Core Insights - The automotive market in September experienced significant growth, driven by new energy vehicle (NEV) sales and supportive government policies, with NEV penetration reaching a record high of 58.1% [5] Group 1: New Energy Vehicle Sales - Leap Motor achieved a record delivery of 66,657 units in September, marking a year-on-year increase of 97% and becoming the second new energy vehicle manufacturer in China to reach a cumulative production of 1 million vehicles [2] - Hongmeng Zhixing delivered 52,916 units in September, a month-on-month increase of 18.7%, with a total of 344,000 units delivered from January to September, reflecting strong sales from its flagship model, the Wenjie [2] - Zeekr Technology, following its merger with Lynk & Co, delivered 51,159 units in September, maintaining a steady performance with a 79.3% share of new energy models [3] Group 2: Other Key Players - Xiaomi Auto surpassed 40,000 units in September, with the YU7 model contributing nearly half of the sales, while the company has 402 stores nationwide to support order conversion [3] - XPeng Motors delivered 41,581 units in September, a 95% year-on-year increase, with the MONA M03 model being a significant contributor [3] - NIO delivered 34,749 units in September, a 64% increase year-on-year, with the Ladao brand accounting for over 44% of total deliveries [3] Group 3: Market Trends and Factors - The overall retail sales of narrow passenger cars in September are expected to reach 2.15 million units, a month-on-month increase of 6.5% and a year-on-year increase of 2% [5] - The growth in sales is attributed to national vehicle scrappage policies, local trade-in incentives, and increased demand at the end of the quarter, supported by over 50 local auto shows [5]

证券研究报告·固定收益·固收周报 固收周报 20250928 新能源转债配置空间再思考 2025 年 09 月 28 日 证券分析师 李勇 执业证书：S0600519040001 010-66573671 liyong@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 陈伯铭 执业证书：S0600523020002 chenbm@dwzq.com.cn 相关研究 《二级资本债周度数据跟踪 （20250922-20250926）》 2025-09-28 《绿色债券周度数据跟踪（20250922- 20250926）》 2025-09-28 东吴证券研究所 1 / 16 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] ◼ 转债市场过去 1-2 个月经历了"分歧中拉升-高位大幅回调-分歧下震荡" 几个阶段，指数层面尚未回到 7 月底、8 月初市场分歧最严重的时期， 权益市场边际上的结构化同样带来转债平价及估值的结构化，总量指 标、总量分析的意义边际下降，结构化的板块机会甚至个券机会边际上 升。 ◼ 如我们在 0901-0905 当周提示的，最先关注到的板块还是"夹"在传统 周期和新方向、 ...

据上汽集团消息，在今日举行的2025世界新能源汽车大会(WNEVC)主论坛上，上汽集团董事长王晓秋 表示，预计到2030年，我国新能源渗透率将进一步上升到70%；燃油车市场虽大幅萎缩，但仍会获得一 部分用户青睐，将继续保持一定市场份额；混动、纯电、燃油三条技术路线将基本形成"433"的国内市 场格局。此外，燃料电池汽车在示范应用的拉动下，已走过了从批量化技术验证、产业链构建到多场景 示范的关键阶段。 (本文来自第一财经) ...

本文来自格隆汇专栏：国泰海通证券研究；作者：刘一鸣、张予名 报告导读：总量上看，8月国产重卡销量9.2万台，同比增长47%，环比增长8%。聚焦天然气重卡，8月 国产天然气重卡销量1.6万台，同比增长32%，环比增长30%。 风险提示：经济发展不及预期，原材料价格大幅上涨。 注：以上内容节选自国泰海通证券已发布的研究报告《8月重卡同比五连增，天然气迎来复苏》；报告 作者： 刘一鸣 S0880525040050，张予名 S0880125042241 总量上看，8月国产重卡销量9.2万台，同比增长47%，环比增长8%。1-8月国产重卡累计销量71.6万台， 同比增长15%。我们认为，8月重卡总量的维持较高增长，一是去年同期基数较低，二是从五月中下旬 直至八月，"以旧换新"政策对重卡新车市场保持了较为稳定的促进作用，进而推动了重卡行业连续五个 月的同比快速增长。其中，电动重卡高歌猛进，同比继续呈现爆发式增长；天然气重卡逆转颓势，在连 续五个月同比下滑后迎来了复苏。 从销量结构上看，2025年8月半挂牵引车/载货车/非完整车辆销量占重卡整体的比例分别为 50.6%/27.8%/21.7%，此前2024年为51.9%/2 ...

报告导读： 总量上看， 8 月国产重卡销量 9.2 万台，同比增长 47% ，环比增长 8% 。 聚焦天然气重卡， 8 月国产天然气重卡销量 1.6 万台，同比增长 32% ，环比增长 30% 投资策略与建议： 随着经济恢复，以及 2025 年重卡"以旧换新"政策的推出，我们认为国产重卡销量有望逐渐回升，预计 2025 年销量为 106.7 万台，同 比增长 18% 。近年来，国产新能源重卡技术逐渐成熟，成本快速下降，我们预计国内新能源渗透率有比较大的提升空间，预计 2025 年渗透率将达到 15% 。 我们认为重卡行业的成长空间仍然存在，具体体现在国内的景气度修复，以及出口的持续成长。此外随着天然气重卡的发展，我们认为行业门槛提升有望 带动头部企业盈利能力提升。 总量上看， 8 月国产重卡销量 9.2 万台，同比增长 47% ，环比增长 8% 。 1-8 月国产重卡累计销量 71.6 万台，同比增长 15% 。我们认为， 8 月重卡 总量的维持较高增长，一是去年同期基数较低，二是从五月中下旬直至八月，"以旧换新"政策对重卡新车市场保持了较为稳定的促进作用，进而推动了重卡行 业连续五个月的同比快速增长。其中， ...

8 月重卡同比五连增，天然气迎来复苏 [Table_Industry] 汽车 2025 年 8 月重卡行业月报 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 刘一鸣(分析师) | 021-23154145 | liuyiming@gtht.com | S0880525040050 | | 张予名(研究助理) | 021-23154145 | zhangyuming@gtht.com | S0880125042241 | 本报告导读： 总量上看，8 月国产重卡销量 9.2 万台，同比增长 47%，环比增长 8%。聚焦天然气 重卡，8 月国产天然气重卡销量 1.6 万台，同比增长 32%，环比增长 30%。 汽车《优必选获新订单，特斯拉发布第四篇章》 2025.09.08 股 票 研 究 究 报 告 投资要点： [Table_Report] 相关报告 汽车《国内乘用车市场价格战持续放缓》 2025.09.21 汽车《L2 强标开启征求意见，智驾商业化更进一 步》2025.09.18 汽车《《汽车行业稳增长工作方案》发布，推动汽 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of the passenger car market in China, indicating a stable retail trend in September 2025 compared to previous years, with a slight year-on-year growth [1][5] - From September 1 to 21, 2025, the national retail sales of passenger cars reached 1.191 million units, a year-on-year increase of 1% and an 8% increase compared to the previous month [1][5] - The cumulative retail sales for the year reached 15.955 million units, reflecting a 9% year-on-year growth [1][5] Group 2 - The retail sales of new energy vehicles from September 1 to 21, 2025, amounted to 697,000 units, marking a 10% year-on-year increase and an 11% increase from the previous month [1][5] - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles in the passenger car market reached 58.5%, with cumulative retail sales for the year at 8.267 million units, a 24% year-on-year increase [1][5] - The article notes that the market is entering the traditional peak season of "Golden September and Silver October," with various local subsidies encouraging consumer purchases [5] Group 3 - The wholesale performance of passenger cars from September 1 to 21, 2025, showed 1.307 million units sold, a 0% year-on-year change and a 16% increase from the previous month [9] - Cumulative wholesale sales for the year reached 19.349 million units, reflecting a 12% year-on-year growth [9] - The article discusses the cautious approach of manufacturers in increasing domestic sales while maintaining price stability and reducing dealer inventory pressure [9]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In the 38th week of 2025 (from September 15th to September 21st), the single - week retail sales of passenger cars reached 5.11 million, a year - on - year increase of 14.2%. The cumulative retail sales since the beginning of this year were 15.693 billion, a year - on - year increase of 5.9%. The single - week retail sales of new energy passenger cars were 2.99 million, a year - on - year increase of 5.9%, and the cumulative retail sales since the beginning of this year were 8.214 billion, a year - on - year increase of 23.0%. The single - week penetration rate of new energy vehicles reached 59.5%, and the cumulative annual penetration rate was 52.3%, showing a slow upward trend [1][13][16]. - The market pattern of new energy vehicles is constantly changing. Brands like BYD and Li Auto had a year - on - year negative growth, while XPeng, NIO, Leapmotor, Xiaomi, and Voyah maintained relatively high growth rates. New brands such as Xiaomi have added new variables to the market, and traditional automakers like Geely, Changan, and Chery have achieved excellent performance in new energy vehicle sales [2][22]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Passenger Car Market Weekly Overview - **Overall Passenger Car Sales**: In the 38th week of 2025, the single - week retail sales of passenger cars were 5.11 million, a year - on - year increase of 14.2%. The cumulative retail sales since the beginning of this year were 15.693 billion, a year - on - year increase of 5.9% [1][13]. - **New Energy Passenger Car Sales**: The single - week retail sales of new energy passenger cars were 2.99 million, a year - on - year increase of 5.9%. The cumulative retail sales since the beginning of this year were 8.214 billion, a year - on - year increase of 23.0% [1][13]. - **Penetration Rate**: The single - week penetration rate of new energy vehicles reached 59.5%, and the cumulative annual penetration rate was 52.3%, showing a slow upward trend [1][16]. - **Sales by Power Type**: Among passenger cars, traditional fuel, hybrid, and new energy vehicles had retail sales of 1.94 million, 0.18 million, and 2.99 million respectively, with year - on - year changes of - 4.1%, - 3.4%, and 31.9% respectively, accounting for 37.9%, 3.6%, and 58.5% of passenger cars. Among new energy passenger cars, pure - electric, plug - in hybrid, and extended - range vehicles had retail sales of 1.95 million, 0.79 million, and 0.25 million respectively, with year - on - year changes of 54.9%, 5.0%, and - 2.4% respectively, accounting for 65.2%, 26.5%, and 8.3% of new energy passenger cars [17]. - **Sales by Production Attribute**: Among passenger cars, self - owned and joint - venture brands had retail sales of 3.43 million and 1.69 million respectively, with year - on - year increases of 22.0% and 1.0% respectively, accounting for 67.0% and 33.0% of passenger cars. Among new energy passenger cars, self - owned and joint - venture brands had retail sales of 2.7 million and 0.3 million respectively, with year - on - year increases of 33.2% and 21.1% respectively, accounting for 90.1% and 9.9% of new energy passenger cars [19]. 3.2 Key New Energy Automaker Sales Analysis - **Overall Situation**: In the 38th week of this year, BYD sold 78,000 new energy passenger cars, Geely Automobile sold 37,000, SAIC - GM - Wuling sold 20,000, Tesla (China) sold 17,000, Changan Automobile sold 15,000, Hongmeng Zhixing sold 13,000, and Chery Automobile sold 11,000. Among new - force automakers, Leapmotor sold 13,000, Xiaomi sold 11,000, Wenjie sold 10,000, XPeng and Li Auto sold 9,000 each, and NIO sold 7,000 [2][22]. - **BYD**: The weekly sales were 78,000. Since July, the year - on - year growth rate has turned negative. The cumulative sales this year were 2.359 billion, with a year - on - year growth rate of 2.3%. The sales of pure - electric and plug - in hybrid (including extended - range) models were basically half and half. From January to August this year, the global cumulative sales were 2.864 billion, and the overseas cumulative sales of passenger cars and pickups were 630,000. Regarding the reported reduction of the annual sales target from 5.5 billion (including 800,000 in the overseas market) to 4.6 billion, the completion rate of the original target from January to August was 52%, and the overseas market target completion rate was 78.75%. After the target reduction, the completion rate was 62% [26]. - **Geely Automobile**: The weekly sales were 56,000, including 37,000 new energy vehicles (3,000 from the Zeekr brand), and the electrification rate was about 65%. The cumulative sales this year were 1.647 billion, a year - on - year increase of 48.5%, and the cumulative new energy sales were 979,000, a year - on - year increase of 100.0%. The company adjusted its 2025 sales target from 2.71 billion to 3 billion [28]. - **SAIC - GM - Wuling**: The overall passenger car sales were 21,000, including 20,000 new energy vehicles, and the electrification rate was as high as 92%. The cumulative sales this year were 594,000, with a growth rate of 19.9%, and the new energy sales were 511,000, with a growth rate of 35.4%. Pure - electric models dominated the sales [31]. - **Changan Automobile**: The overall passenger car sales were 25,000, including 15,000 new energy vehicles, and the electrification rate was about 59%. The cumulative sales this year were 846,000, a year - on - year increase of 2.1%, and the new energy sales were 423,000, a year - on - year increase of 19.2% [36]. - **Chery Automobile**: The overall passenger car sales were 26,000, including 11,000 new energy vehicles, and the electrification rate was about 44%. The cumulative sales this year were 869,000, a year - on - year increase of 23.5%, and the new energy sales were 313,000, a year - on - year increase of 66.5% [41]. - **Tesla**: The sales in China that week were 17,000, and the cumulative sales this year were 412,000, a year - on - year negative growth of - 5.7%. The sales of Model 3, Model Y, and Model Y L were about 6,000, 10,000, and 1,000 respectively. Tesla has launched multiple promotional activities this year. The price of the long - range version of Model 3 increased by 10,000 yuan since July 1st. Tesla's Model 3 and Model Y entered the rural subsidy catalog for the first time in 2025 [46]. - **Hongmeng Zhixing**: The weekly sales were 13,000, including about 10,000 for Wenjie and about 1,000 for Zhijie. The Shangjie H5, a new car in cooperation with SAIC, is planned to be officially launched in September, targeting the mass market [50]. - **New - Force Automakers**: Leapmotor, Xiaomi, Wenjie, XPeng, Li Auto, and NIO sold 13,000, 11,000, 10,000, 9,000, 9,000, and 7,000 respectively. XPeng, NIO, Leapmotor, Xiaomi, and Voyah maintained relatively high growth rates [2][22].

Group 1 - DeepSeek's R1 model is the first major language model to be published in a peer-reviewed version in the journal Nature, addressing initial criticisms and providing detailed training information [2] - A new type of hydrogen negative ion prototype battery has been developed by a team from the Dalian Institute of Chemical Physics, which has significant scientific and application potential [3] - BMW is restructuring its product development strategy to include both fuel engines and electric vehicles, responding to the slowing transition to electrification [4] Group 2 - Cumulative sales of new energy vehicles in China have surpassed 40 million, maintaining the world's leading position for ten consecutive years [5] - The number of high-tech enterprises in China has exceeded 500,000, marking an increase of 83% since 2020 [6] - Predictions indicate that by August 2025, the penetration rate of new energy vehicles in the automotive market will reach 30% [8] Group 3 - Silicon-based Flow has launched an enterprise-level MaaS platform, providing a comprehensive solution for model training and deployment [9] - Keling AI has introduced a new digital human feature that can generate a 1-minute video from a character image and audio [10] - Xiaohongshu has announced its largest-ever recruitment drive for 2026, with a significant increase in demand for technical positions [11] Group 4 - Huawei has released the industry's first anti-spy AP, achieving a 99% success rate in detecting hidden cameras in hotels [12] - JD.com has received approval from German regulators for its acquisition of CECONOMY, with no competition concerns raised [12] - Hyundai has revised its 2025 operating profit margin target down to 6-7% due to U.S. tariff policies [13] Group 5 - Microsoft has entered a $6.2 billion agreement to build next-generation AI infrastructure in Norway [17] - Meta has launched the second generation of Meta Ray-Ban smart glasses, starting at $379 [18] - Several companies, including Xuan Bamboo Biotechnology and Mindray Medical, are preparing for IPOs in Hong Kong [19]

乘联分会秘书长崔东树发文称，2025年8月商用车新能源渗透率30%，其中的卡车新能源渗透率23%， 客车新能源渗透率63%，较同期均有大幅提升。 （文章来源：第一财经） ...