Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Views - On November 28, the liquidity was ample, the bond market recovered, and the main indices of the convertible bond market rose collectively, with most convertible bond issues rising. The yields of US Treasuries across all tenors generally increased, while the yields of 10-year government bonds in major European economies showed divergent trends [1]. 3. Summary by Directory I. Bond Market News - **Domestic News** - In November, the manufacturing PMI was 49.2%, up 0.2 percentage points from the previous month; the non-manufacturing business activity index was 49.5%, down 0.6 percentage points from the previous month. The PMI of medium-sized enterprises was 48.9%, up 0.2 percentage points from the previous month, and the PMI of small enterprises was 49.1%, up 2.0 percentage points from the previous month, reaching a six-month high [3]. - The central bank will continue to adhere to the prohibitive policy on virtual currency and continuously combat illegal financial activities related to virtual currency [3]. - The CSRC solicited public comments on the "Measures for the Implementation of Regulatory Measures in the Securities and Futures Markets (Draft for Comment)", clarifying the procedural regulations for regulatory measures and improving the standardization of supervision and the level of governing the market by law [4]. - The CSRC solicited public comments on the "Announcement on the Pilot Program of Commercial Real Estate Investment Trust Funds (Draft for Comment)", including product definition, fund registration and operation management requirements, and strengthening regulatory responsibilities [5]. - **International News** - Tokyo's core inflation data in November exceeded market expectations, pushing the Bank of Japan closer to a second interest rate hike. The 11-month Tokyo core CPI rose 2.8% year-on-year, slightly higher than the market expectation of 2.7%. Japan's industrial output in October increased by 1.4% month-on-month, exceeding market expectations [6]. - **Commodities** - On November 28, WTI January crude oil futures fell 0.17% to $58.55 per barrel, Brent February crude oil futures fell 0.8% to $62.38 per barrel, COMEX December gold futures rose 1.27% to $4,218.3 per ounce, and NYMEX natural gas prices rose 4.92% to $4.863 per ounce [7]. II. Liquidity - **Open Market Operations** - On November 28, the central bank conducted 301.3 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repurchase operations at a fixed interest rate, with an operating rate of 1.40%. There were 375 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing on the same day, resulting in a net withdrawal of 73.7 billion yuan [9]. - **Funding Rates** - On November 28, the liquidity was ample. DR001 decreased by 0.81bp to 1.303%, and DR007 increased by 2.04bp to 1.467% [10]. III. Bond Market Dynamics - **Interest Rate Bonds** - **Spot Bond Yield Trends** - On November 28, the bond market recovered. As of 20:00 Beijing time, the yield of the 10-year Treasury active bond 250016 decreased by 1.50bp to 1.8290%, and the yield of the 10-year CDB active bond 250215 decreased by 1.85bp to 1.8990% [13]. - **Bond Tendering** - The 3-year "25进出清发007 (Additional Issue 16)" was issued with a scale of 1.5 billion yuan, a winning yield of 1.6505%, a full - subscription multiple of 7.59, and a marginal multiple of 1.58 [15]. - **Credit Bonds** - **Secondary Market Transaction Anomalies** - On November 28, the transaction prices of 9 industrial bonds deviated by more than 10%. "22万科MTN004" fell by more than 72%, "23万科01" fell by more than 71%, and "21万科04" fell by more than 67%; "22万科06" rose by more than 58%, "22万科04" rose by more than 74%, and several other bonds also had significant price increases [15]. - **Credit Bond Events** - Vanke mortgaged 15.3211 million shares of Vanke Property Service to Shenzhen Metro [16]. - China Jinmao obtained a medium - and long - term loan quota of 9.9 billion yuan, secured by the property rights of Century Avenue 88 - story building and its corresponding land use rights [16]. - Far East Development's revenue in the six months ended September 30 was approximately HK$3.756 billion, a year - on - year decrease of 27.38%, and the attributable loss to shareholders was HK$988 million, a year - on - year increase of 28.38% [16]. - **Convertible Bonds** - **Equity and Convertible Bond Indices** - On November 28, the three major A - share indices closed higher. The Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and ChiNext Index rose by 0.34%, 0.85%, and 0.70% respectively, with a total turnover of 1.6 trillion yuan. The main indices of the convertible bond market rose collectively, with a turnover of 65.18 billion yuan, an increase of 10.235 billion yuan from the previous trading day [17][19]. - **Convertible Bond Tracking** - On November 28, Lanfan Convertible Bond announced that the board of directors proposed to lower the conversion price; Changhong Convertible Bond and Lepu Convertible Bond 2 announced that they were about to trigger the conditions for lowering the conversion price. Zhongqi Convertible Bond announced an early redemption; Huamao Convertible Bond and Xinhua Convertible Bond announced that they were expected to trigger early redemption conditions [22]. - **Overseas Bond Markets** - **US Bond Market** - On November 28, the yields of US Treasuries across all tenors generally increased. The yield of the 2 - year US Treasury rose by 2bp to 3.47%, and the yield of the 10 - year US Treasury rose by 2bp to 4.02%. The 2/10 - year US Treasury yield spread remained unchanged at 55bp, and the 5/30 - year US Treasury yield spread remained unchanged at 108bp. The 10 - year US Treasury Inflation - Protected Securities (TIPS) breakeven inflation rate remained unchanged at 2.23% [21][23][24]. - **European Bond Market** - On November 28, the yields of 10 - year government bonds in major European economies showed divergent trends. The yield of the 10 - year German government bond rose by 1bp to 2.69%, while the yields of 10 - year government bonds in France, Italy, and Spain remained unchanged, and the yield of the 10 - year UK government bond fell by 1bp [25]. - **Daily Price Changes of Chinese - Issued US Dollar Bonds** - As of the close on November 28, bonds of companies such as Pinduoduo, Ctrip Group, and Lenovo Group had price increases, while bonds of companies such as Zhongjun Group Holdings, NIO, and Wanda Real Estate had price decreases [27].

Let's bring in Kevin Green now who joins me to get us across some more data and we just have hitting the tape of the 10hour. The ISM services numbers talk us through what you're seeing there as far as the PMIs today. Kevin.>> Yeah, actually if you're looking at ISM services PMIs are actually better than the street's expectations in two areas here. If you're looking at the overall number that came in at 52.6%, Street was looking for 52 even and that's actually better than what we saw last uh month at 52.4% h ...

Market Overview - U.S. stocks showed mixed performance with the Dow Jones increasing by 0.16% to 47,548.62, while the NASDAQ decreased by 0.42% to 23,316.49 and the S&P 500 fell by 0.07% to 6,824.67 [1] Company Performance - Dollar Tree, Inc. reported third-quarter adjusted earnings per share of $1.21, surpassing the analyst consensus estimate of $1.08. The company achieved quarterly sales of $4.746 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 9.4%, exceeding the expected sales of $4.699 billion [2] Commodity Market - In commodity trading, oil prices rose by 0.9% to $59.18, gold increased by 0.9% to $4,256.90, silver went up by 0.4% to $58.930, and copper saw a significant rise of 2.8% to $5.3865 [5] European Market - European shares generally experienced gains, with the eurozone's STOXX 600 increasing by 0.2%, Spain's IBEX 35 Index rising by 1.6%, and other major indices like London's FTSE 100, Germany's DAX 40, and France's CAC 40 all showing slight increases of 0.1% [6] Asian Market - Asian markets closed mixed, with Japan's Nikkei gaining 1.14%, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng fell by 1.28%, China's Shanghai Composite decreased by 0.51%, and India's BSE Sensex saw a minor decline of 0.04% [7] Notable Stock Movements - Capricor Therapeutics, Inc. shares surged by 441% to $34.40 following positive results from its Phase 3 HOPE-3 Trial for Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy. Virax Biolabs Group Limited shares increased by 66% to $0.6511 due to clinical progress announcements [9] - Conversely, CIMG Inc. shares dropped by 35% to $0.1201 after announcing a 20-for-1 reverse stock split, and Black Diamond Therapeutics, Inc. shares fell by 28% to $2.4800 after reporting preliminary Phase 2 data [9]

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights that the Eurozone's business activity in November grew at the fastest pace in two and a half years, driven by a strong services sector that offset weakness in manufacturing [1] - The HCOB Composite PMI for November was revised up to 52.8, marking a 30-month high, indicating robust private sector economic growth, surpassing October's 52.4 and the expected 52.4, representing the sixth consecutive month of increase [1] - The services PMI rose from 53.0 in October to 53.6 in November, the highest level since May 2023, with the growth rate of new business being the fastest in 18 months [1] Group 2 - Most Eurozone countries achieved economic expansion, with Ireland showing the strongest performance, reaching its highest growth rate in three and a half years [2] - Employment in the Eurozone continued to increase in November, although the growth rate slowed, with services maintaining hiring momentum while manufacturing saw the fastest pace of layoffs since April [2] - Input costs rose at the fastest rate in eight months due to increased procurement costs in manufacturing and accelerated service costs, while the pace of price increases charged to customers slowed [2] Group 3 - European Central Bank officials expressed satisfaction with current interest rates, viewing the policy as "basically neutral," reinforcing market confidence in maintaining existing rates [3] - Strong macroeconomic outlook supports the belief that the ECB will not lower rates in the short term, with any potential discussions on rate cuts not expected until mid-2026 [3]

QT has officially ended. Next up: today’s PMI 👀🙏• PMI > 50 → economy expanding → risk-on → crypto tends to rise• PMI < 50 → economy slowing → risk-off → crypto weakens• PMI sharply low → rate-cut expectations grow → liquidity returns → crypto rallies https://t.co/luxOB6BJEVPoloniex Exchange (@Poloniex):🇺🇸 The Federal Reserve officially ends Quantitative Tightening (QT) .This means the Fed stops draining liquidity from the market — a historically bullish signal for risk assets like crypto. 📈🟢More liquidity → ...

#数据 中国11月RatingDog服务业PMI录得52.1，预期51.9，前值52.6。(5个月以来最弱)RatingDog综合PMI录得51.2，前值51.8。在10月份温和下降后，海外市场对中国服务业的需求回升。据反映，对美贸易不确定因素减少，支撑最近新出口订单回温。服务业用工继续收缩。据调查样本企业反映，企业用工量下降，普遍是出于成本考虑，在人员离职后没有填补空缺，甚至裁撤冗员。 ...

Report Summary Investment Rating - No investment rating provided in the report. Core View - In early December, the market will remain in a vacuum period of macro data, performance, and policies. Without clear trading guidance, the market is expected to move randomly, and stock index futures will maintain a volatile trend [2]. Summary by Directory Futures Prices - IF main contract (2512) dropped 14.4 to 4535.8, IF next main contract (2603) dropped 16.2 to 4497.0; IH main contract (2512) dropped 11.8 to 2971.4, IH next main contract (2603) dropped 12.0 to 2963.8; IC main contract (2512) dropped 44.6 to 6982.2, IC next main contract (2603) dropped 41.8 to 6809.8; IM main contract (2512) dropped 46.4 to 7239.6, IM next main contract (2603) dropped 43.6 to 7008.0 [2]. Futures Spreads - IF - IH current - month contract spread dropped 4.6 to 1564.4; IC - IF current - month contract spread dropped 29.8 to 2446.4; IM - IC current - month contract spread dropped 1.0 to 257.4; IC - IH current - month contract spread dropped 34.4 to 4010.8; IM - IF current - month contract spread dropped 30.8 to 2703.8; IM - IH current - month contract spread dropped 35.4 to 4268.2 [2]. Futures Term Spreads - IF current - quarter minus current - month dropped 1.6 to - 38.8, IF next - quarter minus current - month dropped 2.6 to - 89; IH current - quarter minus current - month increased 0.4 to - 7.6, IH next - quarter minus current - month dropped 0.4 to - 20; IC current - quarter minus current - month increased 1.4 to - 172.4, IC next - quarter minus current - month increased 6.0 to - 379.6; IM current - quarter minus current - month increased 0.8 to - 231.6, IM next - quarter minus current - month increased 6.0 to - 470.8 [2]. Futures Net Positions - IF top 20 net positions dropped 1801 to - 19,640; IH top 20 net positions increased 18 to - 12,245; IC top 20 net positions dropped 1279 to - 21,928; IM top 20 net positions dropped 3156 to - 33,266 [2]. Spot Prices - CSI 300 dropped 22.2 to 4554.33, IF main contract basis increased 2.6 to - 18.5; SSE 50 dropped 15.2 to 2978.5, IH main contract basis increased 0.2 to - 7.1; CSI 500 dropped 61.5 to 7040.3, IC main contract basis increased 12.1 to - 58.1; CSI 1000 A - share trading volume (daily, billion yuan) dropped 73.5 to 7313.2, IM main contract basis dropped 2821.83 [2]. Market Sentiment - Northbound trading volume (previous trading day, billion yuan) increased 434.09 to 2297.63; reverse repurchase (maturity, operation volume, billion yuan) increased 1563 to - 3021; main funds (yesterday, today, billion yuan) dropped from - 31.25 to - 526.51; rising stock ratio (daily, %) dropped 34.06 to 28.27; Shibor (daily, %) dropped 0.005 to 1.302 [2]. Market Strength - Weakness Analysis - All A - shares dropped 3.2 to 3.5; technical analysis dropped 3.4 to 2.8; capital analysis dropped 2.9 to 4.2 [2]. Industry News - In November, China's manufacturing PMI was 49.2%, up 0.2 percentage points from last month; non - manufacturing PMI was 49.5%, down 0.6 percentage points from last month; composite PMI output index was 49.7%, down 0.3 percentage points from last month [2]. - A - share major indices closed down across the board. The Shanghai Composite Index fell below 3900 points. Small and medium - cap stocks were weaker than large - cap blue - chip stocks. The Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.68%, the Shenzhen Component Index fell 0.76%, and the ChiNext Index fell 0.69%. Trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets fell sharply. Over 3700 stocks declined. Most industry sectors fell, with media and non - ferrous metals leading the decline, and the petroleum and petrochemical sector leading the gain [2]. Key Data to Watch - December 2, 18:00, Eurozone November HCPI, core HCPI, unemployment rate - December 3, 21:15, US November ADP employment - December 4, 20:30, US November Challenger job cuts; 21:30, US November 29 weekly initial jobless claims - December 5, 23:00, US November PCE, core PCE [3]

再创收盘历史新高 贵金属方面，市场对美联储本月降息预期升温的同时，也更加看好"鸽派"的白宫国家经济委员会主任哈 西特被提名为下任美联储主席的前景。外界预计，一旦哈西特出任美联储主席，美联储将在明年继续推 进宽松货币政策，国际金价周一上涨，并升至六周来的高位。截至收盘，纽约商品交易所明年2月交割 的黄金期价收于每盎司4274.8美元，涨幅为0.47%。 12月1日白银期价上涨 来源：南国今报 当地时间周一（12月1日），市场对美联储12月降息的预期仍在升温，同时，随着美日利息差收窄，大 量套息交易资金逐步平仓日本海外头寸，加剧全球风险资产价格下跌风险。此外，周一公布的最新数据 显示，美国11月供应管理协会制造业采购经理人指数（PMI）为48.2，低于预期，并连续第9个月陷入萎 缩区间，令市场谨慎看待美国经济基本面，投资者情绪受到打压，美国三大股指周一集体收跌。截至收 盘，道指跌0.90%，标普500指数跌0.53%，纳指跌0.38%。 12月1日国际金价升至六周来高位 此外，白银期价周一延续上周涨势，并再创收盘历史新高。截至收盘，纽约商品交易所明年3月交割的 白银期价收于每盎司59.142美元，涨幅为3.46% ...

Group 1: Report Summary - The report is a commentary on the November 2025 PMI data, titled "Manufacturing Sentiment Improves Slightly, Market Expectations Remain Optimistic" [1] - The analysts are Chen Xi and Wang Shuaizhong, with contact information and certificate numbers provided [2] Group 2: PMI Data Overview - In November 2025, the manufacturing PMI was 49.2%, up 0.2 pct month-on-month and down 1.1 pct year-on-year; the non-manufacturing PMI was 49.5%, down 0.6 pct month-on-month; the composite PMI was 49.7%, down 0.3 pct month-on-month [2][3] Group 3: Manufacturing PMI Analysis - The manufacturing sentiment improved slightly due to export improvement, but it remained in the contraction range for eight consecutive months. New export orders rose 1.7 pct, on-hand orders rose 1.0 pct, and the production index rose 0.3 pct month-on-month [3] Group 4: Non-manufacturing PMI Analysis - The decline in the service PMI dragged the non-manufacturing PMI into the contraction range. In November, the service PMI was 49.5%, down 0.7 pct month-on-month and 0.6 pct year-on-year, the first time in 2025 to fall into the contraction range [4] - New export orders rose, but new orders fell, indicating insufficient domestic demand. Policy measures for new consumption scenarios and promoting domestic demand and consumption may be in the works [4] Group 5: Structural Highlights - High-tech manufacturing remained in expansion, with a PMI of 50.1%. Equipment manufacturing, consumer goods, and basic raw materials industries also had PMIs above the overall manufacturing level, despite some declines [5] - Price indices improved. The purchase price of major raw materials and the ex-factory price of manufacturing rose 1.1 pct and 0.7 pct respectively, and the input price and sales price of non-manufacturing rose 1.0 pct and 1.3 pct respectively [5] Group 6: Construction PMI - The construction PMI rose to 49.6%, up 0.5 pct month-on-month. The business activity expectation index was 57.9%, up 1.9 pct month-on-month, indicating improved confidence [6] Group 7: Market Expectations - Expectations for both manufacturing and non-manufacturing improved. The manufacturing production and operation activity expectation was 53.1%, up 0.3 pct, and the non-manufacturing business activity expectation was 56.2%, up 0.1 pct [6] Group 8: Bond Market View - Bond yields are expected to rise trendily as economic expectations are revised. For stock and bond allocation, the view is that economic growth may not decline significantly in H2 2025, structural issues like prices will improve, and the stock-bond allocation will continue to shift [7]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - In November, the manufacturing PMI contraction slowed down, with synchronized improvement in production and demand, accelerated improvement in the price index, and a slowdown in procurement contraction. Meanwhile, the service industry fell into the contraction range, and the construction industry remained below the boom - bust line for four consecutive months. More efforts are needed to promote various economic stabilization policies [1][5][35]. - In November, the bond market fell into a "ceiling - floor" oscillation pattern again due to the lack of strong policy and fundamental drivers. Most institutions are waiting for clear guidance from incremental information. The important meetings in December and subsequent key economic data releases are expected to determine the market direction. Historically in December, interest rates tend to decline, but the bullish sentiment in the market has concerns, and the year - end allocation market is yet to start [4][35]. 3. Summary by Directory I. November PMI Data Overview - Manufacturing: The manufacturing PMI in November was 49.2%, up 0.2 percentage points month - on - month, remaining below the boom - bust line for eight consecutive months. The production index reached the critical point, external demand improved significantly, the price index improved at an accelerated pace, finished - product destocking accelerated, and procurement contraction slowed [8]. - Non - manufacturing: The service industry fell into the contraction range, with its business activity index dropping 0.7 percentage points to 49.5%. The construction industry showed a slight recovery, with its business activity index rising 0.5 percentage points to 49.6%, remaining below the boom - bust line for four consecutive months [11]. II. Manufacturing: Synchronized Improvement in Production and Demand, Accelerated Improvement in Price Index - Production: The manufacturing PMI production index reached 50.0% in November, returning to the boom - bust line after a brief fall into the contraction range last month, up 0.3 percentage points month - on - month, but weaker than the seasonal performance [15]. - Demand: External demand improved significantly, driving overall demand to pick up. The new export order index rose notably, and demand improvement was higher than production. Small - enterprise PMI rebounded, and the high - energy - consuming industry's prosperity level rebounded from a low level [18]. - Price: The "anti - involution" policy advanced steadily, and with the coordinated stabilization of supply and demand, the price index improved at an accelerated pace. The main raw material purchase price index and the ex - factory price index rose by 1.1 and 0.7 percentage points respectively, and the index difference between them increased to 5.4 percentage points, indicating a narrowing profit margin for enterprises [21]. - Inventory: Finished - product destocking accelerated, and procurement contraction slowed. The raw material inventory index remained flat at 47.3%, and the finished - product inventory decreased by 0.8 percentage points. The enterprise procurement willingness increased, and the procurement volume index rose to 49.5% [24]. III. Non - manufacturing: Service Industry Falls into Contraction Range, Construction Industry Shows Slight Recovery - Service Industry: After the concentrated release of consumption demand during the National Day Golden Week last month, consumer - related service industries declined in the off - season, and the service industry fell into the contraction range. However, financial activities continued to strengthen, and new - energy industries maintained steady growth [28]. - Construction Industry: Construction activities recovered in November, with the construction business activity index rising 0.5 percentage points to 49.6%, remaining below the boom - bust line for four consecutive months. The business activity index of the housing construction industry increased significantly, and that of the civil engineering construction industry remained above 52% [31]. IV. Impact on the Bond Market - In November, the bond market was in a "ceiling - floor" oscillation pattern due to the lack of strong policy and fundamental drivers. Most institutions were in a wait - and - see mode. The important meetings in December and subsequent key economic data releases are expected to determine the market direction. Historically in December, interest rates tend to decline, but the bullish sentiment has concerns, and the year - end allocation market is yet to start [4][35].