研究报告 Research Report 21 Dec 2025 H&H 国际控股 Health and Happiness International Holdings (1112 HK) 首次覆盖：高端家庭营养与健康产品的领先企业 A leading enterprise in high-end family nutrition and health products: Initiation [Table_yemei1] 观点聚焦 Investment Focus [Table_Info] 首次覆盖优于大市 Initiate with OUTPERFORM 合生元超预期复苏，婴配粉增长强劲。Biostime（合生元）作为 H&H 集团的核心母婴营养品牌，自 1999 年创立以来，始终专注于婴幼儿 营养与健康领域。其产品以"奶粉+营养品"双轮驱动，精准切入免 疫、过敏等高价值赛道。婴幼儿配方奶粉为品牌拳头产品，营养补充 品以益生菌系列为主要代表。25Q1-Q3，H&H 集团 BNC 业务实现营收 39.7 亿元，同比+24.0%，其中单三季度收入达 14.7 亿元，同比 +90.6%，增速远超集团整体业务水 ...

证券研究报告 | 公司深度 | 文娱用品 康耐特光学(02276) 报告日期：2025 年 12 月 21 日 全球光学树脂镜片龙头，XR 眼镜赛道卡位稀缺 ——康耐特光学深度报告 投资要点 ❑ 盈利预测与估值 我们预计公司 2025~2027 年收入分别为 23.01、26.16、29.79 亿元（同比 +11.3%、+13.7%、+13.8%），归母净利润 5.5、6.8、8.2 亿元（同比+29%、 +23%、+20%），对应 PE 分别为 42x、34x、29x，若考虑 2026 年智能眼镜业务贡 献利润增量（若贡献 2 亿增量对应约 9 亿利润，27x），估值仍具性价比。首次覆 盖，给予"买入"评级。 ❑ 风险提示 关税波动超出预期，下游需求不及预期，智能眼镜合作推进不及预期。 | 财务摘要 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [单位Table_Forcast] /百万 | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | 营业收入 | 2061 | 2301 | 2616 | 2979 | | (+/-) (%) | 17% | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for Li Ning [4] Core Views - Since Q4 2025, the company has accelerated its layout in new products and channels, with positive market feedback on new running shoes featuring the latest super-bounce capsule technology [1][8] - The company has opened its first outdoor specialty store and a flagship store in Beijing, indicating a strategic expansion into new market segments [3] - With channel inventory returning to a healthy level, the company is expected to see a turnaround in operations in 2026, supported by aggressive marketing and major events [1][10] Inventory and Product Structure - As of Q3 2025, the channel inventory has decreased to a controllable level of 4-5 months, with 82% of inventory being new products under 6 months [2] - The product structure is healthy, with 77% of the company's inventory also consisting of new products under 6 months [2] Store Expansion - The total number of Li Ning stores reached 6,132 by the end of Q3 2025, with a net increase of 33 stores from the previous quarter [3] - The company has also increased its focus on outdoor and premium product lines, with new store openings catering to diverse consumer needs [3] Financial Performance and Projections - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 27,696 million yuan, with a growth rate of 6%, while 2025 revenue is expected to remain flat at 28,744 million yuan [9][24] - Net profit for 2025 is estimated at 2,395 million yuan, reflecting a decline of 21% year-on-year, but is expected to recover in subsequent years [9][24] - The report anticipates a gradual recovery in revenue growth starting in 2026, driven by new product launches and enhanced marketing efforts [10] Shareholder Activity - The controlling shareholder has been actively increasing their stake in the company, which is seen as a positive signal for corporate governance and long-term investment value [10][11]

► 门店端经营优势：兼具便利性/高性价比/多可选 项优势，匹配在家吃饭消费群体需求 证券研究报告|港股公司深度研究报告 [Table_Date] 2025 年 12 月 21 日 [Table_ 标准店和乡镇店 Title] 战略打法逐步成型，小炒业态蓄势待发 [Table_Title2] 锅圈(2517.HK) 锅圈产品以"在家吃饭"为核心定位，服务于有便利就餐需求 且对餐饮质量有较高要求的群体，针对该群体需求自便利性、 高性价比、多可选项三方向延伸，便利性方面通过火锅套组、 组合套餐、24 小时经营、速烹菜形式保证消费者快速/随时实 现在家就餐；高性价比方面产品火锅食材单品价格相较各大生 鲜超市处相对地位、且店内套餐较单品购买优惠力度达 20%以 上；多可选项方面新推 SKU 数量逐年增强，24 年单年度新增 SKU 数量 412 个达历史新高。 ► 供应链强化：供应链自产+冷链收购，增加业务覆 盖半径、实现成本优化 公司持续强化供应链布局，1）加工厂布局：截至 25 年 4 月通 过收购/投资形式布局加工厂 7 家，通过加工食材自产形式把 控成本，24 年自产产品占比已达 20%；25 年 7 月宣布拟 ...

Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific investment rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company has announced the acquisition of a 100% stake in a US-based home furnishings manufacturer for $0.32 billion, along with a $0.27 billion interest-free loan to help the target company repay its debts. The target company primarily engages in the manufacturing and sales of soft home furnishings, with projected revenues of $239 million and $188 million for fiscal years 2024 and 2025, respectively, and net losses of $3.9 million and $9.69 million (excluding goodwill amortization and bad debts, it is expected to achieve slight profitability) [1][2] - The acquisition is expected to enhance the company's production capacity in the US, mitigate future tariff and trade risks, and allow for immediate integration into the target company's existing customer supply chain of over 1,000 clients, thereby expanding market share. The company is anticipated to empower the target through improved raw material procurement, automation, and core component support, which may lead to sustained profitability optimization [2] - The company is expected to face slight operational pressure in Q4 due to intensified international trade friction and weak domestic demand. However, it is predicted that e-commerce will continue to perform well as the company increases its online resource investment and develops social media marketing strategies to enhance brand exposure and conversion rates [2] Financial Projections - The company forecasts net profits attributable to shareholders for fiscal years 2026-2028 to be HKD 2.20 billion, HKD 2.30 billion, and HKD 2.49 billion, respectively, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios of 8.4X, 8.0X, and 7.4X [2] - Key financial indicators for the company include total revenue projections of HKD 16.90 billion for 2025, with a year-over-year growth rate of -8%, and expected revenues of HKD 16.55 billion, HKD 18.93 billion, and HKD 20.30 billion for 2026, 2027, and 2028, respectively [4][5]

证券研究报告 国补高基数或制约短期业绩释放 华泰研究 更新报告 2025 年 12 月 21 日│中国香港/美国 互联网 据国家统计局数据，10/11 月家电品类零售额分别同比下滑 14.6/19.4%，体 现出 2024 年 9 月以来国补行动对家电品类销售形成的高基数效应。考虑到 京东平台在国补行动中扮演的重要角色，我们预计 4Q25 京东零售或面临一 定的收入和利润增长压力。我们预计京东集团 4Q25 总收入同增 0.4%至 3,484 亿元（3Q25：+14.9%），经调整净利润 10 亿元；其中京东零售分 部收入同比-2.9%至 2,981 亿元（3Q25：+11.4%），环比降速主因带电品 类销售收入增速承压，我们预计京东零售分部经营利润 80 亿元，对应经营 利润率 2.7%，同比下滑 0.6pp。展望后续，建议持续关注：1）外卖业务在 迈出早期高投入阶段后的经营效率持续优化进程，以及平台新用户交叉销售 至电商业务的有效性和中长期留存效果；2）2026 年带电品类的潜在消费刺 激政策；3）海外等其他新业务的进展情况。我们期待以上相关业务的积极 进展支持其基本面兑现。维持"买入"评级。 家电品类销 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, with a current price of HKD 19.00 and a fair value of HKD 20.22 [5]. Core Insights - The launch of the Honor Gold Standard product series and the new "Dragon Store" concept is expected to drive brand performance growth. The Dragon Store aims to create a space that integrates product experience, emotional resonance, and cultural exchange, while the Honor Gold Standard series focuses on multifunctional and versatile designs for various scenarios [9]. - The company anticipates that the synergy between the Honor Gold Standard series and the Dragon Store will contribute to revenue growth in 2026, targeting high-quality consumer segments with diverse needs [9]. - Profit forecasts indicate that the company's net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be CNY 2.472 billion in 2025, CNY 2.634 billion in 2026, and CNY 2.828 billion in 2027, with a reference PE of 18 times for 2026 [9]. Financial Summary - Main revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: CNY 27,598 million - 2024: CNY 28,676 million - 2025: CNY 28,986 million - 2026: CNY 30,325 million - 2027: CNY 32,871 million - The growth rates for main revenue are projected at 7.0% for 2023, 3.9% for 2024, 1.1% for 2025, 4.6% for 2026, and 8.4% for 2027 [4]. - The company's EBITDA is forecasted to be CNY 5,814 million in 2023, declining to CNY 5,631 million in 2025, and then increasing to CNY 6,736 million by 2027 [4]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to decline from CNY 3,187 million in 2023 to CNY 2,472 million in 2025, before recovering to CNY 2,828 million in 2027 [4]. - The report also highlights key financial ratios, including a projected ROE of 9.0% in 2025 and an EV/EBITDA ratio of 6.4 in 2025 [4].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company with a target price of HKD 3.52, indicating a potential upside of 22% from the current price of HKD 2.89 [6][81]. Core Insights - The company possesses unique coking coal resources with superior quality, being located in a major reserve area in Shanxi Province, China. The coking coal produced is highly valued and referred to as "Panda Coal" due to its scarcity and economic value [3][56]. - The financial health of the company is robust, with no interest-bearing debt and a significant cash flow, allowing for high dividend payouts. The company has a commitment to a minimum dividend payout ratio of 40%, with actual rates averaging around 80% in recent years [5][66][71]. - The company is expected to see a recovery in profitability in 2026 as coking coal prices stabilize and the approval for the Guojiaogou coal mine project is anticipated to provide additional growth opportunities [4][6][76]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company, established in 1985, is primarily engaged in the mining and production of coking coal in Shanxi Province, a key area for high-quality coking coal in China [12][13]. Coking Coal Market Dynamics - The coking coal market is experiencing limited new capacity due to strict safety regulations and a decrease in overseas imports. Domestic production is expected to stabilize, leading to a potential tightening of supply and upward price elasticity [32][41][52]. Company Highlights - The company has three operational coking coal mines with a total production capacity of 5.25 million tons per year, and it is actively pursuing the approval for the Guojiaogou coal mine, which could add significant capacity [3][16][76]. - The average selling price of coking coal has seen fluctuations, with a significant drop in 2025, but a recovery is expected in 2026 as market conditions improve [4][51][81]. Financial Performance and Forecast - The company reported a decline in revenue and profit in 2023 and 2024 due to lower coking coal prices and production disruptions. However, projections for 2026 indicate a recovery in both revenue and net profit, driven by improved market conditions and operational efficiencies [7][81].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to Bairong Cloud, indicating an expected relative return exceeding 10% over the next 12-18 months [14]. Core Insights - Bairong Cloud launched its ResultsCloud platform, which aims to transform the business model from "selling tools" to "selling outcomes" through the introduction of silicon-based employees, enhancing collaboration between AI and human workers [1][6]. - The company is positioned to redefine enterprise competitiveness in the digital economy, with a strategic focus on expanding its silicon-based employee ecosystem beyond the financial sector into healthcare and education by 2028 [2][3][6]. - The RaaS (Results-as-a-Service) model is highlighted as a significant shift, integrating enterprise strategies with technological advancements, moving Bairong Cloud from a tool provider to a business outcome partner [2][3][6]. Summary by Sections Event Overview - On December 18, 2025, Bairong Cloud held a conference to introduce the ResultsCloud platform, emphasizing a fundamental shift in productivity from carbon-based to silicon-based systems [1][6]. Technological Innovations - The ResultsCloud platform features a three-layer architecture: AI Infra reasoning engine, AgentOS lifecycle management, and AgentStore commercialization, significantly enhancing operational efficiency [2][6]. - Key products launched include: 1. Baiying: Customer service and marketing, improving customer satisfaction by 40% [2]. 2. Baicai: Recruitment, reducing hiring cycles to 28 days with a 5x productivity increase [2]. 3. Baijian: Cross-border legal and tax services, achieving a 90% efficiency boost and 70% cost reduction [2]. 4. Baizhi: Knowledge production, compressing cycles to 4 days with a 400% efficiency increase [2]. Strategic Vision - Bairong Cloud's three-phase strategy includes consolidating fintech advantages (2025-2026), expanding into vertical sectors (2027-2028), and becoming a global leader in silicon-based productivity (2029-2030) [2][6]. Industry Impact - The large-scale application of silicon-based employees is expected to redefine core competitiveness for enterprises, with early adopters likely to gain a significant advantage in the digital economy [3][6].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to Ximei Resources Holding Limited with a target price of HKD 12.35 based on a 16x PE for 2026 [3]. Core Insights - Ximei Resources is a leading player in the tantalum and niobium industries in China, focusing on green development and the extension of its industrial chain [1]. - The company has achieved significant growth in its core departments, with a notable increase in revenue and net profit in the first half of 2025 [4]. - The company is actively enhancing its production capacity and optimizing its product structure to meet market demands [35]. Financial Data and Forecast - Revenue projections for 2024 to 2027 are as follows: - 2024: CNY 1,822 million - 2025: CNY 1,955 million (30% YoY growth) - 2026: CNY 2,282 million (17% YoY growth) - 2027: CNY 2,542 million (11% YoY growth) [4] - Net profit forecasts for the same period are: - 2024: CNY 124 million - 2025: CNY 197 million (59% YoY growth) - 2026: CNY 267 million (36% YoY growth) - 2027: CNY 369 million (38% YoY growth) [4]. Company Overview - Ximei Resources is a prominent producer of tantalum and niobium metallurgical products, with a focus on high-purity tantalum and niobium compounds essential for high-tech industries [8]. - The company has a significant market share in the domestic wet-process products, accounting for approximately 40% of the market [8]. - The company aims to become a world-leading manufacturer in the tantalum and niobium sector, with a strong emphasis on technological innovation and sustainable practices [34]. Industry Dynamics - The global distribution of tantalum and niobium resources is uneven, with major reserves located in Australia and Brazil [13][19]. - China's tantalum and niobium resources are limited, with domestic production meeting only a small fraction of its industrial needs, leading to high import dependency [19]. - The demand for tantalum and niobium is expected to grow significantly due to their applications in electronics, aerospace, and other high-tech fields [20][24]. Project Development - The Leizhou project is a key initiative for Ximei Resources, aiming to produce 3,000 tons of high-performance tantalum and niobium oxides annually, utilizing advanced wet-process metallurgy [37]. - The project is designed to enhance the company's production capabilities and support sustainable development in the tantalum and niobium industry [37].