We don't yet know who the AI winners and losers might be. Joining us now is New's chief investment officer, Sarah Malik. Sarah, good to see you.So, even though the internet turned out to actually be this worldchanging thing that investors in the late 90s and 2000 hoped, we went through this trough of disillusionment when Amazon was trading at this huge discount. How do we tell if the same's coming for AI. >> Well, tech tends to lead the market up.So, it's going to lead the market down when you and I think w ...

Company Insights - CarMax reported a significant decline, hitting a new 5-year low after missing second quarter earnings estimates, with retail used car sales down 5% year-over-year and auto financing income falling over 10% in the quarter [2][3] - CarMax announced a $150 million cost-cutting plan over the next 18 months, which contributed to a more than 20% drop in its shares at the close [3] - Oracle's stock closed down about 5.5% after receiving a sell rating from Rothschild and Redburn, which initiated coverage with a $175 price target, citing overestimation of contracted cloud revenues [4][5] Industry Trends - The energy sector is experiencing a rally, even as crude prices fell from a 7-week high, with speculation linking this to AI traders [6] - Copper prices are rising due to supply disruptions from Freeport MacMoran's mine suspension in Indonesia, which could impact input prices for new homes and create margin pressure for home builders [7][8] - Lithium Americas saw a nearly 100% gain recently, with a further 20% increase, as the U.S. is potentially taking a stake to secure supply chains and reduce reliance on China [8] Economic Indicators - The upcoming PCE report is crucial, with expectations for core PCE to increase to 2.9%, the highest level in 5 months, which may influence the Federal Reserve's decisions in the October meetings [9][10] - There is ongoing discussion about the impact of tariffs on inflation, with some retailers absorbing costs, while others may pass them through to consumers [12][13]

Investment Highlights - The company is covered for the first time by CICC with an "outperform" rating and a target price of HKD 38.60, based on a P/E valuation method corresponding to FY2026 at 13x P/E [1] - The company is a leading player in the high-end CNC lathe market, with strong internal competitiveness [1] Business Performance - Established in 2003, the company is rooted in China's manufacturing sector, with a stable growth in its main business. The company is primarily focused on lathes (Swiss-type lathes) and supplemented by machining centers and grinding machines [1] - For FY2025 (Q2 2024 to Q1 2025), the company expects revenue of CNY 4.262 billion and a net profit attributable to shareholders of CNY 780 million, representing year-on-year growth of 36.6% and 63% respectively [1] Market Position and Expansion - The metal cutting machine tools are long-lasting general-purpose equipment, with demand influenced by capital expenditures in the automotive and general manufacturing sectors. The cumulative growth rate of metal cutting output in China from January to August 2025 is 14.6%, indicating a recovery in the industry [1] - The CNC machine tool market in China is projected to be CNY 71.5 billion in 2024, with the company holding a market share of 4.1% (by revenue), ranking first in the lathe market [1] - In March 2025, the company announced the construction of its sixth factory in Pinghu, which is expected to add approximately 3,000 units of assembly capacity per year [1] Profitability and Dividends - The company has shown significant growth in profitability, maintaining a dividend payout ratio of over 40% since FY2023, reflecting stable operational quality [2] New Growth Areas - Since 2024, the company has actively expanded into AI liquid cooling connector processing and humanoid robot components, such as lead screws and reducers [2] - The market has not fully recognized the incremental potential of liquid cooling and robotics, but the company remains optimistic about the opportunities these sectors present [2] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company forecasts EPS of CNY 2.6 and CNY 3.1 for FY2026 and FY2027 respectively, with a CAGR of 22%. The target price of HKD 38.60 corresponds to a P/E of 13x for FY2026, with current prices reflecting P/E ratios of 11x and 10x for FY2026 and FY2027 respectively, indicating a potential upside of 17.1% [2]

Core Viewpoint - Shares of renewable energy company Amoresco are experiencing a significant rally, reaching a more than 10-month high following an upgrade by Jeffries, which raised the price target from $19 to $39, indicating a positive outlook for the company's growth potential [1][4]. Company Overview - Amoresco is characterized as an overlooked company with a market cap nearing $2 billion, facing challenges in recent years due to uncertainties in the renewable energy sector and changes in government policy [3]. - The company is described as agnostic in its approach to renewable energy, seeking various solutions to enhance efficiency and security for its partners, including reducing water waste and utilizing diverse energy sources like wind and hydro power [5][6]. Analyst Insights - Jeffries upgraded Amoresco to a "buy" rating, believing the company has moved past execution risks and uncertainties related to the Inflation Reduction Act, with expectations of EBIT growth rebounding [4]. - UBS has also upgraded Amoresco, citing a similar sentiment regarding the resolution of peak uncertainties related to federal government contracts [7]. - Multiple analysts, including Baird and BNP Paribas, have issued buy ratings, reflecting a growing optimism surrounding Amoresco [10]. Market Performance - The stock has shown a recovery from its April lows, with analysts suggesting that upcoming data center announcements and a revival in project business could serve as catalysts for further stock appreciation [4]. - Year-to-date, Amoresco's stock has risen nearly 50%, indicating strong performance compared to the S&P 500 [11].

Welcome back. The major averages heading for their third negative day in a row. Here with where he sees the market heading now, Triariat Research and CNBC contributor Adam Parkets.Good to see you. Hey Scott, how are you. Does that smile match how you feel currently about the stock market or are you a little concerned that we might be vulnerable.The smile was cuz I was happy to see you. Um the vulnerability I think is what what am I worried about. I'm worried that, you know, when I do my meetings now, people ...

Core Viewpoint - The company achieved revenue of 1.49 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 9.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 150 million yuan, up 41.9% year-on-year, with operating cash flow of 300 million yuan, an increase of 111% year-on-year, and free cash flow of 210 million yuan, up 466% year-on-year [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company's revenue from healthcare solutions reached 1.48 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 10.4% [1] - Revenue from the sales of health products was 10 million yuan, a decrease of 50.9% year-on-year, primarily due to a reduction in low-margin product sales [1] - Offline institutional revenue was 1.37 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.1%, with same-store sales accounting for 97.3% of this revenue, indicating growth driven by existing store operations [1] Group 2: Strategic Developments - The company added 7 new stores in H1 2025 (4 self-built and 3 acquired) and entered 2 new cities, indicating a strategy of "steady growth from existing stores and orderly expansion of new stores" [1] - The company reported a 209% year-on-year increase in revenue from in-hospital preparations and other self-priced products, marking explosive growth [2] - The company has established deep collaborations with major platforms like Xiaohongshu, Meituan, Douyin, and Gaode Map, with new users from these platforms accounting for 7.6% of the group's offline new user count [2] Group 3: Future Outlook - The company aims to enhance its AI capabilities, with the AI prescription payment rate reaching 76.7%, showing a month-on-month improvement [2] - The company has accumulated over 20 million consultation data, 18 million cases, and 100,000 high-quality expert data, indicating a strong data foundation for future AI applications [2] - The company plans to open AI-related functions to young doctors in October, further expanding its AI product offerings [2] Group 4: Earnings Forecast - Based on the mid-year report for 2025, the company adjusted its revenue downwards but raised its gross margin forecast, with projected earnings per share for 2025-2027 being 1.54, 1.88, and 2.30 yuan respectively [3] - The company is assigned a target price of 45.54 HKD based on a 27 times price-to-earnings ratio for 2025, maintaining a "buy" rating [3]

Group 1: Investment Potential of Intel - The government is significantly backing Intel, which may change the investment landscape, but challenges in innovation and market share loss to AMD remain [1][3][9] - Government investment alone will not enhance the intelligence of Intel's engineers or speed up innovation, indicating that hiring better talent is crucial [2] - There is potential for improved innovation pace, but Intel has a long way to go to attract major customers like Nvidia and Apple [3][10] Group 2: Strategic Moves and Partnerships - Intel is actively seeking customers for its foundry plans, indicating a strategic effort to secure partnerships and build manufacturing capabilities [5][6] - The U.S. government’s involvement is seen as a way to bridge the gap between Intel's manufacturing capabilities and customer needs [6][17] - Apple may consider diversifying its supply chain away from TSMC by potentially collaborating with Intel, which could be beneficial if Intel can ramp up its manufacturing capacity [14][15] Group 3: Market Dynamics and Competition - The semiconductor industry is experiencing shifts, with Intel needing to adapt to regain its competitive edge against TSMC and other players [9][19] - The market for AI compute is expanding, with companies like Nvidia and AMD positioned to capture significant market share [22][24] - There is a growing need for diversified suppliers in the semiconductor space, as companies look to mitigate risks associated with reliance on a single manufacturer [15][25] Group 4: Broader Industry Trends - The U.S. is aiming to become a domestic chipmaking champion, but the outcome without TSMC and Samsung remains uncertain [8][19] - Significant investments are being made in data centers globally, with hundreds of billions committed, indicating a robust growth trajectory for the semiconductor industry [27][29] - The expansion of AI applications is driving investment beyond traditional tech sectors, impacting utilities and infrastructure as well [29][30]

At what point does Intel become interesting as an investment opportunity when the government seems to be backing it so hard. Well, clearly the government is changing the game for Intel, but their challenges remain and there are challenges around the innovation side. Their design plus manufacturing has run into trouble over the past few years, so much so that they've lost a lot of market share to AMD and they failed to become a player in the AI advanced chips.No amount of government investment is going to ma ...

Joining me now Jeff Degraphth. He's a Renaissance macro research chairman. It's good to see you.We've been talking about this on halftime a lot. You look at Alibaba and some of these other names, they look pretty good. You suggest from the charts.>> Yeah, 100% Scott. And I think, you know, unlike what we're seeing here in the States, which these AI names have been leadership now for, you know, two or three years, um you're just seeing these big base formations in China start to break out. So you can make th ...

And now let's welcome in Funst Strat's Tom Lee, a CNBC contributor. It's good to have you back. I know you love this trade, but what do you make of what Mr.. Griffin had to say. Um, well, I I agree with him. You know, we're in a period where there is a super cycle and exponential growth opportunities within AI.Um but it doesn't mean every company that has elevated valuation today deserves to actually have the capital and that and and that company may not even reinvest that capital properly to be a survivor. ...