Summary of Shaanxi Tourism Group Conference Call Company Overview - Shaanxi Tourism Group is the only publicly listed cultural tourism platform under the Shaanxi provincial state-owned assets, holding key assets such as "The Song of Everlasting Regret" and the Huashan West Peak Cableway [2][5] Core Financials and Performance - In 2024, the company expects tourism performance revenue to account for 59% and cableway revenue to account for 38% of total income [2] - Revenue from "The Song of Everlasting Regret" is projected to be approximately 680 million yuan, with a visitor count of 2.49 million, an occupancy rate of 88%, an average ticket price of 273 yuan, a gross margin exceeding 80%, and a net profit of about 467 million yuan [2][5] - The Huashan West Peak Cableway is expected to generate 390 million yuan in revenue, with a visitor count of 3.56 million, a ride rate of 104%, an average ticket price of 105 yuan, and a net profit of 190 million yuan (51% ownership by the listed company) [2][6] - The company anticipates that existing businesses will contribute approximately 600 million yuan in profit [2][7] Future Growth and Acquisitions - Plans to acquire a 19% stake in Taihua Cableway and a 49% stake in Yaoguang Pavilion, expected to add 40 million and 10 million yuan in profit, respectively [2][7] - Ongoing construction of the second phase of Taishan Xiucheng, expected to contribute over 30 million yuan in profit in the year of completion and 70-80 million yuan in five years [2][7] - New projects include the construction of the South Line Cableway at Shaohua Mountain and supporting facilities for the Huashan West Peak Cableway [2][7] Asset and Revenue Projections - By September 2025, the total asset scale of Shaanxi Tourism Group is expected to exceed 54 billion yuan, with projected group revenue of over 9 billion yuan and a gross profit of around 2 billion yuan [2][8] - The listed company is expected to achieve a gross profit of about 900 million yuan, with potential for further integration of mature assets to enhance overall profitability [2][8] Profit Forecasts - Due to a high base in 2024 and weather impacts in Q3 2025, the company forecasts a profit of approximately 400 million yuan for 2025 [3][9] - For 2026, with a recovery in visitor numbers and the impact of equity acquisitions, profits could reach 500 million yuan, corresponding to a current P/E ratio of less than 25 times [3][10] - Given the quality of assets and growth potential, a valuation expectation of over 30 times is suggested, with attention to holiday service consumption policies and new project developments [3][10] Unique Aspects of the IPO - Shaanxi Tourism is noted as the largest scenic area IPO in A-share history, with strong government support for service consumption, making it a compelling investment opportunity [4]

Core Viewpoints - The A-share market experienced fluctuations with the Shanghai Composite Index falling by 2.48% to 4015.75 points, and the Shenzhen Component Index dropping by 2.69% [2][7] - The total trading volume in the A-share market reached 2.61 trillion RMB, with over 4600 stocks declining [2][7] - In the industry sectors, only food and beverage and banking sectors saw gains, while non-ferrous metals and steel sectors led the declines [2][7] - The Hang Seng Index in Hong Kong decreased by 2.23%, and the Hang Seng Technology Index fell by 3.36% [2][7] - In international markets, all three major U.S. stock indices rose, with the Dow Jones increasing by 1.05%, the S&P 500 by 0.54%, and the Nasdaq by 0.56% [2][7] Important News - The State Administration of Taxation has further adjusted and optimized the criteria for determining the value-added tax (VAT) threshold for individuals, raising the threshold for single-instance taxation from 500 RMB to 1000 RMB [3][8] - Specific scenarios, such as renting out real estate and selling scrapped products, will now follow a monthly sales threshold of 100,000 RMB instead of the per-instance threshold [3][8] Industry Insights - The report highlights the acceleration of service consumption growth, emphasizing its increasing importance in the economy [9][10] - The "Work Plan for Accelerating the Cultivation of New Growth Points in Service Consumption" outlines 12 policy measures aimed at optimizing and expanding service supply, focusing on key and potential areas for development [9][10] - Service consumption accounted for 46.15% of per capita consumer spending in 2025, showing a steady increase from 2024, with service retail sales growing by 5.5%, outpacing the overall retail sales growth by 1.8 percentage points [10] Investment Recommendations - The shift in consumption structure from goods to a balanced focus on goods and services is expected to position service consumption as a primary growth engine [11][12] - The report suggests monitoring companies in the travel chain benefiting from policy catalysts and improving consumer confidence, as well as leading duty-free companies capitalizing on the Hainan Free Trade Port opportunities [12] - Attention is also drawn to chain restaurant leaders in a critical phase of expansion and the early-stage value of emerging experiential sectors like sports events and concerts [12]

近日，2026深圳市银发消费促进行动正式启动。图为深圳市罗湖区的银发消费品牌体验展区吸引市民前 来咨询体验。 新华社记者 梁 旭摄 洪勇认为，《方案》围绕交通、家政、网络视听、旅居、汽车后市场、入境消费等服务消费重点领域精 准施策，能够有效增强服务供给体系的韧性与创新活力，为形成多元丰富的消费市场提供制度与资源保 障，进而推动消费结构与产业结构的深度融合与优化。 为优化和扩大服务供给，《方案》聚焦重要消费场景提出了多项举措。 比如，在家政服务方面，《方案》明确支持符合条件的家政服务企业创新服务模式、探索智慧化场景、 拓展居家养老服务；在网络视听服务方面，《方案》提出健全支持政策体系，促进超高清视频、微短剧 等网络视听服务市场有序竞争、创新发展；在体育赛事服务方面，《方案》提出打造一批知名精品赛 事、职业联赛、体育竞赛表演、青少年体育赛事、老年体育赛事、乡村文体赛事品牌…… 中信建投社会服务与商贸零售行业首席分析师刘乐文注意到，《方案》中还有"制定出台促进铁路与旅 游融合发展的专项支持政策""加快车站、列车旅游化改造""开发沉浸式、多元化邮轮消费产品"等举 措，从交通基础设施建设、运输服务有效供给等方面提出具体 ...

| 时间 | 事件 | 核心方面 | 主要内容 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 家政服务。支持符合条件的家政服务企业创新服务模式、探索智慧化场景、拓展居家养老服务。 | | | | | 鼓励地方发布家政服务规范协议 ... | | | 《加快培 | 重点领域 | 汽车后市场服务。推动汽车流通消费领域全链条创新发展，选择部分城市开展试点，支持在汽车 后市场重点领域先行先试，加快清理限制性措施，探索开展汽车改装分级分类管理，健全传统经 | | | 育服务消 | | 典车认定体系,加强房车露营基地建设,研究完善相关管理制度、技术标准 ... | | 2026/ | 费新增长 | | 演出服务。优化演出管理,科学合理设置安全容量限制,持续推进跨地区巡演。探索将具备条件 | | 1/29 | 点工作方 | | 目有意愿的演出团体、专业剧场调整为公益二类事业单位，建立健全激励机制 ... | | | 案》 | 潜力领域 | 体育赛事服务。优化改进大型群众性活动安全管理，分级分类合理核定赛场安全容量，用于划设 | | | | | 治安缓冲区的容量原则上不超过赛场可用座位数的 10%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The State Council's recently released "Work Plan for Accelerating the Cultivation of New Growth Points in Service Consumption" emphasizes improving service quality to benefit the public, moving beyond traditional consumption stimulation approaches [1] Group 1: Key Policy Measures - The plan outlines 12 policy measures aimed at invigorating key sectors, nurturing potential areas, and strengthening support mechanisms [1] - A significant focus is on the home service sector, addressing issues such as insufficient quality service supply and varying qualifications of service personnel [1] Group 2: Home Service Sector Initiatives - The plan proposes a special training initiative for home service professionals to enhance the industry's professionalism and reliability [1] - It encourages the transformation of intermediary home service companies into employee-based models, aiming to cultivate leading enterprises in the sector [1] Group 3: Transportation and Cultural Services - In transportation, the plan includes policies to promote the integration of railways and tourism, enhancing service quality and developing themed tourist trains [4] - The cultural sector will see improvements through a robust policy framework aimed at fostering competition and innovation in audiovisual services, enriching cultural offerings [4] Group 4: Experience-Based Consumption - The plan targets the growing trend of experience-based consumption, including immersive entertainment and escape rooms, ensuring their regulated development [6] - It aims to address issues in ticketing for events and sports, making access to cultural and sporting events more equitable and convenient [6] Group 5: Overall Impact - The initiatives are designed to meet the real needs of the public, enhancing convenience and quality of life while stimulating economic growth [7] - The plan represents a proactive choice to adapt to changing consumer structures and respond to external economic challenges, aiming for a dual win of improved living standards and economic vitality [7]

Group 1: Economic Outlook and Policy Direction - The 2026 macroeconomic outlook emphasizes the importance of the "15th Five-Year Plan," which marks a shift in policy focus towards economic construction, consumption, and technological development [1][6][17] - Key adjustments in the "15th Five-Year Plan" include a renewed emphasis on balancing economic growth with safety, promoting urban-rural integration, and reforming the fiscal and tax system [1][6][8] - China's economic growth rate has decreased to around 5%, but it remains competitive compared to emerging markets like Vietnam and India, highlighting the need for a focus on maintaining reasonable growth [1][7] Group 2: Monetary and Fiscal Policy Changes - Significant changes in monetary policy now include promoting stable economic development and reasonable price recovery as key considerations, moving away from a sole focus on inflation [2][10] - Fiscal policy is expected to maintain a deficit rate of around 4%, with an emphasis on necessary debt levels and total expenditure [2][10] - The policy aims to optimize existing demand through measures like "trade-in" programs and removing unreasonable restrictions to stimulate consumption [2][11] Group 3: Global Economic Context - The U.S. economy shows signs of weakness, with a cooling job market and a decline in the dollar's reserve status, while the European economy faces multiple challenges, including energy crises [4][15] - Despite a 35% drop in real estate prices over five years, China's economy has shown resilience, supported by advancements in semiconductor equipment, digital economy, and artificial intelligence [4][12] - China's trade surplus is projected to reach $1.2 trillion by 2025, indicating a balanced trade relationship with the U.S. despite ongoing trade tensions [12][16] Group 4: Consumer and Investment Dynamics - The core policy direction for 2026 is to boost consumption, with a significant gap between service consumption in China (18% of GDP) compared to the U.S. (46%), primarily due to urban-rural disparities [4][17] - Investment pressures are evident, with fixed asset investment declining by 12%, although this figure may not accurately reflect the actual investment situation [11][12] - The "15th Five-Year Plan" aims to enhance consumer spending through urban-rural integration and regulatory relaxation, such as in the automotive and yacht sectors [17]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report highlights the acceleration of service consumption policies, with the State Council issuing a plan to enhance service consumption across various sectors, including transportation, tourism, and home services. This is expected to significantly boost the industry's outlook in 2026 [4] - The social service sector has shown strong relative performance, with a 1-month increase of 4.2%, a 3-month increase of 4.9%, and a 12-month increase of 17.5%, outperforming the CSI 300 index [3] Summary by Relevant Sections Service Consumption Policy - The government has introduced a comprehensive plan to enhance service consumption, focusing on expanding supply, innovating scenarios, and providing financial support. Key initiatives include promoting railway tourism, upgrading cruise and yacht products, and enhancing home service professionalization [4] Human Resources Service Sector - The report mentions that Core International expects a net profit of 267 million to 334 million yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 30% to 62.5%. The company is leveraging technological innovation and industry integration to meet talent demands [5] Scenic Area Sector - Three Gorges Tourism anticipates a net profit of 56 million to 72 million yuan for 2025, reflecting a decline of 38.77% to 52.38% year-on-year, primarily due to tax payments and asset impairment losses [6][7] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the human resources service sector, particularly companies like Core International and Beijing Renli. It also highlights opportunities in the duty-free sector, scenic areas, medical aesthetics, catering, tea drinks, and hotels, with specific companies recommended for investment [8]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating an expected relative increase of over 10% in the industry index compared to the broader market within the next six months [4][7]. Core Insights - Service consumption is experiencing rapid growth and its importance is continuously increasing. The "Work Plan" released by the State Council on January 29, 2026, aims to optimize and expand service supply, focusing on key and potential areas to cultivate new growth points in service consumption. By 2025, service consumption expenditure is projected to account for 46.15% of per capita household consumption expenditure, showing a steady increase from 2024. Service retail sales are expected to grow by 5.5% year-on-year, outpacing the overall retail sales growth by 1.8 percentage points, indicating strong growth momentum [2]. - The "Work Plan" categorizes supported areas into key and potential sectors, each with distinct characteristics and targeted policies. Key sectors focus on current main service consumption areas, aiming to enhance quality supply to directly stimulate demand, covering transportation services, domestic services, online audio-visual services, travel services, automotive aftermarket, and inbound consumption. This is beneficial for the travel chain and duty-free related sectors within the social service segment. Potential sectors emphasize emerging business formats with strong synergy effects and significant growth potential, including performance services, sports event services, and experiential services, creating long-term investment opportunities in new consumption sectors [2]. Summary by Relevant Sections - The investment suggestion indicates that China's consumption structure is shifting from a product-led model to a balanced approach between goods and service consumption, with experience-based service consumption expected to become a major growth engine. The outlook for 2026 suggests that consumption promotion policies will remain stable, but recovery in the fundamentals will take time due to adjustments in household balance sheets. The social service sector is expected to focus on structural opportunities in the first half of the year. The upcoming 9-day holiday during the Spring Festival is anticipated to further boost the tourism market [3]. - Specific investment opportunities include: (1) companies in the travel chain benefiting from policy catalysts and gradually recovering consumer confidence; (2) duty-free leaders poised to take advantage of the Hainan Free Trade Port's operational opportunities and the new airport duty-free landscape; (3) chain restaurant leaders in a critical phase of scaling and market share growth; (4) early-stage investment value in emerging experiential sectors such as sports events and concerts [3].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The service consumption sector is expected to see quality improvements and expansion due to the "Accelerating the Cultivation of New Growth Points for Service Consumption Work Plan" issued by the State Council, which includes twelve specific measures targeting key areas such as transportation, housekeeping, and tourism [3] - The gold and jewelry sector is experiencing significant volatility in gold prices, leading to a mixed development landscape, with high-end consumption scenarios showing promise despite challenges in gold jewelry demand due to rising prices [3] - The report highlights a divergence in performance across the consumer sector, with textiles, social services, and retail showing declines, while food and beverage sectors have seen some gains [3] Market Weekly Review - The consumer sector showed mixed performance in the week of January 26-30, with textiles down by 0.68%, social services down by 3.45%, and food and beverage up by 1.56% [3] - Notable stock performances included Huangtai Liquor (+22.92%) and Samsung New Materials (+23.72%) leading gains, while stocks like Haoxiangni (-20.89%) and Tianyin Electromechanical (-18.66%) faced significant declines [3] Industry News and Key Company Announcements - Shenzhen's market supervision authorities have launched a three-year action plan to optimize the consumption environment, focusing on digital consumption and innovative retail formats [15] - The China Chain Store and Franchise Association reported a moderate recovery in shopping center operations, with increased member consumption but a decline in average transaction values [15] - Anta Sports announced a €1.5 billion acquisition of a stake in Puma, becoming the largest shareholder, which reflects strategic moves in the sportswear market [15] - The World Gold Council reported a record high in gold bar and coin purchases in China for 2025, indicating strong investment demand despite price pressures [15]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry, but it suggests a positive outlook on service consumption and specific sectors such as cultural tourism, catering, and duty-free services [3]. Core Insights - The "Accelerating the Cultivation of New Growth Points for Service Consumption Work Plan" aims to enhance service consumption quality and expansion, focusing on optimizing supply and fostering new growth points in six key areas, including transportation and home services [3]. - The gold and jewelry sector is experiencing significant volatility due to fluctuating gold prices, with a notable performance differentiation among brands. High-end consumption scenarios are highlighted as a growth area despite challenges posed by rising gold prices [3]. - The report indicates a mixed performance in the consumer sector, with textiles, social services, and retail showing declines, while food and beverage sectors have some positive movements [3]. Market Weekly Review - The consumer sector showed varied performance from January 26 to January 30, with textiles down by 0.68%, social services down by 3.45%, and food and beverage up by 1.56%. Notable gainers included Huangtai Liquor (+22.92%) and Samsung New Materials (+23.72%), while significant losers included Haoxiangni (-20.89%) and Tianyin Electromechanical (-18.66%) [3]. - The report emphasizes the importance of service consumption as a driver for domestic demand and high-quality development, suggesting a focus on sectors like cultural tourism and catering [3]. Industry News and Key Company Announcements - Shenzhen's market supervision authorities have launched a three-year action plan to optimize the consumption environment, promoting digital consumption and new retail formats [15]. - The report mentions that the China Chain Store and Franchise Association indicates a mild recovery in shopping centers, with over 40% of projects seeing increased customer conversion rates [15]. - Anta Sports announced a significant acquisition of a stake in Puma, indicating strategic moves within the sportswear sector [15]. - The World Gold Council reported a record high in gold bar and coin purchases in China for 2025, suggesting strong demand despite price pressures [15].