2025 年 04 月 08 日 公司点评 买入/维持 卓胜微(300782) 昨收盘:72.30 短期盈利承压，期待高端市场放量 ◼ 走势比较 (40%) (26%) (12%) 2% 16% 30% 24/4/8 24/6/20 24/9/1 24/11/13 25/1/25 25/4/8 ◼ 股票数据 | 总股本/流通(亿股) | 5.35/4.48 | | --- | --- | | 总市值/流通(亿元) | 386.48/323.61 | | 12 个月内最高/最低价 | 131/58.61 | | (元) | | 相关研究报告 << 太 平 洋 证 券 公 司 点 评 - 卓 胜 微 （300782）：模组产品贡献增量，自有 Fab 产线量产出货>>--2024-10-23 证券分析师：张世杰 E-MAIL：zhangsj@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号：S1190523020001 资源平台优势显著，高端市场持续发力。公司依托自建产线，在特色工艺、 材料、技术、差异化等方面持续拓展：1. 6 英寸滤波器产线的产品品类 已实现全面布局，具备双工器/四工器、单芯片多频段滤波器等分立器件 的规模量 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with an expected relative increase of over 15% compared to the CSI 300 index in the next six months [1][9]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant increase in net profit, achieving 262.29 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 201.07%. The weighted average ROE reached 25.88%, up by 17.94 percentage points [4][6]. - The company's new business value (NBV) grew impressively by 106.8% to 62.53 billion yuan, with the first-year premium under NBV increasing by 7.9 percentage points to 14.6% [5][6]. - The company is focusing on channel reforms and transitioning towards long-term, premium-paying products, with individual insurance channels generating 1,159.70 billion yuan in premium income, a slight increase of 0.3% year-on-year [5][6]. Financial Performance Summary - The company achieved original insurance premium income of 1,705.11 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.78%, and total operating income of 1,325.55 billion yuan, up by 85.27% [4][5]. - The total investment assets reached 1.63 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 21.1%. The net investment yield was 3.2%, while the total investment yield was 5.8% [6][7]. - Forecasted revenues for 2025-2027 are 1,215.58 billion yuan, 1,295.96 billion yuan, and 1,388.20 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits projected at 232.42 billion yuan, 257.28 billion yuan, and 287.45 billion yuan [6][7].

2025 年 04 月 07 日 投资策略 资金净流入，交投活跃度下降。上周全 A 成交额 4.54 万亿，较前一 周下降，换手率 5.27%，较前一周下降，融资供给端中基金、ETF 净流入， 两融资金净流出；资金需求端 IPO 规模为 4.87 亿元，再融资规模 69.67 亿元。市场资金合计净流入 46.46 亿元，流动性转强。 国内流动性：上周公开市场操作净回笼资金 5019 亿元，DR007 下行， R007 同步下行，R007 与 DR007 利差缩小，金融机构间流动性未见明显分 层。利差来看，10 年期国债收益率下降 8bp，1 年期国债收益率下降 5bp， 国债期限利差缩小；10 年期美债收益率下行，10 年期国债收益率下行， 中美利差倒挂程度减轻；市场预期 5 月美联储不降息概率下降至 51%。 流动性与仓位周观察——4 月第 1 期：杠杆资金加速流出 ◼ 上证综合指数走势（近三年） (20%) (12%) (4%) 4% 12% 20% 24/3/18 24/5/29 24/8/9 24/10/20 24/12/31 25/3/13 证券分析师：张冬冬 E-MAIL：zhangdd@tpyz ...

业 研 究 基础化工 化工周报（3/31-4/6）： 溴素、钛白粉、制冷剂等产品价格相对强势 ◼ 走势比较 (20%) (10%) 0% 10% 20% 30% 24/4/8 24/6/19 24/8/30 24/11/10 25/1/21 25/4/3 相关研究报告 << 化 工 新 材 料 周 报 （ 20250331- 20250406）：溴素价格继续上涨，EVA 价格趋稳>>--2025-04-07 <<国光股份 2024 年报点评： 低成本 +新商业模式推动，公司业绩创新 高>>--2025-04-03 <<华鲁恒升 2024 年报点评： 双基地 效能提升，公司业绩韧性凸显>>-- 2025-04-03 证券分析师：王亮 E-MAIL：wangl@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号：S1190522120001 证券分析师：王海涛 E-MAIL：wanght@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号：S1190523010001 报告摘要 1.重点行业和产品情况跟踪 制冷剂：即将进入需求旺季，主要制冷剂品种的价格和毛利均出现 上涨。建议关注：巨化股份、三美股份、永和股份。 超高分子量聚乙烯 UHMWPE： ...

2025 年 04 月 06 日 行业周报 看好/维持 食品饮料 食品饮料 关税影响下内需配置价值凸显，关注基本面企稳绩优个股——食 品饮料周报（2025.3.31-2025.4.6） ◼ 走势比较 (30%) (18%) (6%) 6% 18% 30% 24/4/8 24/6/19 24/8/30 24/11/10 25/1/21 25/4/3 ◼ 子行业评级 | 酒类 | 无评级 | | --- | --- | | 饮料 | 无评级 | | 食品 | 无评级 | | ◼ 推荐公司及评级 | | | 泸州老窖 | 买入 | | 山西汾酒 | 买入 | | 今世缘 | 买入 | | 迎驾贡酒 | 买入 | | 卫龙美味 | 买入 | | 东鹏饮料 | 买入 | | 有友食品 | 买入 | | 盐津铺子 | 买入 | | 珠江啤酒 | 买入 | | 立高食品 | 买入 | 相关研究报告 <<海天味业：2024 年领先行业增长， 来年稳增可期>>--2025-04-06 <<卫龙美味：魔芋大单品回归高增， 新渠道拓展卓有成效>>--2025-04- 03 <<贵州茅台：2024 年顺利收官，2025 年理性增长行 ...

2025-04-07 公司点评 买入/维持 智明达（688636） 目标价：60.00 昨收盘：39.48 国防军工 产品订单大幅增长，看好全年业绩表现 走势比较 -50% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Apr/24 May/24 Jun/24 Jul/24 Aug/24 Sep/24 Oct/24 Nov/24 Dec/24 Jan/25 Feb/25 Mar/25 智明达 沪深300 股票数据 | 总股本/流通(亿股) | 1.13/1.13 | 1.76/0.97 | | --- | --- | --- | | 总市值/流通(亿元) | 44.44/44.42 | 88.08/44.24 | | 12 个月最高/最低(元) | 42.77/24.37 | 59.68/43.90 | 相关研究报告 【太平洋证券】国防军工 2025 年度策略： 聚焦新域新质，迎接景气拐点 智明达（688636）深度报告："嵌入"国家 重点领域，迎接智能化时代发展新机遇 事件：公司发布 2025 年一季度业绩预告，经财务部门初步测算，预 计 2025 年第一季度实现营业 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price based on the last closing price of 52.20 [1][10]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant revenue growth of 74.24% year-on-year, reaching 114.77 billion yuan in 2024, with a net profit of 2.29 billion yuan, reflecting a 28.55% increase [3][4]. - The company continues to hold a leading position in the industry, ranking second globally in server sales and first in China, as well as leading in storage installation capacity and liquid-cooled servers [4]. - The demand for AI infrastructure is expected to remain strong, with projected earnings per share (EPS) of 2.12, 2.60, and 3.12 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5][6]. Financial Performance - The company's gross margin for 2024 was 6.85%, a decrease of 3.16 percentage points from the previous year, while the net margin was 2.00%, down 0.73 percentage points [4]. - The total revenue forecast for the next few years is as follows: 142 billion yuan in 2025, 170 billion yuan in 2026, and 205 billion yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 23.73%, 19.72%, and 20.59% respectively [6][12]. - The net profit is expected to grow to 3.12 billion yuan in 2026 and 4.59 billion yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 22.75% and 19.93% respectively [8][12]. Market Position and Product Development - The company has launched several AI-related products, including the "Yuan 2.0-M32" open-source large model and the AI general server NF8260G7, positioning itself to benefit from the growing AI computing demand [4][5]. - The report highlights the increasing demand for servers driven by customer needs, contributing to the company's rapid revenue growth [4].

2025 年 04 月 06 日 行业周报 看好/维持 基础化工 基础化工 化工新材料周报（20250331-20250406）： 溴素价格继续上涨，EVA 价格趋稳 走势比较 (20%) (10%) 0% 10% 20% 30% 24/4/8 24/6/19 24/8/30 24/11/10 25/1/21 25/4/3 基础化工 沪深300 相关研究报告 <<国光股份 2024 年报点评： 低成本 +新商业模式推动，公司业绩创新 高>>--2025-04-03 <<华鲁恒升 2024 年报点评： 双基地 效能提升，公司业绩韧性凸显>>-- 2025-04-03 <<卫星化学 2024 年报及 2025 年一季 度业绩预报点评： 盈利能力提升+新 能源材料大幅增长推动业绩创历史 新高>>--2025-04-03 证券分析师：王亮 E-MAIL：wangl@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号：S1190522120001 证券分析师：王海涛 E-MAIL：wanght@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号：S1190523010001 报告摘要 1.重点子行业及产品情况跟踪 EVA：年初以来价格企稳并小幅反弹。 ...

2025 年 04 月 03 日 公司点评 买入/维持 海天味业(603288) 目标价: 47.88 昨收盘:40.67 海天味业：2024 年领先行业增长，来年稳增可期 走势比较 (20%) (8%) 4% 16% 28% 40% 24/4/3 24/6/15 24/8/27 24/11/8 25/1/20 25/4/3 | 总股本/流通(亿股) | 55.61/55.61 | | --- | --- | | 总市值/流通(亿元) | 2,261.5/2,261 | | | .5 | | 12 个月内最高/最低价 | 52.99/33.08 | | (元) | | 相关研究报告 <<海天味业：经营向上恢复，调整效 果渐显>>--2024-10-30 <<海天味业：2024Q2 经营韧性增长， 业绩超预期>>--2024-09-03 <<海天味业：2024Q1 开门红略超预 期，经营稳步恢复>>--2024-04-30 证券分析师：郭梦婕 电话： E-MAIL：guomj@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号：S1190523080002 证券分析师：肖依琳 电话： E-MAIL：xiaoyl@tpyzq.c ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][6] Core Views - The company has shown significant growth in tin and indium production, with a notable increase in non-recurring net profit [1][4] - The company achieved a revenue of 41.973 billion yuan in 2024, a slight decrease of 0.9% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 2.5% to 1.444 billion yuan [3][4] - The company aims to produce 90,000 tons of tin in 2025, reflecting a strong production target [4] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a non-recurring net profit of 1.94 billion yuan, a significant increase of 40.5% year-on-year [3][6] - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a revenue of 12.76 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 46.6% [3] - The company’s gross margin and net margin for 2024 were 9.59% and 3.44%, respectively, showing slight improvements [5] Production and Market Position - The company maintained its position as the global leader in tin production, with a domestic market share of 47.98% and a global market share of 25.03% in 2024 [4] - Production volumes for 2024 included 78,000 tons of tin ingots, 130,000 tons of copper products, and 127 tons of indium ingots, with respective year-on-year increases of 19.4%, 0.8%, and 24.5% [4] Future Outlook - The company forecasts net profits of 2.22 billion yuan, 2.57 billion yuan, and 2.86 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, indicating a positive growth trajectory [6][7] - The report anticipates a revenue growth rate of 10.8% in 2025, followed by 5.4% in 2026 and 3.81% in 2027 [7]