| 项目类别 | 数据指标 | | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | 主力合约收盘价（日，元/吨） | | 96,560.00 | -380.00↓ 前20名净持仓（日，手） | -180,180.00 | -9007.00↓ | | | 主力合约持仓量（日，手） | | 552,239.00 | +8606.00↑ 近远月合约价差（日，元/吨） | -180.00 | +380.00↑ | | | 广期所仓单（日，手/吨） | | 8,992.00 | +770.00↑ | | | | 现货市场 | 电池级碳酸锂平均价（日，元/吨） | | 94,400.00 | +50.00↑ 工业级碳酸锂平均价（日，万元/吨） | 91,950.00 | +50.00↑ | | | Li₂CO₃主力合约基差（日，元/吨） | | -2,160.00 | +430.00↑ | | | | 上游情况 | 锂辉石精矿(6%CIF中国)平均价（日，美元/吨） | | 1,230.00 | 0.00 磷锂铝石 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - There is no information provided regarding the report industry investment rating in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - For alumina, suggest light - position oscillatory trading, control rhythm and trading risks due to factors like supply and demand changes and technical indicators [2]. - For electrolytic aluminum, recommend light - position oscillatory trading, pay attention to rhythm and trading risks considering supply - demand situation and option market sentiment [2]. - For cast aluminum alloy, advocate light - position oscillatory trading, control rhythm and trading risks based on raw material supply, supply - demand and technical analysis [2]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market - **Aluminum - related Contracts**: The closing price of the Shanghai aluminum main contract is 21,910 yuan/ton, up 45 yuan; the main - second - consecutive contract spread is - 75 yuan, up 10 yuan. The main contract position of Shanghai aluminum is 258,440 hands, down 7,183 hands. The LME aluminum three - month quotation is 2,888 US dollars/ton, up 23 US dollars; the LME aluminum inventory is 537,900 tons, down 1,150 tons. The Shanghai - London ratio is 7.59, down 0.05 [2]. - **Alumina Contracts**: The closing price of the alumina futures main contract is 2,670 yuan/ton, down 7 yuan; the main - second - consecutive contract spread is - 85 yuan, up 1 yuan. The main contract position of alumina is 358,708 hands, down 1,212 hands [2]. - **Cast Aluminum Alloy Contracts**: The closing price of the cast aluminum alloy main contract is 21,095 yuan/ton, up 40 yuan; the main - second - consecutive contract spread is - 115 yuan, down 60 yuan. The main contract position is 15,759 hands, up 12,052 hands [2]. 3.2 Spot Market - **Aluminum Spot**: The price of Shanghai Non - ferrous Network A00 aluminum is 21,730 yuan/ton, up 280 yuan; the price of Yangtze River Non - ferrous Market AOO aluminum is 21,730 yuan/ton, down 40 yuan. The Shanghai Material Trade aluminum premium/discount is - 60 yuan, unchanged. The LME aluminum premium/discount is - 27.51 US dollars/ton, down 1.56 US dollars [2]. - **Alumina Spot**: The alumina spot price of Shanghai Non - ferrous is 2,770 yuan/ton, unchanged. The average price (tax - included) of ADC12 aluminum alloy ingots nationwide is 21,500 yuan/ton, unchanged [2]. - **Base - related Data**: The base of cast aluminum alloy is 405 yuan/ton, down 305 yuan; the base of electrolytic aluminum is - 180 yuan/ton, up 235 yuan; the base of alumina is 100 yuan/ton, up 7 yuan [2]. 3.3 Upstream Situation - **Alumina Production and Supply - demand**: The monthly output of alumina is 786.50 million tons, down 13.40%. The demand for alumina (electrolytic aluminum part) is 730.23 million tons, up 25.92 million tons. The supply - demand balance of alumina is 37.98 million tons, down 8.87 million tons [2]. - **Aluminum Scrap Trade**: The average price of crushed raw aluminum in Foshan metal scrap is 17,150 yuan/ton, up 200 yuan; in Shandong metal scrap is 16,700 yuan/ton, up 150 yuan. China's import of aluminum scrap and fragments is 158,360.01 tons, up 2,945.61 tons; export is 32.46 tons, down 36.08 tons [2]. - **Alumina Import and Export**: The export of alumina is 18.00 million tons, down 7.00 million tons; the import is 18.93 million tons, up 12.93 million tons [2]. 3.4 Industry Situation - **Electrolytic Aluminum**: The import of primary aluminum is 248,261.37 tons, up 4,462 tons; the export is 24,573.56 tons, down 4,396.36 tons. The total production capacity of electrolytic aluminum is 4,523.20 million tons, unchanged. The production of electrolytic aluminum is affected by winter environmental protection and seasonal demand, showing a slight decline [2]. - **Aluminum Products**: The monthly output of aluminum products is 569.40 million tons, down 20.60 million tons. The export of unwrought aluminum and aluminum products is 50.00 million tons, down 2.00 million tons [2]. - **Recycled Aluminum Alloy**: The production of recycled aluminum alloy ingots is 60.83 million tons, down 4.82 million tons. The export of aluminum alloy is 3.09 million tons, up 0.74 million tons [2]. 3.5 Downstream and Application - **Automobile Industry**: The monthly output of automobiles is 327.90 million vehicles, up 5.25 million vehicles [2]. - **Real Estate**: The National Housing Prosperity Index is 92.43, down 0.34 [2]. 3.6 Option Situation - The 20 - day historical volatility of Shanghai aluminum is 10.66%, down 0.30%; the 40 - day historical volatility is 10.72%, down 0.01%. The implied volatility of the Shanghai aluminum main - contract at - the - money IV is 10.04%, up 0.0081. The call - put ratio is 1.69, up 0.0507 [2]. 3.7 Industry News - The US November ISM manufacturing PMI index dropped 0.5 points to 48.2, below the boom - bust line of 50 for nine consecutive months [2]. - In November, BYD's new - energy vehicle sales were 480,200 units. Zero - Run's total delivery reached 70,327 units, up over 75% year - on - year. Other auto companies also had different sales performances [2]. - French President Macron will visit China from December 3 - 5 [2]. - The production schedule of the three major white - goods in December 2025 is 30.18 million units, down 14.1% compared with the same period last year [2]. 3.8 Alumina View Summary - The alumina main contract oscillates downward, with decreasing positions, spot premium, and strengthening basis. Supply may gradually converge due to profit issues, and demand shows some resilience. Suggest light - position oscillatory trading [2]. 3.9 Electrolytic Aluminum View Summary - The Shanghai aluminum main contract oscillates stronger, with decreasing positions, spot discount, and strengthening basis. Supply decreases slightly, and demand has some resilience due to end - of - year factors. The option market sentiment is bullish. Recommend light - position oscillatory trading [2]. 3.10 Cast Aluminum Alloy View Summary - The cast aluminum main contract oscillates, with increasing positions, spot premium, and weakening basis. Supply may decline due to raw material shortage, and demand has some support from end - of - year consumption. Suggest light - position oscillatory trading [2].

Core Insights - The automotive industry in mainland China is experiencing a significant divergence in sales performance as major car manufacturers report their November sales figures, with the impact of the "two new" policies fading and sales growth slowing down or even declining [1][2][3] Group 1: Sales Performance - Geely Automobile reported November sales of 310,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 24% and a month-on-month increase of 1%, with a cumulative total of 2.79 million units for the first eleven months, representing a 42% year-on-year increase [1] - Leap Motor achieved over 70,000 units in November, maintaining a year-on-year growth of 75%, with a cumulative delivery of 536,000 units for the first eleven months, up 113% year-on-year [2] - Xiaomi Automobile delivered over 40,000 units in November, maintaining this level for three consecutive months, and is expected to exceed its annual target of 350,000 units by the third week of December [3] Group 2: New Energy Vehicles - Geely's new energy vehicle sales reached 188,000 units in November, a year-on-year increase of 53%, with a penetration rate exceeding 60% [1] - Leap Motor's B and C series vehicles are seeing increased deliveries, with the A10 model recently unveiled at the Guangzhou International Auto Show [2] - The "Five Realms" product matrix of Chery Automobile has been completed, indicating strong future performance potential [2] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Ideal Auto's November deliveries were 33,000 units, a year-on-year decrease of 32%, with cumulative deliveries for the first eleven months at 362,000 units, down 18% year-on-year [3] - NIO's November sales were 36,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 76%, but cumulative deliveries for the first eleven months were only 278,000 units, indicating challenges in meeting year-end targets [3] - The overall industry is facing a challenging environment with regulatory pressures and the withdrawal of subsidies, limiting the potential for significant changes in market structure in December [3]

行情回顾 1.新能源汽车相关板块一周行情梳理 同花顺数据显示，上周（11月24日-11月28日，下同），新能源汽车指数（885431.TI）周内上涨 4.48%，跑赢沪深300指数2.84%。其中，汽车相关板块中表现最好的是汽车服务及其他指数 （881128.TI），周涨幅为3.91%。新能源车电池相关板块中表现最好的是锂电池指数（884309.TI），周 涨幅为5.32%。 2.上市公司一周（11月24日-11月28日）行情梳理 新能源整车 | 代码 | 证券名称 | 收盘价(元) | 周涼跌幅(%) | 重点主营产品类型 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 601238.SH | 广汽集团 | 9.25 | 21.71 | 燃油车、新能源车 | | 002594.SZ | 比亚迪 | 95.17 | 2.66 | 汽车业务 | | 600733.SH | 北汽蓝谷 | 7.84 | 2.35 | 纯电动乘用车 | | 601127.SH | 赛力斯 | 126.19 | 2.26 | 汽车 | | 600418.SH | 江淮汽车 | 49.0 | 1.53 | 乘用车 ...

文｜深毒商业 字节下场"造"手机，为豆包寻找落地载体？ 据划重点报道，字节跳动和中兴通讯合作的AI手机即将发布。其中，字节主导豆包大模型的植入与AI 交互功能定义，中兴则主导硬件定义、产品设计和生产制造。 该手机的核心差异化在于高权限Agent能力。手机系统内嵌AI Agent，拥有比普通App更高的系统权限， 能跨应用执行复杂指令，完成复杂任务，相比目前"智能手机+大模型/AI应用"的体验大幅提升。 而这一举动，也被认作是字节对阿里推出千问、腾讯开发微信Agent等动作的最新回应，同样也是对荣 耀、华为、OPPO等硬件厂商的宣战。 那么，在AI Agent的市场上到底聚集了几路人马？他们各自在通过什么样的方式来实现AI Agent？各自 又遇到了哪些挫折呢？ 通过"赋能"方式参与市场，鸿蒙智行得以聚焦于自身擅长的ICT与智能技术领域，而无需深度介入重资 产环节——例如整车制造、生产线运营、库存管理以及复杂的售后服务体系。这种轻资产的合作模式， 有助于其更高效地配置资源，专注于核心技术的研发与迭代。 01 字节"造"手机，走鸿蒙智行的老路？ 关于字节涉足手机领域的传闻，在2025年中多次曝出，但每一次字节都予 ...

Core Insights - The article highlights the strong growth momentum of the company, Seres, in the electric vehicle market, with November sales reaching 55,203 units, a year-on-year increase of 49.84% [1] - The company has received positive ratings from over 40 brokerage firms, indicating strong market confidence in its brand, profitability, and future growth potential [1] - Financially, Seres has achieved significant results with a revenue of 110.534 billion yuan and a net profit of 5.312 billion yuan for the first three quarters, reflecting a year-on-year profit growth of 31.56% [2] Sales Performance - In November, Seres' electric vehicle sales reached 55,203 units, marking a 49.84% increase compared to the previous year [1] - Cumulative sales from January to November totaled 411,288 units, showcasing the company's robust market resilience [1] - The AITO brand has delivered over 900,000 units, with the M9 model surpassing 260,000 units and the M8 model exceeding 130,000 units, solidifying its leadership in the luxury electric vehicle market [1] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters, Seres reported a revenue of 110.534 billion yuan and a net profit of 5.312 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 29.95%, the highest among domestic brands [2] - The company's profitability is expected to improve further due to the ramp-up of M8 production, continued sales of the new M7 model, and the introduction of new models [2] - The successful listing on the Hong Kong stock market raised over 14 billion HKD, which will support the company's strategic initiatives in technology development, international expansion, and capacity building [2] Competitive Advantage - Seres has established a competitive edge through product competitiveness, brand influence, capital empowerment, and global expansion strategies [2] - The company aims to replicate its domestic success in the international market, aspiring to build a globally influential Chinese luxury brand [2]

1-11月，汽车产量合计约46.04万辆，同比增加0.73%；汽车销量合计45.31万辆，同比减少0.52%。其 中，新能源汽车销量约41.13万辆，同比增加5.58%。 【财华社讯】赛力斯(09927.HK)公布，11月份，汽车产量合计约5.89万辆，同比增加30.36%；汽车销量 合计约5.81万辆，同比增加36.34%。于11月，新能源汽车销量约5.52万辆，同比增加49.8%。 本文源自：财华网 ...

比亚迪11月新能源汽车销量48.02万辆领跑，鸿蒙智行以超8万辆领跑创新高，极氪、零跑分别交付超6万和7万辆。小米再破4万辆并推出现车选 购。蔚来多品牌战略交付3.6万辆，同比增76.3%。理想交付3.3万辆，新款i6和i8订单破10万。智己汽车交付实现连续三月破万。 临近年终，中国新能源车企开始冲刺，不过格局有所分化：超过半数企业实现月交付量破万，且头部企业销量领先优势进一步拉大。 12月1日，最新公布的初步数据显示，新能源汽车市场在年末冲刺阶段呈现明显分化格局。比亚迪11月新能源汽车销量48.02万辆领跑，鸿蒙智行 交付量超8万辆，极氪科技和零跑汽车分别以超6万辆和7万辆位居前列。"蔚小理"较上一月的交付量均出现不同程度的下滑；而在纯电转型关键期 遭遇交付波动的理想汽车，则再次垫底排行榜。 12月2日盘初，港股汽车股表现分化，"蔚小理"集体下跌， 跌超5%， 跌超3%； 再涨超7%， 涨近3%。 | 圖表 | 成分股 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 序號 | 代碼 | 名稱 | 最新價 | 漲跌幅 ◆ | 成交額 | 總市 ...

Market Performance - In November 2025, major global stock indices showed a weak overall performance, with the Dow Jones and S&P 500 recording positive returns, while most European and Asia-Pacific indices declined[3] - The Hang Seng Index fell by 4.4%, while the MSCI Global Market decreased by 4.1%[3] Sector Performance - The Hang Seng industry indices displayed a "defensive dominance" pattern, with sectors like Consumer, Energy, Financials, and Telecommunications recording positive returns, indicating a preference for traditional industries with defensive attributes in a weak risk appetite environment[7] - The Consumer sector led with a return of 4.6%, followed by Energy at 4.4% and Financials at 3.6%[6] IPO and Financing Activity - In November 2025, the Hong Kong IPO market saw 11 new listings, raising approximately HKD 40.6 billion, primarily driven by two automotive stocks[13] - The refinancing activity included 53 companies announcing share placements, expected to raise around HKD 31.16 billion, mainly in the real estate and automotive sectors[13] Macroeconomic Insights - The Federal Reserve's interest rate expectations showed significant volatility, with a drop of 20 percentage points to 30% on November 19, followed by a rise of 32 percentage points to 71% on November 21, indicating ongoing uncertainty in monetary policy[15] - In China, the government emphasized enhancing consumer supply-demand adaptability as a key strategy, aiming for a high-quality development framework by 2030[17] Market Outlook - The U.S. stock market is expected to remain in a consolidation phase, with limited downside potential, while sectors with solid earnings support may show resilience[18] - The Hong Kong market is likely to experience narrow fluctuations, supported by positive policy expectations, with a focus on technology, high-dividend, and domestic consumption sectors[18]

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market experienced fluctuations, with the Hang Seng Index closing at 23,831 points, down 145 points or 0.61% [1] - The US stock market saw declines across major indices, with the Dow Jones falling by 427.09 points or 0.90% [2] - Southbound funds maintained a net inflow of 121.9 billion HKD in November, indicating continued interest in Hong Kong stocks [3] Sector Performance - The materials sector, particularly non-ferrous metals, led the gains in the Hong Kong market, with notable increases in stock prices for companies like Sunny Optical Technology, which rose by 6.2%, and Zijin Mining, which increased by 5.3% [1][5] - In the US market, technology stocks faced profit-taking pressure, particularly in AI-related stocks, contributing to the overall market decline [2] Investment Opportunities - The report emphasizes the importance of technological self-reliance as a core theme for future performance in the Hong Kong market, suggesting that leading companies in AI, semiconductors, and industrial software may present long-term growth opportunities [3] - Specific recommendations include focusing on sectors with lower valuations and higher dividends, as well as companies benefiting from anticipated Federal Reserve interest rate cuts [3] Company Highlights - XPeng Motors reported a 19% year-on-year increase in vehicle deliveries for November, totaling 36,728 units, and a cumulative delivery of 391,937 units for the year, reflecting a 156% increase [9] - Alibaba, ZTE, and Meituan were among the top net purchases by southbound funds, indicating strong investor interest in these companies [9] Stock Performance - The Hang Seng Index and its sub-indices showed varied performance over the past month, with the Hang Seng Technology Index up by 0.8% [16] - Notable stock performances include Tencent Holdings, which saw a 1.3% increase, and Alibaba, which rose by 2.2% [16]