Core Insights - The report indicates a neutral market sentiment with a composite score of 57, suggesting a balanced outlook for investors [2][10]. - Recent market trends show a gradual upward movement supported by improved market sentiment and policy backing [10]. Market Themes Tracking - **Solid-State Battery Theme**: The 17th Shenzhen International Battery Technology Exchange and Exhibition (CIBF2025) is scheduled from May 15 to 17, focusing on advanced lithium-ion battery technologies and solid-state batteries. Related companies include Haishun New Materials (300501) and Guoxuan High-Tech (002074) [7]. - **Big Data Theme**: The State Council has approved a draft for the Government Data Sharing Regulations, aiming to enhance public service efficiency through data integration. Relevant companies include Aofei Data (300738) and Inspur Information (000977) [7]. - **Apple Supply Chain Theme**: Reports suggest that Apple's first foldable iPhone is expected to launch in Fall 2026, impacting the product release schedule. Related companies include Lingyi Technology (002600) and Changying Precision (300115) [7]. Major Capital Inflows and Outflows - **Top Net Inflows**: The report lists major stocks with significant net inflows, including BYD (134,024.78 million), Hongbaoli (114,711.74 million), and Wanxiang Qianchao (66,130.24 million) [11]. - **Top Net Outflows**: Stocks with the highest net outflows include Jilin Chemical Fiber (-76,919.48 million), Shuanglin Shares (-71,032.47 million), and Chuaning Biological (-54,688.71 million) [13]. - **Margin Trading**: The report highlights stocks with significant margin selling, including Haiguang Information (466.25 million) and Junsheng Electronics (374.23 million) [14]. Industry Insights - The report provides insights into various industries, indicating that the automotive sector (SW Automotive) and basic chemicals (SW Basic Chemicals) are currently attracting significant capital inflows [17]. - Conversely, the electronics (SW Electronics) and computer (SW Computer) sectors are experiencing notable capital outflows, suggesting a shift in investor sentiment [18].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the automotive industry [9][41]. Core Views - The automotive market is experiencing stable overall performance, with domestic demand being supported by new vehicle cycles and "old-for-new" policies, leading to a significant increase in consumption [7][8]. - The report highlights the potential of humanoid robots and their integration into various sectors, suggesting that companies with strong R&D capabilities and self-controlled equipment are likely to succeed [6][9]. - The report emphasizes the growth of new energy vehicles (NEVs), which accounted for 42.7% of total vehicle sales in April, with production and sales showing rapid growth [8][9]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The automotive sector outperformed the market with a 10.1% increase over the past month, compared to a 3.1% increase in the Shanghai Composite Index [3][16]. - The automotive index rose by 2.7% in the last week, outperforming the broader market by 1.6 percentage points [16]. Market Data - In April, the production and sales of automobiles reached 2.619 million and 2.59 million units, respectively, marking a year-on-year increase of 8.9% and 9.8% [8]. - The first four months of 2025 saw a total production and sales of over 10 million vehicles for the first time in history, with NEVs showing a year-on-year growth of 48.3% in production and 46.2% in sales [8]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends specific companies in the humanoid robot sector, such as Shuanglin Co. and Rongtai Co., and highlights the importance of self-controlled equipment manufacturers [6][9]. - It suggests focusing on companies with deep collaborations with major tech firms, such as Seres and JAC Motors, as well as those in the automotive parts sector that are poised for growth due to technological changes and export opportunities [42]. Company Focus and Earnings Forecast - The report provides earnings forecasts for several companies, indicating a positive outlook with "Buy" ratings for Shuanglin Co. (PE of 37.11 for 2025E), Redik (PE of 55.67 for 2025E), and others [11][44].

Investment Rating - Industry investment rating: Recommended (Maintained) [1] Core Views - The trend of going abroad remains the main focus, with short-term impacts from tariffs diminishing. In Q1 2025, pharmaceutical exports reached $26.632 billion, a year-on-year increase of 4.39%, with exports to the U.S. at $4.639 billion, up 9.6% [3] - The market for gout and uric acid reduction presents significant potential, with the number of patients expected to rise from 1.7 billion in 2020 to 2.4 billion by 2030 in China. Current treatments show poor adherence and efficacy, indicating a need for safer and more effective drugs [4] - The oral weight loss drug sector is seeing major players like Novo Nordisk increasing their investments, with opportunities for Chinese companies in this rapidly evolving market [6] - Breakthroughs in universal CAR-T and autoimmune applications are emerging, with promising clinical data supporting their efficacy and safety [8] Summary by Sections 1. Pharmaceutical Market Tracking - The pharmaceutical industry outperformed the CSI 300 index by 0.16 percentage points in the past week, with a weekly increase of 1.27% [23] - Over the past month, the industry also outperformed the CSI 300 index by 0.68 percentage points, with a monthly increase of 3.76% [26] 2. Pharmaceutical Sector Trends and Valuation - The pharmaceutical sector's current PE (TTM) is 32.65, slightly below the five-year historical average of 32.73 [40] 3. Recent Research Achievements - The research team has published several in-depth reports on various aspects of the pharmaceutical industry, highlighting trends in supply and demand, and the growth of specific sectors such as blood products and inhalation therapies [44] 4. Recent Industry Policies and News - Recent policy changes include a reduction in tariffs on U.S. imports, which may positively impact the pharmaceutical sector [46] - Notable industry news includes the approval of several innovative drugs and collaborations among major pharmaceutical companies, indicating a dynamic and competitive landscape [47]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the U.S.-China tariff negotiations are in three phases: the first phase is pessimistic, the second phase shows recovery, and the third phase remains a long-term "game" with a specific order and rhythm that should not be rushed. The progress and reduction of tariffs are better than market expectations, leading to significant inflows into U.S. stocks and improved market sentiment. Currently, comprehensive tariffs from the U.S. on China remain around 50% + 24% pending, suggesting that while the "deadlock has been broken," the "final outcome is still far off" [1] - In the context of major assets recovering to their April 3 highs, A-shares are expected to maintain a period of high-level fluctuations. The report suggests focusing less on indices and more on bottom-up performance opportunities, reducing chasing of rallies and preparing for the market in June and July [1][5] - The report ranks major asset classes for the third phase of tariffs, indicating that among QDII investable assets, German stocks are preferred over Japanese and Hong Kong stocks, followed by U.S. stocks and U.S. Treasuries. Gold is suggested for short-term trading opportunities around the 3100-3150 range [1][6] Group 2 - The A-share market is experiencing a strong rebound due to the easing of U.S.-China tariff agreements, but there is a risk of subsequent pullbacks as most broad indices have filled gaps from early April, limiting upward space. The report emphasizes a strong motivation for funds to realize gains [5][36] - The report highlights that the valuation of the CSI 300 has recovered to within one standard deviation, moving away from extreme undervaluation. It also notes that public fund positions have been adjusted downwards, and the market is expected to experience short-term fluctuations with a focus on structural opportunities in dividend stocks and sectors benefiting from domestic demand [5][36] - In the Hong Kong market, trading sentiment remains low, with net selling from southbound funds. The report indicates that the focus of increased buying is on defensive sectors, while technology stocks have seen significant net selling [39][40] Group 3 - The report indicates that the U.S. stock market is showing medium-level positions, with recent economic data being mixed and not supporting stagflation assumptions. The report suggests maintaining a wave trading strategy and being cautious about profit-taking [32][36] - The report notes that the Japanese stock market has seen a significant pullback, suggesting that investors should gradually take profits as the index approaches previous highs [33] - The report emphasizes that the overall sentiment in the Hong Kong market is pessimistic, with a shift towards defensive sectors and significant selling in technology stocks. The report also highlights the recent improvement in domestic economic fundamentals, which is favorable for the Hong Kong market [39][44] Group 4 - The report suggests a focus on high-dividend cash flow and small-cap technology stocks in the A-share market, indicating a "barbell" strategy for investment. It emphasizes the importance of sector selection, particularly in banking, electricity, innovative pharmaceuticals, and robotics [36][46] - The report indicates that the small-cap style is currently favored, with short-term market interest rates declining, benefiting small-cap performance. However, it warns of potential trading crowding risks in the CSI 2000 [47] - The report highlights the ongoing demand for gold as a hedge against tariffs and potential economic weakness in the U.S. in June, suggesting that gold remains a good choice for short-term trading opportunities [48]

- The liquidity factor has shown a rapid rebound, with active trading by major funds. This week's recommended sectors for the liquidity factor include electronics, electrical equipment and new energy, pharmaceuticals, machinery, non-bank finance, and non-ferrous metals[14][16] - The long-term prosperity expectation factor, which serves as a proxy for prosperity investment, has started to show a slight upward trend in effectiveness. This week's long-term prosperity expectation factor includes non-bank finance, building materials, transportation, electric power and public utilities, and non-ferrous metals[18][20] - The short-term prosperity expectation factor continues to focus on domestic demand, with significant upward movement in long-short excess returns. This week's short-term prosperity expectation factor includes agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery, consumer services, non-bank finance, machinery, and non-ferrous metals[22][24] - The momentum reversal factor is currently unable to describe the market trend, but it is expected that sector rotation may shift to momentum in one to two weeks. This week's momentum reversal factor includes automobiles, communications, electrical equipment and new energy, machinery, and home appliances[25][26] - The composite factor for this week includes consumer services, non-bank finance, machinery, electrical equipment and new energy, electronics, and non-ferrous metals[32][33] Factor Backtesting Results - Liquidity factor, excess return of long positions: 0.7% to 2.3% over various periods[16] - Long-term prosperity expectation factor, excess return of long positions: 0.6% to 2.4% over various periods[20] - Short-term prosperity expectation factor, excess return of long positions: 0.6% to 2.0% over various periods[24] - Momentum reversal factor, excess return of long positions: 0.4% to 2.4% over various periods[26]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" investment rating for the company [2][8]. Core Insights - The company has experienced a significant revenue increase, with a 51.1% year-on-year growth in 2024, reaching 656 million yuan, while net profit slightly decreased by 3.88% to 52.45 million yuan due to increased expenses from newly acquired subsidiaries and higher sales and R&D costs [4]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 183 million yuan, a 93.59% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 17.72 million yuan, up 79.57%, indicating a strong acceleration in profit growth driven by increased orders from North American clients and the release of production capacity from fundraising projects [4][5]. - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the AI-driven growth in the consumer electronics sector, with expectations of a 63% CAGR for AI smartphones from 2023 to 2028, which will increase demand for comprehensive thermal management solutions [5][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 656 million yuan with a growth rate of 51.1%, while the net profit was 52 million yuan, reflecting a decline of 3.9% [9]. - Forecasted net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 108 million, 152 million, and 202 million yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.87, 2.64, and 3.50 yuan [8][9]. Business Development - The company has diversified its operations into several new areas, including automotive applications, smart home technology, and AI servers, leveraging its strong brand and technical capabilities [6][7]. - The automotive sector is expected to see significant growth, particularly in applications related to electric vehicle batteries and cockpit electronics [6][7]. Market Outlook - The global smartphone market showed signs of recovery, with a 0.5% year-on-year increase in Q1 2025, and the Chinese market growing by 9% due to consumer electronics subsidies [5]. - The company is actively pursuing partnerships in emerging fields such as robotics and AI, which are anticipated to drive future growth [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the media industry, highlighting the potential for growth driven by AI applications and consumer spending [6][19]. Core Insights - The media industry is supported by continuous policy backing, which includes urban renewal initiatives and the exploration of AI application scenarios. This is expected to stimulate new demand and enhance business growth [5][15][16]. - The upcoming e-commerce events, such as the 618 shopping festival, are anticipated to drive significant business activity within the media sector, leveraging technology to boost consumer engagement [18][19]. - Companies in the media sector are actively innovating and exploring new business models, particularly through AI integration, which is expected to enhance operational efficiency and create new revenue streams [16][19]. Summary by Sections Industry Review - The media sector has shown varied performance, with the e-commerce index experiencing significant gains while the smart TV index lagged behind. Notable stock performances included NetEase and Xunyou Technology, which saw increases of 16.07% and 14.26%, respectively [14][25]. Policy Support - Recent policies emphasize urban renewal and digital cultural development, aiming to enhance consumer infrastructure and promote new technologies. This is expected to create new opportunities for media companies [15][16][17]. Key Recommended Stocks - The report recommends several stocks within the media sector, including Mango Super Media (300413), Yaoji Technology (002605), and Wanda Film (002739), all of which are expected to benefit from upcoming events and innovations [6][9]. Market Dynamics - The report notes that the film market is recovering, with recent box office figures indicating a weekly revenue of 2.10 billion yuan. Upcoming films are expected to further stimulate audience engagement [30][32]. - In the television sector, popular shows are driving viewership, with top-rated series achieving significant market shares [34][35]. E-commerce Trends - Major e-commerce platforms like Alibaba and JD.com are gearing up for the 618 shopping festival, with strategies in place to enhance consumer engagement and drive sales growth [26][27].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In 2025, China is in a marginal de - leveraging process. The government aims to stabilize the macro - leverage ratio, and the growth rate of the real - sector's liabilities is expected to decline. The fiscal policy is front - loaded, and the monetary policy is moderately neutral [2][17]. - The economic recovery in the current round is better than expected, but it is necessary to observe whether the physical volume data will weaken in the future. The target for the annual real economic growth rate in 2025 is around 5%, and the nominal economic growth rate target is around 4.9% [4][19]. - The stock - bond relationship shows a pattern of a strong stock market and a weak bond market, with the style shifting towards value - based stocks. The stock - bond ratio continues to favor stocks, but in the de - leveraging cycle, the trading value of both stocks and bonds is currently limited. If the yield of the 10 - year Treasury bond rises above 1.7%, the trading value of bonds may gradually emerge [6][22]. - In the de - leveraging cycle, the probability of value - based stocks outperforming is higher. The recommended A + H dividend portfolio and A - share portfolio mainly focus on industries such as banking, telecommunications, petroleum and petrochemicals, and transportation [8][9]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 National Balance Sheet Analysis Liability Side - In March 2025, the real - sector's liability growth rate was 8.7% (previous value: 8.4%), expected to rebound slightly to around 9.0% in April, reach an annual high, and then decline steadily in May and return to de - leveraging. By the end of the year, it is expected to drop to around 8% [2][17]. - The government's liability growth rate was 13.9% at the end of March 2025 (previous value: 12.9%), expected to rise to around 14.8% in April, reach an annual high, and then decline. By the end of the year, it is expected to drop to around 12.5% [3][18]. - Last week, the money market continued to loosen marginally. The one - year Treasury bond yield oscillated upwards, closing at 1.45% at the weekend. The estimated lower limit of the one - year Treasury bond yield is about 1.3%, the lower limit of the 10 - year Treasury bond yield is about 1.7%, and the lower limit of the 30 - year Treasury bond yield is about 1.9% [3][18]. Asset Side - In March, the physical volume data improved comprehensively compared to January - February. The economic recovery in this round is better than expected, but it is necessary to pay attention to whether the physical volume data will weaken in the future. The target for the annual real economic growth rate in 2025 is around 5%, and the nominal economic growth rate target is around 4.9% [4][19]. 3.2 Stock - Bond Cost - Effectiveness and Stock - Bond Style - Last week, the money market continued to loosen marginally. The stock market was strong, and the bond market was weak, with the style shifting towards value - based stocks. The yields of both short - term and long - term bonds increased, and the stock - bond ratio continued to favor stocks [6][22]. - The 10 - year Treasury bond yield increased by 4 basis points to 1.68% throughout the week, and the one - year Treasury bond yield increased by 3 basis points to 1.45%. The term spread between the 10 - year and one - year Treasury bonds slightly widened to 23 basis points [6][22]. - The wide - based rotation strategy underperformed the CSI 300 index by - 0.02 pct last week. Since the position was established in July, it has outperformed the CSI 300 index by 6.28 pct, with a maximum drawdown of 12.1% (compared to 15.7% for the CSI 300 index) [6][22]. - Considering the de - leveraging cycle, the trading value of both stocks and bonds is currently limited. If the yield of the 10 - year Treasury bond rises above the predicted lower limit of 1.7%, the trading value of bonds may gradually emerge. This week, a bond position is added, with recommended allocations of 40% for the dividend index, 40% for the SSE 50 index, and 20% for the 30 - year Treasury bond ETF [7][23]. 3.3 Industry Recommendation 3.3.1 Industry Performance Review - This week, the A - share market rose with shrinking trading volume. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.8%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.5%, and the ChiNext Index rose 1.4%. Among the Shenwan primary industries, beauty care, non - bank finance, automobiles, transportation, and basic chemicals had the largest increases, while computer, national defense and military industry, media, electronics, and social services had the largest declines [31]. 3.3.2 Industry Crowding and Trading Volume - As of May 16, the top five industries in terms of crowding were machinery and equipment, electronics, automobiles, computers, and basic chemicals, while the bottom five were comprehensive, steel, coal, building materials, and petroleum and petrochemicals [34]. - The top five industries with increased crowding this week were basic chemicals, transportation, automobiles, pharmaceutical biology, and non - ferrous metals, while the top five with decreased crowding were computers, national defense and military industry, electronics, communications, and media [34]. - The trading volume of the entire A - share market decreased this week. Beauty care, transportation, non - bank finance, textile and apparel, and coal had the highest year - on - year growth rates in trading volume, while real estate, media, household appliances, building materials, and steel had the smallest increases [35]. 3.3.3 Industry Valuation and Earnings - This week, among the Shenwan primary industries, beauty care, non - bank finance, automobiles, basic chemicals, and transportation had the largest increases in PE(TTM), while national defense and military industry, computer, media, electronics, and social services had the largest declines [38]. - In terms of valuation - earnings matching, as of May 16, 2025, industries with relatively high full - year earnings forecasts for 2024 and relatively low current valuations compared to history included coal, petroleum and petrochemicals, non - ferrous metals, power equipment, pharmaceutical biology, and consumer electronics [40]. 3.3.4 Industry Prosperity - In terms of external demand, there were mixed trends. The global manufacturing PMI fell from 50.3 in April to 49.8, and the PMIs of major economies that have been released in April showed mixed trends. The CCFI index decreased by 0.14% week - on - week in the latest week, and port cargo throughput declined. South Korea's export growth rate rose to 3.7% in April and then dropped to - 23.8% in the first 10 days of May. Vietnam's export growth rate rose from 13.2% in March to 21% in April [42]. - In terms of domestic demand, the second - hand housing price decreased in the latest week, and the quantitative indicators showed mixed trends. The traffic volume of trucks on expressways declined. The capacity utilization rate of ten industries rose to a relatively high level in March 2025, significantly declined in April, and slightly rebounded in May. Automobile trading volume was at a relatively high level compared to the same period in history, new - home sales remained at a historical low, and second - hand home sales were still at a high level compared to the historical seasonality [42]. 3.3.5 Public Fund Market Review - In the second week of May (May 12 - 16), most active public equity funds underperformed the CSI 300. The 10%, 20%, 30%, and 50% weekly returns were 1.4%, 1%, 0.8%, and 0.3% respectively, while the CSI 300 rose 1.1% [58]. - As of May 16, based on the latest net value and share estimates, the net asset value of active public equity funds was 3.4 trillion yuan, slightly lower than the 3.66 trillion yuan in Q4 2024 [58]. 3.3.6 Industry Recommendation - In the de - leveraging cycle, the stock - bond ratio favors equities to a limited extent, and the probability of value - based stocks outperforming is higher. Dividend - type stocks generally should have three characteristics: no balance - sheet expansion, good profitability, and survival ability [8][62]. - Combining the above three characteristics and the under - allocation situation in the public fund's quarterly report, the recommended A + H dividend portfolio includes 20 A + H stocks, and the A - share portfolio includes 20 A - share stocks, mainly concentrated in industries such as banking, telecommunications, petroleum and petrochemicals, and transportation [9][62].

证 券 研 究 报 告 行业周报 电动车产销两旺，聚焦核心β 新能源汽车行业周报 投资评级： （ ） 报告日期： 推荐 维持 2025年05月18日 ◼ 分析师：黎江涛 ◼ SAC编号：S1050521120002 投 资 要 点 继续看好板块机会。根据中汽协数据，2025年4月新能源汽车产销分别完成125.1万辆和122.6万辆，同比分别增长43.8%和 44.2%。2025年1-4月，新能源汽车产销分别完成442.9万辆和430万辆，同比分别增长48.3%和46.2%，表现强劲。供给端， 电池及主机厂新品不断推出，需求端反馈积极，政策也不断发力。价格层面，产业链历经价格大幅下行，资本开支不断收缩， 供需格局不断优化，行业协会、产业链公司均在积极优化产能与供给，力争价格保障企业盈利。整体而言，产业链价格处于底 部，价格易涨难跌，需求端韧性强劲，调整带来布局良机，产业链核心公司估值处于历史低水平，看好产业链优质公司。 行业评级及投资策略： 政策持续呵护，供给端部分企业开始收缩资本开支，供需结构在边际优化，2025年产业链价格触底修复。继续优选有望贡献 超额收益方向，看好机器人、固态电池、电池材料α品种、液冷等 ...

Core Insights - The report maintains a positive outlook on the electric vehicle (EV) sector, highlighting strong production and sales growth in April 2025, with year-on-year increases of 43.8% and 44.2% respectively for EVs [3][47] - The supply chain is experiencing a recovery in pricing, with a focus on optimizing capacity and supply to ensure profitability for companies within the industry [3][72] - The report emphasizes the importance of strategic investments in high-potential areas such as robotics, solid-state batteries, and battery materials, while maintaining a "recommended" rating for the EV sector [4][73] Market Tracking - The report notes that the new energy vehicle index and lithium battery index have shown positive performance, with weekly increases of 1.59% and 0.66% respectively [5][22] - Key companies such as Xingyun Co., BYD, and Zhonghua International have shown significant stock price increases, with gains of 22.1%, 7.1%, and 11.7% respectively [5][23] Price Tracking in Lithium Battery Supply Chain - The report provides a detailed overview of lithium prices, noting that lithium carbonate is priced at 64,500 CNY/ton, down 1.1% from the previous week, while cobalt prices have increased by 0.4% to 244,000 CNY/ton [31][29] - The report indicates that the overall price structure in the supply chain is at a low point, suggesting potential for price recovery [3][72] Production and Sales Data - In April 2025, the total production and sales of new energy vehicles reached 1.251 million and 1.226 million units respectively, with a significant market penetration of 47.3% for new energy vehicles [47][48] - Cumulative production and sales from January to April 2025 reached 4.429 million and 4.3 million units, reflecting a robust growth trend [47] Industry Dynamics - The report highlights advancements in solid-state battery technology, with Guoxuan High-Tech announcing the commencement of pilot production lines for solid-state batteries [63] - The report also notes the increasing global presence of Chinese automotive brands, exemplified by Changan Automobile's new production facility in Thailand [64] Key Company Announcements - The report mentions significant corporate developments, including Xin Hongye's successful bid for a nuclear power project worth approximately 101.88 million CNY [68] - Notable stock option plans and share buybacks from various companies are also highlighted, indicating active corporate governance and shareholder engagement [70]