证券研究报告|公司点评报告 复旦微电发布 2025 年一季报，25Q1 实现营业收入 8.88 亿元 （同比-0.54%），实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润 1.36 亿元 （同比-15.55%），实现归属于上市公司股东的扣除非经常性损 益的净利润 1.33 亿元（同比-14.21%，环比+67.28%）。综合毛 利率为 58.14%。整体来看，公司 FPGA 及智能电表业务保持增 长，但受非挥发存储器业务下滑及减值损失增加影响，整体业 绩同比承压，但扣非净利润环比显著改善。 ► 毛利率同比提升，研发投入保持高位 期间费用：25Q1 公司期间费用率为 39.86%，同比+0.67pct。 其中，销售、管理、研发、财务费率分别为 6.76%、4.27%、 27.92%、0.85% ，同比 基本 持平、+0.25pct、+0.44pct、- 0.18pct。公司研发投入占营收比例为 30.09%，虽比例同比略 有下降（-2.19pct），但仍维持较高水平，持续高强度的研发投 入有助于保持公司在产品和技术上的先发优势与创新能力。 [Table_Date] 2025 年 04 月 29 日 [Table_Title] ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company's revenue, net profit attributable to shareholders, and net profit excluding non-recurring items for 2024 are projected to be 1.002 billion, 185 million, and 171 million yuan respectively, showing year-on-year growth of 21.75%, 41.67%, and 25.04% [2] - The significant growth in net profit is attributed to the company's active market expansion, product structure optimization, and accelerated overseas capacity ramp-up [2] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1.97 yuan per 10 shares, with a dividend payout ratio of 15.06% and a dividend yield of 0.80% [3] Financial Performance Summary - In Q1 2025, the company's revenue, net profit attributable to shareholders, and net profit excluding non-recurring items were 357 million, 96 million, and 86 million yuan respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 30.40%, 148.29%, and 53.80% [2] - The gross margin, net profit margin, and net profit margin excluding non-recurring items for 2024 are projected to be 33.72%, 18.47%, and 17.07% respectively, with year-on-year changes of -0.12%, +2.6%, and +0.42 percentage points [6] - The company experienced a 35% increase in inventory year-on-year, with inventory turnover days decreasing by 20 days [8] Investment Recommendations - In the short term, the company's main product, outdoor inflatable mattresses, is expected to maintain a revenue growth rate of over 20% due to new customer orders [9] - In the medium term, the insulated hard box and water sports products are anticipated to become new growth points, with high growth expected this year [9] - Long-term prospects remain strong due to the company's robust R&D capabilities in new materials and ongoing expansion in overseas markets, with revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026 at 1.394 billion and 2.008 billion yuan respectively [9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company has shown strong performance in its outdoor business and G2 segment, with significant growth in revenue and net profit [2][4] - The G2 Touch acquisition is expected to continue contributing positively to the company's performance, particularly in the automotive sector [8] - The company is launching innovative outdoor smart equipment, which is anticipated to enhance brand strength and profitability [8] Financial Summary - For 2024, the company's revenue is projected to be 1.592 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 14.4%, and net profit is expected to reach 107 million, reflecting a 48.5% increase [10] - The gross margin for 2024 is estimated at 47.4%, slightly down from the previous year, while the net profit margin is expected to improve to 6.7% [5][10] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.12 per 10 shares, resulting in a dividend payout ratio of 9.6% [2] Business Performance - The outdoor segment's revenue for 2024 is expected to be 1.369 billion, with a net profit of 124 million, marking an 8.91% and 135.1% year-on-year growth respectively [4] - The G2 Touch segment is projected to generate 189.4 million in revenue for 2024, with a significant net profit contribution [5] - The company has successfully improved its inventory turnover days, indicating better inventory management [7] Future Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026 are set at 2.011 billion and 2.280 billion respectively, with net profits expected to be 237 million and 276 million [10] - The company anticipates maintaining a strong growth trajectory, with EPS estimates of 0.27 for 2025 and 0.31 for 2026 [10]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1][7] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 20.1 billion yuan in FY24, representing a year-on-year increase of 7.5%, with a shareholder loss of 0.691 billion yuan, an improvement from a loss of 1.050 billion yuan in the same period last year [2] - The raw milk business showed strong growth, while the ruminant animal breeding solutions business faced challenges, with revenues of 15.1 billion yuan and 5 billion yuan respectively for FY24, reflecting year-on-year changes of +17.0% and -13.7% [3] - The company’s cash EBITDA for FY24 reached 5.32 billion yuan, a significant increase of 38.3% year-on-year, indicating strong operational performance despite accounting losses from biological asset impairments [4] - The raw milk price is expected to enter a reversal cycle, with the company positioned to benefit as a leading player in the industry, anticipating a recovery in demand alongside supply-side adjustments [5] Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - The company’s revenue for FY24 was 20.1 billion yuan, with a projected revenue of 10.05 billion yuan for H2 FY24, showing a year-on-year increase of 4.6% [2] - The gross margin for FY24 was 28.8%, an increase of 4.9 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to lower raw material prices and improved operational management [4] Business Segments - The raw milk segment achieved a revenue of 15.1 billion yuan in FY24, with a volume of 3.6695 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 24.6%, while the average selling price (ASP) decreased by 6.1% to 4.12 yuan/kg [3] - The company has increased its dairy cow inventory to 622,000 heads, a year-on-year increase of 6.7%, enhancing its production capacity [3] Future Outlook - The company has adjusted its revenue forecasts for FY25 and FY26 to 22.25 billion yuan and 24.49 billion yuan respectively, with an additional forecast for FY27 at 25.79 billion yuan [6] - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for FY25 and FY26 have been revised to 0.17 yuan and 0.28 yuan respectively, with a new forecast for FY27 at 0.38 yuan [7]

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Recommended [4] Core Viewpoints - The report indicates a decrease in copper production and sales in Q1 2025, primarily due to a large maintenance project in Indonesia, while the average realized price for copper has increased [1][2] - The report highlights a significant drop in gold production and sales, attributed to shipping schedule issues related to copper concentrate export permits [2][3] - The financial performance shows a decrease in sales revenue and net income year-on-year, but a quarter-on-quarter increase in net income attributable to common stockholders [6] Summary by Sections Production and Sales - Q1 2025 copper production was 868 million pounds (39.37 thousand tons), a year-on-year decrease of 20% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 16.62% [1] - Q1 2025 copper sales were 872 million pounds (39.55 thousand tons), down 21.3% year-on-year and 12.1% quarter-on-quarter [1] - Q1 2025 gold production was 287 thousand ounces (8.93 tons), a year-on-year decrease of 47.72% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 33.56% [2][3] - Q1 2025 molybdenum production was 23 million pounds (10.43 thousand tons), a year-on-year increase of 27.78% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 4.55% [3] Financial Performance - Q1 2025 sales revenue was $5.728 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 9.38% [6] - Q1 2025 net income attributable to common stock was $352 million, a year-on-year decrease of 25.58% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 28.47% [6][24] - Q1 2025 operating cash flow totaled $1.058 billion, with capital expenditures of $1.172 billion [6][24] Cost Structure - Q1 2025 unit net cash cost for copper was $2.07 per pound, a year-on-year increase of 37.09% [2] - Q1 2025 average realized price for copper was $4.44 per pound, a year-on-year increase of 12.69% [1][21] - Q1 2025 average realized price for gold was $3,072 per ounce, a year-on-year increase of 43.22% [3][21] Future Outlook - The company expects an increase in copper and gold sales in the remaining quarters of 2025, with projected annual sales of approximately 4 billion pounds of copper and 1.6 million ounces of gold [12] - The report outlines various expansion projects in the U.S., South America, and Indonesia aimed at increasing production capacity and efficiency [15][16][17][18]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Hisense Home Appliances is "Accumulate" [1] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 92.746 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 8.35%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.348 billion yuan, up 17.99% year-on-year [2] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 12.30 yuan per 10 shares, resulting in a cash dividend rate of 50.9% [2] - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 24.838 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.76%, and a net profit of 1.127 billion yuan, up 14.89% year-on-year [2][4] Revenue Growth - The overall revenue growth is driven by overseas sales, with Q1 showing steady revenue growth [3] - In 2024, the revenue from HVAC products was 40.284 billion yuan, up 4.22% year-on-year, with a market share exceeding 20% in the domestic multi-split air conditioning market [3] - The revenue from ice washing products was 30.839 billion yuan, up 18.29% year-on-year, with significant growth in retail sales [3] - Domestic revenue was 47.994 billion yuan, down 2.12% year-on-year, while overseas revenue was 35.629 billion yuan, up 27.59% year-on-year [3] Profitability Improvement - The company's gross margin for 2024 was 20.8%, a decrease of 0.4 percentage points year-on-year [5] - The net profit margin for 2024 was 5.53%, a decrease of 0.07 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin for Q1 2025 was 6.58%, an increase of 0.03 percentage points year-on-year [5] Brand and Market Strategy - The company is focusing on technological innovation around its smart living strategy and has a diverse brand matrix [6] - Hisense continues to enhance its international brand influence by sponsoring major sports events, including the FIFA World Cup [7] Financial Forecast - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 100.871 billion yuan, 109.440 billion yuan, and 118.123 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [8] - The projected net profits for the same years are 3.822 billion yuan, 4.220 billion yuan, and 4.609 billion yuan respectively [8] - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 2.76 yuan, 3.04 yuan, and 3.33 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [1] Core Views - The company confirmed a bottom reversal with its Q1 2025 performance being the best in nearly five years, achieving a revenue of 2.23 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.29%, and a net profit of 0.23 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 70.44% [2][6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 1.101 billion yuan, a decrease of 16.19% year-on-year, and a net profit of 0.14 billion yuan, down 31.59% year-on-year, with an EPS of 0.70 yuan [2][6] - The company sold 39.7 million detonators in 2024, a decrease of 21% year-on-year, while sales of explosives reached 54,000 tons, an increase of 2.97% year-on-year [3] Production Capacity and Market Demand - The company expanded its explosive production capacity through the acquisition of 98.70% of Hebei Tianning Chemical for 363 million yuan, increasing total explosive capacity to 114,000 tons [4] - The demand for detonators in overseas markets is strong, and the company has efficiently expanded its production capacity to meet this demand [4] Technological Advancements - The company developed a tunnel blasting intelligent loading robot, which is expected to open a market worth nearly 40 billion yuan in China, particularly suitable for tunnel construction in challenging environments [5] Profit Forecast - The updated profit forecast estimates revenues of 1.744 billion yuan, 2.454 billion yuan, and 2.886 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 0.327 billion yuan, 0.463 billion yuan, and 0.510 billion yuan [6][10]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Insights - The company's performance in Q1 2025 showed a significant increase, with revenue and net profit growing by 41.69% and 90.86% year-on-year, respectively, exceeding market expectations [2][3] - The company's flagship product, the "Starry Sky Canopy," is in a growth phase, replacing traditional wooden structures and leading the market in sales [3] - The company is expected to see a recovery in orders in 2025, driven by the replenishment of stock by major clients and the positive feedback from new product trials [7] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported revenues of 1.237 billion, a year-on-year increase of 13.4%, but a net loss of 0.14 billion, reflecting a significant decline in profitability [9] - The gross margin for 2024 was 25.33%, an increase of 1.01 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was -1.13%, a decrease of 2.68 percentage points [4] - For Q1 2025, the gross margin improved to 28.07%, with a net profit margin of 8%, indicating a recovery in profitability [4] Revenue and Profit Forecast - Revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026 are 1.466 billion and 1.695 billion, respectively, with net profits projected at 0.98 billion and 1.22 billion [7][9] - The earnings per share (EPS) estimates for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.89, 1.11, and 1.32, respectively, reflecting a positive growth trajectory [9] Market Position and Product Performance - The company has a leading market share in the outdoor pavilion segment, with its Mirador brand's Starry Sky Canopy recognized as the top-selling product globally [3] - The company’s sales from domestic and international markets showed growth, with domestic sales increasing by 13.19% and international sales by 13.37% [3] Cost and Expense Analysis - The increase in sales and management expenses in 2024 was attributed to the expansion of overseas operations, impacting the net profit margin [4] - The company’s inventory increased by 57% year-on-year, indicating a potential challenge in inventory turnover [5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company's main business is experiencing a recovery in demand, with significant growth in the smart automotive and robotics sectors, leading to an upward adjustment in profit forecasts [10] - The company achieved a revenue of 10.501 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 16.78%, and a net profit of 6.71 billion yuan, up 30.25% year-on-year [2][10] - The company is focusing on three strategic areas to support accelerated growth: expanding component business, breakthrough in AI integrated products, and enhancing overseas market operations [9][10] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported total revenue of 10.501 billion yuan, with a net profit of 6.71 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 30.25% [2] - For Q1 2025, total revenue reached 2.671 billion yuan, a 15.24% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 197 million yuan, up 12.1% [2] Business Segments - The smart controller segment is the core business, with a shipment of 178 million units in 2024, a 28.5% increase year-on-year [5] - The efficient motor segment saw a shipment of 3.53 million units, doubling year-on-year, leading the industry [5] - The battery pack segment shipped 564 MWh, a 27% increase year-on-year [5] - The tools and home appliances sector generated revenue of 7.981 billion yuan, up 25.48% year-on-year, while the digital energy and smart automotive sectors reported revenues of 2.052 billion yuan and 380 million yuan, respectively [5][6] Strategic Initiatives - The company is actively repurchasing shares and maintaining cash dividends, distributing 0.7 yuan per 10 shares in 2024 [8] - The three strategic focuses for 2025 include expanding the component business, advancing AI integrated products, and enhancing overseas market capabilities [9] Profit Forecasts - The revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to 11.882 billion yuan, 13.737 billion yuan, and 16.028 billion yuan, respectively [10] - The earnings per share are projected to be 0.64 yuan for 2025, with a corresponding PE ratio of 20.89 [10][12]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [5] Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 performance met market expectations, with a revenue of 4.395 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.55%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 43.44% to 175 million yuan, primarily due to last year's investment gains from the disposal of subsidiary equity. The non-recurring net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 32.85% to 168 million yuan [1][2] - The gross margin slightly improved to 18.96%, up by 1.26 percentage points year-on-year, while the expense ratio decreased by 0.69 percentage points to 12.58%, indicating ongoing cost control efforts [3] - The company is focusing on a "dual pillar + artificial intelligence" strategy to enhance its global layout, aiming to strengthen its traditional consumer electronics business while expanding its new energy business, particularly in energy storage systems. The company is also developing its artificial intelligence innovation business, targeting humanoid robot core components and high-speed communication products [4] Financial Summary - The company forecasts revenue for 2025-2027 to be 18.877 billion, 21.838 billion, and 24.383 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth of 11.5%, 15.7%, and 11.7% respectively. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 865 million, 1.007 billion, and 1.168 billion yuan, with growth rates of 12.1%, 16.3%, and 16.0% respectively [8][10] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are projected to be 0.64, 0.74, and 0.86 yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 33.04x, 28.40x, and 24.48x [8][10]