丨证券研究报告丨 公司研究丨点评报告丨海天精工（601882.SH） [Table_Title] 海天精工：25Q2 营收微增，期待需求景气修复 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 公司 2025H1 实现营收 16.63 亿元，同比-0.92%；归母净利润 2.37 亿元，同比-19.27%；扣非 归母净利润 2.12 亿元，同比-17.57%。单季度来看，25Q2 营收 9.23 亿元，同比+0.10%；归 母净利润 1.38 亿元，同比-15.34%；扣非归母净利润 1.27 亿元，同比-15.60%。公司短期业绩 虽有所承压，但中长期仍将持续受益于政策机遇、自主可控、出海等结构性机会，随着公司稳 步推进研产销体系化布局，期待业绩修复。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 赵智勇 臧雄 杨文建 SAC：S0490517110001 SAC：S0490518070005 SAC：S0490525070003 SFC：BRP550 SFC：BVO790 海天精工（601882.SH） cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title2] 海天精工：25Q2 营收微增，期待需求景气修复 [Ta ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and it is maintained [6]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 4.02 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 15.6%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 480 million yuan, up 12.4% year-on-year [2][4]. - The company’s revenue from power plants and industrial automation reached 2.003 billion yuan, a significant increase of 31.3% year-on-year, while revenue from grid automation was 1.726 billion yuan, up 2.2% year-on-year [9]. - The gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 30.52%, a decrease of 2.94 percentage points year-on-year, indicating pressure on the gross profit side [9]. - The company achieved a 60% increase in bid amounts for the State Grid's centralized bidding and a 15% increase for the Southern Grid's framework bidding, ranking among the top in bid scale [9]. Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company reported a revenue of 2.19 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.4%, but the net profit decreased by 3.2% to 230 million yuan [2][4]. - The company’s total revenue is projected to reach 8.305 billion yuan in 2025, with a net profit of 844 million yuan, corresponding to a PE ratio of approximately 17.87 times [14]. - The company’s four expense ratios for the first half of 2025 were 17.60%, a decrease of 1.51 percentage points year-on-year, with reductions in sales, management, and R&D expense ratios [9].

丨证券研究报告丨 港股研究丨公司点评丨协鑫科技（3800.HK） [Table_Title] 现金成本进一步优化，产品质量稳步提升 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 协鑫科技发布 2025 年半年报，2025H1 公司实现收入 57.35 亿元，同比减少 35.30%；净利润 亏损 17.76 亿元。 邬博华 曹海花 王耀 任佳惠 申浩树 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC：S0490514040001 SAC：S0490522030001 SAC：S0490524120006 SAC：S0490524070005 SAC：S0490525060004 SFC：BQK482 research.95579.com 1 协鑫科技（3800.HK） cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title2] 现金成本进一步优化，产品质量稳步提升 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 协鑫科技发布 2025 年半年报，2025H1 公司实现收入 57.35 亿元，同比减少 35.30%；净利润 亏损 17.76 亿元。 事件评论 丨证券研 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Views - The company's revenue growth for the first half of 2025 is +1.8%, with a net profit growth of +6.2%. The interest income growth has turned positive at +2.7%, driven by stable interest margins and rapid credit expansion. The loan growth compared to the beginning of the year is 9.0%, with significant growth in corporate loans at +19.5% [2][6]. - The net interest margin is reported at 1.33%, which has decreased by 1 basis point from Q1 and by 5 basis points compared to the full year of 2024. The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio remains stable at 0.83%, with a provision coverage ratio of 438%, indicating strong asset quality [2][6]. - The company is focusing on expanding its total assets towards the trillion yuan target, with government-related business driving high growth. The total deposits have increased by 11.0% compared to the beginning of the year [11]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - Revenue growth for H1 2025 is +1.8%, with Q1 at +0.8% and Q2 at +2.9%. Net profit growth is +6.2%, with Q1 at +6.8% and Q2 at +5.5%. Interest income growth is +2.7%, while non-interest income growth is +0.13% [2][6][11]. - The cost-to-income ratio has decreased by 3.7 percentage points year-on-year, contributing positively to profit before provisions and taxes (PPOP), which has grown by 7.1% [11]. Asset Quality - The NPL ratio is stable at 0.83%, with a provision coverage ratio of 438%, down 9 percentage points from the previous quarter. The NPL generation rate has stabilized and decreased, benefiting from a focus on corporate government-related business [11][12]. - The retail loan NPL ratio has increased slightly to 1.80%, but the overall asset quality remains strong due to the focus on government-related lending [11]. Future Outlook - The company aims to reach a total asset scale of one trillion yuan, with a conservative risk appetite and a focus on maintaining asset quality. The expected dividend yield for 2025 is 4.8%, with a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.70x [11][12].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8]. Core Insights - The company's core subsidiary, Xinhua San, has experienced rapid growth, driven by both domestic government and enterprise sectors as well as overseas business expansion. The revenue from ICT infrastructure has increased, with strong growth in server sales. However, the gross margin has declined due to changes in revenue structure and acquisition-related financial costs, which have impacted net profit. The company is committed to advancing its "Computing Power x Connectivity" strategy and is actively pursuing an H-share listing to optimize its capital structure for long-term development [5][11]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025 (25H1), the company achieved a revenue of 47.42 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.0%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.04 billion yuan, up 4.1% year-on-year, while the net profit after deducting non-recurring items was 1.12 billion yuan, reflecting a 25.1% increase year-on-year. In the second quarter of 2025 (25Q2), the revenue reached 26.64 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 27.2% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 28.1% [5][11]. Subsidiary Performance - The core subsidiary, Xinhua San, reported a revenue of 36.40 billion yuan in 25H1, representing a year-on-year growth of 37.7% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 27.1%. The net profit was 1.85 billion yuan, up 1.7% year-on-year. Domestic government and enterprise business benefited from the sustained demand for AI computing power, achieving a revenue of 31.04 billion yuan, a significant increase of 53.5% year-on-year. International business revenue reached 1.92 billion yuan, growing by 60.2% year-on-year [11]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is accelerating its overseas business expansion, which has become a second growth curve. In 25H1, overseas revenue reached 1.98 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 53.0%. The company has established 22 overseas subsidiaries and has over 3,300 certified overseas partners, focusing on regions such as Southeast Asia, Central Asia, the Middle East, and Europe [11]. Margin and Cost Analysis - The overall gross margin for 25H1 was 15.2%, a decrease of 3.8 percentage points year-on-year. The gross margin for the ICT infrastructure and services business was 18.1%, down 6.3 percentage points, attributed to the higher proportion of lower-margin server products. Financial expenses increased significantly due to acquisition-related costs, impacting overall profitability [11]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to maintain strong growth, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 at 1.942 billion yuan, 2.318 billion yuan, and 2.826 billion yuan, respectively, corresponding to year-on-year growth rates of 24%, 19%, and 22%. The price-to-earnings ratios are projected to be 40 times, 34 times, and 28 times for the respective years [11].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9] Core Insights - The company's revenue returned to growth in 25H1, driven by a doubling of government and enterprise business under the influence of the AI wave, becoming the core engine for performance [2][6] - Despite a short-term adjustment in gross margin due to changes in business structure, effective cost control has maintained the company's profitability [2] - The company is firmly executing its "Connection + Computing Power" strategy, with strong momentum exhibited in its second growth curve, represented by computing power businesses such as servers and switches, and terminal businesses like AI smartphones and cloud computers [2][6] Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - In 25H1, the company achieved revenue of 71.55 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.5%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 5.06 billion yuan, down 11.8% year-on-year [6] - In 25Q2, revenue reached 38.58 billion yuan, up 20.9% year-on-year and 17.0% quarter-on-quarter, with net profit of 2.60 billion yuan, down 12.9% year-on-year but up 6.2% quarter-on-quarter [6] Business Performance - The government and enterprise business saw a remarkable performance, with revenue of 19.25 billion yuan in 25H1, a year-on-year increase of 109.9% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 105.0%, accounting for 26.9% of total revenue, up 14.1 percentage points year-on-year [2][6] - The company capitalized on opportunities in the domestic market, particularly in the financial and power sectors, leading to significant growth in server and storage revenue [2] - The operator network business revenue increased by 5.99% year-on-year, while consumer business revenue grew by 7.6% year-on-year [2] Cost Management and Margins - The gross margin for 25H1 was 32.5%, down 8.0 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to the increased proportion of lower-margin government and enterprise business [2] - The company effectively controlled expenses, with R&D, sales, and management expense ratios at 6.1%, 3.0%, and 17.7%, respectively, showing year-on-year reductions [2] Strategic Development - The "Connection + Computing Power" strategy is deepening, with significant achievements in the computing power sector, including large-scale sales of server and storage products to leading internet companies [2] - The company launched AI-integrated smartphones and maintained a leading position in the global market for smart home devices and cloud computers [2] Profit Forecast and Investment Advice - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 8.73 billion yuan, 9.13 billion yuan, and 9.72 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 3.8%, 4.6%, and 6.5% [2][6] - The report maintains a "Buy" rating based on the company's strong performance and strategic direction [2][9]

Report Industry Investment Rating - The report gives a "Shock Operation" rating for the cotton textile industry [3] Core Viewpoints - In the short - term, after the September 3rd Victory Day parade in China, the stock market dropped. The August PMI manufacturing index rebounded but remained below 50%. Enterprise profits turned positive. Next week, the CF2601 contract is expected to oscillate or start a rebound test in the range of [13920 - 14255]. In the medium - term, new cotton will be on the market after September 20th. The expected purchase price of ginned cotton mills is 6 - 6.3 yuan/ton. Pre - sales of new cotton have increased significantly. With the approaching of the "Golden September and Silver October", there is a possibility of price support or rebound, but high inventories of grey cloth and yarn limit the rebound height. In the long - term, after new cotton is on the market, prices may first rise and then fall, and next year the market is expected to be shock - strong due to the expected interest rate cuts [6] - For cotton yarn, this week, Zhengzhou cotton prices adjusted, and the cotton yarn market also followed. The trading volume of pure cotton yarn is average, and low - count yarns perform better. Inland spinning enterprises are still in cash - flow losses and lack confidence in the future. With the approaching of the "Golden September and Silver October", prices are expected to strengthen [8] Summaries by Directory 01. Weekly Viewpoint - Cotton - Short - term: After the parade, the stock market fell. The PMI index rebounded but was below 50%. Next week, expect oscillations or a rebound test in the [13920 - 14255] range for CF2601 [6] - Medium - term: New cotton will be on the market after September 20th. Pre - sales have increased. The "Golden September and Silver October" may support prices, but high inventories limit the rebound [6] - Long - term: New cotton prices may first rise and then fall. Next year, the market may be shock - strong due to expected interest rate cuts [6] 02. Weekly Viewpoint - Cotton Yarn - This week, Zhengzhou cotton prices adjusted, and the cotton yarn market followed. Low - count yarns perform better. Inland spinning enterprises are in losses. With the approaching of the "Golden September and Silver October", prices may strengthen [8] 03. Market Review - Zhengzhou cotton is still weak. Macro - risk aversion is strong. Cotton merchants' inventories are low, and some old cotton remains unsold. Spinning enterprises purchase raw materials on a need - basis. New cotton production is expected to increase slightly, bringing long - term pressure. The trading volume of pure cotton yarn is average, and low - count yarns perform better. Inland spinning enterprises are in cash - flow losses [12] 04. International Macro - US economic data shows that in September 2025, the ISM manufacturing PMI was 48.7, ADP employment decreased, exports increased, imports increased, and the trade deficit widened. Eurozone data shows that the unemployment rate decreased, CPI increased, and PPI increased [13] 05. Domestic Macro - Upcoming domestic economic data to be released includes foreign exchange reserves, CPI, PPI, M2 money supply, social financing scale, and new RMB loans [15] 06. Global Supply - Demand Balance Sheet - According to the USDA's August report, in the 2025/26 season, global cotton production, consumption, and trade volume decreased month - on - month, and the ending inventory decreased. In the 2024/25 season, production decreased, consumption increased, exports decreased, and the ending inventory decreased again [17] 07. Domestic Supply - Demand Balance Sheet - In the 2024/25 season, the total supply decreased due to a decrease in imports. The total demand increased due to an increase in cotton consumption. The ending inventory decreased by 120,000 tons. In the 2025/26 season, the total supply decreased slightly, the total demand remained stable, and the ending inventory decreased by 100,000 tons [22] 08. US Cotton Exports - As of August 14, 2025, the US had cumulatively signed 755,000 tons of cotton exports for the 2025/26 season, with a signing rate of 28.88% and a shipment rate of 8.49%. China had signed 3,000 tons and shipped 181 tons [25] 09. Industrial and Commercial Inventories - At the end of July, the national commercial cotton inventory was 2.1898 million tons, a decrease of 22.62% from the previous month and 21.18% from the same period last year. As of August 15, the commercial inventory was 1.8202 million tons, a decrease of 16.88% from the end of July. Industrial inventories also changed accordingly [28] 10. Cotton and Cotton Yarn Imports - In July 2025, China's cotton imports were 50,000 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 73.2%. From January to July, cumulative imports were 520,000 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 74.2%. Cotton yarn imports in July were 110,000 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 16.4% [31] 11. Cotton Yarn Production and Sales - In August, the cotton yarn market improved, especially in the second half of the month. The profit of spinning enterprises improved, but the operating rate did not increase significantly. The estimated production of pure cotton yarn in August was 424,000 tons, a year - on - year increase of 11.8% and a month - on - month decrease of 2.3% [35] 12. US Cotton Growth - As of August 31, the boll - setting rate of US cotton was 90%, 4 percentage points slower than last year and 3 points slower than the five - year average. The flocculation rate was 28%, 7 points slower than last year and 2 points slower than the average. The excellent - good rate was 51%, 7 points higher than last year and 8 points higher than the average [38] 13. US Cotton Weather - As of September 2, the drought index in the US cotton - growing areas increased, but most cotton had completed boll - setting and entered the flocculation stage, so the impact on growth was limited [42] 14. Xinjiang Cotton Growth - As of September 1, the average flocculation rate in Xinjiang was 27.7%, an increase of 12.4 percentage points. Some cotton fields have started spraying defoliants, and new cotton is expected to be on the market 10 - 15 days earlier than usual [44] 15. Textile Industry Inventory - In July, the inventory of the textile industry increased by 0.12% month - on - month and 0.49% year - on - year. The finished - product inventory of the textile industry decreased by 0.03% month - on - month and increased by 1.31% year - on - year. Textile and clothing inventories changed accordingly [45] 16. Domestic Demand - In July 2025, the total retail sales of consumer goods were 3.878 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 3.7%. The retail sales of clothing, shoes, hats, and textiles were 96.1 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 1.8% [50] 17. External Demand - In July 2025, China's textile and clothing exports were 26.766 billion US dollars, a year - on - year decrease of 0.06%. From January to July, cumulative exports were 170.741 billion US dollars, a year - on - year increase of 0.63% [53] 18. US Clothing Retail - In June 2025, the retail sales of US clothing and accessories were 26.342 billion US dollars, a year - on - year increase of 3.88% and a month - on - month increase of 0.94% [56] 19. US Cotton Product Imports - In June 2025, US cotton product imports were 1.357 billion square meters, a year - on - year decrease of 4.47% and a month - on - month increase of 5.32%. Textile and clothing imports also changed [60] 20. Warehouse Receipts - As of September 4, the number of warehouse receipts was 5,829, a decrease of 167 from the previous week [62] 21. Non - Commercial Positions - As of August 26, the net long positions of non - commercial futures and options in the ICE cotton futures market decreased by 2,829 to - 40,128. The net long positions of non - commercial futures alone decreased by 2,501 to - 37,606. The net long positions of commodity index funds decreased by 513 to 59,842 [66] 22. Textile Factory Load - As of September 5, the load index of pure cotton yarn mills was 64.5, unchanged from the previous week; the load of rayon yarn mills was 50, unchanged; the load of pure polyester yarn mills was 54.5, an increase of 0.1 from the previous week [70] 23. Weaving Factory Load - The load index of all - cotton grey cloth mills increased by 0.3 to 46.5, the load index of rayon cloth mills increased by 1.0 to 55.5, and the comprehensive load of short - fiber cloth mills increased by 0.2 to 49.3 [74] 24. Industry Chain Inventory - Textile enterprises' cotton inventory decreased by 0.7 days to 29.7 days, cotton yarn inventory decreased by 0.4 days to 28.1 days, and all - cotton grey cloth inventory decreased by 0.9 days to 33.5 days [78] 25. Industry Chain Profits - This week, Zhengzhou cotton prices oscillated after a rebound. The cotton yarn market improved slightly, but the price increase was limited. Inland spinning enterprises for C32S were still in losses of about 500 yuan/ton, while Xinjiang enterprises still had a small profit [83] 26. Basis - This week, the basis weakened significantly with the rebound of futures prices. The current inland basis is 1,033 yuan/ton, a decrease of 505 yuan/ton from the previous week. The new cotton pre - sale basis is 800 - 1000 yuan/ton [86] 27. Domestic and Foreign Cotton Price Spread - Currently, the domestic cotton market is stronger than the foreign market. After October, if China increases foreign cotton imports or conducts state reserves sales, the situation may change [89] 28. Inter - Month Spread - The 9 - 11 spread weakened to - 300 yuan/ton, approaching the target. The 11 - 1 spread first weakened to - 230 yuan/ton and then strengthened to - 125 yuan/ton. A strategy of shorting 11 and going long 1 is recommended [92]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8] Core Views - The company has shown signs of stabilization and recovery in operations, with sufficient orders on hand, which may lay the foundation for rapid year-on-year growth in the second half of the year [2][11] - The company's revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 1.315 billion, a year-on-year increase of 3.92%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 27 million, a year-on-year decrease of 32.66% [5][11] - The company's robot business continues to grow, with a year-on-year increase of approximately 20% in the first half of 2025 [11] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company achieved revenue of 719 million, a year-on-year increase of 9.56%, and a net profit of 20 million, a year-on-year decrease of 41.07% [5][11] - The company's domestic business revenue for H1 2025 was 728 million, a year-on-year increase of 6.84%, while overseas revenue was 587 million, a slight increase of 0.52% [11] - The overall gross margin remained stable at 35.0%, despite a slight decrease in the proportion of high-margin overseas business [11] Business Segments - The company's brushless motor business achieved revenue of 129 million, maintaining growth, primarily driven by automation, robotics, and semiconductor sectors [11] - The motion control system business saw a revenue increase of 44.07% year-on-year, with the servo system business growing by 48.94% [11] - The company's robot application segment continued to grow steadily, contributing to the overall positive outlook [11] Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 81 million and 118 million in 2025 and 2026, respectively, corresponding to PE ratios of 332x and 229x [11]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and it is maintained [8] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 1.95 billion yuan for H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 30.28%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 505 million yuan, up 16.82% year-on-year [2][5] - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.037 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 27.05%, and a net profit of 272 million yuan, which is an 18.01% increase year-on-year [2][5] - The company has made significant progress in advanced process equipment, with a high proportion of CMP orders and substantial market share among domestic clients [11] - The platform development is steadily advancing, with various equipment types gaining market recognition, including thinning equipment, cutting equipment, and edge polishing equipment [11] - The company has a strong order backlog and inventory, with contract liabilities reaching 1.755 billion yuan, a 6.9% increase from the end of Q1 2025, and inventory amounting to 3.703 billion yuan, up 6.2% year-on-year [11] - R&D expenses for Q2 2025 were 135 million yuan, with an R&D expense ratio of 13.0%, an increase of 1.6 percentage points year-on-year [11] - The company is expected to achieve net profits attributable to shareholders of 1.3 billion yuan and 1.69 billion yuan for 2025 and 2026, respectively, corresponding to PE ratios of 34 and 26 times [11] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - H1 2025 revenue: 1.95 billion yuan, +30.28% YoY [2] - H1 2025 net profit: 505 million yuan, +16.82% YoY [2] - Q2 2025 revenue: 1.037 billion yuan, +27.05% YoY [2] - Q2 2025 net profit: 272 million yuan, +18.01% YoY [2] Market Position and Product Development - High market share in advanced process CMP equipment among domestic clients [11] - Significant order growth for thinning equipment and successful market entry for various new equipment types [11] - Development of ion implantation machines and other advanced semiconductor equipment [11] R&D and Future Outlook - R&D expenses for Q2 2025: 135 million yuan, 13.0% of revenue [11] - Expected net profits for 2025 and 2026: 1.3 billion yuan and 1.69 billion yuan, respectively [11]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8] Core Viewpoints - The company reported a revenue of 5.751 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 4.51%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 492 million yuan, down 32.59% year-on-year [2][6] - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 3.444 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 11.2% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 49.34% [2][6] - The company is actively expanding its "Big National Defense" business and has a solid order backlog, with new product development increasing by 10.07% year-on-year [12] Financial Performance Summary - For H1 2025, the company achieved a gross profit margin of 29.27%, a decrease of 1.38 percentage points year-on-year, and a net profit margin of 10.42%, down 3.5 percentage points year-on-year [12] - The company’s total revenue for 2025 is projected to reach 11.5 billion yuan, with a profit target of 1.3 billion yuan [12] - The company’s inventory balance at the end of H1 2025 was 5.454 billion yuan, an increase of 9.57% from the beginning of the period [12] Business Development and Market Position - The company has signed new orders worth 78.28 million yuan in the shipbuilding sector and has developed overseas clients, including a partnership with Italy's Iveco [12] - The company is focusing on expanding its domestic and international user base while developing new products [12]