Core Insights - The competition among new energy vehicle manufacturers in China remains intense, with sales figures being a key indicator of market positioning [1][2][26] - Leap Motor has emerged as a leader in April sales, achieving a significant year-on-year growth [4][5][26] - Other companies like Xiaopeng and NIO have shown positive sales trends, while some brands are experiencing declines [9][12][16][20] Sales Rankings - Leap Motor ranked first with 41,309 units sold in April, a 10.63% increase from March [2][4] - Xiaopeng ranked second with 35,045 units, marking a 5.54% increase [2][9] - Li Auto ranked third with 33,939 units, but saw a 7.46% decrease from the previous month [2][20] Performance Analysis - Leap Motor's success is attributed to its strong value proposition and efficient delivery system, with its C10 model achieving over 100,000 deliveries [7][4] - Xiaopeng's consistent performance is linked to its strategic adjustments and successful model launches [9][10] - NIO's sales increased by 53% in April, indicating a positive shift in its market strategy [12] Declining Sales - Xiaomi's sales fell by 4.25% to 28,000 units, reflecting challenges faced in the market [14] - Aion, Deep Blue, and Zeekr experienced significant declines, with Aion's sales down 16.96% [16][17] - Li Auto's decline raises concerns about its competitive position, especially in a crowded SUV market [20][25] Market Dynamics - The competitive landscape is evolving, with new entrants and existing players intensifying their efforts to capture market share [26] - The importance of maintaining strong sales performance is emphasized, as companies without robust competitive advantages may struggle to survive [26]

Group 1 - Temu has announced the cessation of direct sales of Chinese products to the U.S. due to a 130% import tariff, shifting to local sellers for U.S. market sales [5][6] - The U.S. Customs policy change effective May 2, 2025, will eliminate the small package tariff exemption for goods from mainland China and Hong Kong, requiring proper customs declarations and payment of applicable tariffs [5] - The number of full-service sellers on Temu's U.S. site has significantly decreased, with some sellers experiencing over 50% of their products being delisted [6] Group 2 - Neta Auto's app and website experienced significant downtime due to unpaid traffic fees, leading to accessibility issues during the holiday period [8] - Neta Auto's sales have sharply declined in 2023, revealing operational challenges, including layoffs and payment delays to suppliers [9] - The company previously achieved a sales record of approximately 152,100 vehicles in 2022, becoming a leading player among new car manufacturers [8] Group 3 - Major car manufacturers, including Xiaomi and Huawei, have rebranded their "smart driving" features to "assisted driving," reflecting a shift in marketing strategy [10][11] - The term "smart driving" is becoming less prominent in product promotions, with many companies opting for more conservative language in their marketing [11] Group 4 - Xiaomi's international market department has undergone leadership changes, with Xu Fei appointed as the new general manager [16] - Xu Fei has been with Xiaomi for 15 years and previously served as the head of the MIUI product team [16] Group 5 - Ant Group plans to separately list its overseas division, Ant International, in Hong Kong, which accounts for approximately 20% of Ant Group's revenue [15] - Ant International focuses on cross-border payment services, leveraging products like Alipay+ and WorldFirst [15] Group 6 - NVIDIA is developing a new AI chip tailored for the Chinese market after the U.S. government banned the export of its H20 chip, with samples expected to be available in June [21] - The new chip design aims to comply with U.S. export regulations while maintaining NVIDIA's market presence in China [21] Group 7 - OpenAI has decided to maintain its non-profit structure, abandoning plans for a profit-driven transformation, which may complicate future funding efforts [20] - The organization emphasizes its mission to ensure that AGI benefits all of humanity, contrasting with traditional profit-driven corporate governance [20]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Horizon Robotics (9660.HK) with a target price of 7.5 HKD [1]. Core Views - The company is focusing on high-end products and a wide customer base, recently launching the L2 urban driving assistance system, Horizon HSD, and announcing collaborations with multiple automotive manufacturers and Tier 1 suppliers [3][5]. - The company is positioned as a local solution provider for driving assistance, leveraging its experience in mass production and engineering capabilities to capitalize on industry trends and product cycles [6]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections show significant growth from 1,552 million in 2023 to 10,004 million in 2027, with year-over-year growth rates of 71.3% in 2023 and 82.7% in 2027 [4]. - The net profit is expected to improve from a loss of 6,739 million in 2023 to a profit of 453 million in 2027, indicating a turnaround in profitability [4]. - Gross margin is projected to decline from 70.5% in 2023 to 54.8% in 2027, while net margin is expected to shift from -434.3% to 4.5% over the same period [4]. Product Development and Market Position - The HSD system includes three versions targeting different market segments, with mass production expected to begin in Q3 2025 [5]. - The J6 series chips are designed to meet diverse production needs, with the flagship J6P already in development and set to be featured in new models from Chery [5]. - The company has secured partnerships with 20 automotive brands and is expanding its global market presence through collaborations with international Tier 1 suppliers like Bosch and Denso [6]. Profitability Forecast - The report forecasts net profits of -22 billion, -14 billion, and 5 billion for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively, indicating a path towards profitability [6]. - The company is expected to experience a significant increase in revenue and a gradual improvement in net profit margins as it scales its operations [6].

| 黄细里 | Diskte | | --- | --- | | 刘力宇 | | | 需路 | | | 郭雨蒙 | | | 孙仁昊 | De vo | | 赖闊旭 | סטרונים | 未经许可，不得转载或者引用。 | 投资要点 | | --- | 公司公告： 公司2025Q1单季度实现营收为191.5亿元，同环比分别-27.9%/-50.3%；实现归母净利润7.5亿 元 ， 同 环 比 分 别 +240.6%/-60.8%； 实 现 扣 非 后 归 母 净 利 润 3.94 亿 元 ， 同 环 比 分 别 +244.3%/-78.2%。 2025Q1处于新品上市前期，业绩表现符合我们预期： 1）营收层面：Q1单季度问界品牌共交付4.53万辆，同环比分别-45.7%/-53.1%，主要原因为春 节假期影响&公司Q1处于新品切换期。其中M9交付2.33万台，同环比分别+117.4%/-51.6%， M7交付1.79万台，同环比分别-74.3%/-57.3%。公司产品销量结构持续改善，M9销量占比环比 +1.7pct，Q1单季度ASP提升至42.3万元（分母为AITO销量），同环比分别+32.6%/+6%。2） ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights a historic moment in the Chinese automotive industry, marking a shift from "technology blood transfusion" to "intelligent self-supply," exemplified by SAIC Volkswagen's partnership with Momenta at the 2025 Shanghai Auto Show [1][2][10]. Group 1: Historical Context - SAIC Volkswagen, established in 1984, was the first joint venture car manufacturer in China, initiating the era of "technology blood transfusion" by introducing advanced manufacturing standards from Germany [11]. - The transformation from "Western for Chinese use" to "Chinese for Western use" signifies a pivotal change in the global automotive landscape [3][4]. Group 2: Technological Shift - The Shanghai Auto Show showcased over 20 new models from SAIC Volkswagen, including the ID.ERA concept car equipped with Momenta's intelligent driving solutions, indicating a new chapter in automotive intelligence [5][6][8]. - Momenta's technology, based on a dual approach of data-driven insights and operational capabilities, is set to enhance the potential of intelligent driving systems [20][22]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The market share of joint venture car manufacturers has declined from over 60% in 2020 to less than 35% last year, prompting a need for growth strategies [35]. - The penetration rate of L2-level assisted driving has increased significantly, from 15% in 2020 to an expected 65% this year, reflecting a growing consumer acceptance of intelligent driving technologies [36]. Group 4: Industry Collaboration - Momenta has rapidly expanded its partnerships, securing over 130 designated models, which is five times more than the previous year, indicating a strong demand for intelligent driving solutions among automakers [32][33]. - Major global automotive brands, including General Motors and Toyota, have chosen to collaborate with Momenta, showcasing a trend of Chinese technology gaining traction in the international market [29][30]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The article suggests that the collaboration between SAIC Volkswagen and Momenta could be seen as a turning point for the Chinese automotive industry, with the potential for Chinese standards to influence global automotive practices [37][38]. - The shift in the automotive industry is characterized as a "singularity moment," where Chinese automotive technology is not just following but leading in certain areas [38][42].

Core Insights - Bosch has launched a new driver assistance brand "Bosch Horizon Driver Assistance" at the Shanghai Auto Show, which includes three product lines covering SAE Level 2 assistance systems [1][2] - The company emphasizes the rapid transformation of intelligent driver assistance in China and aims to leverage software and technology innovations to seize business opportunities in this sector [1][3] Group 1: Product Launches and Innovations - Bosch's new driver assistance solutions include the Supreme version aimed at urban driving, which is based on dual Orin-X chips and is set for mass production by the end of 2023 [2] - The company has also introduced a new generation multifunction camera and an upgraded version of the Bosch Horizon Driver Assistance, reinforcing its leadership in Advanced Driver Assistance Systems (ADAS) [2][3] - Bosch is developing a visual language model to enhance the understanding of complex traffic scenarios, such as tidal lanes and bus-only lanes [3] Group 2: Market Strategy and Collaborations - Bosch has established partnerships with five Chinese OEMs for high-speed and urban memory driving assistance, with most projects expected to go into mass production this year [3] - The company plans to expand its end-to-end model for urban driving assistance to high-speed roads and urban memory driving by the end of 2025 [2][3] Group 3: Business Performance and Future Outlook - Bosch's intelligent mobility business is the largest segment of the group, projected to generate €55.9 billion (approximately ¥462.5 billion) in sales for the fiscal year 2024, accounting for nearly 62% of total sales [4] - In 2024, Bosch's sales in China are expected to grow by 4%, reaching ¥116.6 billion, which represents a quarter of Bosch's global intelligent mobility sales [5] - The company has identified that 65% of new business opportunities in China over the next five years are related to intelligent and electrified solutions [5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 performance met expectations, with significant contributions from the M8 model, which has received over 60,000 pre-orders within 13 days of its launch [8] - The company is planning to issue H-shares and list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, aiming to enhance its international capital operations and competitiveness [8] - The financial forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 project net profits of 9.6 billion, 14.2 billion, and 18.5 billion RMB respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 22, 15, and 11 times [8] Financial Summary - For Q1 2025, the company reported total revenue of 19.15 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 240.6% in net profit, reaching 750 million RMB [8] - The gross margin for Q1 was 27.6%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6.1 percentage points, indicating strong product positioning in the high-end automotive market [8] - The company's asset-liability ratio improved to 76.83% from 87.38% at the end of 2024, primarily due to sustained profitability and equity financing [8] Revenue and Profit Forecasts - The total revenue forecast for 2023 is 35.84 billion RMB, with a projected increase to 145.18 billion RMB in 2024, and further growth to 210.83 billion RMB by 2027 [1] - The projected net profit for 2023 is a loss of 2.45 billion RMB, turning to a profit of 5.95 billion RMB in 2024, and reaching 18.53 billion RMB by 2027 [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to rise from a loss of 1.50 RMB in 2023 to 11.34 RMB by 2027 [1]

需求升级叠加技术下放，20 万级汽车市场再迎新变局。 "我们聚焦用户体验来定义产品，以 '体验至上、用户至上' 的精神，致力于为千家万户打造更高品质 的出行生活。"4 月 23 日，华为常务董事、终端 BG 董事长余承东在上汽集团上海车展战略发布会上 说。 这是华为和上汽首次联袂亮相上海车展，双方刚在不久前官宣重大合作项目——尚界。尚界是鸿蒙智 行的 "第五界"，也是首个定位 20 万元级主流市场、采用华为智选车合作模式的汽车品牌，今年 4 月 以来受到外界广泛关注。 余承东预测，尚界首款车上市后销量将 "大爆"，并要求上汽准备足够多的产能。上汽集团总裁贾健旭 则公开喊话 "All in 尚界"。他透露，上汽将拿出最好的资源支持尚界成功。目前，尚界已首期投入 60 亿元打造尚界超级工厂，组建超 5000 人尚界专属团队。 华为通过主导鸿蒙智行旗下各品牌的产品设计、定义，直接参与定价、营销及终端销售环节，已打造 出多款热销车型；上汽是中国连续 18 年新车销量排名第一的汽车集团，也曾长期位居中国车企出口 销量第一。伴随华为与上汽管理层在最近两周的频密互动，外界对于将在今年秋天上市的尚界首款车 型抱有期待，好奇此 ...

报道称微软再次放缓数据中心投资。 部分中国供应商按原价恢复向美国供货。 早前沃尔玛等美国大型零售商已经发出发货通知，愿意承担关税。据界面新闻报道，一些中国供应 商已经恢复向美国发货，仍按照加征关税之前的价格。但在竞争更激烈的服饰行业，有供应商收到 市场调研机构 Semianalysis 称，过去两个季度，微软放弃远超 2GW 的数据中心租赁合同。此外， 微软还在冻结 1.5GW 近期自建数据中心项目——这些项目原计划在 2025 年和 2026 年投入使用。 数据中心的功耗越大，算力越强。作为对比，马斯克旗下 xAI 建设的 20 万张 GPU 数据中心，功 耗大约 0.5 GW。该报告称，微软放缓数据中心投资与 OpenAI 转向与甲骨文合作、微软的 AI 服务 推广缓慢等因素有关。 保时捷称在华停售电动车是误读。 近日，有媒体报道称保时捷首席执行官奥博穆透露，"未来两到三年内，保时捷可能停止在中国市 场销售电动汽车。" 对此，保时捷 29 日在发给我们的回应中表示，"这是误读，保时捷在中国仍将 坚定不移地推进电动化进程，也将加快提供产品数智化本土解决方案。我们下一款纯电车型将是全 新的纯电动 Cayenn ...

Core Insights - Li Auto showcased new models at the Shanghai International Auto Show, including the Li MEGA Home Family Special Edition and upgraded versions of Li MEGA Ultra and Li L6 [1][8] Group 1: Product Launches - The Li MEGA Home Family Special Edition is priced at 559,800 yuan, while the Li MEGA Ultra is priced at 529,800 yuan, both available for order immediately [1] - The Li L6 Smart Upgrade version is priced between 249,800 and 279,800 yuan and is also available for pre-order [1] Group 2: Features and Innovations - The Li MEGA Home features zero-gravity rotating seats in the second row, enhancing family usability with various configurations for easy access and comfort [3] - The vehicle includes a new front-row silent electric door with a damping design and 11 pieces of double-layer laminated glass, improving noise reduction by 3.8 decibels at 40 km/h on concrete roads [3] - Both the Li MEGA Home and Li MEGA Ultra are equipped with the upgraded NVIDIA Thor-U chip, providing 700 TOPS of computing power for enhanced safety and intelligent driving experiences [3] Group 3: Li L6 Smart Upgrade - The Li L6 Smart Upgrade features ATL all-weather laser radar and upgraded AD Pro driving assistance, now compatible with Horizon Journey 6M chip for advanced driving capabilities [5] - The Li L6 Pro Smart Upgrade can stop from 120 km/h in front of an accident vehicle and includes an automatic emergency steering (AES) function for night driving scenarios [5] - New aesthetic options for the Li L6 include a special sky blue pearl paint and dual-tone interior choices, along with redesigned 20-inch and 21-inch wheels [5] Group 4: Software Development - Li Auto's self-developed operating system, "Li Star Ring OS," has begun to open source some modules, marking a step towards ecosystem collaboration [7]