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申万宏源证券晨会报告-20260204
Core Insights - The report discusses the implementation of the "Tax Law Principle" and its implications for service industries such as internet and finance, indicating that current tax arrangements are unlikely to change significantly in the short term [2][3][12] - The real estate sector is experiencing a favorable shift in financing policies, with REITs and private placements opening new equity financing channels to alleviate financial pressures on real estate companies [3][13] Tax Law Implementation - The State Council approved the "Implementation Regulations of the Value-Added Tax Law of the People's Republic of China" on December 19, 2025, and subsequent announcements have clarified tax details, suggesting stability in tax arrangements for service industries [2][3][12] - The definition of "basic services" in telecommunications is evolving, with mobile data and internet broadband still classified as "value-added services" subject to a 6% VAT rate, while traditional voice services are recognized as "basic services" with a 9% VAT rate [2][3][12] Real Estate Sector Analysis - The financing environment for the real estate industry is improving, with a shift from debt financing to equity financing, including the introduction of REITs and private placements [3][13] - Recent regulatory changes, such as the gradual retreat from the "three red lines" policy, indicate a more supportive financing environment for real estate companies [13] - The report maintains a "positive" rating for the real estate sector, highlighting the potential for recovery in the industry as financing policies become more favorable [3][13] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several quality real estate companies for investment, including China Jinmao, Poly Developments, and China Resources Land, among others, due to their potential for recovery and attractive valuations [13] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the evolving financing landscape and the impact of government policies on the real estate market [3][13]
绿联科技(301606):消费电子出海新势力,加力布局NAS产品打造第二成长曲线(存储系列6)
上 市 公 司 公 司 研 究 / 公 司 深 度 2026 年 02 月 03 日 绿联科技 (301606) ——消费电子出海新势力,加力布局 NAS 产品打造第二成 长曲线(存储系列 6) 报告原因:首次覆盖 投资要点: 市场数据: 2026 年 02 月 02 日 收盘价(元) 69.56 一年内最高/最低(元) 83.50/29.83 市净率 9.2 股息率%(分红/股价) 0.86 流通 A 股市值(百万元) 15,235 上证指数/深证成指 4,015.75/13,824.35 注:"股息率"以最近一年已公布分红计算 | 基础数据: | 2025 年 09 月 30 日 | | --- | --- | | 每股净资产(元) | 7.57 | | 资产负债率% | 30.53 | | 总股本/流通 A 股(百万) | 415/219 | | 流通 B 股/H 股(百万) | -/- | 一年内股价与大盘对比走势: -100% 0% 100% 02-05 03-05 04-05 05-05 06-05 07-05 08-05 09-05 10-05 11-05 12-05 01-05 绿联科技 沪深 ...
——券商板块跟踪:华泰及广发H股再融资落地,持续加码国际业务
EFR 证券■ 时玩人行业 看好 相关研究 《证券行业 2026 年投资策略:权益浪潮 下的券商机遇:财富扩容,国际增效》 2025/11/17 证券分析师 罗钻辉 A0230523090004 luozh@swsresearch.com 金黎丹 A0230525060004 jinld@swsresearch.com 联系人 金黎丹 A0230525060004 jinld@swsresearch.com 行业点评 表 2: 重要上市券商估值表一览 (2026 年 2 月 3 日) 申万宏源研究微信服务号 华泰及广发 H 股再融资 加得国际业务 券商板块跟踪 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 2026 年 02 月 03 日 华泰证券:2026/2/3,华泰证券公告根据一般性授权发行 2027 年到期的 H 股零息转债 100 亿港 0 元。募资净额:拟 99.25 亿港元。初始转股价: 每 H 股 19.70 港元 (可予调整),较收盘价溢价 率 6.78%。若以初始转股价计,转股约 5.08 亿股,占已发行 H 股的 29.53%,已发行总股本的 5.62%。摊薄影响:BPS 从 9M25 的 ...
就近期部分行业涉税相关问题的探讨:\税收法定原则\的落地
Core Insights - The implementation of the "Tax Law Principle" is confirmed with the enactment of the "People's Republic of China Value-Added Tax Law" starting January 1, 2026, replacing the previous interim regulations [3] - The tax arrangements for service industries, particularly in internet and finance sectors, are expected to remain stable in the short term due to the clarity provided by recent regulations [3] Tax Rate Changes - The historical context of tax rates for communication services shows that the definition and tax rates for "basic telecommunications services" and "value-added telecommunications services" have evolved, with the current VAT rate for basic telecommunications services set at 9% [3] - The VAT rate for value-added telecommunications services, which includes services like mobile data and internet access, has been clarified to be 6% under the new regulations [3] Regulatory Clarity - The recent announcement by the Ministry of Finance and the State Taxation Administration on January 30, 2026, specifies that financial and information technology services will be subject to a 6% VAT rate, while only basic telecommunications services are subject to the 9% rate [3] - The definitions and tax classifications have been updated to reflect the current economic environment, indicating a low probability of significant changes in tax arrangements for the service sectors in the near future [3]
一周一刻钟,大事快评(W143):再看东南亚,长城汽车业绩快报
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" indicating that the industry is expected to outperform the overall market [4]. Core Insights - The Southeast Asian electric vehicle (EV) market has shown significant changes, with sales and penetration rates of Chinese EV brands in Singapore, Malaysia, and Thailand exceeding expectations due to price reductions in 2025 [5][6]. - GWM's net profit for 2025 is reported at 9.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 22%, attributed to various factors including policy changes in Russia and increased operational costs [7]. - The report emphasizes the strong growth potential for Chinese EV exports in 2026, driven by improved supply-demand dynamics and product iterations [6][7]. Summary by Sections Southeast Asia Market Analysis - The Southeast Asian EV market has improved significantly, with Chinese brands gaining market share due to competitive pricing strategies [5]. - The market is expected to see continued growth as local support policies evolve, leading to improved supply-demand relationships and increased pricing power for Chinese brands [5][6]. - Major Chinese EV manufacturers are expanding their presence in Southeast Asia, launching new models to enhance their product offerings [6]. GWM Performance Overview - GWM's net profit for 2025 is projected at 9.9 billion yuan, down 22% from the previous year, primarily due to increased costs and operational challenges [7]. - The company aims to achieve a sales target of 1.8 million vehicles in 2026, with significant contributions expected from new models and international markets [7]. - The introduction of new vehicles is anticipated to drive sales growth and improve profit margins, positioning GWM for a potential valuation increase [7].
券商板块跟踪:华泰及广发H股再融资落地,持续加码国际业务
行 业 及 产 业 非银金融/ 证券Ⅱ 行 业 研 究 / 相关研究 《证券行业 2026 年投资策略:权益浪潮 下的券商机遇:财富扩容,国际增效》 2025/11/17 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 罗钻辉 A0230523090004 luozh@swsresearch.com 金黎丹 A0230525060004 jinld@swsresearch.com 联系人 金黎丹 A0230525060004 jinld@swsresearch.com 2026 年 02 月 03 日 华泰及广发 H 股再融资落地,持续 加码国际业务 看好 ——券商板块跟踪 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 博时基金 博时基金管理有限公司(researchreport@bosera.com) 使用。1 行 业 点 评 ⚫ 华泰证券:2026/2/3,华泰证券公告根据一般性授权发行 2027 年到期的 H 股零息转债 100 亿港 元。募资净额:拟 99.25 亿港元。初始转股价:每 H 股 19.70 港元(可予调整),较收盘价溢价 率 6.78%。若以初始转股价计,转股约 5.08 ...
建筑装饰行业2025年报前瞻题:投资趋缓,利润承压
行 业 及 产 业 建筑装饰 2026 年 02 月 03 日 相关研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 袁豪 A0230520120001 yuanhao@swsresearch.com 唐猛 A0230523080003 tangmeng@swsresearch.com 研究支持 唐猛 A0230523080003 tangmeng@swsresearch.com 联系人 唐猛 A0230523080003 tangmeng@swsresearch.com 投资趋缓,利润承压 看好 ——建筑装饰行业 2025 年报前瞻题 本期投资提示: 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 博时基金 博时基金管理有限公司(researchreport@bosera.com) 使用。1 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 - ⚫ 2025 年固定资产投资增速放缓,基建、制造业、地产均呈现压力。基本面方 面,根据国家统计局数据,2025 年 1-12 月基础设施投资(全口径)同比- 1.5%,基础设施投资(不含电力)同比-2.2%。细分结构看,交通运输、仓储 和邮政业投资同比-1.2%, ...
海圣医疗(920166):北交所新股申购策略报告之一百六十:国内麻醉监护耗材头部企业,募投扩产提高市场份额-20260203
2026 年 02 月 03 日 海圣医疗(920166):国内麻醉监护 耗材头部企业,募投扩产提高市场 份额 ——北交所新股申购策略报告之一百六十 证 券 研 究 相关研究 - 证券分析师 刘靖 A0230512070005 liujing@swsresearch.com 王雨晴 A0230522010003 wangyq@swsresearch.com 联系人 王雨晴 A0230522010003 wangyq@swsresearch.com 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 策 略 研 究 申 购 策 略 报 告 ⚫ 基本面:深耕麻醉监护领域,产品线种类丰富。公司 2000 年成立,总部位于浙江省绍兴 市,主要产品包括麻醉类、监护类、手术及护理类三大类医疗器械,涵盖气道与呼吸管理、 生命信息监测、椎管及神经阻滞等八大系列,广泛应用于麻醉科、ICU 病房、急诊科等 临床科室的终端需求。根据中国医疗器械行业协会出具的证明文件,2023 年公司在国内 麻醉、监护类医用耗材市场的市场份额名列前茅。核心技术具备竞争优势,国内外客户资 源优质。公司已在核心技 ...
就近期部分行业涉税相关问题的探讨:“税收法定原则“的落地
2026 年 02 月 03 日 "税收法定原则"的落地 ——就近期部分行业涉税相关问题的探讨 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 董易 A0230519110003 dongyi@swsresearch.com 王胜 A0230511060001 wangsheng@swsresearch.com 联系人 董易 A0230519110003 dongyi@swsresearch.com 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 博时基金 博时基金管理有限公司(researchreport@bosera.com) 使用。1 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 策 略 研 究 大 类 资 产 配 置 相关研究 - ⚫ 伴随着《中华人民共和国增值税法》在 2026 年 1 月 1 日起施行,而此前的《中华人民 共和国增值税暂行条例》同时废止,部分涉税安排在近期有所更新。我们认为,鉴于国务 院在 2025 年 12 月 19 日已经通过《中华人民共和国增值税法实施条例》,随后财政部 和税务总局在 2026 年 1 月 30 日已发布《关于增值税征税具体范围有关事项的公告》, 相关细则已经较为明确,以互联网、金融为代表的服 ...
EDA 行业月报 202602 期:国资再入股概伦电子-20260203
Investment Rating - The report rates the EDA industry as "Overweight," indicating that the industry is expected to outperform the overall market [12]. Core Insights - The EDA industry is entering an accelerated development phase, driven by active IPOs and mergers and acquisitions [5]. - The report highlights two significant events in January 2026: the performance forecast of Gaolun Electronics and the increase in shareholding by state-owned investment [5]. - The long-term outlook for the EDA industry suggests the emergence of 2-3 major players through mergers and acquisitions, with state capital playing a crucial role in this growth [5]. Summary by Sections Key Events - Gaolun Electronics forecasts a revenue of 487 million yuan for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 16.21%, and a net profit of 36 million yuan, marking a turnaround from a loss of 95.97 million yuan in the previous year [5]. - State-owned investment increased its stake in Gaolun Electronics by 5%, highlighting the company's strategic importance in the EDA sector [5]. Industry Trends - The report emphasizes the importance of domestic technology paths in semiconductor manufacturing, which creates independent market opportunities for local EDA companies due to the lack of support from foreign EDA tools [5]. - The report notes that the EDA industry is experiencing a surge in IPO activities, with three new companies entering the IPO process, reflecting the overall growth trend in the sector [5]. - The report stresses the need for EDA companies to possess comprehensive platform capabilities to enhance competitiveness, underscoring the role of EDA firms as integration platforms for local industries [5]. Related Companies - Key companies mentioned include Huada Jiutian, Gaolun Electronics, and Guangli Micro, each with distinct advantages in the EDA market [5].