Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the sector, including Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, and Tianfu Communication, among others [11]. Core Insights - The transition to the "Agent" era is accelerating, with AI agents like Clawdbot and Claude Excel evolving from simple conversational tools to essential productivity tools, significantly increasing demand for cloud computing resources [1][20]. - The AI application landscape is fundamentally shifting from simple interactions to deep integration into work processes, marking a new paradigm where AI becomes a core executor in workflows [2][21]. - The emergence of AI agents is driving a qualitative change in underlying computing power demand, as these agents transition from auxiliary tools to autonomous entities [3][22]. - The competition for computing power is intensifying, with rising cloud service prices and continuous growth in capital expenditures (capex) from cloud providers, highlighting the increasing importance of scarce computing resources [4][23]. Summary by Sections Investment Strategy - The report suggests focusing on the computing power sector, particularly in optical communications, with recommended companies including Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, and Tianfu Communication [14]. - It also highlights the importance of liquid cooling and edge computing platforms, recommending companies like Yingweike and Meige Intelligent [14]. Market Review - The communication sector has seen an increase, with optical communications performing particularly well, as evidenced by significant stock price increases for companies like Tianfu Communication and Zhongji Xuchuang [16][17]. Computing Power Demand - The report emphasizes that the new operational modes of AI agents lead to a dramatic increase in token consumption, necessitating high concurrency and continuous online capabilities from computing services [5][25]. - Major cloud providers like Google Cloud and Amazon AWS have announced price increases for their services, indicating a shift from a long-term trend of decreasing prices [10][23]. Key Companies and Performance - Zhongji Xuchuang and Xinyi Sheng have shown strong growth, with Zhongji Xuchuang maintaining its leading position in the industry [25]. - The report recommends monitoring the performance of companies involved in the computing power supply chain, including those in optical modules and liquid cooling sectors [25].

Group 1: Market and Economic Indicators - The manufacturing PMI for January is reported at 49.3, a decrease of 0.8 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a decline in economic activity [4][58] - The Ministry of Finance announced that the securities transaction stamp duty is expected to reach 203.5 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a growth of 57.8% [3][57] - The national general public budget revenue for 2025 is projected to be 21.6 trillion yuan, a decrease of 1.7% compared to 2024, with tax revenue expected to grow by 0.8% [8][61] Group 2: Regulatory Developments - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) is proposing to expand the types of strategic investors and clarify minimum shareholding requirements, aiming to enhance the stability of capital markets [15][54] - The CSRC is also focusing on improving the regulatory framework to support high-quality development in the capital market [14] Group 3: Commodity Market Movements - Silver prices experienced a historic drop of 36%, while gold prices fell over 12%, marking the largest single-day declines in 40 years [23][54] - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange has raised margin requirements for precious metal futures in response to the volatility in the market [54] Group 4: Energy Sector Developments - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration have issued a notice to improve the pricing mechanism for power generation capacity, allowing for flexible pricing based on market supply and demand [5][59][10] - The notice encourages the signing of flexible pricing mechanisms in medium to long-term contracts to better reflect real-time supply and demand [11][59] Group 5: Corporate Earnings Forecasts - New Yi Sheng expects a net profit of 9.4 billion to 9.9 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 231.24% to 248.86% [27] - Zhongji Xuchuang forecasts a net profit of 9.8 billion to 11.8 billion yuan for 2025, with a growth rate of 89.50% to 128.17% [28] - Wan Ke A anticipates a net loss of approximately 82 billion yuan for 2025, primarily due to a significant decrease in project settlement scale [32][33]

每经AI快讯，中际旭创发布公告称，2026年1月31日，中际旭创接受易方达基金等投资者调研，公司董 事、副总裁、财务总监王晓丽等参与接待，并回答了投资者提出的问题。 （记者 张喜威） 每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——特朗普大动作，金价30小时暴跌670美元！此前两周狂飙21%，也与他有 关！后市怎么走？各大机构表态，专家解读 ...

中际旭创在此前接受调研时表示，从产品角度来看，2025年一季度起800G订单需求持续释放，三季度 重点客户开始部署1.6T并持续增加订单，预计2026年-2027年其他重点客户也将大规模部署1.6T。随着 算力和AI数据中心硬件需求的增长，行业需求呈现高景气度，2026年大客户需求指引明确，公司将全 力准备、把握产业机会，推动营收与利润规模再上台阶。 同时，中际旭创在报告期内确认投资收益及公允价值变动损益，带来归母净利润增加约2.96亿元，其中 约4800万元投资收益计入非经常性损益事项。 中证报中证网讯(记者孟培嘉)中际旭创（300308）1月30日晚披露的2025年度业绩预告显示，公司2025 年预计实现归母净利润98亿元至118亿元，同比增长89.50%至128.17%；扣非净利润预计为97亿元至117 亿元，同比增长91.38%至130.84%；扣除股权激励费用前，光模块业务实现合并净利润约108亿元至131 亿元，同比增长90.81%至131.44%。 对于业绩变动原因，中际旭创表示，报告期内，受益于终端客户对算力基础设施的强劲投入，公司产品 出货较快增长，其中高速光模块占比持续提高，且随着产品方案 ...

行 业 研 究 通信 2026 年 02 月 01 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -26% 0% 26% 53% 79% 106% 2025-01 2025-05 2025-09 通信 沪深300 相关研究报告 《重视硅光和 CPO 链投资机会—行 业点评报告》-2026.1.21 《台积电和谷歌表现亮眼，重视硅光 链和谷歌链—行业周报》-2026.1.18 《光、液冷、国内 AIDC 迎新变化— 行业周报》-2026.1.11 Meta、康宁、微软财报亮眼，重视硅光 CPO、光 纤、液冷投资机会 ——行业周报 | 蒋颖（分析师） | 陈光毅（联系人） | 雷星宇（联系人） | | --- | --- | --- | | jiangying@kysec.cn | chenguangyi@kysec.cn | leixingyu@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790523120003 | 证书编号：S0790124020006 | 证书编号：S0790124040002 | Meta 营收资本开支双超预期，业绩指引维持乐观 2026 年 1 月 29 日，Meta 公布 20 ...

Core Insights - The company anticipates a rapid increase in customer demand starting from 2025, leading to a tight supply of upstream core materials that cannot fully match this demand [1] - Production cycles for optical chips such as EML and CW are relatively long, resulting in a more pronounced supply shortage, which is expected to persist through the first half of this year [1] - Supply conditions are projected to improve somewhat in the second half of the year, but the company is proactively securing material procurement and has established agreements with suppliers to ensure overall supply for this year and next [1] - The company is confident in its ability to maintain continuous growth in shipment volumes due to effective supply chain management [1]

中际旭创在机构调研时表示，NPO是一个新的技术方案，相较CPO拥有更多的灵活性和性价比优势，例 如光引擎的可插拔能力、成熟的PCB封装技术、大规模量产能力、更加开放的供应链生态和更低的成本 等。目前NPO是CSP客户比较青睐和重视的方案，并有可能成为一个较为长期的技术选择。 ...

中际旭创在机构调研时表示，很多客户订单已下到2026年四季度，行业需求呈现较高的景气度和持续 性。 ...

四季度部分物料存在供给紧张的情况，主要由于客户需求提升太 快，光芯片等物料的产能供给跟不上需求速度，对公司生产和出货有一 定影响。 三、投资者问答环节 Q1：2025 年四季度的有效税率情况？ 编号：2026-001 | 投资者关 | □特定对象调研 | □分析师会议 | □媒体采访 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 系活动类 | □业绩说明会 | □新闻发布会 | □路演活动 | | 别 | □现场参观 （电话会议） | 其他 ☑ | | | | 易方达基金；工银瑞信基金；大成基金；华泰柏瑞基金；永赢基金；中 | | | | | 欧基金；嘉实基金；华宝基金；泰康基金；安信基金；民生加银基金； | | | | | 海富通基金；中海基金；红土创新基金；南方基金；广发基金；长信基 | | | | | 金；华夏基金；长城基金；信达澳亚基金；中银基金；华安基金；新华 | | | | | 基金；睿远基金；中信保诚基金；西部利得基金；鹏华基金；农银汇理 | | | | | 基金；天治基金；融通基金；万家基金；汇添富基金；银河基金；国泰 | | | | | 基金；诺德基金；国投瑞银基金；中庚基金； ...

| 序号 | 股票代码 | 股票简称 | 现价(元) | 张跌幅(%) | 补绕预告摘要 | 预告净利润变动中值(%) ② | | f | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | | 2025.12.31 | 2025.12.31 | | 20 | | | | | | | 预计2025-01-01到2025-12 收起 | | | | | | | | | | -31 ·绩:归属于圆公司股东的 | | | | | | | | | | 净利润980000万元至1180000 | | | | | | 300308 | 中际旭创 | 649.00 | 5.73 | 万元,增长幅度为89.50%至128. | | 108.84 | 2 | | | | | | | 17%;上年同期上绩:归属于母 | | | | | | | | | | 公司股东的净利润517148.60万 | | | | | | | | | | F | | | | | | | | | | 预计2025-01-01到2025-12 收起 | | | | | | | ...