证券研究报告|行业研究周报 [Table_Date] 2025 年 12 月 14 日 [Table_Title] AI 驱动基础设施需求，看好北美电力产业链 [Table_Title2] 电力设备与新能源行业周观察 [Table_Summary] 报告摘要 1. 人形机器人 优必选斩获 AI 大模型公司超 0.5 亿元订单 随着海内外企业布局加速&AI 技术突破，人形机器有望迎来量产落 地时点。在降本需求的驱动下，人形机器人核心零部件的国产替代 需求强烈，市场空间广阔，率先取得突破的国内企业有望深度受 益。灵巧手、大脑和轻量化是人形机器人商业化落地的关键环节， 重点看好技术迭代和产业演进领先的国内生产厂商。 2. 新能源汽车 多家车企公布 11 月新能源汽车交付/销量 我们认为，在行业旺季趋势下，11月国内多数车企实现新能源汽车 交付/销量环比增长，全年新能源汽车表现亮眼。明年展望来看， 国内新能源汽车预计保持稳定增长，商用车电动化率提升叠加单车 带电量的增加预计带动动力电池需求较快增长。叠加国内外储能高 景气度，预计全年锂电池出货同比增长明显。在前期供给过剩导致 价格大幅下跌的背景下，动力及储能电池产业链 ...

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive investment outlook for the wind power, hydrogen, and energy storage sectors, driven by government policies and market demand [1][5][18]. Core Insights - The central economic work conference has prioritized "dual carbon" initiatives and comprehensive green transformation as key tasks for the upcoming year, emphasizing energy supply and consumption decarbonization [1][5]. - Investment opportunities during the 15th Five-Year Plan are expected to focus on three main areas: wind power, green hydrogen and ammonia, and energy storage [1][5]. - The European wind power market is anticipated to see sustained demand due to legislative reforms and infrastructure investments [1][6]. Summary by Sections Wind Power - The EU's new grid plan aims to improve wind project access and enhance certainty for offshore projects, with a significant demand expected in Europe [1][6]. - Recommendations include focusing on companies involved in offshore capabilities, such as pile foundations, components, and wind turbines [1][6][7]. Lithium Battery - Tianji Co. and Tianci Materials have postponed their 6F project timelines, indicating cautious supply expansion [8][10]. - The lithium battery supply chain remains optimistic about price stability and demand recovery [8][10]. Photovoltaics & Energy Storage - The photovoltaic industry is undergoing a "de-involution" phase, with a focus on cost control and supply-side adjustments to restore profitability [14][15]. - The establishment of a polysilicon capacity integration platform is seen as a critical step towards addressing industry competition issues [15][16]. Hydrogen and Fuel Cells - Hydrogen is positioned as a key carrier for non-electric decarbonization, with increasing policy support and market demand expected [18][19]. - The green methanol market is projected to grow significantly, driven by global demand and regulatory changes [18][19]. Electric Grid - The approval of a major ultra-high voltage project in Zhejiang is expected to enhance profit elasticity for related companies [3][23]. - The North American AI power shortage is driving demand for high-efficiency electrical equipment, benefiting leading power equipment exporters [22][23]. AIDC and Liquid Cooling - Taiwanese liquid cooling companies reported significant revenue growth, indicating a rising demand for liquid cooling solutions in AI applications [24][26]. - The acquisition activities in the liquid cooling sector are expected to enhance competitive positioning for domestic companies in the global market [26][27]. Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies in wind power include Goldwind Technology, Yunda Co., and Mingyang Smart Energy [28]. - In the photovoltaic sector, key players include Sungrow Power, Xinyi Solar, and LONGi Green Energy [28]. - For energy storage, companies like Sungrow Power and Aiko Solar are highlighted [28]. - In the hydrogen sector, recommended firms include Furuite and Huadian Science and Technology [28].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - This week, the A - share market showed a significant differentiation pattern. The performance of broad - based indices was diverse, with the BeiZheng 50 and ChiNext Index leading the gains, while the Shanghai Composite Index and CSI 300 had slight pullbacks, and the CSI Dividend and China Securities Value Index had relatively large pullbacks. At the industry level, the communication sector was strong, while traditional energy and real - estate industrial chain - related sectors were under pressure. The margin trading balance reached a phased high on Wednesday and then declined, with the latest level on Thursday at 25079.82 billion yuan. [3][11] - Active equity funds' stock positions continued the downward trend, with the position of allocation - type funds falling back to the level around the end of July. In terms of industry allocation, in the short - term, the change in the allocation structure was relatively limited. From a medium - term perspective, the positions in the electronics and new energy industries continued to rise, and the exposure level of active equity funds to the large - cap growth style further increased. [3][11] - In the ETF market, A500 and Hong Kong - stock technology - related indices continued to receive net capital inflows, while indices such as the ChiNext Index, securities firms, CSI Bank, and convertible bonds had varying degrees of net capital outflows. [3][11] - In the context of a marginal increase in risk aversion, it is recommended to focus on structural allocation, moderately pay attention to sectors with mid - term prosperity advantages, maintain a relatively balanced allocation at the index level, and control the overall position. [3][11] 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 This Week's Market Review - **Broad - based Index Performance**: The A - share broad - based indices showed a differentiated trend this week. The BeiZheng 50 and ChiNext Index led the gains, while the Shanghai Composite Index, CSI 300, CSI Dividend, and China Securities Value Index had pullbacks. As of December 12, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3889.35 points, with a weekly change of about - 0.34%; the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13258.33 points, with a weekly change of about 0.84%; the ChiNext Index closed at 3194.36 points, with a weekly change of about 2.74%; and the CSI 300 closed at 4580.95 points, with a weekly change of about - 0.08%. [11][12] - **Industry Index Performance**: The performance of primary industries was also significantly differentiated. The communication sector led the gains, while coal and petroleum and petrochemical sectors had relatively large declines. The top - performing industries in terms of weekly change were communication (5.92%), national defense and military industry (3.57%), electronics (2.51%), power equipment and new energy (1.34%), and machinery (1.33%); the bottom - performing industries were coal (- 3.80%), petroleum and petrochemical (- 3.43%), textile and clothing (- 2.68%), real estate (- 2.62%), and steel (- 2.53%). [14] 3.2 Public Funds - **Public Fund Position Calculation**: Active equity funds' stock positions continued to decline, with the position of allocation - type funds falling back to the level at the end of July. As of December 12, 2025, the average position of active equity funds was about 88.41%. Among them, the average position of ordinary stock - type funds was about 91.71% (up 0.10 pct from last week), the average position of partial - stock hybrid funds was about 89.72% (down 0.05 pct from last week), the average position of allocation - type funds was about 85.03% (down 0.49 pct from last week), and the average position of "fixed - income +" funds was about 23.33% (up 0.03 pct from last week). [2][21] - **Style Trends of Active Equity Products**: The exposure to the large - cap growth style has significantly increased compared to three months ago, with little change this week. As of December 12, 2025, the large - cap growth position of active partial - stock funds was 42.77% (down 0.12 pct from last week), the large - cap value position was 6.61% (down 0.23 pct from last week), the mid - cap growth position was 7.67% (up 0.09 pct from last week), the mid - cap value position was 7.44% (up 1.43 pct from last week), the small - cap growth position was 26.82% (down 0.86 pct from last week), and the small - cap value position was 8.69% (down 0.31 pct from last week). [3][29] - **Industry Trends of Active Equity Products**: In the past three months, the positions in electronics and new energy have significantly increased, while the positions in medicine and banking have decreased. This week, the industries with relatively large increases in the allocation ratio of active equity funds were petroleum and petrochemical (about 0.92%, up 0.11 pct from last week), electronics (about 20.79%, up 0.11 pct from last week), real estate (about 0.63%, up 0.09 pct from last week), building materials (about 0.93%, up 0.08 pct from last week), and power equipment and new energy (about 8.57%, up 0.07 pct from last week). The industries with relatively large decreases in the allocation ratio were computer (about 4.51%, down 0.20 pct from last week), steel (about 1.12%, down 0.08 pct from last week), agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery (about 1.78%, down 0.08 pct from last week), transportation (about 1.21%, down 0.06 pct from last week), and medicine (about 10.20%, down 0.05 pct from last week). [3][32] - **ETF Market Tracking**: This week, equity indices with a net inflow of over 1 billion yuan included A500, Hang Seng Technology, Science and Technology Innovation 50, and Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology. Indices with a net outflow of over 1 billion yuan included the ChiNext Index, securities companies, CSI Bank, and CS Artificial Intelligence. The total net outflow of domestic stock - index ETF funds was about 9.893 billion yuan, with a total scale of 36740.46 billion yuan; the total net inflow of overseas index ETFs was about 10.139 billion yuan, with a total scale of 9385.21 billion yuan; the total net inflow of bond - index ETFs was about 2.954 billion yuan, with a total scale of 7208.3 billion yuan; and the total net inflow of commodity - index ETFs was about 0.121 billion yuan, with a total scale of 2435.63 billion yuan. [34] - **Newly Established Funds**: This week, there were 27 newly established domestic funds, including 3 active equity funds. The total newly - issued share of active equity funds was about 2.152 billion shares, which was at the 50% quantile in the past year. Since the beginning of this year, 312 active equity funds have been newly issued, with a total scale of about 156.326 billion yuan, exceeding the levels of last year and 2023. 574 passive equity funds have been newly issued, with a total scale of about 307.153 billion yuan, significantly exceeding the levels of previous years. [40] 3.3 Main/Active Capital Flows - Active funds had a net inflow into electronics and communication. The main funds had a net outflow from electronics, computer, and basic chemicals this week. In terms of individual stocks, stocks with main - fund net inflow and small - and medium - sized order net outflow included Dongshan Precision, Shenghong Technology, BYD, Lingyizao, and Xiangnong Core Creation; stocks with main - fund net outflow and small - and medium - sized order net inflow included ZTE, Sungrow Power Supply, Tianfu Communication, Industrial Fulin, and Aerospace Development. In terms of industries, industries with main - fund net inflow and small - and medium - sized order net outflow were not specified; industries with main - fund net outflow and small - and medium - sized order net inflow included electronics, computer, basic chemicals, communication, and medicine. The net main - buying amount this week was about - 280.694 billion yuan, and active funds had a net inflow into electronics and communication. Active funds were more optimistic about stocks such as New E - Sheng, Dongshan Precision, Ping An of China, Shenghong Technology, and Changxinbochuang, while stocks such as China Merchants Bank, Kweichow Moutai, ZTE, Yonghui Superstores, and Industrial Fulin were net - sold by active funds. The industries with the highest net main - buying amounts were electronics and communication; the industries with relatively large outflows were medicine, basic chemicals, computer, machinery, and non - ferrous metals. [5][50]

Group 1: Core Insights - The report highlights a new growth cycle for energy storage, projecting significant increases in installed capacity and demand in both domestic and international markets [2][5][32] - Domestic energy storage demand is driven by capacity pricing and innovative business models, with a projected installed capacity of 163 GWh in 2025, a 47% year-on-year increase, and 265 GWh in 2026, a 60% increase [2][32] - Internationally, the U.S. is experiencing a surge in demand due to AI data centers, while Europe and emerging markets are also showing strong growth potential [2][34] Group 2: Domestic Market Dynamics - In the domestic market, the introduction of capacity pricing subsidies by local governments has significantly boosted the internal rate of return (IRR) for energy storage projects, with IRR rates ranging from 6% to 12% [2][13] - The report notes that from January to November 2025, domestic energy storage bidding reached 190 GWh, a 138% increase year-on-year, with a total of 175 GWh awarded [2][27] - The cumulative installed capacity of domestic energy storage reached 72 GWh from January to October 2025, marking a 42% increase year-on-year [2][27] Group 3: International Market Trends - The U.S. is expected to see a demand for approximately 53 GWh of new energy storage installations in 2025, driven by AI data centers and peak load shortages [2][34] - In Europe, the energy storage market is projected to grow significantly, with an expected installation of 20 GWh in 2025, a 131% increase year-on-year, and 42 GWh in 2026, a 109% increase [2][34] - Emerging markets, particularly in the Middle East, Australia, Southeast Asia, and South America, are anticipated to contribute to a combined installation of 34 GWh in 2025, a 220% increase year-on-year [2][34] Group 4: Industry Chain and Competitive Landscape - The global demand for energy storage batteries is projected to reach 628 GWh in 2025, a 91% increase, and 663 GWh in 2026, a 61% increase [2][6] - The report indicates that leading companies in the energy storage sector, such as Tesla and BYD, are expected to strengthen their market positions as battery prices stabilize and production capacity increases [2][6] - The integration of large battery cells is expected to reduce system costs by 10-15%, enhancing the competitive advantage of leading firms [2][6] Group 5: Investment Recommendations - The report recommends strong investment in large-scale energy storage companies, including Sungrow Power Supply, CATL, and BYD, as they are positioned to benefit from the anticipated growth in the market [2][6] - It also highlights the potential for growth in residential and commercial energy storage sectors, suggesting companies like DeYe and Airo Energy as promising investment opportunities [2][6]

Group 1 - The banking, steel, transportation, and real estate industries received significant attention from major funds, with the banking sector seeing a net inflow of 1.547 billion yuan [1] - The electronics, computer, communication, pharmaceutical, and defense industries experienced substantial net outflows, with the electronics sector facing nearly 18 billion yuan in sell-offs [1] Group 2 - Among individual stocks, Dongshan Precision received the highest net inflow of 1.508 billion yuan, with a weekly increase of 21.02% [1] - Shenghong Technology and BYD also saw notable net inflows of 1.379 billion yuan and 1.217 billion yuan, respectively [1] - In contrast, ZTE, Sungrow Power, and Tianfu Communication faced significant sell-offs, with net outflows of 5.317 billion yuan, 4.721 billion yuan, and 3.843 billion yuan, respectively [1]

Core Insights - The green energy sector is experiencing unexpected growth despite a political environment favoring fossil fuels, driven by increased demand from artificial intelligence applications [1][2] - The S&P Global Clean Energy Transition Index has significantly outperformed both the S&P 500 Index and the S&P Global Oil Index this year [1] Industry Performance - The clean energy sector's performance has surpassed expectations, particularly as investors had previously retreated from solar and wind stocks due to concerns over policy shifts under the Trump administration [2] - Global investments in clean energy infrastructure are being bolstered by countries like Germany and China, which are committing billions to support energy transition projects [3] Market Dynamics - Lower interest rates have positively impacted the outlook for green stocks, which remain undervalued compared to historical averages [4] - Increased investor interest in sustainable energy is noted, with a shift in focus from traditional tech stocks to clean energy opportunities [5] Company Highlights - Notable performers in the clean energy space include Bloom Energy Corp., which specializes in fuel cells, and Sungrow Power Supply Co., a major player in inverters and energy storage, both of which have seen significant stock price increases [5] - Siemens Energy AG has more than doubled in value, reflecting strong performance in the European market [5] Broader Market Context - The performance of clean energy stocks is outpacing that of major US technology companies, including Nvidia Corp., which has seen a more modest increase [6] - The oil market is facing a supply glut, influenced by increased US drilling, leading to a shift in OPEC's outlook towards a quarterly surplus [6]

作者|弗雷迪 数据支持| 勾股大数据（www.gogudata.com） 如果将2025年的A股市场比作一场大戏，海博思创无疑是其中最扣人心弦的主角。 当你打开它的K线图，一股强烈的视觉冲击力会瞬间抓住你的眼球：股价从年初那看似沉寂的57.00元低点起步，仿佛被点燃的火箭，旱地拔葱般一路狂 飙。 年初刚上市的时候估值才最低16倍（按静态PE，去年业绩算），正好是在储能行业最为悲观的时候。11月中旬盘中最高触及426.01元的高位，这种单年内 接近14倍的惊人涨幅，画出了一条陡峭而昂扬的上升曲线。 这并非单纯的资金博弈，K线背后，是市场对一家公司认知的修正。 01 "重估" 公司三季度表现，呈现了作为业务转折点的写照。 单季度实现营收33.90亿元，同比增长高达124.4%；归母净利润单季达到3.07亿元，同比暴增872%。前三季度营收增长超过50%，利润增长接近翻倍。 除了利润表的惊艳，现金流表的改善更具含金量。三季报显示，公司经营性现金流净额大幅转正，达到8.52亿元。此外，公司交付数据、应收帐款/应付 账款/存货周转天数显示，公司处在交付订单的良性轨道上。三季度毛利率波动较小，反映碳酸锂价格上涨的成本压力 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant growth and transformation of Haibo Shichuang in the energy storage sector, emphasizing its impressive stock performance and the positive market perception of the company as a key player in the industry [3][4]. Financial Performance - In Q3, the company achieved a revenue of 3.39 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 124.4%, while the net profit reached 307 million yuan, soaring by 872% [5]. - The operating cash flow turned positive, amounting to 852 million yuan, indicating a strong financial position [7]. Industry Trends - The domestic energy storage market is experiencing a boom, with new bidding data showing that the new energy storage bidding scale has exceeded 400 GWh from January to November 2025, a 75% increase year-on-year [8]. - A policy shift in 2025 will see the end of the "mandatory storage" model, allowing energy storage to develop independently from renewable energy projects, which is expected to enhance profitability [10][15]. Market Dynamics - The transition to independent energy storage projects is expected to significantly increase the market's growth potential, with projections indicating an additional 150-200 GW of installed capacity from 2025 to 2027, translating to approximately 600-800 GWh of new capacity [19]. - The company aims to deliver 300 GWh of products from 2026 to 2028, focusing heavily on independent storage and data center applications [19]. Competitive Landscape - The energy storage integration segment is highly competitive, with major players like Tesla and BYD also involved, but Haibo Shichuang maintains a leading market share of approximately 18.82% in the grid-side independent storage market [28]. - The company differentiates itself through its technical capabilities, particularly in battery management systems (BMS) and inverter technology, which are crucial for meeting the high standards required by the grid [30][31]. Business Model and Growth Strategy - The company is transitioning from being a storage system provider to offering full lifecycle services, leveraging its AI cloud platform for real-time battery monitoring and power trading support [34]. - The international market presents a significant growth opportunity, with overseas orders for energy storage systems expected to increase, particularly in regions like Europe and the Middle East [34]. Conclusion - The explosive growth of independent energy storage projects mirrors previous trends in solar and residential storage, positioning Haibo Shichuang for continued success as long as supportive policies remain in place [36].

2025 年 12 月 12 日 ︱证券研究部 叶海燕, CFA, CESGA 电话: +852 2533 3723 电邮: evayip@sbichinacapital.com 储能行业专题报告 储能风光无限，把握行业高景气 核心观点 全球能源转型加速、风光装机大幅增加令电网消纳压力攀升、储能经济性逐 步凸显、海内外支持政策频出，以及人工智能数据中心（AIDC）等新兴领域 崛起等多重驱动因素的共振之下，储能作为支撑构建新型电力系统的关键技 术，需求持续提升，而这一增长趋势有望在未来持续。据 EESA 统计，2019- 2023 年全球新型储能市场平均增速为 93%，2024 年全球储能新增装机约 188.5GWh，同比增长 80%，继续保持较高增速。EESA 预计 2025 年全球 储能市场新增装机将达到 265.1GWh，同比增长 41%。 碳中和承诺加速新能源的发展。"双碳"目标的大背景下，新型储能 2020 年 正式进入商业化阶段，其中以锂电池储能为代表的电化学储能迎来高速增长。 2026 年储能市场或延续高速增长态势。核心的驱动因素包括：（1）能源结 构向低碳转型，全球范围内可再生能源发电占比不断上 ...

Investment Rating - The report rates the electric power equipment industry as "stronger than the market" [3]. Core Viewpoints - The demand for electric power equipment is driven by the growth of data centers, which are becoming the core incremental application scenario for the industry. The report emphasizes the need to incorporate AI industry indicators to accurately gauge the demand for power distribution equipment [3][6]. - Capital expenditures from major cloud providers are a direct indicator of demand potential for power distribution equipment, with significant growth observed in overseas capital expenditures [9][12]. - The supply chain remains robust, with companies like NVIDIA and TSMC showing strong revenue growth, indicating a healthy supply of GPUs essential for data center operations [18][24]. - The application layer is witnessing an increase in AI model deployments, which directly impacts capital expenditure cycles and long-term demand for power distribution equipment [29][30]. Summary by Sections Demand Side - The report highlights that overseas cloud providers' capital expenditures reached $99.617 billion in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 80.39% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 9.54% [9]. - Domestic capital expenditures from Alibaba and Tencent showed a slowdown, with Alibaba's capital expenditure at 315.01 million yuan, up 80.10% year-on-year but down 18.55% quarter-on-quarter [12][15]. Supply Chain - NVIDIA's data center product revenue reached 362.571 billion yuan in Q3 2025, marking a historical peak with a quarter-on-quarter growth of 24.62% and a year-on-year growth of 66.44% [18]. - TSMC's revenue in November 2025 was 343.614 billion New Taiwan dollars, a year-on-year increase of 24.5% [24]. Application Layer - The report notes a steady increase in AI model updates and application deployments, which are crucial for determining the strength and sustainability of capital expenditure cycles [29]. - The price of tokens for AI models has decreased by over 50% following the release of new models, indicating a competitive market [46]. Key Recommendations - The report recommends investing in companies like Sunshine Power (300274.SZ) and suggests paying attention to Keda Data (002335.SZ), Kstar (002518.SZ), and Kelon Electronics (002121.SZ) as beneficiaries of the growing demand for power distribution equipment driven by data centers [3].