showing signs of recovery, with prices stabilizing after a period of decline, and demand from the wind power sector is expected to increase significantly in 2025 [2][6] - The report recommends focusing on companies like China Jushi and Zhongcai Technology due to their growth potential in the fiberglass market [2][8] Consumer Building Materials - The consumer building materials segment is experiencing a weak recovery, with prices of upstream raw materials like asphalt remaining stable [7] - The report suggests that consumer building materials will benefit from favorable second-hand housing transactions and consumption stimulus policies [2][7] Carbon Fiber Market - The carbon fiber market is stabilizing, with production rates improving and a slight increase in demand expected from sectors like wind energy and hydrogen storage [2][6] - The report highlights the importance of monitoring price stabilization in the context of economic recovery [2][6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (Maintain) [6] Core Views - The company's performance is supported by its "two wings" strategy, which includes gypsum board and other businesses, as well as coatings and waterproofing, contributing to revenue growth [8] - The company is positioned as a leading player in the domestic gypsum board industry, with a strong competitive moat and is transitioning towards a comprehensive consumer building materials manufacturer and service provider [8] - The company is expected to benefit from domestic demand policies and has the potential for valuation uplift due to its growth trajectory and defensive attributes [8] Financial Summary - The company achieved a revenue of 6.246 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 5.09%, and a net profit of 842 million yuan, up 2.46% year-on-year [8] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 27.344 billion yuan, 28.961 billion yuan, and 31.137 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 4.025 billion yuan, 4.362 billion yuan, and 4.805 billion yuan [7][9] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 2.38 yuan in 2025, increasing to 2.84 yuan by 2027 [7][9] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decrease from 12.40 in 2025 to 10.38 in 2027, indicating a favorable valuation trend [7][9]

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