国金证券8月15日发布研报称，给予腾远钴业（301219.SZ，最新价：60.91元）买入评级。评级理由主 要包括：1）钴价迎来上涨通道，中长期价格中枢有待重估；2）加大铜板块布局，增厚公司盈利基本 盘；3）一体化布局已成，产能仍具备较大增长潜力。风险提示：钴产品价格波动超预期风险、下游需 求表现不及预期风险、限售股解禁风险、钴原材料价格波动超预期风险等。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report highlights Haida Group's strong position in the agricultural and animal husbandry industry, emphasizing its nearly thirty years of experience and integrated business model centered around feed production [2] - The company has successfully expanded its operations upstream and downstream, establishing a closed-loop industrial chain that includes feed, seedlings, animal health, breeding, and processing [2] - Haida Group's stock structure is relatively concentrated, which may influence its governance and decision-making processes [2] Group 2 - The feed business has shown impressive performance both domestically and internationally, with a projected total sales growth rate of 25% year-on-year for the first half of 2025 [2] - The synergy between the feed business and the agricultural products and animal health segments is contributing to steady growth in these areas [2] - The company possesses significant soft power advantages, with an excellent management team and an efficient organizational structure that supports stable development [2] Group 3 - Haida Group is recognized as a high-quality growth stock in the agricultural sector, with its management team being a core component of its success [2] - The company has established a highly efficient organizational system that integrates procurement, research and development, sales, and production, which helps maintain excess profitability compared to the industry [2]

Core Viewpoint - China Hongqiao (01378) is a globally integrated electrolytic aluminum enterprise with a full industry chain layout, high production capacity, and cost advantages. The company has a high dividend yield, and the merger and restructuring of its subsidiary Hongchuang Holdings (002379) will lead to the listing of core aluminum assets in A-shares, further enhancing profit margins and valuation space. The expected earnings per share for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 2.37, 2.45, and 2.52 CNY, respectively, corresponding to PE ratios of 8.1, 7.9, and 7.6, with a strong buy rating given for the first coverage [1]. Group 1 - China Hongqiao is a leading electrolytic aluminum producer with a comprehensive domestic and international industry chain layout, producing and selling aluminum products including electrolytic aluminum, alumina, and aluminum processing products, with a total electrolytic aluminum capacity of 6.46 million tons and alumina capacity of 21 million tons [2]. - The company has a stable gross profit margin, with a projected sales gross margin of 27.0% for 2024, significantly higher than comparable companies, and has maintained stable historical gross margins [2]. - The company is focused on future sustainability, relocating 203,000 tons of electrolytic aluminum capacity from Shandong to Yunnan to increase the use of green electricity, with 148.8 thousand tons already in production as of Q1 2025 [2]. Group 2 - The electrolytic aluminum operating rate is high, with domestic inventory at a historical low of 51,000 tons as of July 24, 2025, supporting aluminum prices, while the operating rate exceeds 97% [3]. - The company has maintained a high dividend yield since its listing in 2011, with a projected dividend of 161 Hong Kong cents per share for 2024, a 156% increase from 2023, resulting in a dividend yield of 13.69% based on the last trading day’s closing price [3]. - The merger of the company's main electrolytic aluminum production enterprise, Hongtuo Industrial, with its subsidiary Hongchuang Holdings will significantly enhance the scale and profitability of Hongchuang Holdings, thereby opening up valuation space for China Hongqiao [4].

Group 1: Metal Sector - China Hongqiao's net profit forecast for 2024 is CNY 223.72 billion, with a PE ratio of 8.14[12] - Hualing Steel's net profit is projected to increase from CNY 20.32 billion in 2024 to CNY 28.54 billion in 2025, with a PE ratio of 19.72[12] - Xiamen Tungsten's net profit is expected to rise from CNY 17.28 billion in 2024 to CNY 21.01 billion in 2025, with a PE ratio of 22.97[12] Group 2: Construction and Transportation - Sichuan Road and Bridge's net profit is forecasted to grow from CNY 72.10 billion in 2024 to CNY 82.86 billion in 2025, with a PE ratio of 10.35[12] - YTO Express's net profit is expected to decrease from CNY 40.12 billion in 2024 to CNY 35.39 billion in 2025, with a PE ratio of 13.03[12] - China Merchants Highway's net profit is projected to be CNY 55 billion in 2025, with a PE ratio of 14.56[12] Group 3: Chemical and Energy Sector - Yara International's net profit is expected to rise from CNY 9.50 billion in 2024 to CNY 17.94 billion in 2025, with a PE ratio of 30.56[12] - Funiu Power's net profit forecast for 2025 is CNY 28.95 billion, with a PE ratio of 9.18[12] - Huajin's net profit is projected to recover to CNY 0.92 billion in 2025 after a loss of CNY 27.95 billion in 2024[12] Group 4: Strategic Metals and New Materials - Xiamen Tungsten's strategic metal segments are expected to contribute 79% to profits in 2024, with a focus on tungsten and rare earths[21] - Zhongcai Technology's special glass fiber is projected to see significant demand growth due to AI hardware requirements, with expected profits of CNY 0.2 billion in 2024[30] - The company anticipates a profit contribution from special glass fiber of CNY 7.2 billion by 2026[30]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Tianshan Aluminum [4][6]. Core Views - The company plans to enhance its electrolytic aluminum production capacity by 200,000 tons through a green low-carbon efficiency improvement project, with an investment of approximately 2.23 billion yuan [1][2]. - The project aims to reduce energy costs significantly by adopting advanced energy-saving technologies, leading to industry-leading power consumption levels for aluminum production [2][3]. - The company's integrated layout is expected to stabilize performance, with self-sufficiency in prebaked anodes and alumina, and a strategic expansion into Indonesia and Guinea for resource supply [3][4]. Summary by Sections Production Capacity and Cost Efficiency - The electrolytic aluminum capacity will increase to 1.4 million tons, with a significant release of new capacity expected in 2026 [2]. - The project will utilize advanced technologies that enhance the lifespan and efficiency of production, resulting in lower electricity costs [2][3]. Strategic Layout and Resource Supply - The company has achieved 100% self-sufficiency in alumina and prebaked anodes, with ongoing projects in Guangxi and Xinjiang [3]. - A strategic investment of $1.556 billion is planned for a 2 million-ton alumina production line in Indonesia, with the first phase already approved [3]. - The acquisition of a 50% stake in a Guinea-based mining project will further secure raw material supply, with a planned annual capacity of 5-6 million tons of bauxite [3]. Financial Forecast - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 5.126 billion yuan, 6.207 billion yuan, and 7.008 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 7, 6, and 5 [4][5]. - Revenue is expected to grow from 28.089 billion yuan in 2024 to 35.569 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate [5][10].

Core Viewpoint - Wanrun New Energy has signed a five-year business cooperation agreement with CATL to supply approximately 1.3231 million tons of lithium iron phosphate products, significantly boosting its revenue potential and market position [1][2]. Group 1: Agreement Details - The agreement stipulates an average annual supply of 264,600 tons from May 2025 to 2030, with a total contract value estimated between 42.3 billion to 44.2 billion yuan, translating to an average annual revenue contribution of 8.46 billion to 8.84 billion yuan [1]. - This order represents about 10.6% of CATL's total demand based on the projected domestic lithium iron phosphate production of 2.48 million tons in 2024 [1][2]. Group 2: Financial Implications - Despite the significant revenue increase, Wanrun New Energy's gross margin for lithium iron phosphate in 2024 is projected to be only 0.08%, far below the industry leader Hunan Yueneng's 7.63% [1][2]. - The company reported a year-on-year increase in shipment volume of 138% to 74,000 tons in Q1, but its losses expanded to 156 million yuan, indicating challenges in profitability despite higher sales volume [1]. Group 3: Market Position and Strategy - The agreement allows Wanrun New Energy to potentially move from the third tier of the industry (approximately 10% market share) towards a more prominent position [1][2]. - The company is also exploring high-density lithium iron phosphate products for fast-charging batteries, which could enhance profit margins if technological breakthroughs are achieved [2]. - The trend of order concentration among leading battery manufacturers may further squeeze market share for smaller suppliers, emphasizing the importance of technological advancement [2][3]. Group 4: Industry Outlook - The lithium iron phosphate industry is expected to transition from a "price war" to a "value war" by 2025, with leading firms that can control costs and innovate technologically likely to dominate the market [3]. - Wanrun New Energy's strategy to extend upstream into phosphate and lithium resources aims to reduce costs and improve its competitive edge in a low-margin environment [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 17.29 CNY, based on a 19x P/E ratio for 2025 [2][5]. Core Views - The company's profitability is gradually improving, with a forecasted revenue of 66.615 billion CNY for 2025, reflecting a slight decrease of 0.7% year-on-year, followed by growth in subsequent years [4][9]. - The long filament market is expected to continue recovering, with a projected increase in industry capacity to around 2 million tons in 2025, aligning supply growth with demand [9]. - The company is expanding its integrated production capacity, with PTA capacity expected to exceed 10 million tons by the end of 2025, and plans to launch additional polyester production lines [9]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue Forecast**: - 2023: 61.469 billion CNY - 2024: 67.091 billion CNY - 2025: 66.615 billion CNY - 2026: 75.409 billion CNY - 2027: 82.129 billion CNY - **Net Profit**: - 2023: 1.086 billion CNY - 2024: 1.100 billion CNY - 2025: 1.380 billion CNY - 2026: 1.745 billion CNY - 2027: 2.285 billion CNY - **Earnings Per Share**: - 2023: 0.71 CNY - 2024: 0.72 CNY - 2025: 0.91 CNY - 2026: 1.14 CNY - 2027: 1.50 CNY - **Profitability Ratios**: - Gross Margin: 5.8% in 2023, expected to rise to 7.0% by 2027 - Net Margin: 1.8% in 2023, expected to reach 2.8% by 2027 - Return on Equity: 6.7% in 2023, projected to increase to 10.9% by 2027 [4][9][11].

Summary of the Conference Call for 博客新材 (Platinum Materials) Industry Overview - 博客新材 holds a leading position in the soft magnetic materials sector, with a domestic market share of nearly 40%, and together with 东睦股份, they account for 60%-70% of the market [2][7] - The company maintains stable gross and net profit margins, indicating strong competitive advantages and profitability [2] Key Business Insights - The company operates two main business segments: powder core business and chip inductor business [3] - The integrated layout is crucial for powder core enterprises, allowing 博客新材 to better understand powder preparation processes, quickly respond to downstream demands, and effectively reduce costs [2][8] - 博客新材's flexible production capacity is a significant advantage, with sales expected to reach approximately 38,000 tons in 2024 and a target of 48,000 to 50,000 tons in 2025, maintaining a growth rate of 15% to 20% [2][10] Chip Inductor Business - The chip inductor segment has shown rapid revenue growth over the past three years, primarily supplying clients like NVIDIA and AMD, and is expanding into new applications such as DDR6 memory modules [5][14] - The copper-iron co-fired inductors have high power, small size, and safety advantages, with gross margins reaching 50% and net margins around 30%, significantly enhancing the company's overall profitability [12] Market Position and Future Outlook - The global market demand for soft magnetic materials is estimated at around 250,000 tons, with 博客新材 and 东睦股份 dominating the domestic market [7] - The company is expected to maintain stable revenue and profit growth in the coming years, with projected revenues of 2.2 billion, 3.2 billion, and 3.7 billion yuan, and profits of 470 million, 590 million, and 700 million yuan, reflecting a growth rate of approximately 25% [16] - The current stock price is considered undervalued, warranting attention for its Q2 performance and the marginal changes post chip inductor production ramp-up [16] Additional Insights - The powder core business primarily serves the renewable energy sector, while the chip inductor business is expanding into AI graphics cards and terminal devices [4] - The integrated layout not only enhances cost efficiency but also strengthens the company's ability to develop new products, positioning it favorably in the competitive landscape [8] - 博客新材's future prospects are promising, with potential applications in AI servers, mobile devices, PCs, and storage modules, supported by capacity expansion and employee incentive programs [15]

Performance Overview - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 5.364 billion yuan, a decrease of 10.80%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 757 million yuan, down 65.72% [1] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 5.00 yuan for every 10 shares, with a dividend yield of 1.73% as of April 24, 2025 [1] - In Q1 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 1.536 billion yuan, an increase of 36.37% year-on-year but a decrease of 14.38% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 135 million yuan, down 47.38% year-on-year and 36.19% quarter-on-quarter [1] Impact of Lithium Price Decline - The overall revenue decline in 2024 was primarily due to the drop in lithium prices, with the lithium battery raw material development and utilization business generating revenue of 3.129 billion yuan, down 26.25% [2] - The average spot price of lithium carbonate fell by 65.0% year-on-year to 90,510 yuan/ton, with a further decline of approximately 22.6% from the beginning of the year [2] - The company achieved lithium salt sales of 42,649 tons, an increase of 145.01%, with self-owned mines contributing 39,477 tons, up 164% [2] Profitability Trends - In 2024, the company's gross margin and net margin were 32.75% and 14.05%, respectively, with significant declines of 22.06 percentage points and 22.57 percentage points [2] - The gross margin for the lithium battery raw material business dropped by 39.15 percentage points to 18.62%, primarily due to falling lithium prices [2] - The rare light metals resource development business saw a gross margin increase of 13.91 percentage points to 78.29%, attributed to higher product prices [2] Resource Integration and Development - The company has a total of 418,000 tons/year of mining capacity and 66,000 tons/year of battery-grade lithium salt capacity [3] - Plans include completing the construction of a 1 million tons/year lithium mine in Canada by 2025 and a 30,000 tons/year integrated mining and processing facility in Africa by 2026 [3] - The company acquired a 65% stake in the Kitumba copper mine in Zambia, with a design scale of 3.5 million tons/year, and plans to start construction of the smelting project in May 2025 [3] Investment Outlook - As a leading lithium and rare salt producer, the company aims to enhance resource self-sufficiency and reduce production costs through acquisitions and mining [4] - The company is expected to achieve operating revenues of 5.65 billion, 7.24 billion, and 10.84 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 5.3%, 28.2%, and 49.8% respectively [4] - Projected net profits for the same period are 930 million, 1.25 billion, and 1.95 billion yuan, with growth rates of 23.1%, 34.5%, and 55.7% respectively [4]

Core Viewpoint - Zhongwei Co., Ltd. is accelerating its overseas expansion and has officially applied for a listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, aiming to leverage international capital for further growth [1][3]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, Zhongwei's revenue from overseas reached 17.884 billion RMB, accounting for 44.5% of total revenue, an increase of over 10 percentage points compared to two years ago [1][2]. - The company's total revenue for 2022, 2023, and 2024 is projected to be 30.344 billion RMB, 34.273 billion RMB, and 40.223 billion RMB, respectively, indicating steady growth [4]. - The revenue from new energy metal products has grown significantly, reaching 13.483 billion RMB in 2024, accounting for 33.5% of total revenue [4]. Group 2: Business Structure and Strategy - Zhongwei has established a vertically integrated business model, with a product matrix that includes nickel, cobalt, phosphorus, sodium, and other innovative materials [4]. - The company is expanding its production capacity in Indonesia and Morocco and is evaluating plans to build a nickel material production line in South Korea [2][8]. - The shift towards a platform-type materials company is evident, as Zhongwei aims to create a complete ecosystem from resource extraction to recycling [8]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Challenges - The traditional new energy battery materials segment has seen a decline in revenue and market share, with nickel and cobalt materials experiencing significant price drops [5][6]. - The average selling price of nickel materials fell from 102.9 thousand RMB/ton in 2023 to 82.9 thousand RMB/ton in 2024, while cobalt materials also saw a price decrease [7]. - The company faces challenges from raw material price fluctuations, particularly in nickel and cobalt, which have historically impacted profitability [9][10].