Investment Rating - The report suggests a long-term investment perspective, focusing on quality companies with strong core competitiveness and long-term value, particularly in the AI integration within the internet entertainment sector [3][5]. Core Insights - The overall market sentiment is cautious due to fluctuating expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and short-term impacts from regulatory policies in mainland China. The Hang Seng Technology Index has been under pressure, with many internet entertainment companies experiencing a downward trend in stock prices [3][5]. - The central economic work conference has set a tone for 2026 emphasizing "stability while seeking progress," which aims to boost economic vitality and consumer confidence, benefiting the internet entertainment sector directly [3][5]. - 2026 is anticipated to be a significant year for AI application and commercialization, with the integration of AI technology being a core factor determining future competitiveness in the internet entertainment sector [3][5]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index and the Hang Seng Technology Index experienced slight declines of -0.36% and -0.42% respectively during the week of January 19-23, 2026. The overall market sentiment is cautious, influenced by external factors and regulatory policies [4][5]. - The software and services sector's PE-TTM is at 28.9x, while the PS-TTM is at 5.3x, indicating high valuation levels compared to historical data [12][14]. Company Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on industry leaders such as: -阅文集团 (772.HK) -腾讯音乐 (TME.N) -浪潮数字企业 (596.HK) -百融云 (6608.HK) -阿里巴巴 (BABA.N) These companies are expected to have strong R&D and application capabilities in the AI wave, making them optimal choices for sharing in long-term industry growth [3][5]. Industry Data - The film industry is showing signs of mild recovery, with a box office of 3.04 billion yuan during the week of January 19-25, 2026. The new film "Return to Silent Hill" performed well, contributing significantly to the box office [25]. - The gaming market in China saw a year-on-year sales growth of 7.83% in October 2025, indicating robust potential and vitality in the gaming sector [28].

Group 1: Federal Reserve Decision - The Federal Reserve maintained the federal funds rate target range at 3.5% to 3.75%, ending a series of rate cuts since September of the previous year [1] - There was internal dissent within the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), with two members voting against the decision, advocating for a 25 basis point cut, indicating ongoing debates over monetary policy [1] - Fed Chairman Jerome Powell stated that the current policy rate is at a neutral level and highlighted the resilience of consumer spending and business investment, along with signs of stabilization in the unemployment rate [1] Group 2: Market Reactions - U.S. stock indices showed mixed results, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average slightly up by 0.02%, the Nasdaq Composite up by 0.17%, and the S&P 500 down by 0.01% [2] - The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose by 2.34%, reaching a new historical high, with significant gains in major semiconductor stocks such as Intel (up 11.04%) and Texas Instruments (up 9.94%) [4] - The semiconductor market is experiencing a broad recovery, with demand exceeding supply across nearly all segments, as noted by Argent Capital Management [5] Group 3: Tech Giants Earnings - Microsoft reported Q2 revenue of $81.27 billion, slightly exceeding market expectations, but the stock initially dropped over 7% in after-hours trading [6] - Meta's Q4 revenue reached $59.89 billion, a 24% year-over-year increase, leading to a stock price surge of over 9% in after-hours trading [6] - Tesla's adjusted EPS of $0.50 surpassed estimates, and the company announced developments in its humanoid robot and vehicle production, resulting in a 3% increase in stock price [6] Group 4: Chinese Stocks Performance - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index saw a slight increase of 0.32%, with individual stocks showing a mixed performance [7] - Notable gainers included New Oriental (up 5.32%) and Li Auto (up 2.39%), while Pinduoduo experienced a significant decline of 3.84% [7] Group 5: Precious Metals and Oil Market - Precious metals prices surged following the Fed's decision, with gold prices reaching a new high of $5,425.757 per ounce, and silver prices increasing by 10.15% to $116.71 per ounce [9] - Oil prices rose due to escalating tensions in Iran, with light crude oil futures up by 1.31% to $63.21 per barrel [9] Group 6: Market Outlook - The focus will be on the announcement of the new Federal Reserve chair and subsequent policy directions, with market expectations indicating a high probability of maintaining rates in March and April [10] - The semiconductor industry's recovery, tech giants' earnings, and geopolitical developments are expected to continue influencing global financial market volatility [10]

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve decided to maintain the federal funds rate unchanged, leading to record highs in spot gold and silver prices [1][5][6]. Group 1: Federal Reserve Decision - On January 28, the Federal Reserve announced it would keep the federal funds rate in the range of 3.50% to 3.75%, while upgrading its assessment of economic growth [5][6]. - The market anticipates that the Federal Reserve will maintain the current interest rates until the end of Powell's term [2][5]. - Powell indicated that current data does not suggest a significantly restrictive policy and mentioned that no rate hikes are expected in the next meeting [6][7]. Group 2: Market Reactions - Following the Federal Reserve's decision, U.S. Treasury yields rose, reflecting a robust expansion in economic activity and signs of stabilization in the unemployment rate [6]. - The Dow Jones increased by 12.19 points (0.02%) to 49,015.60, while the Nasdaq rose by 40.35 points (0.17%) to 23,857.45, and the S&P 500 slightly decreased by 0.57 points (-0.01%) to 6,978.03 [2][3]. Group 3: Gold and Silver Prices - On January 28, spot gold surged over 4.5%, reaching a new high of 5,413.805 USD/oz [3][8]. - By January 29, during the Asian trading session, both spot gold and COMEX gold prices surpassed 5,500 USD/oz [9][10]. - Spot silver also saw significant gains, breaking through 118 USD/oz, marking a new historical record [10].

Market Performance - The three major US stock indices closed mixed, with the Dow Jones down 0.83% at 49,003.41 points, the S&P 500 up 0.41% at 6,978.6 points, and the Nasdaq up 0.91% at 23,817.1 points [1] - Major European indices showed mixed results, with Germany's DAX down 0.07% at 24,916.7 points, France's CAC40 up 0.27% at 8,152.82 points, and the UK's FTSE 100 up 0.58% at 10,207.8 points [1] Sector Performance - Technology stocks generally rose, with Intel up over 3% and Amazon up over 2% [1] - Popular Chinese concept stocks had mixed performances, with TSMC up 1.67%, Alibaba up 0.78%, Pinduoduo up 0.05%, and Baidu up 1.00% [1] Commodity Prices - COMEX gold futures increased by 1.91% to $5,179.60 per ounce, while COMEX silver futures fell by 2.73% to $112.34 per ounce [1] - International oil prices rose collectively, with WTI crude oil up 3.2% at $62.57 per barrel and Brent crude oil up 2.98% at $66.71 per barrel [1] Currency and Bond Markets - The US dollar index fell by 1.34% to 95.7455, while the offshore RMB appreciated by 156.2 basis points to 6.9336 against the US dollar [1] - US Treasury yields were mixed, with the 2-year yield up 0.64 basis points at 3.596% and the 10-year yield up 2.79 basis points at 4.243% [1] - European bond yields rose collectively, with the UK 10-year yield up 2.8 basis points at 4.523% [1]

记者丨黎雨桐 编辑丨金珊 周二（1月27日），美国三大股指收盘涨跌不一，科技股表现强劲带动纳指和标普上涨。截至收盘，道指跌0.83%报49003.41点，标普500指数 涨0.41%报6978.6点，纳指涨0.91%报23817.1点。 | 道琼斯工业 | 纳斯达克指数 | 标普500 | | --- | --- | --- | | 49003.41 | 23817.10 | 6978.60 | | -408.99 -0.83% +215.74 +0.91% +28.37 +0.41% | | | | 纳斯达克100 | 中国金龙 | 中概股100 | | 25939.74 | 7866.61 | 2926.65 | | +226.53 +0.88% +37.65 +0.48% +10.58 +0.36% | | | | 美国科技七巨头 中概科技龙头 CBOE波动率 | | | | 66893.16 | 4430.95 | 16.15 | | +737.38 +1.11% +33.04 +0.75% +0.06 +0.37% | | | 科技七巨头中六家上涨，英伟达、苹果涨超1%，微软、亚马逊涨逾2%，特斯拉 ...

Company News - Shenwan Hongyuan (06806.HK) expects a net profit of approximately 9.1 to 10.1 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 74.64% to 93.83% [8] - China Overseas Property (02669.HK) anticipates a revenue increase of about 5% to 7% for the fiscal year 2025, while gross profit and net profit are expected to decline by approximately 3% to 4% and 9% to 10%, respectively, due to a slowdown in contract conversion speed in the real estate sector [8] - Minmetals Resources (01208.HK) expects its unaudited profits for the 2025 fiscal year to be negatively impacted by impairment expenses [8] - China Traditional Chinese Medicine (00570.HK) issued a profit warning, forecasting a net loss of approximately 350 to 500 million yuan for the 2025 fiscal year [8] - Emperor Watch and Jewellery (00887.HK) announced a profit increase, expecting a net profit of no less than 420 million HKD for the 2025 fiscal year, representing a year-on-year growth of over 60% [9] - Vanke Enterprises (02202.HK) plans to obtain a loan of up to 2.36 billion yuan from its major shareholder, Shenzhen Metro Group [10] Market Performance - The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index rose by 0.48%, with notable gains in popular Chinese concept stocks such as Kingsoft Cloud, which increased by 8.77%, and Bilibili, which rose by 3.43% [6] - The Hang Seng Index increased by 1.35%, closing at 27,126.95 points, while the Technology Index rose by 0.50% [6] - Market performance showed active interest in sectors such as insurance, semiconductors, and AI applications, while coal, internet healthcare, and pharmaceutical stocks faced downward pressure [7]

融 期 货 【期指期现数据跟踪】 期指数据 | | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅% | 基差 | 成交额-亿 | 成交量 | 变动 | 持仓量 | 变动 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 沪深300 | 4707 | ↑0.10 | | 7968.3 | | | | | | IF2602 | 4713.8 | ↑0.10 | 6.84 | 469.7 | 33112 | ↑4297 | 41677 | ↓328 | | IF2603 | 4719.4 | ↑0.11 | 12.44 | 1605 | 112956 | ↑28482 | 191907 | ↑18020 | | IF2606 | 4701.6 | ↑0.24 | -5.36 | 443.5 | 31319 | ↑10613 | 77122 | ↑4614 | | IF2609 | 4653.4 | ↑0.34 | -53.56 | 170.7 | 12162 | ↑5675 | 17758 | ↑6428 | | 上证50 | 3049.6 | ↑0.57 | | 239 ...

特朗普再发关税威胁。 当地时间1月26日（周一），美股三大指数集体收涨，纳指涨0.43%，道指涨0.64%，标普500指数 涨0.5%。苹果、Meta Platforms和微软等公司普遍上涨，这几家公司均将在本周公布财报。具体来 看，微软、Meta Platforms和特斯拉将于当地时间周三公布财报，苹果紧随其后于当地时间周四公 布。 其他消息方面，美国总统特朗普26日在社交媒体上宣布，由于韩国国会仍未批准两国政府此前达 成的贸易协议，美国对韩国汽车、木材、药品的进口关税以及其他"对等关税"的税率将从15%提 高至25%。 大型科技股涨跌互现 大型科技股涨跌互现。思科涨超3%，苹果、甲骨文涨近3%，Meta涨超2%，阿斯麦、谷歌-A、 IBM涨超1%；英特尔跌超5%，AMD、特斯拉跌超3%，美光科技跌超2%，英伟达、台积电小幅 下跌。 苹果收高2.97%，公司将于当地时间周四盘后公布最新财报。近日，摩根大通上调苹果目标价， 预测其iPhone 17强劲需求与成本控制将推动业绩超预期。摩根大通表示，iPhone需求好于预期以 及运营支出下降，可能推动苹果业绩超出市场预期。该行重申对这家科技巨头的"增持"评级，并 ...

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index closed at 26,750, up 0.45% for the day and 4.37% year-to-date[3] - The Nikkei 225 Index rose 0.29% to 53,847, with a year-to-date increase of 6.97%[3] - The S&P 500 Index ended at 6,916, with a slight increase of 0.03% and a year-to-date gain of 1.02%[3] Commodity and Currency Insights - Gold prices reached a historic high, surpassing $5,000 per ounce, driven by geopolitical tensions[13] - The Japanese yen rebounded strongly, with significant daily gains, as the market anticipates potential government intervention[13] Sector Performance - The commercial aerospace sector saw significant gains, with JunDa shares rising over 51% following the launch of six platforms aimed at accelerating satellite development[9] - The photovoltaic sector also performed well, with notable increases in stocks like KaiSheng New Energy (up 14.44%) and Xinyi Solar (up 11.15%) due to support from Tesla's CEO for solar energy development[9] U.S. Market Dynamics - The U.S. stock market showed mixed results, with the Nasdaq and S&P 500 slightly up, while the Dow Jones fell nearly 0.6%[9] - Notable individual stock movements included Goldman Sachs dropping nearly 4% and Nvidia rising 1.5%[10] Economic Indicators - Japan's core CPI for December 2025 rose 2.4%, aligning with expectations, while the manufacturing PMI for January 2026 increased to 51.5, indicating expansion[13]

| 代码 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Hટા | 恒生指数 | 26844.04c | 94.53 | 0.35% | | HSTECH | 恒生科技 | 5801.15 c | 3.14 | 0.05% | | HSBIO | 恒生生物科技 | 15924.23c | -12.84 | -0.08% | | HSCEI | 恒生中国企业指数 | 9188.19c | 27.38 | 0.30% | | HSCI | 恒生综合指数 | 4135.95c | 13.37 | 0.32% | 贵金属板块大涨，老铺黄金现涨超11%，中国白银集团涨超8%，赤峰黄金涨超7%，紫金矿业、山东黄 金、珠峰黄金、灵宝黄金、中国黄金国际等涨超5%。 科网股多数下跌，小鹏汽车跌近4%，百度集团、哔哩哔哩、快手跌超3%，蔚来、零跑汽车跌超2%；腾 讯音乐涨超3%。 1月26日，香港恒生指数开盘涨0.35%，恒生科技指数涨0.05%。 | 代码 | 名称 | 规价 | 消歧 | A 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | - ...