证券研究报告 | 公司点评 gszqdatemark 2026 02 25 年 月 日 印尼煤炭业务增长势头强劲。2025 年全年，SDE 煤矿原煤产量达 542 万吨， 同比增长 111%；洗选煤产量达 314.7 万吨，同比大幅增长 922%。其中， 25Q4 公司 SDE 矿区原煤产量 195 万吨，环比增长 37%，产能爬坡正在加速。 历史包袱出清，聚焦高成长主业。本次盈警明确了公司剥离国内山西煤炭业务 带来的财务影响，已终止经营业务亏损不超过 2.26 亿元，标志公司历史遗留 的亏损资产已基本出清。公司彻底卸下包袱，未来将完全聚焦于资源禀赋优 越、成长空间广阔的印尼煤炭业务。 印尼产能释放符合预期，高成长路径清晰可见。2025 年 SDE 煤矿原煤产量同 比翻倍，洗选煤产量增长超 9 倍，可见 SDE 一矿的产能爬坡进展顺利，凸显 未来产能增长路径清晰且确定性高： 配套基建稳步推进，成本优势与盈利能力有望持续提升。 投资建议。公司作为纯粹的海外煤炭生产商，其产品市场化定价，不受国内长 协机制限制，能充分享受全球海运煤价波动带来的高弹性。在印尼政府收紧 RKAB 配额、可能压缩整体产量的背景下，公司作 ...

上 市 公 司 交通运输 2026 年 02 月 25 日 安徽皖通高速公路 (00995) ——长三角一体化赋能流量增长，外延并购持续扩张 投资要点： | 单位：百万元，人民币 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入 | 6,631 | 7,092 | 7,147 | 7,228 | 7,267 | | 收入增长率（%） | 27.4 | 6.9 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.5 | | 归属普通股东净利润 | 1,658 | 1,671 | 1,955 | 2,002 | 2,119 | | 归属普通股东净利润增 | 14.7 | 0.8 | 17.0 | 2.4 | 5.8 | | 长率（%） | | | | | | | 每股收益（元/股） | 1.00 | 1.01 | 1.14 | 1.17 | 1.24 | | 毛利率（%） | 39.1 | 34.1 | 37.9 | 38.1 | 39.4 | | ROE（%） | 13.1 | 12.5 | 14.6 | 1 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [3] Core Insights - The company has issued a profit warning for the fiscal year 2025, expecting a net loss of no more than RMB 98 million, a significant decline from a net profit of approximately RMB 556 million in 2024. This shift is primarily due to the strategic transformation and divestment of its domestic Shanxi coal business [1] - The Indonesian coal business is showing strong growth, with expected raw coal production of 5.42 million tons in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 111%, and washed coal production expected to reach 3.147 million tons, a substantial increase of 922% [1] - The company is focusing on high-growth core businesses, having cleared historical liabilities and now concentrating entirely on its Indonesian coal operations, which have significant growth potential [1][2] - The rapid capacity expansion in Indonesia aligns with market trends, and despite the short-term loss indicated in the profit warning, the operational data and growth outlook reinforce the company's position as a high-growth coal player in Indonesia [2] Financial Summary - The company expects revenues to decline to RMB 947 million in 2025, a decrease of 63.6% year-on-year, before rebounding to RMB 2.511 billion in 2026 and RMB 4.337 billion in 2027 [9] - The projected net profit for 2025 is a loss of RMB 98 million, followed by a profit of RMB 613 million in 2026 and RMB 1.167 billion in 2027, indicating a strong recovery trajectory [9] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be -0.04 RMB in 2025, improving to 0.24 RMB in 2026 and 0.46 RMB in 2027 [9] Production Capacity and Infrastructure - The SDE No. 2 mine is expected to start production in April 2026, which will double the company's total production capacity [8] - The TSE No. 1 mine is in discussions for construction contracts with large state-owned enterprises, with contracts expected to be signed in the first half of 2026, providing a solid foundation for mid-to-long-term capacity reserves [8] - The existing washing capacity at SDE No. 1 is set to increase from 8 million tons per year to 13 million tons per year by the end of April 2026, ensuring product quality and pricing [8]

覆铜板顺价电子布，进入良性涨价区间 建滔积层板(1888) 建滔积层板公司更新 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | [Table_Invest] 评级： | 增持 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 鲍雁辛(分析师) | 0755-23976830 | baoyanxin@gtht.com | S0880513070005 | | | | 舒迪(分析师) | 021-38676666 | shudi@gtht.com | S0880521070002 | [当前价格 Table_CurPrice] (港元)： | 22.90 | | 花健祎(分析师) | 0755-23976858 | huajianyi@gtht.com | S0880521010001 | | | | 杨冬庭(分析师) | 0755-23976166 | yangdongting@gtht.com | S0880522080004 | [Table_Market] 交易数据 | | 本报告导读： 公司发布 2025 年盈利预喜公告，25H2 以来伴随 ...

证券研究报告 渣打集团 (2888 HK) 港股通 25Q4 净利息收入（NII）环比 25Q3 提升 8%，主要源自 25Q4 HIBOR 的暂 时性利好。25Q4 净息差 2.09%，环比 25Q3 提升 15bp。25Q4 生息资产收 益率 4.40%，环比 Q3 下滑 12bp，25Q4 计息负债成本率 2.16%，环比 Q3 下滑 25bp。25A 净利息收入同比上升 1%至 112 亿美元。公司指引 2026 年净利息收入或同比持平。分地区看，25A 中国香港、中国内地、新加坡、 韩国税前利润（经调口径）分别同比+40%、-24%、+39%、-24%，中国香 港及新加坡地区业绩保持快速增长。 财富管理优异，环球市场波动 25Q4 非净利息收入同比 24Q4 提升 2%，环比 25Q3 下降 21%，部分财富 方案业务及环球银行业务的增长被环球市场业务的非经常性收入减少所抵 销。 分业务看， 25Q4 环球 银行 /环球市场 /财富方 案收入分别同 比 +9%/-15%/+20%。环球市场业务波动主因偶发性项目减少。25A 非净利息 收入同比上升 13%至 97 亿美元，主要由财富方案业务、环球银行 ...

美股双重上市细则披露，2 位高管任命落 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 盛开(分析师) | 021-23154510 | shengkai@gtht.com | S0880525040044 | | 钟启辉(研究助理) | 021-23185686 | zhongqihui@gtht.com | S0880125042254 | 本报告导读： 公司披露美股双重上市细则，旨在提升全球交易流动性。近期公司 CFO 与 TUMI 总裁任命落地，我们预计 25Q4 业绩表现延续 Q3 改善趋势，双重上市有利估值修 复。 投资要点： | 风险提示。零售环境恶化，行业竞争加剧，品牌合作关系恶化。 | | --- | | 财务摘要(百万美元) | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入 | 3589 | 3481 | 3651 | 3824 | | (+/-)% | -2.5% | -3.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a positive investment rating to Leap Motor, indicating strong growth potential in the automotive market [3]. Core Insights - Leap Motor has rapidly approached 500,000 domestic sales within seven years, showcasing its competitive strength against traditional automotive brands [12][15]. - The company's strategic shift towards larger vehicles, particularly the C11 SUV, has significantly boosted its sales, with projections indicating a rise to 300,000 units in 2024 and 500,000 units by 2025 [15][22]. - Leap Motor's success is attributed to its focus on cost-effective pricing and self-research capabilities, allowing it to attract a substantial customer base from traditional brands like Honda and Toyota [15][22]. Summary by Sections Sales Performance - Leap Motor's sales trajectory has shown remarkable growth, with domestic sales surpassing 100,000 units in 2022 and nearing 130,000 units in 2023 [15]. - The company is projected to reach approximately 300,000 units in 2024 and 500,000 units in 2025, positioning it as a leader among new automotive enterprises [15][22]. Market Positioning - Leap Motor has successfully differentiated itself in the competitive landscape by focusing on the under-200,000 yuan market segment, where it has emerged as a key player [15][22]. - The brand's ability to attract users from established overseas brands, particularly in the compact vehicle segment, highlights its strategic advantage [22][25]. User Demographics - The majority of Leap Motor's customers are transitioning from overseas brands, with a significant portion being repeat buyers from brands like Honda and Volkswagen [22][32]. - The average age of Leap Motor's users is over 40, primarily consisting of middle-income earners who prioritize cost-effectiveness and practicality in their vehicle choices [43][57]. Competitive Landscape - The report notes that while Leap Motor has capitalized on the demand for economical vehicles, it will face intensified competition as other brands, including BYD and Geely, introduce similar products in the market [99][111]. - The anticipated launch of new models by competitors in 2026 is expected to challenge Leap Motor's market share, necessitating a robust response from the company [99][111].

[Table_Summary] 我们认为，从练内功到带农户，从富农户到兴产业，德康农牧在生猪养殖行业探索了一条真正 实现联农带农和富农强农的产业振兴之路。深耕育种打牢养殖根基，成功构建起高壁垒的自主 繁育体系；二号农场重构养殖环节的生产关系，最大程度激发农户养殖的潜力和动能；"百村百 万"工程带动二号农场模式的快速落地，更好地赋能乡村振兴从而实现强农富农。在生猪养殖 行业进入高质量发展新时代，德康农牧以"不难不做"的企业基因，将行业难题系统性地转化 为自身强大的护城河，最终形成"低投入、高周转、高回报"的生猪养殖体系，持续重点推荐。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 顾熀乾 陈佳 SAC：S0490519060003 SAC：S0490513080003 SFC：BQT624 [Table_scodeMsg1] 港股研究丨公司深度丨德康农牧（02419.HK） [Table_Title] 德康农牧深度系列二：联农标杆，富农典范 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 2 / 28 %% %% %% %% resea ...

丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_scodeMsg2] 联想集团（00992.HK） cjzqdt11111 [Table_scodeMsg1] 港股研究丨公司点评丨联想集团（00992.HK） [Table_Title] 龙头穿越周期，多项业务创历史新高 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 联想 FY2026Q3（对应日历年 2025Q4，下同）实现营收 222.04 亿美元，同比增长 18%；毛 利率 15.1%，同比下降 0.6pct；归母净利润 5.46 亿美元，同比下降 21%，主因一次性重组费 用、认股权证的非现金公允价值收益等非现金项目的影响；经调整净利润 5.89 亿美元，同比增 长 36%。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 杨洋 SAC：S0490517070012 SFC：BUW100 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Title2] 龙头穿越周期，多项业务创历史新高 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 联想 FY2026Q3（对应日历年 2025Q4，下同）实现营收 222.04 亿美元 ...

| 公司研究 | 中國 | 新能源 24 February 2026 協合新能源 (182 HK) 逆風重塑 FY25 淨利按年預期下滑逾 80% 協合新能源發佈 FY25 盈利預警。FY25 淨利預期按年下滑逾 80%至人民幣 1.6 億 元或以下，對比 FY24 約人民幣 8 億元。儘管盈利下降，FY25 經營活動產生的現 金流較 FY24 按年增加，顯示集團現金流狀況相對穩定，並無資金鏈緊張風險。 去年風電／光伏資源偏弱且棄電率上升 FY25 年內，不利的氣象條件與電網層面的基礎設施約束疊加，為盈利下滑的主 要原因之一。中國重點區域的風電與光伏資源明顯低於歷史均值，直接影響集團 資產組合的總發電潛能；同時，部分省份受制於電網消納能力，棄風／棄光率上 升進一步放大影響。另一方面，可再生能源定價環境自穩定的長期合約轉向競爭 性的市場化交易，電力交易競爭加劇令平均綜合電價按年下行，擠壓集團毛利 率。在市場化定價機制下，新能源運營商須更多在現貨（即時）市場競價，於高 發電時段往往實現電價更低；隨全國裝機大幅擴張，該現象更為突出。 一次性補貼沖回與估值下調：非現金項拖累 FY25 盈利預警中最具影響的非現金項，或 ...