Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Recommended [5] Core Insights - The report highlights the acceleration of humanoid robot production due to advancements in AI technology and domestic companies' efforts to replace core components, indicating a broad market opportunity [1][15] - The electric vehicle (EV) sector is entering a deep penetration phase, with new high-cost performance models expected to drive sales growth and stabilize the industry in the medium to long term [2][18] - The renewable energy sector is facing rising upstream raw material prices, which are expected to be passed down the supply chain, potentially leading to price rebounds for solar components [3][24] - The UK government's decision to relax AR7 offshore wind auction entry requirements is anticipated to boost investment enthusiasm and accelerate project implementation in the offshore wind sector [4][27] Summary by Sections Humanoid Robots - The launch of the new industrial humanoid robot Walker S2 by UBTECH enables 24/7 operation with a rapid battery swap system, indicating a significant technological breakthrough [1][15] - The report emphasizes the strong domestic demand for core components and the potential for domestic companies to benefit from this trend [1][15] - Key players in the humanoid robot supply chain are expected to see substantial opportunities as the industry matures [1][17] New Energy Vehicles - The report notes that the introduction of multiple new EV models is likely to enhance user experience and drive sales growth [2][18] - The EV industry is characterized by rapid growth, with new technologies and materials expected to improve performance and reduce costs [2][19] - The report identifies several investment opportunities within the EV supply chain, particularly in battery technology and related components [2][23] Renewable Energy - The report discusses the impact of rising prices for upstream materials like silicon, which are expected to lead to price increases for solar components [3][24] - It highlights the ongoing optimization of battery efficiency and the potential for companies with differentiated high-efficiency products to enhance profitability [3][26] - The report also notes the expected reduction in production from glass manufacturers, which could alleviate inventory and pricing pressures in the solar market [3][26] Offshore Wind Energy - The UK government's relaxation of AR7 offshore wind auction rules is seen as a positive signal for the global offshore wind industry, potentially increasing project participation [4][27] - The report anticipates that the extension of contract terms for difference agreements will further stimulate investment in offshore wind projects [4][28] - Key beneficiaries of this trend are expected to include leading domestic companies involved in offshore wind energy [4][28] Energy Storage - The introduction of capacity pricing policies for energy storage in Gansu province is expected to enhance the profitability of long-duration storage projects [8][31] - The report emphasizes the importance of energy storage in balancing renewable energy output and improving utilization rates [8][31] - Companies with technological advantages in energy storage are likely to be the first to benefit from these new policies [8][31]

Core Insights - Korean investors show a strong preference for overseas markets, with China ranking as the second most favored market after the United States as of July 17, 2025 [1][14] - The total trading volume of Chinese stocks by Korean investors reached approximately $5.514 billion, second only to the U.S. market's $32.244 billion [14] Group 1: Investment Trends - Korean investors are particularly enthusiastic about Hong Kong stocks, with Xiaomi Group-W being the most held stock as of July 18, 2025 [2][3] - The total amount available for stock purchases by Korean investors reached 66.7 trillion KRW, indicating potential for further investment [2][18] Group 2: Net Buying Rankings - Over the past year, the top ten net bought Hong Kong stocks by Korean investors included Xiaomi Group-W ($160 million), BYD Company ($62.44 million), and CATL ($60.85 million) [3][4] - In the past month, the leading net bought stocks were Old Peking Gold ($2.94 million), followed by Sanhua Intelligent Controls ($2.09 million) and Xiaomi Group-W ($1.99 million) [4][5] Group 3: Recent Weekly Trends - From July 11 to July 18, 2025, Alibaba-W topped the net buying list among Korean investors with a net purchase of $13.38 million [7][8] Group 4: Market Capitalization - As of July 18, 2025, the top ten stocks held by Korean investors by market value included Xiaomi Group-W ($251 million), Tencent Holdings ($217 million), and Alibaba-W ($176 million) [9][10] Group 5: Market Sentiment and Leverage - The KOSPI index has increased by 32.89% this year, driven by improved corporate governance and optimistic market sentiment [18] - The amount of margin loans outstanding reached 21.6 trillion KRW, indicating a high level of leverage among retail investors [18]

Group 1: Market Overview - The A-share market showed a positive trend with major indices rising, particularly the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a new closing high for the year [2] - Resource cyclical stocks were prominent, with the rare earth permanent magnet sector experiencing significant gains, alongside lithium and coal sectors [2][3] - The overall market is transitioning from a "weight-driven" to a "theme-driven" approach, indicating a structural market trend [8] Group 2: Rare Earth Sector - The rare earth permanent magnet sector saw active trading, with several stocks hitting the daily limit up, including Jiuwu High-Tech and Huahong Technology [3] - The discovery of a new mineral, "Nedun River Mineral," by a research team from China University of Geosciences, highlights the complexity and resource diversity of the Baiyun Obo mine, the world's largest rare earth deposit [3] - As of July 18, 17 companies in the rare earth permanent magnet sector have released half-year performance forecasts, with 9 expecting profit increases and 5 turning losses into profits [4] Group 3: Lithium Sector - The lithium mining sector experienced significant movements, with stocks like Shengxin Lithium Energy and Jinyuan Co. hitting the daily limit up [6] - A recent announcement from Cangge Mining regarding the suspension of lithium resource development due to compliance issues has raised concerns about supply constraints in the lithium market [6] - Major lithium companies Tianqi Lithium and Ganfeng Lithium reported improved performance forecasts, indicating a potential recovery in the sector [7] Group 4: Investment Outlook - Financial institutions suggest that the market is likely to continue focusing on structural opportunities, particularly in technology growth sectors supported by policy and industrial upgrades [8] - The trend indicates a shift from capital-driven to profit-driven industry operations, with expectations of dual recovery in performance and valuation across various sectors [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a standard rating for the non-ferrous metals industry [2] Core Views - The non-ferrous metals industry has shown a mixed performance, with the small metals sector rising by 6.58% and the industrial metals sector declining by 3.49% in the past two weeks [3][12] - The rare earth and magnetic materials sector is experiencing a significant profit increase, driven by improved supply-demand dynamics and price recovery [5][65] - Lithium prices continue to decline due to oversupply, but leading companies are expected to recover as high-cost production is phased out [66] Industry Performance Overview - As of July 17, 2025, the non-ferrous metals industry has decreased by 0.87% over the past two weeks, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.55 percentage points [12] - Year-to-date, the industry has increased by 20.08%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 17.55 percentage points, ranking first among 31 industries [12] - The small metals sector has shown a year-to-date increase of 24.87%, while the industrial metals sector has increased by 16.89% [18] Price Trends - As of July 17, 2025, LME copper is priced at $9,678 per ton, LME aluminum at $2,589 per ton, and LME nickel at $15,065 per ton [24] - The rare earth price index has risen to 192.03, with significant increases in prices for praseodymium-neodymium oxide and dysprosium oxide [42][65] - Lithium carbonate prices are stabilizing, with battery-grade lithium carbonate at 64,800 yuan per ton [40][66] Company Performance Highlights - Northern Rare Earth expects a net profit increase of 1,882.54% to 2,014.71% for the first half of 2025 [56] - Ningbo Yunsheng anticipates a net profit increase of 133.55% to 250.33% for the same period [57] - Xiamen Tungsten's revenue for the first half of 2025 is projected at 19.178 billion yuan, with a net profit of 972 million yuan, a decrease of 4.41% year-on-year [52][67]

Core Views - The report maintains a positive long-term outlook on gold, copper, and aluminum, emphasizing the importance of strategic metals [1][3] - In H1 2025, domestic economic indicators show signs of bottoming out, with improvements in real estate construction and a gradual shift towards new economic drivers [4][8] - The global economic landscape is being reshaped by fluctuating interest rate expectations from the Federal Reserve and the impacts of trade wars, leading to significant changes in resource sectors [4][8] Investment Strategies - **Main Line 1: Expansion on the Denominator Side - Gold and Silver**: Focus on gold and silver, with specific attention to the performance of gold stocks and the potential for silver due to its high price ratio to gold [4][5] - **Main Line 2: Improvement on the Numerator Side - Aluminum, Copper, Tin**: Anticipate continued high profitability in aluminum due to falling costs, while remaining cautious of potential short-term demand weakness [4][7] - **Main Line 3: Key Strategic Metals**: Highlighting opportunities in rare earths and other strategic metals amid US-China tensions, particularly in six key strategic metals [4][7] - **Main Line 4: Supply-Side Disruptions from Anti-Competition**: The report suggests that supply-side constraints in sectors like lithium carbonate may present attractive bottom-fishing opportunities [4][7] Market Performance - The CRB metal spot index increased by 7.08% from the beginning of 2025 to June 30, 2025, indicating a general upward trend in metal prices [9][10] - Gold prices surged by 23.93% during the same period, driven by expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut [12][14] - Industrial metals, particularly tin and copper, saw significant price increases of 19.91% and 15.59% respectively, while zinc prices fell by 5.55% [16][19] Supply and Demand Dynamics - Global copper inventories saw a significant reduction, with LME copper stocks decreasing by 66.17% by June 30, 2025 [21][69] - The report anticipates limited growth in global copper supply due to insufficient capital expenditure in mining, projecting only a 2.3% increase in global copper production in 2025 [62][64] - The refined copper market is expected to remain slightly short, with a projected demand growth of 7.1% for 2025, supporting a high price center for copper [69] Sector Performance - The non-ferrous metal sector outperformed the broader market, with a cumulative increase of 19.17% from January to June 2025, compared to a 5.6% rise in the Shanghai Composite Index [38][40] - Sub-sectors such as tungsten, gold, and rare earths performed particularly well, with respective increases of 39.64%, 33.57%, and 31.88% [42][44] - Companies closely tied to resource price fluctuations, particularly in gold and rare earths, showed strong performance, while midstream processing companies faced challenges due to weak downstream demand [44]

Group 1 - The lithium mining sector experienced significant fluctuations on July 18, with companies like Shengxin Lithium Energy and Jinyuan Co. hitting the daily limit up, while others like Zhongmin Resources and Tianqi Lithium also saw notable gains [1][2] - The main driver behind this market movement was a sudden announcement from Zangge Mining, which stated that its subsidiary was ordered to halt lithium resource development activities due to compliance issues [3][7] - The announcement highlighted a tightening of local government regulations regarding lithium resource development, signaling potential challenges for the industry [7] Group 2 - Tianqi Lithium and Ganfeng Lithium, referred to as the "lithium mining twins," both released their half-year performance forecasts, with Tianqi expecting a net profit of 0 to 1.55 billion yuan, a significant recovery from a loss of 5.206 billion yuan in the same period last year [8] - Ganfeng Lithium, on the other hand, projected a net loss of 300 million to 550 million yuan, although this was an improvement from a loss of 760 million yuan in the previous year [8][9] - The differing strategies of the two companies in response to lithium price fluctuations were noted, with Tianqi adjusting its pricing mechanism to a monthly basis, while Ganfeng focused on expanding its battery business [10] Group 3 - The lithium carbonate market is currently facing an oversupply situation, with prices continuing to decline, which has led to inventory pressures [10] - Recent data indicated that the price of lithium carbonate futures had reached a new high of 70,980 yuan per ton, marking a 4.32% increase [2][11] - The supply-demand dynamics are shifting, with rising costs for lithium raw materials and a decrease in inventory levels, suggesting potential support for prices in the near term [11][12] Group 4 - Policy measures are being implemented to support the lithium carbonate market, including the elimination of inefficient production capacities and government stockpiling of industrial-grade lithium carbonate [12][13] - The overall sentiment in the market is currently characterized by a rebound phase driven by market emotions, although the reality of weak fundamentals may limit significant price increases [13]

Core Viewpoint - Lithium mining stocks continue to show strong performance, with Jin Yuan Co. hitting the daily limit up, indicating robust investor interest in the sector [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Jin Yuan Co. reached the daily limit up, reflecting strong market sentiment [1] - Other companies in the lithium sector, including Shengxin Lithium Energy, Zhongkuang Resources, Fangyuan Co., Tianqi Lithium, and Ganfeng Lithium, also experienced price increases [1] Group 2: Market Trends - The main contract for lithium carbonate on the Shanghai Futures Exchange rose over 4% in early trading, reaching 70,700 yuan per ton, signaling a bullish trend in lithium prices [1]

Group 1 - The Color Metal Leader ETF (159876) experienced a price increase of 0.66% after three consecutive days of decline, with a net subscription of 600,000 units, totaling 2.53 million yuan in the last two days [1] - Since the low point on April 8, the ETF has risen by 20.84%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index (13.57%) and the CSI 300 Index (12.40%) [1] - Lithium stocks led the gains, with Tianqi Lithium and Ganfeng Lithium both rising over 3%, and Shengxin Lithium Energy increasing by more than 2% [1] Group 2 - Tianqi Lithium is expected to turn a profit in its mid-year report, with a net profit forecast between 0 to 155 million yuan, a significant recovery from a loss of 5.206 billion yuan in the same period last year [2] - Ganfeng Lithium's losses are expected to narrow, with a forecasted net loss of 300 million to 550 million yuan, compared to a loss of 760 million yuan last year [2] - The lithium sector is seeing accelerated resource clearance, with domestic battery production increasing by nearly 40% year-on-year, benefiting the lithium price and the industry's long-term profitability [2][3] Group 3 - Among the 60 companies covered by the Color Metal Leader ETF, 27 have disclosed mid-year performance forecasts, with over 80% expecting profits, and 10 companies predicting a doubling of net profits [3] - Northern Rare Earth is expected to see a net profit increase of 1882% to 2014% year-on-year, leading the sector [3] - The overall improvement in the non-ferrous metal industry is attributed to multiple factors, including macro policy benefits, geopolitical disturbances, and emerging demand from sectors like new energy vehicles and robotics [3][5] Group 4 - As of the end of June, the market-to-book ratio of the CSI Nonferrous Metals Index was 2.24, indicating a relatively low valuation compared to its historical median of 2.52, suggesting a high cost-performance ratio for investment [6] - The Color Metal Leader ETF and its linked funds track the CSI Nonferrous Metals Index, which has significant weightings in copper (26.1%), gold (16.3%), aluminum (15.8%), rare earths (8.5%), and lithium (7.7%), providing risk diversification [7]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Domestic lithium carbonate production and inventory are at high levels, and the supply - demand outlook is loose. However, due to national policy - guided capacity clearance and expectations of automobile consumption stimulus, the prices of domestic and imported lithium concentrates have increased, limiting the downside space for lithium carbonate prices. It is recommended that investors hold their previous long positions cautiously or take profits on rallies, and pay attention to the support level around 63,000 - 65,000 and the resistance level around 68,000 - 70,000 [3] - The lithium carbonate basis is negative and the contango is positive, both within a reasonable range. This is due to the expectation of domestic lithium carbonate over - capacity clearance and the continuation of new energy vehicle consumption stimulus policies. However, the domestic lithium carbonate supply - demand outlook remains loose, and investors are advised to wait and see for arbitrage opportunities [6] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Supply Side Lithium Concentrate - Ganfeng Lithium's Mali Goulamina lithium spodumene project phase I with an annual capacity of 506,000 tons of lithium concentrate was officially put into production in July. Tianqi Lithium's Greenbushes lithium mine 520,000 - ton wet - process project may be put into production in October 2025, with the total capacity reaching 2.14 million tons per year. However, the daily prices of domestic and imported lithium ores have increased, and the domestic lithium concentrate production (import) volume in July may decrease (increase) month - on - month [10][11][13] Lithium Carbonate - The capacity utilization rate (production volume) of domestic lithium carbonate has increased compared to last week. Guangdong Haohai Lithium's 6,000 - ton battery - grade lithium carbonate capacity may be put into production in July 2025, and Zijin Liyuan's 25,000 - ton capacity for producing battery - grade lithium carbonate from crude carbon will be completed and put into production in December 2025. The production volume of domestic lithium carbonate (industrial and battery - grade) in July may increase month - on - month, and the supply outlook is loose [27] - The import window is closed, and the import volume of domestic lithium carbonate in July may decrease month - on - month. The daily theoretical delivery profit of domestic lithium carbonate is negative, causing the inventory of lithium carbonate on the Guangzhou Futures Exchange to decrease compared to last week. The social inventory (of smelters, traders, and downstream) of domestic lithium carbonate has increased compared to last week [30][34] Lithium Hydroxide - The daily cash production cost of domestic smelting (causticizing) lithium hydroxide is 58,700 (67,150) yuan per ton, and the production profit is negative. Yahua Group plans to build a 30,000 - ton lithium hydroxide production line by the end of 2025. The production volume of domestic lithium hydroxide (by smelting and causticizing methods) in July may decrease month - on - month, the inventory (of smelters and downstream) in July may increase month - on - month, and the export volume in July may decrease month - on - month [38][43][48] Demand Side - The production volume of domestic lithium iron phosphate (lithium manganese iron phosphate) in July may increase month - on - month. Hubei Ruipai New Energy's project and Tiancheng Lithium's project, as well as Longpan Technology's project, are expected to contribute to the increase [60] - The production (import) volume of domestic nickel sulfate in July may increase month - on - month. The daily full production cost of domestic MHP/high - grade nickel matte/yellow slag/nickel beans to produce nickel sulfate is 124,100/119,500/126,600/125,200 yuan per nickel ton, and the production profit is negative/positive/negative/negative. The monthly production cost of Indonesian MHP/high - grade nickel matte integrated production of nickel sulfate is 112,000/119,100 yuan per nickel ton, and the production profit is positive [63] - The production volume of domestic lithium cobalt oxide in July may increase month - on - month. The suspension of cobalt exports in the DRC since February 22 and its extension have affected the supply, leading to a decrease in the processing fee of domestic cobalt intermediates and changes in the production of related cobalt products [67] - The production volume of domestic lithium manganate in July may increase month - on - month. The production (export) volume of domestic electrolytic manganese dioxide (lithium manganate type) in July has increased (decreased, decreased) month - on - month [77] - The production volume of domestic ternary precursors in July may increase month - on - month. The monthly processing fee of domestic ternary precursors has decreased month - on - month, the monthly production cost of producing ternary precursors from externally sourced raw materials is 79,450 yuan per ton, and the production profit is negative. The supply - demand outlook for domestic ternary precursors in July may be tight [81][83][87] - The production volume of domestic ternary materials in July may increase month - on - month. The monthly processing fee of domestic ternary materials has decreased month - on - month, the monthly average production cost of polycrystalline consumer - grade 5 - series ternary materials is 107,600 yuan per ton, and the production profit is negative. The inventory of domestic ternary material factories has increased compared to last week [92][93][95] - The production (export) volume of domestic lithium hexafluorophosphate in July may increase month - on - month. The daily production profit of producing solid - state lithium hexafluorophosphate from externally sourced lithium fluoride is negative [103][105][107] - The production volume of domestic lithium batteries in July may increase month - on - month, while the export volume may decrease month - on - month. The production (shipment and inventory) volume of domestic energy - storage cells in July may decrease (decrease, increase) month - on - month, and the production (shipment and inventory) volume of domestic power cells in July may increase (increase, increase) month - on - month [114][118][122] - The production (sales) volume of domestic new energy vehicles in July may increase (decrease) month - on - month [124][126]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is the performance of the China Securities New Energy Vehicle Index, which has shown positive growth in recent months and reflects the overall performance of listed companies in the new energy vehicle sector [2] - The China Securities New Energy Vehicle Index has increased by 4.78% in the past month, 8.69% in the past three months, and 4.84% year-to-date [2] - The index includes companies involved in lithium batteries, charging piles, and new energy vehicles, with a base date of December 31, 2011, set at 1000.0 points [2] Group 2 - The top ten weighted companies in the index are: CATL (10.24%), Huichuan Technology (9.6%), BYD (8.92%), Changan Automobile (4.98%), Sanhua Intelligent Control (4.88%), Yiwei Lithium Energy (4.32%), Huayou Cobalt (3.98%), Ganfeng Lithium (3.09%), Tianqi Lithium (2.77%), and Gree Environmental (2.56%) [2] - The market distribution of the index holdings shows that 84.25% are from the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, 15.15% from the Shanghai Stock Exchange, and 0.60% from the Beijing Stock Exchange [2] - The industry distribution of the index holdings indicates that 59.24% are in the industrial sector, 23.65% in consumer discretionary, 15.86% in materials, and 1.25% in information technology [2] Group 3 - The index samples are adjusted every six months, with adjustments implemented on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December each year [3] - Weight factors are adjusted along with the sample changes, and generally remain fixed until the next scheduled adjustment [3] - Special circumstances may lead to temporary adjustments to the index, such as the delisting of a sample company or corporate actions like mergers and acquisitions [3]