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AI 产业跟踪:字节发布首款编程模型 Doubao-Seed-Code,关注后续模型演进与商业化落地
Changjiang Securities· 2025-11-13 09:31
丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨点评报告丨软件与服务 [Table_Title] AI 产业跟踪:字节发布首款编程模型 Doubao- Seed-Code,关注后续模型演进与商业化落地 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 11 月 11 日,字节跳动旗下云和 AI 服务平台火山引擎发布了面向 Agentic 编程任务深度优化的 首款编程模型 Doubao-Seed-Code,支持 256K 长上下文长度,依靠大规模 Agent 强化学习训 练系统,配合全量透明 Cache 能力,实现性价比的突破。与此同时,TRAE(CN)企业版接入豆 包编程模型正式开放公测。考虑到当前成本仍为制约 token 消耗量的核心因素,Doubao-Seed- Code 的出现有望开辟降本新范式。继续看好国产 AI 链、国产算力链,持续重点推荐铲子股和 卡位优势显著的巨头本身。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 宗建树 刘思缘 SAC:S0490520030004 SFC:BUX668 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 软件与服务 cjzqdt11111 [ ...
首次进入审批“绿色通道”,我国脑机接口产品有望迈向市场化阶段
Changjiang Securities· 2025-11-13 09:23
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [7] Core Viewpoints - The brain-computer interface (BCI) industry in China has taken a significant step towards commercialization with the "Implantable Wireless Brain-Computer Interface System" developed by Shanghai Ladder Medical Technology Co., Ltd. entering the special review process of the National Medical Products Administration (NMPA) [2][4] - The entry into the "green channel" indicates that the product has received recognition for its technological leadership and significant clinical application value from national regulatory authorities [10] - The report suggests focusing on three main investment lines: 1) domestic mapping of advanced overseas invasive BCI industry chains; 2) non-invasive BCI products in consumer scenarios; 3) downstream application-related targets in the BCI sector [2][10] Summary by Sections Event Description - On November 11, the "Implantable Wireless Brain-Computer Interface System" officially entered the NMPA's special review process, marking it as the first invasive BCI product in China to do so [4] Event Commentary - The BCI industry is currently in a critical phase of clinical transformation, and the entry of this product into the special review process may accelerate the overall industrialization progress of BCIs in China [10] - Continuous breakthroughs in technology are driving the rapid development of the industry, with Shanghai Ladder Medical achieving significant advancements in their BCI system, which has shown promising clinical trial results [10] - Favorable policies have been introduced at both national and local levels to support the BCI industry, indicating a strong commitment to its future development [10]
生益电子(688183):生益电子2025年三季报点评:业绩大超预期,结构优化显著
Changjiang Securities· 2025-11-13 09:16
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Insights - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 6.829 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 114.79%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 1.115 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 497.61%. The gross margin and net margin were 31.98% and 16.32%, respectively [2][4]. - For Q3 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 3.060 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 153.71% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 39.78%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 584 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 545.95% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 76.84%. The gross margin and net margin for this quarter were 33.93% and 19.09%, respectively [2][4]. - The company is focusing on high-end AI fields, significantly upgrading its product structure. The demand for AI servers and high-performance computing is driving growth, with notable performance in HDI and high-layer boards. The company is actively developing more AI server products in collaboration with terminal customers [6]. - The company is rapidly expanding high-end production capacity and continuously optimizing its product structure. It is enhancing production capabilities through key equipment upgrades and has successfully scaled production of high-end products such as HDI and optical modules [6]. - The company has invested 1.9 billion yuan in a smart manufacturing project for high-layer circuit boards, targeting the mid-to-high-end market for servers and AI computing. The project aims for an annual production capacity of 700,000 square meters of printed circuit boards, with the first phase expected to begin trial production in 2026 [6]. - The company has a strong R&D capability with over 30 years of investment, leading to industry-leading technology levels in the PCB sector. It has successfully developed products for several server clients, including Amazon, and is entering mass production for AI-related mainboards and accelerator cards [6]. - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.647 billion yuan, 2.390 billion yuan, and 3.219 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 49.03, 33.79, and 25.09 [6].
巨星科技(002444):巨星科技:经营性利润率环比提升,期待美国降息后地产需求修复
Changjiang Securities· 2025-11-13 08:44
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 11.156 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 0.65%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 2.155 billion yuan, up 11.35% year-on-year. The third quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 4.129 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.80%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 882 million yuan, an increase of 18.96% year-on-year [2][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved an operating income of 11.156 billion yuan, with a net profit of 2.155 billion yuan and a non-recurring net profit of 2.035 billion yuan. In Q3 2025, the revenue was 4.129 billion yuan, with a net profit of 882 million yuan and a non-recurring net profit of 781 million yuan [2][6]. Market Conditions - The slight year-on-year decline in Q3 revenue is attributed to weaker demand in Europe and the US, with US tool consumption down 6.5% in August due to high interest rates affecting home sales and inflation suppressing consumer demand. The company expects new product launches in 2025 to support overall revenue [12]. Profitability - The gross margin for Q3 was 35%, continuing to improve due to the scale effect of overseas production capacity. The operating profit margin, excluding financial expenses, investment income, and asset impairment losses, reached 15.4%, up from 13.8% in Q2, indicating strong profitability [12]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates that a decrease in interest rates in the US will significantly stimulate real estate and tool demand. The expected performance for 2025-2027 is projected at 2.611 billion, 3.267 billion, and 3.919 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 15, 12, and 10 times [12].
广州酒家(603043):2025年三季报点评:降本成效明显,收入利润稳增
Changjiang Securities· 2025-11-13 07:04
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [8] Core Views - In Q3 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 2.293 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.66%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 410 million yuan, up 5.33% year-on-year [2][6] - The company is focused on a strategy of "strong brand in catering, large-scale in food," aiming to build a "big catering, big food, big brand" industrial structure, with plans for new store openings and market expansion nationwide [2][6] - The company expects net profits attributable to shareholders to reach 523 million, 588 million, and 628 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, corresponding to PE ratios of 19, 17, and 16 times at the current stock price [2][6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 4.285 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.43%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 449 million yuan, up 0.31% year-on-year [6] - In Q3 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 2.293 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.66%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 410 million yuan, up 5.33% year-on-year [6] Business Segments - The food manufacturing and catering service segments both showed steady growth, with food manufacturing increasing by 4.8% year-on-year, and catering services growing by 3.88% [2][6] - The company plans to continue building a flexible and diverse channel system, emphasizing an "online + offline" collaborative strategy to drive performance growth [2][6] Profitability - The company demonstrated significant cost reduction effects, with gross margin increasing by 0.3 percentage points to 39.79% in Q3 2025 [2][6] - The overall expense ratio decreased by 0.48 percentage points to 14.18%, contributing to a slight increase in net profit margin by 0.1 percentage points to 18.43% [2][6]
上汽集团(600104):2025Q3业绩点评:计提减值轻装上阵,还原后Q3业绩环比仍有提升
Changjiang Securities· 2025-11-13 06:55
丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_scodeMsg1] 公司研究丨点评报告丨上汽集团(600104.SH) [Table_Title] 上汽集团 2025Q3 业绩点评:计提减值轻装上 阵,还原后 Q3 业绩环比仍有提升 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 公司发布 2025 年三季报。2025Q1-Q3 公司实现营业总收入 4689.9 亿元,同比+8.9%,实现 归母净利润 81.0 亿元,同比+17.3%。其中 2025Q3 实现营业总收入 1694.0 亿元,同比+16.2%, 环比+6.7%,实现归母净利润 20.8 亿元,同比+644.9%,环比-30.4%。公司计提减值影响 Q3 业绩环比表现,同比仍延续高增长。通用减值落地释放风险,内部改革持续推进,合作华为加 速智能化转型,公司业绩企稳向好有望驱动估值修复。 分析师及联系人 SAC:S0490517060001 SFC:BUW101 高伊楠 麦贻智 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Author] [Table_scodeMsg2] 上汽集团(600104.SH) ...
联影医疗(688271):业绩符合预期,海外市场延续高增长势头
Changjiang Securities· 2025-11-13 06:13
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9] Core Insights - The company's performance meets expectations, with domestic business gradually recovering. In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 2.843 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 75.41%. Domestic market revenue reached 6.866 billion yuan, growing by 23.70%, driven by the implementation of equipment upgrade policies and a recovery in medical demand [2][6] - The company adheres to a global strategy of "high-profile and multi-wing," with overseas markets continuing to show strong growth. In the first three quarters of 2025, overseas revenue reached 1.993 billion yuan, up 41.97%, with overseas revenue accounting for 22.50% of total revenue [2][6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported total revenue of 8.859 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27.39%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 1.120 billion yuan, up 66.91%, and the non-recurring net profit was 1.053 billion yuan, increasing by 126.94% [6] - In Q3 2025 alone, the company achieved revenue of 2.843 billion yuan, a 75.41% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 122 million yuan, up 143.80% [6] Market Strategy - The company is focused on maintaining a stable cost structure, with R&D expenses for the first three quarters of 2025 amounting to 1.250 billion yuan, a decrease of 5.11%. The R&D expense ratio was 14.11%, down 4.83 percentage points [12] - The company plans to launch ultrasound products in November 2025, which are expected to contribute to revenue growth in 2026. The ultrasound business aims for "full coverage, high performance, and intelligentization" [12] Growth Projections - The company forecasts net profits attributable to the parent company for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 2.000 billion yuan, 2.500 billion yuan, and 3.150 billion yuan, respectively. The current stock price corresponds to P/E ratios of 58X, 46X, and 37X for these years [12]
宇通客车(600066):宇通客车2025年Q3点评:出口和新能源出口高增,结构优化带动单车盈利快速提升
Changjiang Securities· 2025-11-13 06:13
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - The company reported a Q3 2025 revenue of 10.24 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 32.3% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 5.4%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.36 billion yuan, up 79.0% year-on-year and 14.9% quarter-on-quarter. The company is positioned as a global leader in the bus industry, showcasing strong long-term growth potential and a consistent high dividend capability, highlighting its investment value [2][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company sold 12,200 buses, a year-on-year increase of 13.4% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 0.6%. Export sales accounted for approximately 4,700 units, with over 1,300 units being electric buses, showing significant growth compared to previous periods. The export ratio reached a record high of 38.6%, while the proportion of electric buses in exports was 27.8% [2][4]. - The average selling price (ASP) per bus in Q3 2025 was 837,000 yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 16.7% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 6.1%. The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 24.0%, up 3.3 percentage points year-on-year and 1.0 percentage point quarter-on-quarter [4][9]. - The net profit margin for Q3 2025 was 13.3%, an increase of 3.5 percentage points year-on-year and 1.1 percentage points quarter-on-quarter. The net profit attributable to the parent company reached 1.36 billion yuan, with a single-unit profit of approximately 111,000 yuan, up 57.9% year-on-year and 15.6% quarter-on-quarter [4][9]. Market Strategy - The company is enhancing its direct sales and service model, improving service quality and efficiency. The domestic market is expected to benefit from the "old-for-new" policy and the natural replacement cycle for electric buses, which will likely stimulate the bus market recovery. Internationally, the company is expanding its presence with a new electric commercial vehicle factory in Qatar, expected to be operational by the end of 2025, with an initial annual production capacity of 300 units, expandable to 1,000 units [4][9]. - The company is also experiencing a successful entry into markets in the Americas and Europe, with 287 high-end electric buses delivered to Norway, equipped with smart driving technology that meets EU standards [4][9]. Investment Outlook - The company is recognized as a global bus industry leader with strong long-term growth prospects and a commitment to high dividends. The domestic market is seeing continuous growth in seated buses, supported by government policies, while the international market is benefiting from globalization and high-end strategies that enhance profitability and support ongoing performance improvements. The company is expected to distribute a total dividend of 3.32 billion yuan in 2024, with a dividend rate of 80.7% and a yield of 4.6% [4][9].
拓普集团(601689):拓普集团三报点评:海外产能利用率短期拖累公司盈利,明年将迎经营拐点蓄势待发
Changjiang Securities· 2025-11-13 06:13
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [4]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 7.99 billion yuan in Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 12.1%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 670 million yuan, down 13.7% year-on-year. The company is expected to enter a turning point in operations next year as it expands its nine product lines globally [2][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue of 79.9 billion yuan, up 12.1% year-on-year and 11.5% quarter-on-quarter. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 6.7 billion yuan, down 13.7% year-on-year and 7.9% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit margin of 8.4%, a decrease of 2.5 percentage points year-on-year [2][4][8]. Market Dynamics - The domestic downstream market showed high prosperity, with passenger vehicle production reaching 7.693 million units, up 13.9% year-on-year. Key clients like Tesla and Geely contributed to revenue growth, although overseas client sales were below expectations, impacting profit margins [8]. Future Outlook - The company is set to enhance its production capacity to 1.5 million sets by 2025, with new factories in various locations including Mexico and Thailand. The expansion into new fields such as robotics and liquid cooling is expected to drive future growth, with anticipated net profits of 2.8 billion, 3.39 billion, and 4.13 billion yuan for 2025-2027 [8][4].
继峰股份(603997):继峰股份三报点评:座椅业务盈利向上,格拉默整合成效持续显现,三季度盈利水平改善明显
Changjiang Securities· 2025-11-13 06:13
丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_scodeMsg1] 公司研究丨点评报告丨继峰股份(603997.SH) [Table_Title] 继峰股份三报点评:座椅业务盈利向上,格拉默 整合成效持续显现,三季度盈利水平改善明显 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 公司 2025Q3 实现营收 56.1 亿元,同比-4.9%;归母净利润 1.0 亿元,同比大幅扭亏。展望未 来,公司在格拉默加持下,凭借自身生产、研发效率优势及高自制率带来的成本优势快速突破 全球各大整车厂,在手订单丰富,未来订单落地放量,公司乘用车座椅项目盈利可期。同时, 公司海外整合成效逐步体现,未来随海外盈利能力改善将带来较大利润弹性。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 高伊楠 王子豪 SAC:S0490517060001 SAC:S0490524070004 SFC:BUW101 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_scodeMsg2] 继峰股份(603997.SH) cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title 继峰股份三报点评:座椅业务盈利向上,格拉 ...