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24小时环球政经要闻全览 | 6月3日
Ge Long Hui· 2025-06-03 01:51
| 市场 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 欧美 | 道琼斯工业平均 | 42305.48 | 35.41 | 0.08% | | | 纳斯达克 | 19242.61 | 128.84 | 0.67% | | | 标普500 | 5935.94 | 24.25 | 0.41% | | | 欧洲斯托克50 | 5355.56 | -11.03 | -0.21% | | | 英国富时100 | 8774.26 | 1.88 | 0.02% | | | HECAC40 | 7737.20 | -14.69 | -0.19% | | | 德国DAX30 | 23930.67 | -66.81 | -0.28% | | | 俄罗斯RTS | 1126.53 | -6.99 | -0.62% | | | 上证指数 | | - | . | | | 深证成指 | | 2011 | - | | | 创业板指 | | www.gogudata.com | = | | | 恒生指数 | 23157.97 | -131.80 | -0.57% | | | ...
华尔街大行齐声唱衰:美联储降息、特朗普政策等因素影响下 美元还有进一步下跌空间
智通财经网· 2025-06-02 23:46
智通财经APP获悉,周一,随着全球贸易紧张局势加剧,美元兑十国集团(G10)所有货币均出现下跌。 Bloomberg美元指数下跌0.6%,接近2023年以来最低的盘中水平。与此同时,华尔街多家银行对美元将 进一步走软的预期正在升温,理由包括美联储即将降息、经济增长放缓、以及美国总统特朗普的贸易与 税收政策带来的影响。 摩根士丹利表示,到明年年中,美元将跌至大流行期间的水平。摩根大通也持续看空美元。高盛则指 出,如果加征关税的政策受阻,白宫方面试图探索其他收入来源的举措可能对美元造成更加严重的打 击。富国银行策略师Aroop Chatterjee直言:"我们认为,围绕美元走软的中期叙事正在形成。" 美元空头仓位接近2023年以来最高 摩根士丹利全球宏观策略主管Matthew Hornbach周一表示:"美国以外的投资者正在重新审视他们在美 国的资产配置,同时也在重新评估与这些资产相关的美元敞口。他们提高了对冲比率,这是未来12个月 内将给美元带来下行压力的因素之一。"该行预测,美元指数(DXY)将在明年6月左右下跌约9%,跌至 91点。 以Meera Chandan为首的摩根大通策略师重申了对美元的负面看法,并 ...
全球宏观评论
2025-06-02 15:44
May 27, 2025 10:12 PM GMT Global Macro Commentary | Global May 27 Sharp super-long JGB rally amid speculation for lower long-end issuance; positive EU and US trade developments support US assets; USTs bull-flatten; miss in France CPI; LatAm currencies outperform; Fed's Barkin warns of effects of uncertainty; DXY at 99.58 (0.5%); US 10y at 4.444% (-6.7bp) Please refer to our recent publications and collaborations (Euro Area Rates Strategy: More Room to Go; Hong Kong Macro Strategy, Economics, Property & Bank ...
中国和日本投资者观点-亚洲主题投资与可持续发展
2025-06-02 15:44
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry and Company Overview - The report focuses on the thematic and sustainability investment landscape in Asia, particularly in China and Japan, highlighting investor interests and regulatory changes impacting these markets [1][2][7]. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **Investor Interest in Thematic and Sustainability Topics**: There is a strong interest among investors in China and Japan regarding thematic and sustainability investments, with discussions held with over 15 investors in Shanghai and Tokyo [1][7]. 2. **Impact of AMAC Guidance**: The new guidance from the Asset Management Association of China (AMAC) mandates shareholders with over 5% ownership to actively exercise their voting rights, which is seen as a long-term positive for corporate governance in China [7][8]. 3. **Governance Trends in Asia**: The governance theme is gaining traction in China, with lessons from Japan and Korea suggesting that increased global investor engagement could lead to higher valuations [7][9][17]. 4. **US-China Tensions and Sustainability**: Investors are keenly interested in the implications of US-China tensions, particularly regarding carbon markets and regulatory changes in Europe that may affect sustainability investments [7][8]. 5. **Sustainability and Thematic Investing Overlap**: The convergence of sustainability and thematic investing is significant, with a focus on diverse Asia-centric themes, including AI, energy transition, and health care [24][29]. Additional Important Insights 1. **Corporate Governance in China**: The AMAC's guidance outlines 13 matters where voting rights should be actively exercised, which includes issues related to shareholder rights, director elections, and environmental responsibilities [11][12][13]. 2. **Reform Momentum in Korea**: There is a noted reform momentum in Korea, with political commitment to governance reform, which is expected to be an inflection point for the market [23]. 3. **US Tariffs and Clean Tech**: The impact of US tariffs on sustainability and clean technology is under scrutiny, with potential implications for the pace of the US energy transition due to reliance on China for critical minerals [29][35]. 4. **EU Regulations and CBAM**: The incoming Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) is set to start in 2026, which will drive interest in carbon capture technologies, particularly in the cement industry [39][42]. 5. **Defense Sector Exclusions**: There is a trend of easing defense sector exclusions among sustainability funds, indicating a shift in investment strategies in response to changing geopolitical dynamics [39][40]. This summary encapsulates the key themes and insights from the conference call, providing a comprehensive overview of the current landscape in thematic and sustainability investments in Asia, particularly focusing on China and Japan.
摩根士丹利:OPEC+料将在8-10月继续增产,令油价进一步走低
news flash· 2025-06-02 07:22
摩根士丹利表示,预计OPEC+在8月、9月、10月这三个月继续恢复石油产量,从而令油价进一步走 低。OPEC+周六宣布同意连续第三个月大幅增加石油产量,对此摩根士丹利表示,这意味着到10月, 此前削减的220万桶/日的产量将被全数解除。 ...
大摩预测美元指数明年或下跌9%,欧元、日元等迎来机遇?
智通财经网· 2025-06-02 03:43
智通财经APP获悉,摩根士丹利最新研报指出,在美联储降息周期与全球经济增速放缓的双重压力下,美元指数(DXY)或将开启深度调整。以马修·霍恩巴赫 为首的策略师团队在5月31日发布的报告中预测,到2026年年中,美元指数将较当前水平下跌约9%,跌至91点,创2020年新冠疫情爆发以来新低。这一预测 与市场对美元前景的重新评估形成共振,尤其在特朗普政府贸易政策引发全球对美元地位反思的背景下,美元指数已从2025年2月高点回落近10%。 在货币市场,摩根士丹利明确看好三大非美币种:欧元兑美元汇率有望从当前的1.13升至1.25,受益于欧洲央行相对谨慎的降息节奏与能源价格回落带来的 贸易条件改善;日元作为传统避险资产,其汇率可能从143日元升至130日元,尤其在特朗普贸易政策加剧全球不确定性背景下,日元套息交易平仓风险将持 续支撑其汇率;英镑兑美元或从1.35升至1.45,这主要得益于英国相对温和的贸易环境,以及当前5.25%的高政策利率所带来的利差优势。 值得注意的是,摩根大通策略师米拉·钱丹团队上周同步释放看跌美元信号,建议投资者做空美元并转而看好日元、欧元和澳元。亚洲交易时段早盘,美元 指数延续跌势,彭博美元现 ...
假期突传重大!大摩喊话A股:外资跑步入场!对节后股市有3大影响
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-01 04:01
端午节假期的第一天,A股市场迎来了一则重磅消息,摩根士丹利(大摩)突然发表声明,将中概念股的评级上调至"与大牛市同步"。这一举动迅速引发了 市场的广泛关注,并无疑将在节后对A股市场产生深远影响。 摩根士丹利的乐观言论对A股和港股无疑是一个积极的信号。该机构的国际声誉使得其每一次的市场预测都具有极高的参考价值。尤其在目前经济复苏的背 景下,摩根士丹利的唱多势必会引导其他外资机构的投资决策,进而推动更多资金流入中国市场。 摩根士丹利作为全球知名的投资机构,其动向通常对市场产生巨大影响。这次的声音不仅为中概念股带来了巨大的市场关注,还可能通过吸引更多外资的涌 入,进一步推高中概念股的表现,进而为整体A股市场带来积极的促进作用。 摩根士丹利的乐观态度:外资涌入中国市场 在刚刚进入端午节假期时,摩根士丹利发布了对中概念股的乐观评估,将其评级上调至"与大牛市同步"。这一变化引起了市场的广泛讨论,相关信息迅速在 各大平台传播开来。根据摩根士丹利的分析,A股和港股市场都有潜力迎来更多外资的流入,特别是港股市场的前景被看好。大摩为此列出了三个关键信 号: 1. 大摩意外唱多A股和港股。这不仅仅是对A股和港股的乐观预测,更具有深 ...
午后!中国股市,突传重磅!
券商中国· 2025-05-30 07:12
空头氛围往往酝酿着赚钱机会! 一些需要重视的现象。今天虽然A股和港股全线调整,但午后市场突然多了许多多头的声音。首先,摩根士丹 利最近将中资股评级由"减持"升至"与大市同步"。特朗普政策倾向推低美元,历史上当美元下跌,反映外资情 绪的港股会更受惠。 与此同时,知名市场人士洪灏也表示,他观察到香港监管局的基础货币余额大幅的飙升。最近这几天,香港隔 夜的利率Hibor已经被砸到0左右了,从4砸到0了,发生在短短几个月时间,非常的惊人。这个显示的,就是 资金不断地涌入香港市场。 全球投资咨询公司剑桥联合公司 (Cambridge Associates) 表示,全球投资者正在重新评估其以美国为主的投资 组合,并关注中国香港和中国内地被低估的股票,以在地缘政治紧张局势中"提供防御"。全球资金流入中国股 市的"涓涓细流"或将汇成"洪流"。 大摩意外唱多 摩根士丹利的策略向来具有风向标意义。今日午后,格隆汇的消息指出,摩根士丹利最近将中资股评级由"减 持"升至"与大市同步"。 该公司董事总经理王滢表示,关税战仍有多项不明朗因素,所以暂未拟再上调评级,看好中资科技股,相信板 块内的企业创新能力强,而且会是国际领先的公司,前景 ...
摩根士丹利与智利国家铜业公司“暗箱操作”遭曝光
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2025-05-29 04:09
Core Points - Chile's President Boric announced the "National Lithium Strategy" on April 20, 2023, which led to negotiations between Codelco and SQM authorized by Corfo on May 24, 2023 [1] - Codelco disclosed that discussions with Morgan Stanley regarding an "underground agreement" began 21 days prior to the announcement of the lithium strategy, with Morgan serving as a financial advisor during negotiations with SQM [1] - A financial advisory agreement between Codelco and Morgan Stanley was signed on March 30, 2023, prior to the announcement of the lithium strategy, with Morgan's commission set at 0.4% of the net profits from the Codelco-SQM collaboration [1] Company Developments - Codelco's president submitted a copy of the agreement with Morgan Stanley to the Chilean House of Representatives, revealing undisclosed terms, including a provision that no base commission would be paid until a final agreement with SQM was signed [1] - On May 15, 2023, Codelco announced the establishment of two subsidiaries, Codelco de Chile SpA and MineralTararSpA [1] - Codelco sent a letter to Corfo on May 22, 2023, agreeing to enter into cooperation negotiations with SQM [1]
盘前必读丨MSCI纳A指数样本调整将生效;美联储公布5月议息会议纪要
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-05-28 23:51
机构指出,月末流动性扰动延续,市场资金整体偏紧。结构性行情下,新消费、新制造相继轮动。关注机器人、智能驾驶、互联网平台等领域的左侧机会。 15:00 国新办就"加快建设交通强国 勇当开路先锋"举行中外记者见面会 20:30 美国至5月24日当周初请失业金人数、美国第一季度实际GDP年化季率修正值 | 〜 | // 外摺怎么样 // | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | | 道琼斯工业指数 | 42098.70 | -244.95 | -0.58% | | 纳斯达克指数 | 19100.94c | -98.22 | -0.51% | | 标普500 | 5888.55 | -32.99 | -0.56% | 当地时间周三,美股三大指数集体收跌,道指跌0.58%,纳指跌0.51%,标普500指数跌0.56%。 热门科技股多数下跌,特斯拉跌超1%,微软、亚马逊、英伟达、谷歌跌幅不足1%。 【财经日历】 10:00 中国气象局2025年6月新闻发布会 15:00 商务部召开5月第4次例行新闻发布会 热门中概股多数收跌,纳斯达克中国金龙指数跌0.7 ...