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中工国际(002051):国际工程领跑者,科工贸一体化打造第二曲线
Changjiang Securities· 2025-12-12 11:27
[Table_scodeMsg1] 公司研究丨深度报告丨中工国际(002051.SZ) [Table_Title] 国际工程领跑者,科工贸一体化打造第二曲线 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 张弛 张智杰 袁志芃 SAC:S0490520080022 SAC:S0490522060005 SAC:S0490525070008 SFC:BUT917 龚子逸 SAC:S0490525080003 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 中工国际深耕"一带一路",聚焦设计咨询与工程承包、关键核心装备研发与制造业务、工程投 资与运营三大业务板块,通过整合设计咨询与高端装备制造双重优势,已构建起覆盖 70 余国 的全球化业务网络,实现从传统工程承包商向科工贸一体化跨国企业的转型升级。 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 2 / 23 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 2 [Table_scodeMsg2] 中工国际(002051.SZ) cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title2] 国际工程领 ...
AI 系列跟踪(84):可灵 AI“全能灵感周”连续上新,Gemini 3 Deep Think 推理能力再进阶
Changjiang Securities· 2025-12-11 14:13
丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨点评报告丨媒体Ⅱ [Table_Title] AI 系列跟踪(84):可灵 AI"全能灵感周"连续 上新,Gemini 3 Deep Think 推理能力再进阶 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 12 月 1 日-5 日,可灵 AI 连续 5 天上新,发布视频 O1 模型、图片 O1 模型、音画同出模型可 灵 2.6、可灵数字人 2.0,以及可灵 O1"主体库"、"对比模版"功能。12 月 5 日,Gemini 3 Deep Think 正式上线。在 AI 细分赛道中,我们看好:1)优质 IP 或受益于 AI 技术演进带来的 创作效率和变现价值提升,看好受益于多模态加速的 AI 漫剧赛道;2)具备流量&模型&数据优 势的互联网大厂;3)海外已跑通商业模式,国内有望复制(广告、电商、教育等)的垂直赛道; 4)AI+游戏厂商。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC:S0490516080001 SFC:BUX177 高超 朱子愉 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 12 月 1 日-5 日,可灵 AI ...
IP 衍生品产业研究(十六):泡泡玛特集团化和全球化价值不变,IP 孵化和运营持续推进
Changjiang Securities· 2025-12-11 12:03
Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive investment outlook for the industry, emphasizing the continued value of IP group and global strategies, with expectations for revenue growth driven by IP incubation and operations [9]. Core Insights - Recently, the company celebrated its 15th anniversary with various activities, including a themed exhibition at the Import Expo and the launch of a special blind box series [3][6]. - The company is advancing its global expansion, opening its first store in Qatar in October and in Canada and Denmark in November, while also making its debut at the Macy's Thanksgiving Parade in the U.S. [3][6]. - The company has signed new IPs "1001MOONS" and "SUPERTUTU," and is launching several new products themed around Christmas and winter [3][6]. - The report highlights the company's strong IP incubation and operational capabilities, which are expected to drive revenue growth and improve profit structure due to higher overseas margins [9]. Summary by Sections Event Description - The company has launched a series of activities to celebrate its 15th anniversary, including a themed exhibition and a special blind box series [3][6]. - It is accelerating its global store openings, with significant events such as the participation in the Macy's Thanksgiving Parade [3][6]. IP Incubation and Operations - The company has signed new IPs and launched products that incorporate interactive elements, enhancing customer engagement [9]. - Collaborations with various partners for themed events and exhibitions are ongoing, with a focus on both domestic and international markets [9]. Global Expansion - As of early December, the company has approximately 165 overseas stores, with significant growth in the Americas and Europe [9]. - New store openings in Qatar, Canada, and Denmark mark the company's continued commitment to global expansion [9]. Group Strategy - The company is diversifying its business into film adaptations and other multimedia projects, aiming to establish itself as a comprehensive global IP operator [9]. - The report emphasizes the ongoing value of the company's group and global strategies, with a focus on replicable IP incubation and operations [9].
2025年12月美联储议息会议点评:重启准备金管理型扩表
Changjiang Securities· 2025-12-11 05:59
丨证券研究报告丨 世界经济与海外市场丨点评报告 ——2025 年 12 月美联储议息会议点评 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 12 月议息会议如期降息 25BP,同时宣布未来 30 天买入 400 亿美元短期国债,即重启准备金 管理型扩表,会议声明整体则变化不大。经济预测方面,本次美联储继续上调经济增长预期, 稳健增长仍是基准情形。降息路径方面,点阵图指向分歧加大,但政策路径预期变化不大。向 前看,1)就业疲软暂无加速迹象,关税对通胀影响或在明年一季度逐步反应,我们维持此前对 于美联储 2026 年一季度暂缓降息的判断;2)明年 5 月美联储主席换届,特朗普大概率提名鸽 派候选人就任,后续视经济情况择机再度开启降息可能性较大,年内预计累计降息至少 50BP。 分析师及联系人 1 SAC:S0490520090001 SFC:BUX667 于博 敬成宇 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 [Table_Title] 重启准备金管理型扩表 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com [Table_Author] [Table_Title 重启准备金管理型扩表 2] ——2025 年 12 月 ...
天赐材料(002709):深耕新型材料布局,打开中期价值空间
Changjiang Securities· 2025-12-11 05:51
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [13] Core Views - The company's main business profitability continues to improve, with significant potential for market share increase due to rising 6F prices. The iron phosphate business is expected to reach a supply-demand inflection point by 2026, contributing to profitability recovery and enhancement. Additionally, the solid-state battery business is progressing positively, and new materials like insulating adhesives are expected to add substantial value, indicating a favorable outlook for future profit elasticity [3][12] Summary by Relevant Sections Solid-State Battery Materials - Sulfide electrolytes are becoming the mainstream technology due to their high ionic conductivity and low density. The company focuses on the core electrolyte segment of solid-state batteries, launching the LPSX series to address cost issues and support large-scale production while precisely controlling particle size distribution [6][34] - Lithium sulfide is a key cost-reduction point in the solid-state battery industry, with the company achieving breakthroughs in high-purity lithium sulfide production, which is essential for high-performance sulfide solid-state electrolytes [7][50] New Material Developments - The company is actively developing high-temperature, high-performance thermoplastic engineering plastics to meet market demands for lightweight materials, currently in the product trial verification stage with small batch orders already supplied [11] - The company has also applied for patents related to metal-organic framework (MOFs) materials, achieving kilogram-level production and customer testing, showcasing significant performance improvement potential for lithium battery technology [10] Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 1.2 billion yuan and 5.1 billion yuan in 2025 and 2026, respectively, highlighting the cost-effectiveness of the company under the anticipated price increase of 6F [12][30]
整车管家系列:如何展望 2026 乘用车需求
Changjiang Securities· 2025-12-10 11:17
[Table_Title] 整车管家系列:如何展望 2026 乘用车需求 行业研究丨深度报告丨汽车与汽车零部件 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 展望 2026 年乘用车市场需求,总量或将由于高基数、政策退坡等影响承压下滑。复盘来看销 量承压时期中低端价格带先行受损,高端市场受影响相对最小。 2026-2027 年新能源汽车购置 税减免力度下滑,从 2024-2025 年的免征转为减半征收,新能源渗透率或仍小幅增长。海外市 场供需两旺,中国产品出海仍处于加速拓展期,新能源出海仍具有高增潜力。未来汽车行业的 发展,可以关注新能源出海机会,以及受β影响相对较小的高端及豪华市场、智能驾驶及 Robotaxi。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 高伊楠 麦贻智 SAC:S0490517060001 SFC:BUW101 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 2 / 25 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 2 汽车与汽车零部件 cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title2] 整车管家系列:如 ...
——可转债周报20251206:有色金属转债能否再起趋势性行情?-20251210
Changjiang Securities· 2025-12-09 23:30
丨证券研究报告丨 固收资产配置丨点评报告 [Table_Title] 有色金属转债能否再起趋势性行情? ——可转债周报 20251206 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 有色金属板块在 2020 年 10 月至 2021 年 11 月期间呈现持续超额收益,行情以 2021 年 6 月 为界分两阶段,后期转债与权益同步走强。当周权益端有色金属板块整体表现较好,而转债平 均剩余期限偏短,促转股意愿或较强,规模较 2021 年收缩,或可关注有色金属转债的后续行 情。当周 A 股整体偏强,创业板指相对突出,周期制造类行业表现较好,板块拥挤度变化有所 分化。可转债市场整体走强,中小盘表现较稳健,估值整体有所拉伸,成交集中在电力设备、 电子等板块。一级市场平稳推进,条款博弈有所延续,对估值结构或有扰动。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 赵增辉 熊锋 朱承志 SAC:S0490524080003 SAC:S0490524120004 SFC:BVN394 SFC:BWI629 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Title 有 ...
政府债周报(12/07):结存限额支持化债,发行规模已逾2800亿-20251210
Changjiang Securities· 2025-12-09 23:30
丨证券研究报告丨 固定收益丨点评报告 [Table_Title] 结存限额支持化债,发行规模已逾 2800 亿 ——政府债周报(12/07) 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 12 月 8 日-12 月 14 日地方债披露发行 1069.6 亿元。其中新增债 710.5 亿元(新增一般债 210.0 亿元,新增专项债 500.5 亿元),再融资债 359.0 亿元(再融资一般债 187.4 亿元,再融资专项 债 171.6 亿元)。 12 月 1 日-12 月 7 日地方债共发行 1087.2 亿元。其中新增债 504.4 亿元(新增一般债 113.9 亿元,新增专项债 390.5 亿元),再融资债 582.8 亿元(再融资一般债 413.1 亿元,再融资专项 债 169.7 亿元)。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 赵增辉 赖逸儒 SAC:S0490524080003 SAC:S0490524120005 SFC:BVN394 SFC:BVZ968 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% 12 月 8 日-12 月 14 日地方债披露发行 1069.6 亿元。其中新增债 710.5 ...
中国化学(601117):尼龙新材料项目达产,化工实业迎来突破
Changjiang Securities· 2025-12-09 15:19
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7]. Core Views - The nylon new materials project by Tianchen Qixiang has achieved full production and has entered a phase of efficient and stable operation after a 72-hour full-load performance assessment, with key technical and economic indicators meeting or exceeding design values [5][11]. - The project, which began construction in 2019, aims to break foreign monopolies and address critical supply chain issues, with a total investment of approximately 20 billion yuan and an annual production capacity of 1 million tons of nylon new materials [11]. - The company has signed new contracts totaling 312.67 billion yuan from January to October 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.45%, with significant contributions from industrial and new materials sales [11]. Summary by Sections Project Development - Tianchen Qixiang's nylon new materials project has fully achieved production capacity, marking a transition to a stable operational phase [11]. - The project is expected to produce 200,000 tons of nylon 66 products annually, along with other chemical products, thereby establishing a complete nylon 66 chip industry chain [11]. Financial Performance - The company reported a total revenue of 186.61 billion yuan for 2024, with projections of 207.62 billion yuan for 2025, indicating a steady growth trajectory [17]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to reach 6.35 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of no less than 15% from 2021 [11][17]. Market Position - The company is positioned to benefit from the ongoing development of coal chemical projects in Xinjiang, with potential orders amounting to 700-800 billion yuan, which could enhance performance [11]. - The company has maintained a high dividend payout ratio of 19.69%, distributing 611 million yuan in cash dividends, demonstrating a commitment to shareholder returns [11].
中国船舶(600150):联合研究|公司点评|中国船舶(600150.SH):中国船舶:与中国远洋海运集团签订500亿元新造船订单,全年新签订单有望持续提升
Changjiang Securities· 2025-12-09 14:15
丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_scodeMsg1] 联合研究丨公司点评丨中国船舶(600150.SH) [Table_Title] 中国船舶:与中国远洋海运集团签订 500 亿元 新造船订单,全年新签订单有望持续提升 报告要点 %% %% [Table_Summary] 中国船舶集团与中国远洋海运集团在上海完成新造船项目的合作签约,合作涉及各型船舶 87 艘,金额约 500 亿元人民币,成为我国船企国内单次合作签约金额最高订单,且订单均由中国 船舶下属子公司承建。公司合并中国重工后,综合造船实力增强,手持订单饱满,全年来看新 签订单有望持续释放。当前美国 301 调查措施暂停实施一年,板块最大压制因素解除,11 月全 球新签订单同环比均有较大幅度提升。下游航运景气叠加油轮运力紧张,后续油轮订单有望接 力集装箱船订单释放。长期来看,行业在旧船更新+绿色环保驱动下向上趋势明确。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 赵智勇 韩轶超 王贺嘉 臧雄 屈奇 SAC:S0490517110001 SAC:S0490512020001 SAC:S0490520110004 SAC:S0490518070005 S ...