Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights significant growth in coal production and sales, indicating a broad long-term development outlook for the company [2][6] - The company has experienced a decline in revenue and net profit for 2024, but forecasts a recovery in the coming years with expected revenue growth [6][8] Summary by Sections Recent Performance - For 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 36.441 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 40.72%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.961 billion yuan, down 42.60% [4][6] - In Q1 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 8.902 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 11.34%, with a net profit of 0.694 billion yuan, down 14.07% [4][6] Coal Business - The coal business saw rapid growth in 2024, with raw coal production increasing by 78.5% to 39.833 million tons and sales rising by 68.0% to 43.473 million tons [6] - In Q1 2025, raw coal production reached 14.067 million tons, up 138.8% year-on-year, while sales were 13.358 million tons, up 71.2% [6] Natural Gas Business - The company has proactively reduced its natural gas business scale to mitigate market price risks, resulting in a significant decline in total sales [6] - In 2024, total natural gas sales dropped by 52.95% to 40.856 billion cubic meters [6] Chemical Business - The chemical segment showed mixed results, with methanol production increasing by 18.43% to 1.0788 million tons in 2024, while sales decreased by 5.37% [6] - In Q1 2025, methanol production was 0.278 million tons, down 3.5% year-on-year [6] Financial Forecasts - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 41.482 billion yuan, 44.478 billion yuan, and 51.975 billion yuan, reflecting growth rates of 14%, 7%, and 17% respectively [8] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 2.84 billion yuan in 2025, with a slight decline of 4% year-on-year, followed by growth of 31% and 41% in subsequent years [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][10]. Core Views - The company has a strong cash position with a significant reduction in expenses year-on-year [2][6]. - The coal production and sales have shown stability, with a minor decrease in coal prices [6][9]. - The company is expected to face a decline in revenue and net profit in the upcoming years, but the overall asset quality is improving [9][10]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company reported revenue of 15.033 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.01% year-on-year, and a net profit of 2.808 billion yuan, down 14.93% year-on-year [5][9]. - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 2.424 billion yuan, a decline of 33.73% year-on-year, with a net profit of 512 million yuan, down 34.35% year-on-year [5][9]. - The company’s cash reserves stood at 16.61 billion yuan at the end of 2024, an increase of 1.401 billion yuan from the previous year [6][9]. Production and Sales Summary - In 2024, the company produced 34.6664 million tons of raw coal, a slight decrease of 0.06% year-on-year, with a total sales volume of 29.9665 million tons, down 0.43% year-on-year [6][9]. - In Q1 2025, the company produced 7.8626 million tons of raw coal, a decrease of 6.94% year-on-year, while the sales volume was 5.2617 million tons, down 24.33% year-on-year [6][9]. Profitability and Valuation Metrics - The company’s gross profit margin for 2024 was 49.79%, a decrease of 2.02 percentage points year-on-year [6][10]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 1.30 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 8.85 [9][10]. - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to decline to 11% in 2025 from 15% in 2024 [10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights strong performance in Q1 and maintains a long-term positive outlook for the pet sector [3] - The pig price is expected to fluctuate weakly, with a long-term bearish outlook for 2025 due to increased supply [5][14] - The poultry sector may see price improvements due to tariff impacts and supply chain adjustments [6][28] - The animal health sector is poised for valuation recovery driven by improved downstream demand and expansion opportunities [7][39] - The planting sector is experiencing a significant decrease in grain imports, which may affect pricing dynamics [8][44] - The feed sector remains at a low level, with expectations of increased industry concentration [9][47] - The pet market continues to grow rapidly, with strong domestic brand performance [10][52] Summary by Sections Pig Industry - Pig prices are expected to adjust slightly downwards, with a long-term bearish trend anticipated for 2025 due to increased production capacity [5][14] - As of April 24, the average pig price was 14.96 CNY/kg, with a slight weekly increase [14] Poultry Industry - The poultry sector may benefit from tariff impacts, with a potential price increase due to supply chain disruptions [6][28] - The industry is expected to stabilize at low production levels, leading to stable profitability [6][29] Animal Health - The animal health sector is seeing improved performance, with significant revenue growth reported by leading companies [7][39] - The prices of key raw materials are rising, which may enhance the performance of related companies [7][39] Planting Sector - A notable decline in grain imports was recorded in March, with a 73.5% year-on-year decrease [8][44] - The prices of major grains have shown some recovery, with corn priced at 2220 CNY/ton as of April 25 [8][44] Feed Industry - Feed prices are currently low, with a slight decrease in the price of pig feed [9][47] - The industry is expected to see increased concentration, with recommendations for leading companies [9][49] Pet Industry - The pet market in China reached a scale of 300.2 billion CNY in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 7.5% [10][52] - Domestic brands are rapidly gaining market share, with significant growth reported for leading pet food brands [10][56]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][10] Core Views - The company's revenue for 2024 reached 4.211 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.56%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 0.325 billion yuan, up 15.66% year-on-year [6] - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 0.954 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.28% year-on-year, and a net profit of 0.069 billion yuan, up 8.90% year-on-year [6] - The company is positioned as a leading CDMO in the health food industry, with a focus on product innovation and technological upgrades, supported by a global supply capability across China, the US, and Europe [9] Summary by Sections Recent Performance - The company's performance in the last year shows a mixed trend, with a 1-month decline of 4.7% and a 12-month decline of 9.5% compared to the CSI 300 index [4] - As of April 25, 2025, the current stock price is 25.41 yuan, with a market capitalization of approximately 6.029 billion yuan [4] Regional Performance - In 2024, revenue by region was as follows: China 1.661 billion yuan (down 10.28%), Europe 0.604 billion yuan (up 14.25%), Americas 1.666 billion yuan (up 59.56%), and other regions 0.280 billion yuan (up 77.38%) [6] - The Chinese market showed signs of recovery in Q1 2025, with revenue stabilizing due to the company's efforts in expanding new consumer markets [6] Product Performance - In 2024, revenue by product type was: soft capsules 1.984 billion yuan (up 29.91%), tablets 0.326 billion yuan (down 10.05%), powders 0.232 billion yuan (down 20.90%), gummies 0.995 billion yuan (up 34.54%), beverages 0.248 billion yuan (down 41.22%), hard capsules 0.223 billion yuan (up 46.83%), and other forms 0.177 billion yuan (up 141.32%) [6] - The company has seen significant growth in high-margin products like gummies, which have increased their market share from approximately 5% in 2022 to nearly 10% in 2024 [6] Profitability - The gross margin for 2024 was 31.46%, improving to 33.09% in Q1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.19 percentage points and 2.47 percentage points respectively [6] - The company’s net profit margin for 2024 was 7.72%, slightly decreasing to 7.19% in Q1 2025 [7] Financial Forecast - The projected revenue for 2025 is 4.663 billion yuan, with a net profit of 0.400 billion yuan, and EPS of 1.69 yuan [8] - The company expects a revenue growth rate of 11% in 2025, with a net profit growth rate of 23% [8] Competitive Position - The company is enhancing its competitive barriers through multi-dimensional capability improvements, including product innovation, supply chain optimization, and digital transformation [9] - The company’s innovative products contributed over 35% to sales in 2024, with higher gross margins than average [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company achieved significant year-on-year growth in Q1 2025, with revenue reaching 4.668 billion yuan, up 39.98% year-on-year and 46.04% quarter-on-quarter. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 515 million yuan, an increase of 49.61% year-on-year and 154.46% quarter-on-quarter [6][10] - The strong performance is attributed to robust sales of compound fertilizers, with a notable increase in both sales and profit [7][10] - The company is expected to continue benefiting from its integrated supply chain and increasing phosphate production capacity, enhancing its competitive advantage [10] Financial Performance Summary - In Q1 2025, the company reported: - Revenue: 4.668 billion yuan, up 39.98% year-on-year - Net profit: 515 million yuan, up 49.61% year-on-year - Gross profit: 848 million yuan, up 41.38% year-on-year - Return on Equity (ROE): 4.75%, an increase of 1.23 percentage points year-on-year [6][7] - The sales gross margin was 18.17%, up 0.19 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 11.17%, up 0.90 percentage points year-on-year [6][7] Market Performance - The company's stock performance relative to the CSI 300 index showed: - 1-month performance: +3.4% - 3-month performance: +6.5% - 12-month performance: +17.5% [5] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are as follows: - 2025: 18.5 billion yuan - 2026: 19.5 billion yuan - 2027: 20.3 billion yuan - Net profit projections for the same period are: - 2025: 1.6 billion yuan - 2026: 1.8 billion yuan - 2027: 2.0 billion yuan - Corresponding Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratios are expected to be 11, 9, and 8 times respectively [10][12]

2025 年 04 月 28 日 公司研究 评级：买入(维持) 研究所： 证券分析师： 祝玉波 S0350523120005 zhouyb01@ghzq.com.cn 联系人 ： 张晋铭 S0350124040003 zhangjm02@ghzq.com.cn [Table_Title] 吞吐量稳健增长，看好成长逐步兑现 ——北部湾港（000582）2024 年年报点评 最近一年走势 | 相对沪深 300 | 表现 | | 2025/04/28 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 表现 | 1M | 3M | 12M | | 北部湾港 | 4.1% | 3.6% | 13.8% | | 沪深 300 | -3.4% | -0.9% | 5.5% | | 市场数据 | | | 2025/04/28 | | 当前价格（元） | | | 8.84 | | 当前价格（元） | 8.84 | | --- | --- | | 52 周价格区间（元） | 6.77-11.50 | | 总市值（百万） | 20,563.04 | | 流通市值（百万） | 15,999.19 | | 总股本（万股） | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][10][11] Core Insights - The company achieved significant growth in operating cash flow in Q4, with a year-on-year increase of 167% [7] - Despite a decline in revenue and net profit for 2024, the company is expected to see a recovery in revenue growth in the chemical sector in H2 2024 [6][10] - The expansion of supporting equipment business has shown remarkable results, with a 91.7% increase in related revenue [7] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported operating revenue of 6.13 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.9% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 850 million yuan, down 15.9% [5][10] - Q4 2024 revenue was 1.43 billion yuan, down 11% year-on-year, with a net profit of 180 million yuan, down 31.8% [5][10] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1.06 yuan per share for the year, totaling 611 million yuan, which represents 72.04% of the net profit [5] Revenue and Profit Forecast - Projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 6.46 billion, 7.11 billion, and 8.01 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding net profits of 890 million, 960 million, and 1.03 billion yuan [10][11] - The expected growth rates for revenue are 5%, 10%, and 13% for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [10] Valuation Metrics - The report indicates a projected P/E ratio of 11 for 2025, decreasing to 9 for 2027 [10][11] - The company maintains a stable ROE of 19% across the forecast period [10][11]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has shown significant revenue growth, with Q1 2025 revenue reaching 2.15 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 63.8% [5] - The company is entering a peak period for both orders and deliveries, with a record order backlog of 18.9 billion yuan as of April 21, 2025 [6] - The company is expected to benefit from the acceleration of domestic offshore wind development and the realization of overseas orders [6] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 280 million yuan, up 6.7% year-on-year, and a non-net profit of 270 million yuan, up 28.2% year-on-year [5] - The revenue from submarine cables and high-voltage cables increased by 219% year-on-year in Q1 2025 [6] - The company’s revenue from power engineering and equipment cables was 885 million yuan, a 53% increase year-on-year [6] Order Backlog and Future Prospects - The order backlog reached a new high of 18.9 billion yuan, with 11.5 billion yuan in submarine and high-voltage cable orders [6] - The company has significant upcoming projects, including 500kV and DC submarine cable orders totaling 5 billion yuan, which are expected to drive profitability in 2025 and 2026 [6] - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 11.86 billion yuan, 14.01 billion yuan, and 16.84 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 1.73 billion yuan, 2.18 billion yuan, and 2.73 billion yuan [8][9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][6]. Core Views - The company's Q1 performance exceeded market expectations, with significant recovery in profitability. In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 926 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 107.5%, and a net profit of 124 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 415.3% [4][5]. - The increase in profitability is attributed to the growth in wind power main bearings, particularly the TRB (tapered roller bearings), which saw a revenue increase from 274 million yuan in 2024 to 126 million yuan in Q1 2025, raising its revenue share from 9.3% to 13.6% [5][6]. - The company is expected to benefit from the accelerated release of production capacity and the alleviation of fixed asset depreciation pressure, with forecasts for revenue of 4.25 billion yuan in 2025, 5.06 billion yuan in 2026, and 5.70 billion yuan in 2027 [5][7]. Summary by Sections Recent Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 2.946 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 4.3%, and a net profit of 149 million yuan, a year-on-year decline of 50.2%. In Q4 2024, revenue was 980 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 34.0%, with a net profit of 88 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 50.6% [4]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 4.25 billion yuan, 5.06 billion yuan, and 5.70 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively. Corresponding net profits are expected to be 498 million yuan, 654 million yuan, and 785 million yuan [5][7]. Valuation Metrics - The projected P/E ratios for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 22.02x, 16.77x, and 13.97x, respectively, indicating a favorable valuation outlook as earnings grow [6][8].