Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the pharmaceutical industry, indicating an "Overweight" rating, suggesting that the industry is expected to outperform the overall market [30]. Core Insights - The report highlights recent developments in the pharmaceutical sector, including significant business development (BD) transactions involving companies like Changchun High-tech, Hansoh Pharmaceutical, and Hengrui Medicine, with potential milestone payments reaching billions of dollars [10][12][14]. - The approval of NMN as a dietary supplement in the U.S. and the submission of a new drug application for CagriSema, a GLP-1+Amylin combination therapy, are noted as key advancements in the industry [15]. - The report emphasizes the potential investment opportunities arising from the recovery of the domestic innovative drug environment, particularly in the CRO sector, with specific companies highlighted for consideration [2]. Market Performance - The report states that the Shenwan Pharmaceutical and Biological Index decreased by 0.1% this week, while the Shanghai Composite Index increased by 0.03% [3]. - Within the pharmaceutical sector, various sub-sectors showed mixed performance, with notable increases in medical supplies (+2.3%) and offline pharmacies (+5.6%), while chemical preparations (-2.1%) and blood products (-0.3%) declined [5][9]. Recent Key Events - Changchun High-tech signed an exclusive licensing agreement for GenSci098, with potential milestone payments of up to $1.365 billion [10]. - Hansoh Pharmaceutical entered into a multi-regional exclusive licensing agreement for Amivantamab, with potential payments exceeding $1 billion [12]. - The approval of a brain-machine interface for treating addiction marks a significant technological advancement in the industry [16]. Valuation Metrics - The overall valuation of the pharmaceutical sector is reported at 29.2 times earnings, ranking it 10th among 31 primary sectors [5][13]. - Specific companies within the sector have varying projected earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios, indicating diverse investment profiles [24].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" indicating a positive outlook for the sector [3]. Core Insights - The 3D printing industry is experiencing significant growth, with exports showing strong performance. In the first 11 months of 2025, China exported 4.48 million 3D printers, a year-on-year increase of 29.60%. November alone saw exports of 520,000 units, up 89.10% year-on-year. The total export value for the same period reached 9.758 billion yuan, a 31% increase year-on-year, with November's export value at 1.287 billion yuan, reflecting a remarkable 136.20% growth [3]. - A government initiative aims to enhance the supply-demand adaptability of consumer goods, promoting the integration of 3D printing technology into education. This is expected to drive demand for 3D printing equipment as it transforms traditional teaching methods [3]. - The promotion of 3D printing factory models is shifting consumer-grade 3D printing from a "professional tool" to a "widespread productivity tool." Companies like Huina Technology are developing 3D printing farms, which will significantly lower operational costs and usage barriers, thus boosting demand for 3D printing equipment [3]. - Advances in AI are lowering creative barriers, accelerating the shift towards a more creative society. Tools like Nano Banana Pro and Meta's SAM 3D are enhancing the capabilities of 3D printing users, making the transition from 2D to 3D modeling more accessible and engaging [3]. - Key industry players include: - Components: Jieput (688025.SH), Ruike Laser (300747.SZ), and Jinchengzi (688291.SH) - 3D Scanners: Sikan Technology (688583.SH) and Aobi Zhongguang-UW (688322.SH) - Materials: Haizheng Biomaterials (688203.SH) and Jialian Technology (301193.SZ) - Complete Machines: Tuozhu Technology (unlisted), Chuangxiang Sanwei (in IPO process), Anke Innovation (300866.SZ), and Huina Technology (300609.SZ) [3][4].

行 业 及 产 业 国防军工 2025 年 12 月 22 日 相关研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 韩强 A0230518060003 hanqiang@swsresearch.com 武雨桐 A0230520090001 wuyt@swsresearch.com 穆少阳 A0230524070009 musy@swsresearch.com 研究支持 达邵炜 A0230124030001 dasw@swsresearch.com 联系人 达邵炜 A0230124030001 dasw@swsresearch.com 基本面筑底，行业进入配置周期 看好 ——国防军工行业周报（2025 年第 52 周） 本期投资提示： ⚫ 上周申万国防军工指数上涨 1.53%，中证军工龙头指数上涨 4.05%，同期上证综指上 涨 0.03%，沪深 300 下跌 0.28%，创业板指下跌 2.26%，申万国防军工指数跑赢创业 板指、跑赢沪深 300、跑赢上证综指、跑输军工龙头指数。1、从细分板块来看，上周 国防军工板块 1.53%的涨幅在 31 个申万一级行业涨跌幅排名第 11 位。2、从我们构建 的军工集团指数变化来 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook compared to the market [6]. Core Insights - The company plans to acquire a 15.71% stake in Zhejiang Noah Fluorochemical, becoming its second-largest shareholder, to expand into the high-end fine fluorochemical sector [6]. - The acquisition is aimed at leveraging the company's upstream resources in fluorite and hydrogen fluoride to enhance its position in the downstream fine chemical market, particularly in immersion cooling solutions for data centers [6]. - The report forecasts significant growth in the company's revenue and net profit over the next few years, with expected revenues of 3.746 billion yuan in 2025 and 5.003 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 36.1% [5][8]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2024: 2,752 million yuan - 2025: 3,746 million yuan - 2026: 4,591 million yuan - 2027: 5,003 million yuan - Net profit forecasts are: - 2025: 338 million yuan - 2026: 568 million yuan - 2027: 763 million yuan - The report indicates a projected EPS of 0.40 yuan for 2025, increasing to 0.91 yuan by 2027 [5][8].

Group 1 - The market sentiment score has slightly decreased to 1.1 as of December 21, down from 1.35 the previous week, indicating a neutral outlook despite a recent rebound on Friday [1][6] - The overall sentiment index has shown significant improvement this week, with signs of a rebound in market trading activity [1][6] - The price-volume consistency indicator has improved, suggesting a better correlation between capital attention and stock price increases, although the risk appetite remains insufficient as indicated by the declining proportion of the STAR 50 index's trading volume [1][9] Group 2 - The total trading volume for the entire A-share market decreased by 9.86% week-on-week, with an average daily trading volume of 17,604.84 billion yuan, reflecting a decline in market activity compared to the previous week [1][12] - The short-term scores for industries such as beauty care, pharmaceuticals, non-bank financials, agriculture, and retail have shown upward trends, with the communication sector having the highest short-term score of 79.66 [1][33] - The correlation between trading congestion and weekly price changes is strong, with high congestion sectors like retail and light manufacturing leading in gains, while sectors with lower congestion such as power equipment and computers lag behind [1][38] Group 3 - The current model indicates a preference for small-cap and growth styles, with the 5-day RSI showing a decline relative to the 20-day RSI, suggesting potential weakening of signals [1][42] - The financing balance ratio continues to rise, reaching a new high for the phase, indicating increased risk appetite and active capital utilization in the market [1][22] - The main capital inflow has broken through the fluctuation range, reflecting a stronger willingness of institutional funds to enter the market, which supports a bullish momentum [1][28]

2025 年 12 月 22 日 对冲基金 Man Group 发行主动 ETF ——海外创新产品周报 20251222 相关研究 证券分析师 沈思逸 A0230521070001 shensy@swsresearch.com 邓虎 A0230520070003 denghu@swsresearch.com 联系人 沈思逸 A0230521070001 shensy@swsresearch.com 权 益 量 化 研 究 证 券 研 究 报 告 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 ETP 研 究 - ⚫ 美国 ETF 创新产品：Man Group 发行主动 ETF。上周美国共 35 只新发产品，新发数量 维持高位。知名对冲基金 Man Group 上周发行 2 只主动 ETF，1 只为新兴市场选股产 品，主要采用基本面量化结合的方式选择长期有价值的股票并采用量化模型优化组合，产 品可同时选择多头、空头方向；另 1 只为趋势跟踪+股票产品，产品在 100%投资于美国 股票的同时，另有 100%的头寸投资于量化驱动的趋势跟踪策略，该策略通过国内外股 票、债券 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [2] Core Insights - The company plans to acquire a 15.71% stake in Zhejiang Noah Fluorochemical for 257 million yuan, becoming its second-largest shareholder, which will help expand into the high-end fine fluorochemical sector [7] - The acquisition is strategically aimed at leveraging the company's upstream resources in fluorite and hydrogen fluoride to enhance its position in the downstream fine fluorochemical market [7] - The server liquid cooling market is expected to grow rapidly, with projections indicating that the market size in China will increase from approximately 16 billion yuan to over 100 billion yuan from 2024 to 2030 [7] - The company anticipates significant growth in its fluorite production and profitability from its ongoing projects, including the Baogang Jinshi project and the Mongolian fluorite resource project [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue is projected to grow from 2,752 million yuan in 2024 to 5,003 million yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 36.1% [6] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 257 million yuan in 2024 to 763 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a significant growth trajectory [6] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.28 yuan in 2025 to 0.91 yuan in 2027, indicating strong profitability potential [6]

Group 1: Market Sentiment Model Insights - The market sentiment score has slightly decreased to 1.1 as of December 21, down from 1.35 the previous week, indicating a neutral view from a sentiment perspective [7][11] - There is a notable improvement in the overall sentiment index score this week, with signs of a rebound in market trading activity [7][11] - The price-volume consistency indicator has shown improvement, suggesting a recovery in market sentiment, although structural differentiation remains [11][12] Group 2: Trading Activity and Volume - The total trading volume for the entire A-share market decreased by 9.86% week-on-week, with an average daily trading volume of 17,604.84 billion yuan [15] - The highest trading volume was recorded on December 17 at 18,343.65 billion yuan, indicating a peak in market activity [15] Group 3: Industry Performance and Trends - As of December 19, industries such as beauty care, pharmaceuticals, non-bank financials, agriculture, and retail have shown upward trends in short-term scores [39] - The communication sector has the highest short-term score of 79.66, indicating strong performance potential [39][40] - The industry crowding indicator shows a strong positive correlation with weekly price changes, with sectors like retail and light manufacturing leading in gains [44] Group 4: Leverage and Risk Appetite - The proportion of financing balance continues to rise, reaching a new high for the phase, indicating an increase in leveraged funds and a structural recovery in risk appetite [27][29] - The RSI indicator has shown a slight recovery, suggesting improved short-term upward momentum, although it remains in a low range [30][33] Group 5: Style and Growth Signals - The current model indicates a preference for small-cap and growth styles, with signals suggesting that growth style may strengthen further [39][49] - The short-term view for the growth style remains positive, while the small-cap style is also favored, although there are indications of potential weakening in future signals [49]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a neutral investment rating for the oil and petrochemical industry, with specific recommendations for various companies based on their performance and market conditions [9]. Core Insights - The geopolitical tensions surrounding Venezuela and U.S. sanctions are expected to support international oil prices, despite recent declines [6]. - The downstream polyester sector is showing signs of tightening supply and improving demand, leading to positive expectations for companies like Tongkun Co. and Wankai New Materials [9]. - The report highlights the potential for refining companies to improve cost structures due to falling oil prices and competitive dynamics in the market [9]. Summary by Sections Oil Price Trends - As of December 19, Brent crude oil prices closed at $60.47 per barrel, down 1.06% from the previous week, while WTI prices fell 1.60% to $56.52 per barrel [16]. - The report notes a significant drop in Venezuelan oil production and exports due to U.S. sanctions, which may create upward pressure on oil prices [6][8]. Company Recommendations - Recommended companies include: - **Tongkun Co.** for polyester filament - **Wankai New Materials** for bottle-grade PET - **Hengli Petrochemical**, **Rongsheng Petrochemical**, and **Oriental Rainbow** for large refining operations [9]. - **China National Petroleum** and **CNOOC** for their high dividend yields [9]. - **CNOOC Services** and **Haiyou Engineering** for offshore oil services [9]. - **Satellite Chemical** for its competitive advantage in ethane-to-ethylene projects [9]. Market Dynamics - The report indicates that the overall oil price is expected to stabilize at a neutral level for 2026, with improving operational quality for oil companies [9]. - The upstream exploration and production sector remains robust, with high capital expenditures anticipated for offshore services [9]. Valuation Metrics - The report provides valuation metrics for key companies in the oil and petrochemical sector, including market capitalization, EPS, PE, and PB ratios [10][11].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an overall investment rating for the industry, but it provides specific recommendations for various sectors within the energy industry, indicating a positive outlook for certain companies and sectors [2][3]. Core Insights - The report highlights a slowdown in electricity generation growth in November 2025, with total generation at 779.2 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 2.7%. The growth was primarily driven by hydropower and wind power, while thermal power saw a decline [5][6]. - Natural gas prices in the U.S. and Europe have shown slight fluctuations, with U.S. Henry Hub spot prices at $3.58/mmBtu, reflecting a 12.1% weekly decline. Northeast Asia's LNG prices have also decreased, reaching $9.50/mmBtu, marking a 5% drop [18][19]. - The report emphasizes the increasing contribution of renewable energy sources, particularly wind and solar, to the overall electricity generation mix, with significant year-on-year growth rates [6][12]. Summary by Sections 1. Electricity Generation - November 2025 saw total electricity generation of 779.2 billion kWh, up 2.7% year-on-year. Thermal power generation decreased by 4.2% to 497.0 billion kWh, while hydropower increased by 17.1% to 96.7 billion kWh. Wind power grew by 22.0% to 104.6 billion kWh, and solar power rose by 23.4% to 41.2 billion kWh [5][7]. - From January to November 2025, total electricity generation reached 88,567 billion kWh, a 2.4% increase year-on-year, with significant contributions from hydropower, nuclear, wind, and solar energy [12][13]. 2. Natural Gas Market - As of December 19, 2025, U.S. Henry Hub spot prices were $3.58/mmBtu, down 12.1% from the previous week. European gas prices showed slight increases, with the Dutch TTF price at €28.10/MWh, up 2.0% [18][19]. - The report notes that the supply of natural gas remains high, with U.S. production at historical levels, contributing to the downward pressure on prices [18][19]. 3. Investment Recommendations - For thermal power, companies like Guodian Power and Inner Mongolia Huadian are recommended due to their integrated coal and power operations. For hydropower, companies such as Yangtze Power and State Power Investment Corporation are highlighted for their potential in the upcoming winter and spring [16][38]. - In the nuclear sector, China National Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power are suggested as key players due to their stable cost structures and growth potential [16][38]. - Renewable energy operators like Xinneng Green Energy and Longyuan Power are recommended as the market for green certificates and environmental values continues to grow [16][38].