1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided regarding the industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Recent bond fund durations have increased. On November 7, the median duration (including leverage) of medium - and long - term bond funds rose by 0.14 years compared to November 3 [5][10]. - From a seasonal perspective, historical data shows that interest rates tend to decline from November to December. Current conditions are favorable for going long on the bond market, but the odds may be limited [5][10]. - Investors should pay attention to the issuance scale of the 30 - year ordinary treasury bonds to be issued in November and December. If the scale is around 300 billion yuan, the bond may not strengthen significantly; if it is around 700 billion yuan, it may strengthen [5][11]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalog 3.1 This Week's Bond Market Review - Bond fund durations have increased. Funds have increased their purchases of credit bonds, bought 30 - year treasury bonds, sold 10 - year treasury bonds, and increased their allocations of 10 - year policy financial bonds and 20 - and 30 - year local government bonds. Big banks continue to buy short - term bonds, and securities firms have slightly net - sold [5][10]. - Conditions are favorable for going long on the bond market, but the odds may be limited. Attention should be paid to the issuance scale of 30 - year ordinary treasury bonds [5][10][11]. 3.2 Bond Yield Curve Tracking 3.2.1 Key Maturity Interest Rates and Spread Changes - As of November 7, compared with November 3, the 1 - year treasury bond yield rose 1.53bp to 1.40%, the 10 - year rose 1.98bp to 1.81%, and the 30 - year rose 2.05bp to 2.16%. The 30 - year - 10 - year treasury bond spread rose 0.07bp to 34.39bp, and the 10 - year CDB - 10 - year treasury bond spread rose 1.11bp to 13.47bp [12]. 3.2.2 Treasury Bond Maturity Spread Changes - As of November 7, compared with November 3, the 3 - year - 1 - year treasury bond spread rose 0.85bp to 4.04bp, the 5 - year - 3 - year spread fell 1.33bp to 14.24bp, the 7 - year - 5 - year spread rose 2.14bp to 12.65bp, the 10 - year - 7 - year spread fell 1.21bp to 10.04bp, the 20 - year - 10 - year spread rose 0.48bp to 33.42bp, and the 30 - year - 20 - year spread fell 0.41bp to 0.97bp [14]. 3.3 Bond Market Leverage and Funding Situation 3.3.1 Inter - bank Pledged Repurchase Balance - As of November 7, compared with November 3, the inter - bank pledged repurchase balance decreased by 0.48 trillion yuan to 11.61 trillion yuan [17]. 3.3.2 Inter - bank Bond Market Leverage Ratio Changes - As of November 7, compared with November 3, the inter - bank bond market leverage ratio decreased by 0.34 percentage points to 106.99% [18]. 3.3.3 Pledged Repurchase Turnover - From November 3 to November 7, the average pledged repurchase turnover was 7.97 trillion yuan, and the average overnight turnover was about 7.14 trillion yuan, with an average overnight turnover ratio of 89.59% [22][23]. 3.3.4 Inter - bank Funding Operation - From November 3 to November 7, bank fund lending and single - day fund supply first increased and then decreased. As of November 7, the net fund lending of large banks and policy banks was 4.44 trillion yuan, and the single - day fund supply was 3.90 trillion yuan. Regarding funding rates, DR001 was 1.3321%, DR007 was 1.4130%, R001 was 1.3916%, and R007 was 1.4677% [24][27]. 3.4 Medium - and Long - Term Bond Fund Durations 3.4.1 Median Bond Fund Duration - As of November 7, the median duration of medium - and long - term bond funds was 2.72 years (de - leveraged), up 0.05 years from November 3; the median duration (including leverage) was 2.87 years, up 0.14 years [39]. 3.4.2 Median Interest - Rate Bond Fund Duration - As of November 7, the median duration of interest - rate bond funds (including leverage) was 3.83 years, up 0.10 years from November 3; the median duration (de - leveraged) was 3.34 years, up 0.04 years. The median duration of credit bond funds (including leverage) was 2.62 years, up 0.10 years, and (de - leveraged) was 2.53 years, up 0.07 years [43]. 3.5 Bond Lending Balance Changes - As of November 6, compared with November 3, the borrowing volume of 10 - year CDB bonds fluctuated [46].

Group 1 - The report highlights a surge in the issuance of amortized bond funds, with a notable shift in investment preferences towards credit bonds, particularly central enterprise and industrial bonds [3][4] - The report predicts that the upcoming open periods for amortized bond funds will drive demand for medium to long-term credit bonds, as many funds are set to open in the coming months [4][5] - The report indicates that the revenue for Huami Technology reached $75.79 million in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 78.5%, driven by strong sales of new products [6][7] - The report notes that the gross margin for Huami Technology improved to 38.2% in Q3 2025, leading to a Non-GAAP operating profit of $360,000, marking a turnaround from a loss in the previous year [8][9] Group 2 - The report states that Jingwei Hengrun experienced a slowdown in revenue growth, achieving approximately 1.555 billion yuan in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 2.4% [10][11] - The report emphasizes that the company's profitability is improving, with a net profit of approximately 12 million yuan in Q3 2025, indicating a turnaround from previous losses [10][11] - The report highlights that Hongsoft Technology's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 628 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.39%, with a significant net profit growth of 60.51% [13][14] Group 3 - The report indicates that BAIC Blue Valley achieved a gross margin of 1.8% in Q3 2025, marking a return to profitability with a narrowed net loss of 1.12 billion yuan [17][18] - The report notes that the sales volume for BAIC's Arcfox brand reached 16,074 units in September 2025, a year-on-year increase of 47.7%, contributing to the company's growth trajectory [18][19] - The report predicts that Jinlei Co. will achieve revenues of 2.878 billion yuan in 2025, with a net profit of 421 million yuan, reflecting a strong growth outlook [21][24] Group 4 - The report discusses the anticipated mass production of Tesla's Optimus V3 version in 2026, highlighting advancements in AI-driven robotics [25][26] - The report mentions the introduction of XPeng's new humanoid robot IRON, which is set to debut in 2026, showcasing the company's commitment to robotics innovation [26][39] - The report outlines the lithium battery industry emerging from a low point, with prices expected to exceed expectations, driven by supply chain improvements and demand recovery [41][42]

Group 1 - The report indicates that in November, small themes often outperform, but this year may not have similar liquidity support, suggesting that November themes are likely to continue, while the probability of December outperforming is low [6][12][13] - Historical analysis shows that in past bull markets, the main style often remains strong in November and December under strong liquidity support, with complete non-switching observed in 2005 and 2006 [6][29][31] - The report highlights that if a switch occurs in November or December, it typically involves a high-low switch, with the possibility of returning to the main line in early next year [6][46][49] Group 2 - The report emphasizes that the lack of significant improvement in incremental funds is a crucial factor, with current public fund holdings being extreme and new account openings slowing down [6][51][56] - It suggests that after the November theme performance, if there is no further clarity from policy, banks and white goods should be considered for allocation, as they currently have a higher probability of success [6][58][73] - The report notes that the white goods sector has a high probability of outperforming in December, with historical data showing an 81.3% success rate since 2009 [6][61][63] Group 3 - The report discusses the conditions under which the calendar effect for banks in January may fail, noting that since 2009, banks have a 75% probability of outperforming in January [6][66][68] - It highlights that exceptions to this trend occurred in 2010, 2015, 2020, and 2023 due to regulatory tightening and market conditions [6][69][70] - The report concludes that the potential for a switch in the main line direction may occur, particularly towards banks and cyclical sectors that lag behind in performance from January to October [6][73]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the humanoid robotics industry [1][13]. Core Insights - The humanoid robotics industry is expected to open up broader market opportunities beyond the automotive sector, driven by the trends of electrification and intelligence [13]. - The Tesla Optimus V3 version is set to be mass-produced in 2026, and Xiaopeng's new humanoid robot IRON has been unveiled, indicating ongoing product iterations and business collaborations in the sector [3][4][13]. - The industry is poised for significant investment opportunities as it transitions from "0 to 1" in the development of the humanoid robotics supply chain [13]. Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - Elon Musk's $1 trillion compensation package was approved, with over 75% of shareholders voting in favor, highlighting investor confidence in Tesla's future, particularly in AI-driven robotics [3]. - Xiaopeng's IRON robot features a unique bionic design with 22 degrees of freedom, capable of performing complex tasks [4]. - ByteDance is actively recruiting for robotics algorithm experts, indicating a strong commitment to the humanoid robotics field [4]. Market Performance - The humanoid robotics sector is experiencing significant order growth, with UBTECH securing a contract worth 159 million yuan for its Walker S2 robot, contributing to over 800 million yuan in total orders for the year [5][8]. - The report notes that the electric equipment sector has outperformed the CSI 300 index over various time frames, indicating a robust market environment [6]. Strategic Collaborations - Lens Technology and Yujian Robotics have entered a strategic partnership, with Lens planning to purchase 1,000 collaborative robots from Yujian, enhancing production efficiency through automation [8]. - The release of the Rover X1 by Yujian marks a significant advancement in household intelligent robots, combining deep AI with practical functionalities [9]. Investment Focus - The report suggests focusing on companies with core component expertise and active involvement in humanoid robotics, including Sanhua Intelligent Controls, Top Group, and others [13].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The report highlights the emergence of AI embodied intelligence as a key development for the company, indicating that its valuation is expected to be reshaped [1][4] - The company has launched its second-generation VLA model, which can be applied across various vehicle types, enhancing its capabilities significantly [4][5] - The company is entering a new cycle with its "one car, dual energy" strategy and plans to expand internationally with new models [4][5] Financial Performance - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 770.24 billion, 1068.77 billion, and 1296.31 billion for the years 2025 to 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 88.5%, 38.8%, and 21.3% respectively [6][8] - Non-GAAP net profits are expected to be -7.64 billion, 19.62 billion, and 45.15 billion for the same period [6][8] - The target price is set at 111 HKD, with a projected market capitalization of 211.1 billion HKD based on a 1.8x price-to-sales ratio for 2026 [6] Market Position and Developments - The company has made significant advancements in its technology partnerships, particularly with Volkswagen, which is expected to enhance revenue growth and profitability [5] - The company plans to introduce three Robotaxi models by 2026, utilizing a pure vision solution for autonomous driving [5][6] - The introduction of the new IRON humanoid robot is anticipated to capture a significant market share in the robotics sector by leveraging the company's automotive experience [6]

Group 1: Meinian Health / Medical Services - The company achieved a revenue of 6.925 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a decrease of 3% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 52 million yuan, an increase of 111% [3] - In Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue of 2.816 billion yuan, down 4% year-on-year, with a net profit of 273 million yuan, up 14% [3] - The revenue generated from AI technology amounted to 250 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 71% [3] - The company has implemented cost reduction and efficiency improvement measures, as evidenced by a 0.63 percentage point increase in gross margin to 46.06% in Q3 2025 [4] Group 2: BYD / Passenger Vehicles - In Q3 2025, BYD reported a revenue of 194.985 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.05% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 7.823 billion yuan, down 32.60% [6][7] - The automotive business gross margin was 20.6%, reflecting a 1.9 percentage point increase quarter-on-quarter [7] - The company sold 1.1142 million vehicles in Q3 2025, a decrease of 1.8% year-on-year, but showed improvements in single-vehicle profitability [7][8] - BYD is accelerating its global expansion, entering new markets such as Argentina and Cambodia, and has launched its high-level intelligent driving system [8] Group 3: SAIC Motor Corporation / Passenger Vehicles - SAIC Motor reported a total revenue of 169.4 billion yuan in Q3 2025, an increase of 16.2% year-on-year, with a net profit of 2.08 billion yuan, up 644.9% [10][11] - The company sold 1.141 million vehicles in Q3 2025, with a gross margin of 9.0%, reflecting a 0.5 percentage point increase quarter-on-quarter [11][12] - The company has been adjusting its product structure to meet market demand, which has led to significant improvements in operational efficiency [12]

研究所： 证券分析师： 戴畅 S0350523120004 daic@ghzq.com.cn 证券分析师： 胡惠民 S0350525030004 [Table_Title] 2025Q3 毛利率环比向上，扣非利润同比改善 最近一年走势 | 相对沪深 300 | 表现 | | 2025/11/05 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 表现 | 1M | 3M | 12M | | 上汽集团 | -7.1% | -11.3% | 20.4% | | 沪深 300 | -0.3% | 12.8% | 14.4% | | 市场数据 | | | 2025/11/05 | | 当前价格（元） | | | 15.90 | | 52 周价格区间（元） | | | 13.15-21.30 | | 总市值（百万） | | | 182,774.91 | | 流通市值（百万） | | | 182,774.91 | | 总股本（万股） | | | 1,149,527.75 | | 流通股本（万股） | | | 1,149,527.75 | 相关报告 事件: 2025 年 11 月 06 日 公司研究 评级：买入( ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company has shown improvement in profitability, with a revenue growth of 71% attributed to the integration of AI technology [2][6] - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 6.925 billion yuan (down 3% year-on-year) and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 52 million yuan (up 111%) [6] - The third quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 2.816 billion yuan (down 4% year-on-year) and a net profit of 273 million yuan (up 14%), with a gross margin of 46.06% (up 0.63 percentage points) [6] - The company is committed to an "All-in AI" strategy, focusing on cost reduction and efficiency improvements, with the "Smart Main Inspection System" launched in 217 health examination centers [6][8] - The company has introduced innovative business lines, including weight loss clinics and AI health management services, which are becoming new growth points [6] Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 10.4 billion yuan, 11.4 billion yuan, and 12.6 billion yuan, with year-on-year changes of -3%, +9%, and +11% respectively [6][8] - Net profit projections for the same period are 400 million yuan, 820 million yuan, and 1.25 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 42%, 105%, and 52% respectively [6][8] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios are projected to be 54 times, 27 times, and 17 times for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [6][8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company has shown improvement in profitability, with a revenue growth of 71% attributed to the integration of AI technology [2][3] - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 6.925 billion yuan (down 3% year-on-year) and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 52 million yuan (up 111%) [6] - The third quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 2.816 billion yuan (down 4% year-on-year) and a net profit of 273 million yuan (up 14%), with a gross margin of 46.06% (up 0.63 percentage points) [6] - The company is committed to an "All-in AI" strategy, focusing on cost reduction and efficiency improvements, with the "Smart Main Inspection System" launched in 217 health check centers [6] - The company has introduced innovative business lines, including weight loss clinics and AI health management services, which are becoming new growth points [6] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 10.4 billion yuan, 11.4 billion yuan, and 12.6 billion yuan, with year-on-year changes of -3%, +9%, and +11% respectively [6][8] - Net profit projections for the same period are 400 million yuan, 820 million yuan, and 1.25 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 42%, 105%, and 52% respectively [6][8] - The company is expected to have a P/E ratio of 54 times, 27 times, and 17 times for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [6][8]

Key Insights - The report highlights significant year-on-year revenue growth in Q3, driven by advancements in the semiconductor and AR/VR testing sectors, particularly for companies like Maolai Optics and Junsheng Electronics [4][7] - Companies such as Amazon and Yudong Network have shown resilience in their revenue streams, with Amazon's Q3 revenue reaching $180.2 billion, a 13% increase year-on-year, and Yudong Network's revenue growing by 84.04% in the same period [21][27] - The report indicates a structural shift in the secondary market, with new infrastructure sectors experiencing a favorable market environment despite overall market pressure [18] Group 1: Company Performance - Maolai Optics reported a revenue of 503 million yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a 34.05% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 46 million yuan, up 86.57% [4] - Junsheng Electronics achieved a revenue of approximately 154.97 billion yuan in Q3 2025, reflecting a 10.25% year-on-year increase, with a net profit of about 4.13 billion yuan, up 35.4% [7] - Concept Electronics reported a net profit increase of 173.46% year-on-year, with a revenue of 315 million yuan in the first three quarters of 2025 [12] Group 2: Industry Trends - The semiconductor sector is experiencing robust growth, with Maolai Optics reporting that 58.80% of its revenue comes from this field [5] - The report notes a significant increase in new business orders for Junsheng Electronics, with a total of 714 billion yuan in new orders accumulated in the first three quarters of 2025 [9] - The e-commerce sector, particularly Amazon, continues to show resilience, with various revenue streams exceeding expectations, including a 24% increase in advertising service revenue [23][24] Group 3: Future Outlook - Forecasts for Maolai Optics suggest revenues of 673 million yuan, 871 million yuan, and 1.07 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with corresponding net profits of 63 million yuan, 97 million yuan, and 139 million yuan [6] - Junsheng Electronics is expected to achieve revenues of 625.64 billion yuan, 673.16 billion yuan, and 726.56 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with net profits projected at 15.39 billion yuan, 18.54 billion yuan, and 21.65 billion yuan [11] - Amazon's revenue is projected to reach $711 billion, $800 billion, and $900 billion for 2025-2027, with net profits of $76.5 billion, $87.9 billion, and $108.9 billion [26]