Search documents
山西汾酒(600809):25年稳健收官,26年坚持稳健发展:山西汾酒(600809):
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-12-03 09:02
市公司 머副▷公司书 报告原因:有信息公布需要点评 型入(维持) | / הודדין | | | --- | --- | | 据: | 2025 年 12月 02 | | 市场数据: 2025 年 12 月 02 日 | | --- | | 192.16 收盘价(元) | | 一年内最高/最低(元) 228.93/168.30 | | 市净率 6.0 | | 股息率%(分红/股价) 3.15 | | 流通 A 股市值 (百万元) 234,428 | | 上证指数/深证成指 3,897.71/13,056.70 | | 注:"股息率"以最近一年已公布分红计算 | | 基础数据: | 2025年09月30日 | | --- | --- | | 每股净资产 (元) | 31.79 | | 资产负债率% | 28.00 | | 总股本/流通 A 股 (百万) | 1,220/1,220 | | 流通 B 股/H 股 (百万) | -/- | -年内股价与大盛对比走势: and and the local of the local of the local to the local the local the loc ...
山西汾酒(600809):25年稳健收官,26年坚持稳健发展
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-12-03 07:34
| 买入(维持) | | --- | | 市场数据: 2025 年 12 月 02 日 | 上 市 公 司 公 司 研 究 / 公 司 点 评 证 券 研 究 报 告 报告原因:有信息公布需要点评 | 市场数据: 2025 年 12 月 02 日 | | | --- | --- | | 收盘价(元) | 192.16 | | 一年内最高/最低(元) | 228.93/168.30 | | 市净率 | 6.0 | | 股息率%(分红/股价) | 3.15 | | 流通 A 股市值(百万元) | 234,428 | | 上证指数/深证成指 3,897.71/13,056.70 | | | 注:"股息率"以最近一年已公布分红计算 | | | 基础数据: | 2025 年 09 月 30 日 | | --- | --- | | 每股净资产(元) | 31.79 | | 资产负债率% | 28.00 | | 总股本/流通 A 股(百万) | 1,220/1,220 | | 流通 B 股/H 股(百万) | -/- | 一年内股价与大盘对比走势: -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 12-02 01-02 ...
申万宏源证券晨会报告-20251203
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-12-03 00:13
| 指数 | 收盘 | | 涨跌(%) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 名称 | (点) | 1 日 | 5 日 | 1 月 | | 上证指数 | 3898 | -0.42 | -1.44 | 0.72 | | 深证综指 | 2462 | -0.67 | -1.89 | 1.54 | | 风格指数 (%) | 昨日 | 近 1 个月 | 近 6 个月 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 大盘指数 | -0.41 | -1.66 | 19.06 | | 中盘指数 | -1.01 | -4.21 | 25.79 | | 小盘指数 | -1.03 | -2.6 | 22.37 | | 涨幅居前 行业(%) | 昨日 | 近 1 个月 | 近 6 个月 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 房地产服务 | 2.1 | 3.91 | 6.31 | | 医药商业Ⅱ | 1.83 | 4.17 | 5.62 | | 焦炭Ⅱ | 1.67 | 3.35 | 35.03 | | 酒店餐饮 | 1.39 | 12.14 | 11.67 | ...
2025年公募REITs市场11月报:商业不动产REITs可期,基础设施新增“商办城改”-20251202
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-12-02 13:41
证券研究报告 商业不动产REITs可期,基础设施新增"商办城改" ——2025年公募REITs市场11月报 证券分析师:彭文玉 A0230517080001 朱敏 A0230524050004 任奕璇 A0230525050002 联系人: 任奕璇 A0230525050002 2025.12.02 摘要 www.swsresearch.com 2 ◼ 商业不动产REITs可期,基础设施REITs再迎扩容。11月28日,中国证监会发布《中国证监会关于推出商业不动产投资 信托基金试点的公告(征求意见稿)》,我国未来将形成基础设施+商业不动产的公募REITs体系,规则多处强调"重 运营,轻资产"模式且要求盈利稳定性。12月1日,国家发改委发布《基础设施领域不动产投资信托基金(REITs)项 目行业范围清单(2025年版)》,特定领域资产再次强调发起人应开发与运营端隔离,消费类增加体育场、四星级及 以上酒店,以及商业办公、城市更新两大类,新增类型的权属关系更复杂;本次基础设施新增领域与传统商业地产板块 略有重叠,详细资产分类或定义或有待进一步确定。 ◼ 指数延续震荡整理,市场流动性持续改善。自10月下旬起中证REI ...
新高教集团(02001):成本高峰已过,盈利能力即将反弹
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-12-02 12:44
相关研究 - 上 市 公 司 社会服务 公 司 研 究 / 公 司 点 评 报告原因:强调原有的投资评级 买入(维持) | 市场数据: | 2025 年 12 月 01 日 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价(港币) | 0.99 | | 恒生中国企业指数 | 9172.84 | | 52 周最高/最低(港币) | 1.48/0.76 | | H 股市值(亿港币) | 19.52 | | 流通 H 股(百万股) | 1,971.94 | | 汇率(港币/人民币) | 0.9099 | 一年内股价与基准指数对比走势: -2% 48% 98% 12/02 01/02 02/02 03/02 04/02 05/02 06/02 07/02 08/02 09/02 10/02 11/02 HSCEI 新高教集团 资料来源:Bloomberg 证券分析师 黄哲 A0230513030001 huangzhe@swsresearch.com 联系人 2025 年 12 月 02 日 新高教集团 (02001) ——成本高峰已过,盈利能力即将反弹 投资要点: 新高教集团公布 25 财年年报,全年收入 26 亿元,同 ...
基金经理研究系列报告之八十七:广发基金杨冬:团队赋能,主观+量化打造多策略产品矩阵
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-12-02 10:41
2025 年 12 月 02 日 '发基金杨冬:团队赋能,"主观+量 化" 打造多策略产品矩阵 基金经理研究系列报告之八十七 证券分析师 白皓天 A0230525070001 haiht@swsresearch.com 蒋辛 A0230521080002 jiangxin@swsresearch.com 邓虎 A0230520070003 denghu@swsresearch.com 联系人 白皓天 A0230525070001 baiht@swsresearch.com 申万宏源研究微信服务 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 相关研究 基金经理简介:杨冬,金融学硕士,毕业于中国人民银行研究生部(清华大学五道口金融 学院前身),19年证券从业经历,16年投资管理经验。2006年9月至今在广发基金管 理有限公司工作,现任广发基金总经理助理、基金经理、专户投资决策委员会成员,兼任 资产管理计划投资经理,在管广发多因子在内的共计 8 只公募基金,在管规模合计 250.65 亿元。 "主观+量化"下的多策略投资:在"主动+量化"这个近年来全球资管行业的热点领域 ● 里,杨冬较早带领团队对主观研究和量化投资相 ...
2026年展望报告系列之二:2026年:财政货币政策展望
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-12-02 10:36
Fiscal Policy Insights - In 2025, the fiscal financing scale reached a historical high, with net government financing amounting to CNY 14.36 trillion, accounting for an estimated 10.2% of GDP[1] - The general public budget deficit reached CNY 56,600 billion, an increase of CNY 16,000 billion from 2024, marking a deficit ratio of 4% for the first time[12] - General fiscal expenditure grew by 7.9% year-on-year in the first three quarters of 2025, indicating a high expenditure intensity compared to previous years[15] Monetary Policy Insights - The central bank maintained a "moderately loose" monetary policy in 2025, with the R007 average rate around 1.50%, reflecting a low interest rate environment[25] - The frequency and magnitude of interest rate cuts in 2025 were more cautious than in 2024, with only one reduction of 10 basis points for the 7-day reverse repurchase rate[28] - Social financing growth showed a "front high and back stable" trend, with a year-on-year increase of 9.0% in July 2025, before gradually declining to 8.5% by October[30] Policy Coordination - The central bank's adjustment of government bond trading operations in 2025 demonstrated a flexible response to market changes, enhancing the overall effectiveness of fiscal and monetary policies[2] - Fiscal injections into commercial banks were aimed at stabilizing their capital adequacy ratios, with CNY 5,000 billion allocated for this purpose in 2025[43] - The government emphasized the need for fiscal policy to support economic growth and structural transformation, with a projected deficit rate of around 4% for 2026[3]
国际化妆品医美公司25Q3业绩跟踪报告:战略调整在华初见成效,全球业绩仍承压
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-12-02 09:57
Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the international cosmetics and medical beauty industry, indicating a recovery trend in the Chinese market and a cautious approach towards North America due to economic factors [2][3]. Core Insights - The global beauty market is projected to grow at a rate of 4.5% in 2024, a decline from the 8% growth seen in 2023, with significant regional disparities in performance [3][13]. - The Chinese market showed signs of recovery in Q3 2025, with major international brands reporting positive revenue growth after a period of decline [3][19]. - Companies like L'Oréal and Estée Lauder are adjusting their strategies to enhance their market presence in China, with Estée Lauder reporting an 8.6% revenue growth in Q3 2025 [3][47]. Summary by Sections Global Market Overview - The global beauty market is experiencing a slowdown, with North America showing signs of weakness while Europe outperforms other regions with a 7.5% growth [3][13]. - The North Asia market, particularly China, has faced a decline of 2%, marking it as the weakest among major beauty markets [3][13]. L'Oréal - L'Oréal's revenue growth for the first three quarters of 2025 is 1.2%, with a slight improvement in Q3 2025, indicating a recovery from previous declines [3][27]. - The company is focusing on acquisitions and enhancing its brand portfolio, particularly in the Chinese market, where it aims to leverage online channels [3][24]. Estée Lauder - Estée Lauder's Q3 2025 revenue growth reached 8.6%, marking a significant turnaround after four consecutive quarters of decline [3][47]. - The company is implementing a strategic overhaul to address previous challenges, including inventory issues and competition from local brands [3][47]. Shiseido - Shiseido reported an 8% revenue growth in the Chinese market for Q3 2025, although it continues to face macroeconomic challenges [3][19]. - The company is experiencing a K-shaped recovery, with its premium brands performing better than its main brand [3][19]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with strong channel and brand matrices, such as Mao Ge Ping and Shanghai Jahwa, as well as those expected to see marginal improvements in growth, like Marubi and Betaini [4][5]. - In the medical beauty sector, companies with high R&D barriers and strong profitability, such as Ai Meike, are highlighted as key investment opportunities [4][5].
优迅股份(688807):注册制新股纵览:国内光通信电芯片龙头企业
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-12-02 09:57
2025 年 12 月 02 日 优迅股份:国内光通信电芯片龙头企 业 ——注册制新股纵览 20251202 本期投资提示: 策 略 研 究 新股分析 相关研究 证券分析师 彭文玉 A0230517080001 pengwy@swsresearch.com 朱敏 A0230524050004 zhumin@swsresearch.com 任奕璇 A0230525050002 renyx2@swsresearch.com 联系人 朱敏 (8621)23297818× zhumin@swsresearch.com 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 申 购 策 略 证 券 研 究 报 告 - ⚫ AHP 得分及配售比例:剔除、考虑流动性溢价因素后,我们测算优迅股份 AHP 得分为 2.61 分、2.63 分,分别位于科创体系 AHP 模型总分 42.9%分位、44.6%分位,处于中游偏下、 中游偏上水平。假设以 90%入围率计,中性预期情形下,优迅股份网下 A、B 两类配售对 象的配售比例分别是:0.0288%、0.0213%。 ⚫ 国内光通信电芯片龙头,完 ...
基金经理研究系列报告之八十七:广发基金杨冬:团队赋能,“主观+量化”打造多策略产品矩阵
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-12-02 09:43
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Core Views of the Report - Yang Dong's fundamental quantitative team provides a product matrix with diverse strategies and low correlations, and the excess returns come from the comprehensive support of the team and the platform [115][116][117] - Yang Dong's team's products mainly fall into two categories: bottom - position funds aiming to beat mainstream indices and style - enhancing funds for enhanced performance [115] Group 3: Summary According to the Table of Contents 1. Guangfa Fund Yang Dong: Combining Subjective Research and Quantitative Investment to Build a Product Matrix with High Strategy Uniqueness and Wide Coverage - **Fund Manager Introduction**: Yang Dong, with a master's degree in finance, has 19 years of securities experience and 16 years of investment management experience. He has worked at Guangfa Fund since 2006 and currently holds multiple positions. His team uses a framework combining "subjective long - only + quantitative investment" to pursue excess returns [11] - **Managed Product Situation**: Yang Dong manages 8 public funds with a total scale of 25.065 billion yuan. The products can be divided into subjective long - only products and "subjective + quantitative" products, each with different investment scopes, strategies, and characteristics [13] - **Product Line with Different Positions and Unique Strategies**: From the perspective of user needs, the products are divided into bottom - position funds and style - enhancing funds. Most products have "subjective + quantitative" features, with differences in position ratios. The products pursue strategy differentiation, and most have low correlations [17][19][24] 2. Subjective Long - Only Products: The Choice for Bottom - Position, Balancing Equilibrium, Value, and Growth Styles - **Guangfa Multi - Factor**: An equilibrium - style fund that has outperformed three major indices for 8 consecutive years. It has a "close - to - benchmark + outstanding - excess - return" bottom - position fund attribute, with balanced industry style and moderate rotation, and strong stock - selection ability [26][34][45] - **Guangfa Value Pilot**: A product with value - growth attributes and outstanding performance elasticity. It focuses on PB and ROE, has a unique industry structure, and its performance comes from stock - selection and industry contributions, with an emphasis on Hong Kong stocks [53][57][60] - **Guangfa Balanced Growth**: An actively - selected product with high rolling win - rates and many days of reaching new highs within the year. It has low - valuation characteristics among growth funds, with balanced industry allocation and a focus on growth, and the ability to select stocks to contribute excess returns [64][68][79] 3. "Subjective + Quantitative" Products: Style Enhancement, Differentiated Smart Beta + Focus on Sectors - **Guangfa Steady Strategy**: A dividend - style enhanced product that has achieved outstanding absolute and excess returns since Yang Dong took office. It balances income elasticity and drawdown control, combines high dividends and growth, and actively allocates Hong Kong stocks [86][89][96] - **Guangfa Growth Smart Selection**: Positioned as a growth - style enhanced product, it shows relatively stable excess returns compared to the benchmark. It emphasizes high - growth sectors, has the ability to rotate industries, and focuses on A - share growth opportunities [99][102] - **Guangfa Smart Selection Series**: The three "Smart Selection" products use a composite strategy of "subjective long - only + active quantification + AI enhancement". Taking Guangfa Manufacturing Smart Selection and Guangfa Technology Smart Selection as examples, they have high industry concentration, a "quantitative - led + active - enhanced" stock - selection feature, and have achieved excess returns compared to the relevant index [105][109][112] 4. Summary - Yang Dong's team's products meet the two solutions provided by public funds: bottom - position funds and style - enhancing funds. The team provides a diverse product matrix with low correlations, and the excess returns come from the comprehensive support of the team and the platform, which is in line with the requirements of the "Action Plan for Promoting the High - Quality Development of Public Funds" [115][116][118]