2025 年 06 月 03 日 激光光学元器件一季度表现强劲，多元化产品矩 阵深耕光学赛道 告 买入(维持) 投资要点 分析师：高永豪 S1050524120001 gaoyh7@cfsc.com.cn 联系人：张璐 S1050123120019 zhanglu2@cfsc.com.cn | 基本数据 | 2 0 2 5-0 6-0 3 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价（元） | 68.05 | | 总市值（亿元） | 61 | | 总股本（百万股） | 90 | | 流通股本（百万股） | 90 | | 52 周价格范围（元） | 39.97-89.49 | | 日均成交额（百万元） | 205.74 | 市场表现 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 (%) 炬光科技 沪深300 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 相关研究 ▌ 激光光学元器件一季度表现强劲，并购影响利润 端短期承压 公司激光光学元器件业务在一季度表现强劲，一方面得益于 泛半导体领域的市场需求提升，产品出货量显著增加；另一 方面，工业光纤激光器泵浦以及光通讯领域的市场需求也呈 现出增长趋势，一季度营收实现 1.70 亿 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" investment rating for the company [1][3]. Core Insights - The company is experiencing explosive growth in revenue, driven by new consumer demand for floor cleaning machines and washing machines, with a current valuation of 20 times earnings, indicating significant undervaluation [1]. - The company has achieved leading market share in both sweeping and washing machines, with online market share for sweeping machines rising to 26% in April 2025, surpassing competitors [6]. - The report forecasts a robust growth trajectory for the company's revenue and net profit over the next few years, with expected net profits of 20 billion, 25 billion, and 30 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [6]. Financial Data and Valuation - Total revenue is projected to grow from 8,654 million in 2023 to 24,050 million in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 31% [2][13]. - Operating profit is expected to fluctuate, with a peak in 2023 at 2,317 million, followed by a decline in 2024, and then a recovery to 3,406 million by 2027 [2][13]. - The company's net profit is projected to show a slight decline in 2024, with a recovery in subsequent years, reaching 3,018 million by 2027 [2][13]. - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is expected to decrease from 20.5 in 2023 to 13.9 in 2027, indicating improving valuation metrics over time [2][13]. Market Position and Competitive Landscape - The company has successfully expanded its market presence in overseas markets, achieving leading sales positions in regions such as Northern Europe and Turkey [6]. - The introduction of new products and pricing strategies has allowed the company to capture significant market share, particularly in the domestic market, where it has seen substantial growth in both online and offline sales [6]. - The competitive landscape is becoming less intense, allowing the company to solidify its market leadership [6].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for BYD is "Buy-A" with a target price of 454.25 CNY per share, maintaining the rating [7][12]. Core Views - BYD's sales in May 2025 reached 377,000 vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 14% and a month-on-month increase of 1%. Pure electric vehicle sales were 204,000 units, up 40% year-on-year and 4% month-on-month [2][3]. - The company's overseas sales of new energy vehicles in May 2025 reached 89,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 137% and a month-on-month increase of 13% [4]. - The report anticipates continued growth in BYD's basic operations, high-end product offerings, and overseas expansion, with expected net profits of 552.1 billion, 643.9 billion, and 812.4 billion CNY for 2025-2027 [5][12]. Summary by Sections Sales Performance - In May 2025, BYD's domestic sales were approximately 288,000 units, reflecting a decline of about 2% month-on-month and year-on-year, primarily due to weak overall terminal demand and the nearing end of inventory clearance for non-intelligent driving versions [2]. - The Dynasty and Ocean series launched price promotions on May 23, which are expected to boost store visits and order growth [2]. Product Launches - The Dynasty and Ocean series sold a total of 348,000 units in May, with the Dynasty series at 161,000 units (down 7% year-on-year) and the Ocean series at 183,000 units (up 28% year-on-year) [3]. - New models such as the Sea Lion 07DM-i and BYD e7 were launched, contributing to the sales growth of high-end brands like Tengshi and Fangchengbao [3]. Overseas Expansion - BYD's overseas sales continue to set new records, with significant progress in various regions including the Americas, Europe, and Asia [4]. - The establishment of a European headquarters and the launch of new models in multiple European countries are part of BYD's strategy to enhance its international presence [4]. Financial Projections - The report projects BYD's revenue growth rates of 42% for 2023, 29% for 2024, and a steady increase in net profit margins, with a net profit margin of 5.6% expected by 2025 [13][14]. - The company's earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to grow from 9.88 CNY in 2023 to 18.17 CNY in 2025, reflecting strong profitability [13][14].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-A" with a 6-month target price of 32.79 CNY per share, while the current share price is 22.46 CNY [4]. Core Views - The company has shown strong performance in May with a wholesale sales volume of 102,000 units, representing a year-on-year increase of 12% and a month-on-month increase of 2% [1]. - The domestic sales reached 68,000 units in May, up 19% year-on-year, primarily driven by the accelerated delivery of models such as Tank 300 and the second-generation Xiaolong MAX [2]. - The company is entering a new growth phase with the launch of new models and a focus on the mainstream market, which is expected to lead to a sales upturn [3]. Summary by Sections Sales Performance - In May, the company achieved a wholesale sales volume of 102,000 units, with a notable increase in new energy vehicle sales, which reached 33,000 units, up 32% year-on-year and 13% month-on-month [2]. - The Tank series sold 21,000 units, while Haval and Wey brands also reported significant year-on-year growth of 23% and 115%, respectively [2]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from the launch of new models and a refined marketing strategy, which could lead to a significant increase in sales in the domestic mainstream new energy market [3]. - The Hi4Z technology is anticipated to enhance the Tank series' appeal, potentially expanding its market share in urban SUVs [3]. - The company has a diverse product lineup and strong technological reserves, indicating substantial export potential as new models and powertrains are introduced [3]. Financial Projections - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 14.03 billion, 17.40 billion, and 20.96 billion CNY, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 13.7, 11.1, and 9.2 times [9][10].

证券研究报告 计算机 | IT 服务Ⅱ 北交所|首次覆盖报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 06 月 03 日 证券分析师 赵昊 SAC：S1350524110004 zhaohao@huayuanstock.com 王宇璇 SAC：S1350525050003 wangyuxuan@huayuanstock.com 市场表现： | 基本数据 | | | 2025 | 年 | 05 | 30 | 日 | | 月 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | | | | | | | | | | 58.93 | | | 一 年 内 最 最 | 高 | / | | | | | | 低 | | | | | （元） | | | | | | | | | | | 75.21/17.50 | | 总市值（百万元） | | | | | | | | | | 2,294.82 | | | 流通市值（百万元） | | | | | | | | | | 1,038.56 | | | 总股本（百 ...

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [2][8]. Core Views - The company is positioned as a "water seller" in the MASH (Metabolic Associated Steatotic Hepatitis) market, with significant growth potential expected in the coming years [7][8]. - The company has a comprehensive product portfolio that includes pharmaceuticals, diagnostic equipment, and medical services, focusing on liver health management [7][18]. - The demand for liver disease screening is anticipated to surge due to the emergence of new MASH drugs and the establishment of screening protocols in medical institutions [7][8]. Summary by Sections 1. Focus on Liver Disease - The company has over 20 years of experience in the liver disease sector and has actively pursued overseas acquisitions and global expansion [18]. - It offers a complete product/service combination of drugs (notably the patented Fufang Bie Jia Ruan Gan Pian), diagnostic devices (FibroScan series), and medical services [20][21][22]. 2. FibroScan and Market Potential - FibroScan is recognized as a leading diagnostic tool in the liver disease field, with over 5,200 clinical research publications supporting its efficacy [7][21][67]. - The global prevalence of liver diseases, particularly MASH, is significant, with early diagnosis being crucial for reversing liver fibrosis [43][44]. - The report highlights the rapid progress of MASH drug development, with several drugs expected to be approved soon, which will likely increase the demand for liver screening [54][60]. 3. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for the company are set at 16.77 billion yuan, 20.63 billion yuan, and 25.06 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 24.3%, 23.0%, and 21.4% [6][8]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach 2.21 billion yuan, 3.14 billion yuan, and 4.29 billion yuan for the same years, with growth rates of 95.5%, 41.6%, and 36.9% [6][8]. 4. Competitive Landscape and Market Strategy - The company is well-positioned in the academic field of liver disease diagnostics and has established a strong customer base in both domestic and international markets [7][8]. - The introduction of a pay-per-use model for FibroScan devices is expected to enhance market penetration, particularly in primary healthcare settings [36][70]. 5. Valuation - The company's reasonable market capitalization is estimated at 14 billion yuan, indicating a potential upside of approximately 48% relative to its market value as of May 30, 2025 [8].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [1][6][7]. Core Insights - The company is a leading domestic distributor of electronic components, actively expanding into electric vehicles and AI sectors. It has over 20 years of industry experience and holds agency rights for numerous well-known upstream chip manufacturers. The company has established a silicon carbide laboratory in collaboration with upstream manufacturers and has engaged in various testing and technical cooperation [4]. - In 2024, the company expects revenue, net profit attributable to shareholders, and net profit excluding non-recurring items to reach 7.821 billion yuan, 98.43 million yuan, and 86 million yuan, respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 31.58%, 48.34%, and 58.24% [4][9]. - The company’s revenue streams are diversified, with approximately 20% from the automotive sector, 16% from industrial and new energy clients, and 36% from communication and consumer electronics [4]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 10 billion yuan in 2025, 13 billion yuan in 2026, and 17 billion yuan in 2027, with net profits of 142.33 million yuan, 189.64 million yuan, and 242.76 million yuan for the respective years [6][9]. - The expected growth rates for revenue are 27.92% in 2025, 30.08% in 2026, and 30.64% in 2027 [9][12]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 0.12 yuan in 2025, 0.16 yuan in 2026, and 0.21 yuan in 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 77.60, 58.24, and 45.49 [9][12].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the company Core Viewpoints - The company, Xiangtan Electric Chemical, is facing challenges due to competition from BYD in the lithium battery market for two-wheeled vehicles, which may impact its future growth prospects in manganese-based lithium materials [1][5][9] - The manganese-based cathode material market is characterized by a small scale and slow development, with the company potentially achieving a market share of 43.48% if it fully utilizes its production capacity by 2026 [7][8] - The company is heavily reliant on the electric manganese dioxide (EMD) segment, which contributes significantly to its revenue and has a higher profit margin compared to manganese lithium [9][10][12] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - Manganese has traditionally been used in the steel industry, but its application in lithium batteries is gaining attention due to the rapid growth of the power battery sector [3][4] - Manganese lithium batteries are expected to see increased demand in electric two-wheelers and low-speed electric vehicles, with a clear application scenario [4][5] Company Financials - The company plans to raise 487 million yuan through convertible bonds to fund a project for producing 30,000 tons of spinel manganese lithium battery materials [6][7] - The company's revenue for 2024 is projected to be 1.9 billion yuan, with EMD accounting for 67% and manganese lithium for 25% of the total revenue [9][12] - The gross margin for EMD is significantly higher at 37%, while manganese lithium has struggled with margins below 1% in recent years [9][10][19] Competitive Landscape - The manganese-based cathode material market is small, with few competitors, and the company is positioned as a potential leader despite the overall weak competitive environment [8][9][13] - The company faces challenges from the rising popularity of lithium iron phosphate (LFP) batteries, which may diminish the advantages of manganese lithium [25][26][30] Market Dynamics - The domestic market for electric two-wheelers is experiencing a decline, with sales expected to drop by 11.6% in 2024 compared to 2023 [33] - Despite the challenges, the demand for manganese lithium is projected to grow, with expected shipments of 115,000 tons in 2024, reflecting a 27.92% increase year-on-year [22][34] Investment and Returns - The company has a history of raising funds through multiple rounds of financing, totaling 1.72 billion yuan, but has provided only 354 million yuan in dividends to shareholders since its IPO [48][50]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance [7]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve significant revenue growth in the semiconductor and optical sectors, with projected revenues of 510 million in 2024, representing an 82% increase year-on-year [2]. - The laser optics business is also showing robust growth, with revenues of 416 million in 2024, a 14.32% increase compared to the previous year [3]. - The infrared business is anticipated to recover, with the company leveraging its complete process chain in infrared lens design and manufacturing [4]. - The company is actively expanding its product offerings and market reach, particularly in the semiconductor and optical fields, while also venturing into consumer-grade optical markets [3][4]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 540 million, 700 million, and 910 million respectively, with corresponding net profits of 45 million, 65 million, and 85 million [9]. - The company is expected to maintain a healthy growth rate, with revenue growth rates of 30.03% in 2025 and around 29.57% in 2026 [9][12]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to increase from 0.32 in 2024 to 0.74 in 2027, reflecting strong profitability growth [9][12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company is expected to enter a harvest period in 2025 due to the ramp-up of passenger car seat production and the integration of Grammer [2][5] - Positive changes observed in 2024 include the first annual breakeven for passenger car seats, asset divestiture from Grammer, and the growth of new products like hidden electric air vents and car refrigerators [5][6] Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company is a leading player in the automotive headrest market and is expanding into complete seat assemblies, creating a second growth avenue [15] - The company has evolved from a domestic headrest leader to a global interior supplier, with significant growth opportunities in the seat business [15][19] Passenger Car Seats - The passenger car seat market is projected to exceed 1 trillion yuan, driven by enhanced consumer demand and increased seat functionality [6][44] - The company has a robust order book with over 20 ongoing projects, expecting revenues from passenger car seats to reach 5-7 billion yuan in 2025 [6][9] Grammer Integration - The integration of Grammer has seen operational improvements in Europe and Asia, while the Americas have faced losses [6][22] - The company plans to divest the loss-making TMD assets in North America, which is expected to improve overall financial performance [6][22] Financial Projections - Revenue is forecasted to grow from 25.99 billion yuan in 2025 to 32.11 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of 17% [8] - Net profit is expected to rebound significantly, reaching 631 million yuan in 2025 and 1.45 billion yuan by 2027 [8] Market Trends - The average value of passenger car seats is anticipated to rise to 5,000 yuan by 2025, with the domestic market size projected to reach 139.1 billion yuan [44] - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for advanced seat features and lightweight materials [43][44]