证券研究报告 | 2026年01月27日 $\Delta$H${}_{\rm H}$H${}_{\rm H}$H${}_{\rm H}$H${}_{\rm H}$H${}_{\rm H}$H${}_{\rm H}$H${}_{\rm H}$H${}_{\rm H}$H${}_{\rm H}$H${}_{\rm H}$H${}_{\rm H}$H${}_{\rm H}$H${}_{\rm H}$H${}_{\rm H}$H${}_{\rm H}$H${}_{\rm H}$H${}_{\rm H}$H${}_{\rm H}$H${}_{\rm H}$H${}_{\rm H}$H${}_{\rm H}$H${}_{\rm H}$H${}_{\rm H}$H${}_{\rm H}$H${}_{\rm H}$ 公募 FOF 基金 2025 年四季度概览 截至 2025Q4，全市场已成立FOF产品数量 549 只，合计规模为 2441.88 亿元，相比 2025Q3 增加 26.20%。根据穿透后权益资产占比将FOF划 分为偏债型FOF、平衡型FOF和偏股型FOF，2025Q4 规模分别为 1611.13 亿元、454. ...

资料来源：聚源，华源证券研究所，截至2026年01月27日 华源晨会精粹 20260127 金融工程 资金流向混债二级基金，周期和大金融占比提升——主动型公募基金 2025 年四季报分析：2025 年四季度公募基金总规模变动不大，但不同类别的基金 规模发生明显切换：投资者因追求稳健收益，资金从高波动的主动权益基金（较上 季度规模缩减 1823 亿元）和低风险的纯债基金（较上季度规模缩减 868 亿元）流出， 向中低风险的含权债基（较上季度规模增加 2398 亿元）迁移，与此同时，含权债基 的新发热度升高，发行数量创下 2020 年以来单季度新高。主动权益基金：对港股的 配置热情明显下降，显著增配周期板块。行业维度上，电子、通信、电新为重仓前 三，有色金属、基础化工和非银主动加仓最多。股债混合型基金：同样呈现出减仓 港股、加仓创业板的特征，2025 年四季度重仓股中占比最高的三个行业分别为电子、 有色和通信，主动加仓最多的行业为电子、通信和非银。含权债基：是承接资金向 中低风险迁移的重要方向，权益配置上向周期和大金融倾斜，对医药板块的减仓幅 度较大；债券方面，持续降低可转债仓位，转向利率债和信用债。纯债基金：是 ...

来源丨凤凰网财经《IPO观察哨》 作为2026年A股首单获受理的IPO项目，上海燧原科技股份有限公司（下称"燧原科技"）于1月22日正式向上交所科创板提交上市申请，拟募资60亿 元，保荐机构为中信证券。这笔募集资金将重点投向第五代、第六代AI芯片研发及产业化、先进人工智能软硬件协同创新等项目，为公司核心技术迭 代与供应链安全保障注入动力。 然而，这笔大额募资背后，难掩公司对腾讯的深度依赖——作为"国产GPU四小龙"中最后冲刺资本市场的玩家，燧原科技自成立起便与腾讯形成"资 本+订单"的强绑定关系，关联交易已成为其营收的绝对支柱，独立经营能力缺失、客户结构失衡等隐忧凸显，而这些问题也在其披露的财务数据中暴 露无遗，为此次IPO闯关蒙上阴影。 01 拟募60亿募资背后，与腾讯关联交易主导营收命脉 资料显示，燧原科技成立于2018年3月，在"国产GPU四小龙"中起步最早，但IPO进程却最为滞后。公司创始团队堪称芯片行业"老兵"，具备深厚的 技术积淀与管理经验：创始人、董事长兼CEO赵立东曾任职AMD计算事业部高级总监、紫光集团副总裁，拥有超过20年芯片研发与管理经验，主导 过多款核心芯片的研发落地；另一位创始人、总 ...

Core Viewpoint - The case against the star fund manager Shi Cheng highlights the challenges faced by Guotou Ruijin in its equity investment business, revealing significant losses and management issues within the firm [1][2][3] Group 1: Fund Manager and Performance - Shi Cheng, a prominent fund manager at Guotou Ruijin, was sued by an investor for financial contract disputes, marking a significant fall from grace for a manager who once thrived in the booming new energy sector [2][3][4] - From 2022 to 2024, the six funds managed by Shi Cheng incurred losses exceeding 160 billion yuan, with annual profits recorded as -29.24 billion yuan, -32.16 billion yuan, -57.52 billion yuan, -35.71 billion yuan, -1.65 billion yuan, and -6.45 billion yuan [4][5][6] - Shi Cheng's management scale plummeted from a peak of 212.87 billion yuan in 2021 to 87.86 billion yuan by the end of 2024, a reduction of over 125 billion yuan [5][6][18] Group 2: Strategic Shifts and Compliance Risks - In 2025, Shi Cheng attempted to pivot from new energy stocks to AI-related investments, which led to a short-term performance rebound, achieving a weighted return of 68.76%, significantly outperforming the benchmark [6][19] - However, this shift raised compliance concerns as it violated the fund's contract stipulating that at least 80% of assets must be in new energy sectors [19][20] Group 3: Company Challenges and Management Issues - Guotou Ruijin has faced ongoing difficulties, with its equity investment team, including managers like Qi Fapeng and Sang Jun, also reporting poor performance and significant asset shrinkage [2][20][21] - The overall management scale of Guotou Ruijin decreased from approximately 2786.45 billion yuan in 2024 to about 2542.53 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a loss of nearly 243.92 billion yuan [22][23] - The firm is also experiencing a "miniaturization" issue, with many of its funds falling below the 3 billion yuan threshold, raising concerns about potential fund closures [22][23] Group 4: Future Outlook and Strategic Changes - Guotou Ruijin is undergoing a strategic transformation, influenced by changes in its management team and shareholder structure, particularly following UBS's acquisition of Credit Suisse [24][25] - The dual ownership of Guotou Ruijin and ICBC Credit Suisse by UBS may impact resource allocation and strategic direction for Guotou Ruijin moving forward [25][26]

来源：连线Insight /王慧莹 编辑/子夜 1月23日，阿里巴巴港股开盘站上171港元/股高位，创下去年11月以来的新高。 让阿里股价应声大涨的，是旗下低调了八年的芯片制作业务——平头哥。1月 22 日，彭博社披露，阿里计划将平头哥重组为员工持股的独立实体，随后启 动IPO进程。 全栈式自研，平头哥赌对了 尽管此次独立上市尚属传闻阶段，但伴随国内外科技企业在AI算力的投入及资本化动作，平头哥上市的动作早就在市场的意料之中。 说起平头哥，这个最早始于阿里达摩院的芯片项目组，在2018年云栖大会上被拆分，自此踏上了攻克半导体核心技术的征程。 文 图源平头哥官网 "八年磨一剑"，关于分拆平头哥的消息有很多，芯片向来牵动阿里的神经。去年9月，阿里股价也因阿里造芯动作随之大涨。随着阿里AI战略愈加明朗， 若成功上市，便意味着平头哥站在了新的起点上。 一路走来，平头哥不仅要支撑阿里内部需求，还要面对广阔的市场，打造独立的商业闭环。这条布满荆棘的自研造芯之路上，平头哥始终在迎难而上，如 今，或许到了结果的时刻。 承载着阿里做芯片的野心，平头哥的发展轨迹颇具代表性：从首款AI推理芯片"含光800"，到CPU、GPU、存储 ...

Investment Rating - The report indicates a strong performance of public actively managed equity funds in 2025, with a notable increase in the allocation to non-ferrous metals and non-bank financials, while reducing exposure to media and electronics sectors [1][3][40]. Core Insights - Public actively managed equity funds showed robust excess returns in 2025, with the mixed equity fund index (885001.WI) rising by 33.19%, outperforming major broad-based indices [1][14]. - The allocation to Hong Kong stocks decreased significantly, while the proportion of investments in the ChiNext board increased [2][30]. - There was a substantial increase in allocations to non-ferrous metals and non-bank financials, while reductions were seen in media and electronics sectors [3][42]. Summary by Sections Fund Performance - As of Q4 2025, the total scale of public actively managed equity funds is approximately 3.90 trillion, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 4.10% [1][12]. - The share of public actively managed equity funds decreased by 2.53% in Q4 2025 [18]. Sector Allocation Changes - The allocation to non-ferrous metals increased to 8.03%, up by 2.14 percentage points from the previous quarter, marking a continuous rise over four quarters [42]. - The allocation to the electronics sector decreased to 23.78%, down by 1.85 percentage points [43]. - The proportion of investments in the ChiNext board rose from 23.72% in Q3 to 24.91% in Q4 2025 [2][30]. Top Holdings - The top individual stock in public fund allocations is Zhongji Xuchuang, with a holding ratio of 4.04%, primarily due to its price increase rather than new acquisitions [4][40]. - The most actively increased holdings include China Ping An (+0.43 percentage points) and Dongshan Precision (+0.41 percentage points) [4].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the emergence of a 200 billion yuan "patient capital" initiative in Nanjing, which is leading the national primary market and aims to foster high-quality development through a structured industrial fund cluster [2][3][5]. Group 1: Nanjing's Industrial Fund Initiatives - Nanjing's government has introduced 42 policy measures across nine areas to support advanced manufacturing, focusing on building an industrial fund cluster exceeding 200 billion yuan [5]. - The "4+N" industrial fund cluster aims to establish a mother fund for key industries, allowing for direct investments or investments through special purpose vehicles (SPVs), with individual project investments capped at 100 million yuan [5][6]. - As of January, the "4+N" industrial fund cluster has established 52 funds with a total scale exceeding 1.3 trillion yuan [7]. Group 2: Jiangsu's Broader Capital Strategy - Jiangsu province is developing a clear and distinctive strategic emerging industry fund cluster, with a total scale of 500 billion yuan for the provincial mother fund and 506 billion yuan for the first batch of 14 specialized industry funds [8]. - The provincial mother fund focuses on early-stage, small-scale, long-term investments in hard technology, allowing for a higher tolerance for losses in angel investments [8]. Group 3: Regional Capital Dynamics - The article emphasizes that the Yangtze River Delta region is at the forefront of the primary market recovery, with a surge in the establishment of industrial funds and increased fundraising activity [11]. - Various mother funds have been launched in the region, including social security funds and central enterprise mother funds, with Jiangsu leading in investment frequency by 2025 [12]. - Zhejiang province is also actively preparing a 100 billion yuan future industry fund and has introduced several large-scale fund clusters to support technological innovation and high-quality development [13]. Group 4: Collaborative Efforts in the Yangtze River Delta - The establishment of a 1 trillion yuan national venture capital guidance fund in the Yangtze River Delta signifies a significant collaborative effort among regional state-owned assets from Shanghai, Jiangsu, Anhui, and Zhejiang [14]. - This fund is expected to enhance resource collaboration across the region, reinforcing the Yangtze River Delta's position as a core driver of China's venture capital industry [14]. Group 5: Conclusion on Market Trends - The article concludes that the warming of the primary market and the influx of capital into the Yangtze River Delta region are indicative of a new development cycle, driven by technological innovation and policy incentives [16].

Group 1: Core Insights - The Sci-Tech Innovation Board (STAR Market) has surpassed 600 listed companies with a total market capitalization exceeding 10 trillion yuan [1][16] - The Beijing Municipal People's Congress emphasized the development of high-tech industries, including integrated circuits, international pharmaceutical innovation parks, and advanced energy projects [1][16] - Policies are increasingly supportive of technology-driven enterprises, particularly those focusing on "hard technology" and core technological breakthroughs [2][17] Group 2: Industry Dynamics - The STAR Market is witnessing significant growth in sectors such as electronics, biomedicine, computing, power equipment, and machinery, which together account for 88% of the market capitalization [3][19] - Recent trends indicate a rebound in the STAR Market, particularly in the chip, information technology, and new materials sectors [3][18] - The demand for high-end semiconductors is driven by AI infrastructure development, leading to increased orders for semiconductor equipment and materials [5][20] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The STAR Market's focus on hard technology includes sectors like electronic chips, emerging software, and intelligent manufacturing, reflecting the rise of advanced manufacturing in China [2][17] - ETFs related to hard technology, such as the Sci-Tech Chip ETF (588290) and Sci-Tech Information ETF (588260), are highlighted as long-term investment opportunities [2][17] - The pharmaceutical sector is experiencing a dual push for innovation, with Chinese companies both exporting their products and acquiring foreign assets to enhance their portfolios [8][22]

Core Viewpoint - The latest public fund top ten heavy positions show a shift towards AI, technology, and new energy, while Guizhou Moutai remains the only traditional consumer stock in the top ten [1] Group 1: Changes in Fund Holdings - Public funds are increasingly favoring AI, technology, and new energy sectors, indicating a diversification in investment strategies [1] - Guizhou Moutai continues to be a stronghold in the portfolios of many funds, reflecting a persistent interest in traditional consumer stocks despite the overall trend [1] Group 2: Performance of Guizhou Moutai - By the end of 2025, Guizhou Moutai is the only traditional consumer stock among the top ten holdings of active equity funds, with the remaining nine being tech and new energy companies [1] - As of the end of 2025, 1,048 funds held Guizhou Moutai, with a total market value of 118.203 billion yuan, ranking fourth among the top ten heavy positions [1] Group 3: Long-term Commitment to Guizhou Moutai - Among nearly 300 funds holding Moutai, four funds have a holding value exceeding 1 billion yuan, collectively over 7 billion yuan [2] - Funds like E Fund Blue Chip Select and Invesco Great Wall New Growth have maintained positions in Guizhou Moutai for 29 and 36 consecutive quarters, respectively, indicating strong confidence in its business model and profitability [2]

Investment Rating - The report suggests a focus on companies in the advanced packaging industry and highlights potential investment opportunities in CPU manufacturers like AMD and Intel [3][4]. Core Insights - Intel's recent earnings report confirms a shortage of CPUs, with a revenue of $13.67 billion for Q4 2025, a year-on-year decline of 4.1% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3%. The client computing group (CCG) revenue was $8.19 billion, down 6.6% year-on-year, while the data center and AI (DCAI) segment saw a revenue increase of 8.9% to $4.74 billion [2]. - The report emphasizes the rising importance of CPU performance in the Agentic AI era, suggesting that CPU shortages could significantly enhance the profitability of related companies [3]. - The advanced packaging supply chain is experiencing increased demand due to AI investments, with companies like TSMC facing capacity constraints and price increases expected in the packaging sector [4]. - Domestic packaging companies are anticipated to benefit from strong overseas demand and a surge in local demand for advanced packaging processes in 2026 [4]. - The report highlights the emergence of domestic computing power solutions, with significant investments from major internet companies expected in 2026, indicating a growing market for domestic computing power [5][6]. Summary by Sections Intel's Financial Performance - Intel's Q4 2025 revenue was $13.67 billion, with a decline in CCG revenue and growth in DCAI revenue. The guidance for Q1 2026 is between $11.7 billion and $12.7 billion, lower than expected due to capacity constraints [2]. Advanced Packaging Industry - The advanced packaging sector is experiencing a boom, with companies like ASE and Amkor expected to raise prices by 5-20% due to high demand and limited supply [4]. Domestic Computing Power - The report identifies a strong opportunity for domestic computing power solutions, with significant investments from companies like ByteDance and Alibaba expected to drive demand in 2026 [6]. IC Substrate Supply Chain - The IC substrate supply chain is facing shortages due to limited supply of glass fiber, with domestic companies likely to benefit from price increases in the market [7]. Global Computing Power Demand - The report anticipates sustained high growth in computing power demand driven by AI applications, with companies like Google planning to double their computing power every six months [8]. Stock Recommendations - The report recommends several stocks, including domestic computing power companies like Cambricon and SMIC, as well as companies in the advanced packaging and IC substrate sectors [10].