Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the performance and strategic adjustments of the Silver华心怡 fund managed by Li Xiaoxing, indicating a positive outlook for the second half of the year, particularly in technology and dividend stocks that have seen sufficient adjustments in the first half [1][4]. Fund Performance - In Q2 2025, the net asset value of Silver华心怡 increased by 557 million, reaching 5.947 billion, making it the largest fund managed by Li Xiaoxing [1]. - The fund's A and C share net value growth rates were 2.31% and 2.16%, respectively, slightly outperforming the benchmark return of 2.09% [1]. Stock Holdings - The stock allocation of Silver华心怡 slightly increased from 89.74% to 89.80% in Q2 [2]. - The top ten holdings include 中芯国际, 小米集团, 宁德时代, 中国移动, 分众传媒, 腾讯控股, 汇川技术, 中国联通, 中海油田服务, and 顺丰控股 [2][3]. - Notably, Guizhou Moutai and Alibaba exited the top ten holdings, while the fund significantly increased its positions in Xiaomi, 分众传媒, and 汇川技术 [3]. Market Outlook - Li Xiaoxing maintains an optimistic view for the second half of the year, focusing on technology stocks and dividend stocks that have not seen significant price increases [4]. - AI remains a central theme in global technological innovation, with strong demand for computing power in China and easing supply bottlenecks [4]. - The report emphasizes investment opportunities in AI hardware and domestic semiconductor advancements, particularly in advanced wafer manufacturing and packaging [4]. Sector Insights - The consumer sector is expected to see structural changes, with growth opportunities in new categories such as trendy toys and pets [5]. - The pharmaceutical sector is experiencing active performance, driven by the acceleration of domestic pharmaceutical upgrades and increasing international competitiveness [5]. - The banking sector is noted for its stable operations and improved asset quality, while the insurance sector is anticipated to recover from its most challenging period [5].

顺丰业务量增速持续领先，关注后续行业"反内卷"实质进展 [Table_Industry] 物流 2025 年 7 月 20 日 证券研究报告 行业研究 [Table_ReportType] 行业专题研究（普通） | [Table_StockAndRank] 物流 | | | --- | --- | | 投资评级 | 看好 | | 上次评级 | 看好 | [Table_Author] 匡培钦 交运行业首席分析师 执业编号：S1500524070004 邮 箱：kuangpeiqin@cindasc.com 秦梦鸽 交运行业分析师 执业编号：S1500524110002 邮 箱：qinmengge@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅大厦 B座 邮编：100031 [Table_Title] 快递行业月度专题：顺丰业务量增速持续领 先，关注后续行业"反内卷"实质进展 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 07 月 20 日 本期内容提要: [Table_S [事件：顺丰控股、圆通速递、韵达股份、申通快递 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company has shown strong growth in business volume and revenue, with June revenue reaching 26.254 billion, a year-on-year increase of 13.43%, and express logistics business volume at 1.46 billion tickets, up 31.77% year-on-year [2][3] - The company has successfully transformed into a comprehensive logistics leader, with new business segments achieving market-leading positions and contributing to revenue and profit improvements [6][7] Summary by Sections Business Performance - In Q2, the company reported a business volume increase of 31.20% year-on-year and revenue growth of 12.41% [3] - The company’s business volume has been accelerating since 2025, significantly outpacing industry growth rates [4] Revenue and Profitability - The total revenue for the company in 2025 is projected to be 315.54 billion, with a year-on-year growth rate of 10.9% [8] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach 11.91 billion in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 17.1% [8] Financial Metrics - The company’s gross margin is projected to improve from 12.8% in 2023 to 14.0% in 2025 [8] - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to increase from 8.9% in 2023 to 12.1% in 2025 [8] Future Outlook - The company is expected to maintain a strong growth trajectory, with net profits projected to reach 14.26 billion in 2026 and 16.85 billion in 2027, representing growth rates of 19.7% and 18.2% respectively [7][8] - The company’s price-to-earnings ratio is projected to decrease from 29.33 in 2023 to 20.28 in 2025, indicating potential value appreciation [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for SF Express, Shentong Express, and Yunda Express, indicating a positive outlook for these companies in the express delivery sector [8]. Core Insights - The express delivery industry showed robust performance in the first half of 2025, with a total business volume of 956.4 billion pieces, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 19.3%. The total revenue reached 7187.8 billion yuan, growing by 10.1% year-on-year [3][5]. - The report highlights that the demand for express delivery is driven by trends such as the increasing volume of small packages, reverse logistics, and the benefits from lower-tier markets. The growth rate of express delivery volume significantly outpaces the growth of retail sales and online retail sales [6]. - Price competition in the industry is intensifying due to the trend of smaller packages and ongoing price wars. However, the report suggests that the intensity of price competition may be controllable due to policy guidance aimed at promoting high-quality development [6][7]. Summary by Sections Industry Data - In June 2025, the express delivery business volume reached 168.7 billion pieces, with revenue of 1263.2 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 15.8% and 9.0%, respectively [3]. - For the first half of 2025, the express delivery revenue was 7187.8 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 10.1%, while the business volume was 956.4 billion pieces, growing by 19.3% [3][5]. Company Performance - In June 2025, SF Express reported a revenue of 199.62 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 14.2%. The business volume was 14.60 billion pieces, growing by 31.8% year-on-year [4]. - For the first half of 2025, SF Express's revenue was 1091.55 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 10.2%, and a business volume of 78.13 billion pieces, reflecting a growth of 25.7% [5]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the express delivery sector is currently undervalued, with expectations of continued growth driven by the expanding e-commerce market and new demands from lower-tier markets. It recommends focusing on leading companies in the e-commerce express delivery sector, such as ZTO Express, YTO Express, Yunda Express, Shentong Express, and Jitu Express, as well as the comprehensive logistics leader SF Express [7].

Investment Rating - The report recommends investing in SF Holding due to its valuation, operational resilience, and shareholder returns [2] - The report also recommends the aviation sector, specifically Air China and China Southern Airlines, due to expected profit elasticity from supply-demand optimization [4] Core Views - The express delivery industry saw a year-on-year growth of 15.8% in business volume in June, with SF Holding leading the growth [2] - The logistics sector is under pressure, particularly in hazardous materials logistics, but there is a push towards smart logistics, with Hai Chen Co. being recommended [3] - The aviation sector is experiencing robust growth, with Spring Airlines and China Eastern Airlines leading in RPK growth [4] - The shipping sector is facing challenges, with the CCFI index showing a significant year-on-year decline of 40.2% [5] Summary by Sections Transportation Market Review - The transportation index increased by 0.2% from July 12 to July 18, underperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index by 0.8% [1][13] Express Delivery - In June, the national express delivery business volume reached 168.7 billion pieces, with a revenue of 126.32 billion yuan, marking a 9.0% year-on-year increase [2] - The average revenue per delivery decreased by 5.9% to 7.49 yuan [2] Logistics - The chemical products price index (CCPI) is at 4021 points, down 14.3% year-on-year [3] - Hai Chen Co. is recommended due to its strategic partnerships and improved demand in consumer electronics [3] Aviation - The average daily flights in China increased by 3.29% year-on-year, with domestic flights up by 1.89% [4] - RPK growth for major airlines shows significant increases, with Spring Airlines at +12% compared to 2024 [4] Shipping - The CCFI index is at 1303.54 points, down 0.8% week-on-week and down 40.2% year-on-year [5] - The BDI index increased by 29.9% week-on-week, indicating a recovery in dry bulk shipping [5][38] Road and Rail - The national highway freight traffic increased by 0.19% week-on-week, with a year-on-year increase of 0.82% [6][81] - The railway passenger turnover increased by 3.61% year-on-year, while freight turnover showed a slight decline [79]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the express delivery industry, indicating an expected increase in the industry index exceeding the benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 3-6 months [2][30]. Core Insights - The express delivery industry experienced a business volume growth of 15.8% in June, with a total of 16.87 billion packages delivered, and a cumulative growth of 19.3% for the first half of the year [5][8]. - The industry's revenue in June reached 126.32 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9.0%, with a cumulative revenue of 718.78 billion yuan for the first half, up 10.1% year-on-year [5][8]. - The average revenue per package in June was 7.49 yuan, down 5.9% year-on-year, with a cumulative average of 7.52 yuan for the first half, down 7.7% [5][8]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The express delivery industry is showing signs of recovery with significant growth in business volume and revenue, driven by major players like SF Express, which led the growth with a 31.8% increase in June [5][6]. - The report highlights the ongoing "anti-involution" trend in the industry, which is expected to enhance the performance elasticity of express delivery companies in the medium to long term [5][8]. Company Performance - SF Express continues to lead the market with a year-to-date growth rate of 31.8%, outperforming the industry average [5][6]. - In terms of revenue growth for June, SF Express reported a 14.2% increase, while other companies like YTO Express and Shentong Express also showed positive growth rates [5][8]. Investment Opportunities - The report suggests focusing on investment opportunities within the express delivery sector, particularly in companies like Shentong and YTO, which are expected to benefit from the ongoing market adjustments [5][8]. - SF Express's "activation operation" strategy is highlighted as a key driver for its sustained growth, with expectations for continued performance improvement [5][8].

·七部门部署鼓励外商投资企业境内再投资从优化土地要素配置等方面更大力度吸引和利用外资 ·18日，市场监管总局约谈饿了么、美团、京东三家平台企业，要求相关平台企业严格遵守《中华人民 共和国电子商务法》等法律法规规定，严格落实主体责任，进一步规范促销行为，理性参与竞争，共同 构建消费者、商家、外卖骑手和平台企业等多方共赢的良好生态，促进餐饮服务行业规范健康持续发 展。同日，市场监管总局召开2025年直播带货食品安全行政指导会，会议要求直播电商平台和带货主播 企业等食品新业态新模式要高度重视食品安全。（新华财经） ·工业和信息化部等部门召开新能源汽车行业座谈会部署进一步规范新能源汽车产业竞争秩序工作 ·国家发展改革委党组成员、副主任李春临主持召开专题会议，研究更好统筹发展和安全，因地制宜健 康有序推动低空经济高质量发展。会议明确，要深刻领会因地制宜发展新质生产力的原则要求，从当地 客观实际出发推动低空新产业、新模式、新场景、新动能发展，不能盲目跟风。（新华财经） ·市场监管总局要求外卖平台企业理性竞争要求食品新业态新模式高度重视食品安全 ·中央第四指导组聚焦"综合整治新能源汽车行业非理性竞争问题"专项工作赴中国汽车 ...

Core Insights - The cold chain logistics industry in Shanghai is experiencing significant growth driven by consumption upgrades and the explosion of fresh e-commerce [1] - Shanghai serves as an international hub, gathering leading cold chain companies that are reshaping industry standards through intelligent management and customized solutions [1] Company Summaries - **Yingmai Logistics**: A national 4A logistics enterprise, Yingmai utilizes ±0.5℃ precise temperature control technology to establish industry barriers. Its blockchain traceability system achieves a 98% judicial evidence acceptance rate, covering 18 high-end sectors and providing emergency services for over 300 multinational companies [3] - **SF Cold Chain**: With the largest cold storage cluster in the country and over 10,000 refrigerated vehicles, SF Cold Chain maintains a leading position in ultra-low temperature vaccine transportation, achieving a 99.2% next-day delivery rate for fresh products across provinces [4] - **JD Cold Chain**: Innovating e-commerce cold chain logistics, JD Cold Chain integrates storage, transportation, and distribution networks, reducing sorting error rates to 0.01% with AI dynamic routing [5] - **Rongqing Logistics**: A multi-business service giant with a million square meters of high-end storage, Rongqing leads in chemical and pharmaceutical cold chain market share, improving customs clearance efficiency by 40% [6] - **Zhengming Modern Logistics**: Operates over 80 intelligent cold storage facilities nationwide, with a temperature-controlled warehouse network of 1.3 million square meters, and has contributed to the formulation of five national standards [7] - **Sinotrans Cold Chain**: A key player in cross-border cold chain logistics, utilizing deep cold storage to streamline import cold chain customs clearance to 6 hours, with over 30% of its business in high-end products [8] - **Wanwake Cold Chain**: A leader in green and low-carbon logistics, operating 20 photovoltaic cold storage parks, achieving a carbon reduction equivalent to 12,000 trees [9] - **Xinxiahui**: A joint venture focusing on restaurant supply chains, employing advanced dynamic temperature control technology to minimize delivery loss rates to below 0.3% [9] - **ZTO Cold Chain**: A pioneer in penetrating lower-tier markets, with a network of 5,000 nodes and a blockchain traceability system ensuring freshness delivery within 48 hours [9] - **Shuanghui Logistics**: A model of industrial synergy, leveraging its parent company's advantages to build a 200,000-ton automated cold storage facility, achieving a meat cold chain loss rate of only 0.03% [10] Industry Trends - The cold chain logistics sector is being redefined by technological advancements, with companies focusing on smart energy management and ultra-low temperature transportation for biopharmaceuticals [12] - As ESG standards are implemented and global supply chains upgrade, leading companies are expected to drive cold chain logistics from a cost center to an industry value engine [12]

Group 1: Company Announcements - Dongwu Securities plans to raise no more than 6 billion yuan through a private placement of A-shares, with the funds primarily allocated for subsidiary capital increase, technology investment, and debt repayment [2] - Nanjing High-Tech reported a significant increase in contract sales, achieving 820 million yuan in equity contract sales, a year-on-year growth of 824.68% [4] - Changhong High-Tech intends to acquire 100% equity of Guangxi Changke New Materials, with stock trading resuming on July 21 [5] - Shunfeng Holdings recorded a revenue of 19.962 billion yuan in June for its express logistics business, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 14.24% [11] - Double Forest Co. plans to issue H-shares and list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [9] Group 2: Financial Performance - Nanjing High-Tech's real estate business achieved a contract sales area of 68,500 square meters, a year-on-year increase of 2437.04% [4] - YTO Express reported a revenue of 5.527 billion yuan in June, with a year-on-year growth of 11.35% [7] - Shunfeng Holdings' total revenue from express logistics, supply chain, and international business reached 26.254 billion yuan in June, up 13.43% year-on-year [11] Group 3: Other Significant Developments - The full subsidiary of Shangshi Development plans to sell part of its products from the Quanzhou project for 2.053 billion yuan, expecting a net profit of approximately 163 million yuan [3] - Yuyou Green Energy is set to invest up to 800 million yuan in a smart manufacturing base for new energy vehicle charging and discharging equipment [14] - Weifu High-Tech intends to convert its B-shares for listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, without issuing new shares [12]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant increase in revenue and business volume for June 2025, indicating strong growth in its logistics and supply chain operations [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - The total revenue for June 2025 reached RMB 262.54 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 13.43% compared to RMB 231.45 billion in June 2024 [1]. - The express logistics business revenue grew by 14.24% year-on-year, with business volume increasing by 31.77% [1]. - The supply chain and international business revenue increased by 10.93% year-on-year, contributing to the overall growth [1]. Group 2: Business Strategy - The growth in express logistics is attributed to the company's implementation of activation strategies, increased authorization and incentives for frontline operations, and high-quality service during peak e-commerce promotional seasons [1][2]. - The company leveraged its global network advantages and diversified business layout to adapt to market changes and explore new demands, which supported the growth of supply chain and international operations [2].