产能利用率

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瑞达期货纯苯产业日报-20250814
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2025-08-14 10:48
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - Supply of pure benzene is expected to increase on a month - on - month basis, but the small number of imported cargo arrivals may partially offset the domestic increase. Consumption of pure benzene is likely to rise on a month - on - month basis as the overhaul devices of the five major downstream industries of pure benzene restart intensively. In the long - term, there is an improving trend in the supply - demand of pure benzene, and the spot supply - demand gap may gradually shrink. Recently, international oil prices are weakly volatile, and technically, BZ2603 should focus on the support around 6100 [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - The closing price of the main contract of pure benzene was 6179 yuan/ton, down 58 yuan; the settlement price was 6210 yuan/ton, down 40 yuan. The trading volume was 2318 lots, and the open interest was 14833 lots. The mainstream prices of pure benzene in different domestic markets varied, with some rising and some falling [2]. Spot Market - The spot price of pure benzene in South Korea's FOB intermediate price was 734 dollars/ton, down 6 dollars; the CFR intermediate price in China was 750.5 dollars/ton, down 4 dollars [2]. Upstream Situation - The spot price of Brent DTD crude oil was 66.97 dollars/barrel, down 0.64 dollars; the CFR intermediate price of naphtha in Japan was 563.5 dollars/ton, down 6.5 dollars [2]. Industry Situation - The capacity utilization rate of pure benzene was 78.14%, up 0.13 percentage points; the weekly output was 44.6 tons, up 1.03 tons. The port inventory was 16.3 tons, down 0.7 tons. The production cost was 5327.8 yuan/ton, down 118.2 yuan; the production profit was 737 yuan/ton, up 76 yuan [2]. Downstream Situation - The operating rates of downstream products of pure benzene varied. For example, the operating rate of styrene was 77.73%, down 1.19 percentage points; the capacity utilization rate of caprolactam was 95.72%, up 6.41 percentage points [2]. Industry News - From August 1st to 7th, the profit of PetroChina's benzene was 576 yuan/ton, down 67 yuan/ton compared with last week. As of August 11th, the commercial inventory of pure benzene ports in Jiangsu was 14.6 tons, down 10.43% from the previous period. BZ2603 fell 1.14% to close at 6179 yuan/ton. The capacity utilization rate of petroleum benzene increased by 0.21% to 78.79%, while that of hydrogenated benzene decreased by 3.29% to 59.66%. The weighted operating rate of downstream products of pure benzene decreased by 1.22% to 76.74%. The inventory of pure benzene in East China ports decreased by 10.43% to 14.6 tons [2].
港股异动 | 统一企业中国(00220)涨超4% 公司上半年表现稳健 机构指原材料成本利好已基本释放
智通财经网· 2025-08-14 06:52
Core Viewpoint - Uni-President China (00220) reported a strong performance in the first half of 2025, with revenue and net profit growth exceeding market expectations, leading to a notable increase in stock price [1] Financial Performance - Revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025 increased by 10.6% and 33.2% year-on-year, surpassing Goldman Sachs' forecasts by 8.5% and 27.4% respectively [1] - The EBIT for the food business rose by 32% year-on-year, significantly exceeding Goldman Sachs' prediction by 45% [1] Market Dynamics - Despite rising palm oil prices, the food business maintained a high capacity utilization rate [1] - Competition in the beverage sector remains intense, prompting Goldman Sachs to lower its sales and EBIT margin forecasts by 2.4% and 0.3 percentage points [1] Strategic Outlook - The company has reiterated its sales growth target of 6% to 8% for the year, emphasizing long-term brand investment over short-term price promotions [1] - However, uncertainties are emerging, particularly regarding the scale and duration of subsidies from food delivery platforms, which have begun to disrupt channel dynamics since April [1] Analyst Perspectives - Goldman Sachs has adjusted its forecasts for instant noodle EBIT margins upward by 0.8 to 0.9 percentage points, reflecting improved sales momentum and a strengthened product mix [1] - In contrast, China Merchants Securities expressed concerns about limited growth and profit margin upside due to the absence of price increase plans and intensified promotional efforts in core categories like sugar-free tea [1]
【国信电子胡剑团队】中芯国际:二季度收入超指引上限,产能利用率达92.5%
剑道电子· 2025-08-14 06:16
Core Viewpoints - Company achieved sales revenue of $2.209 billion in Q2 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 16.2% and a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 1.7%, exceeding guidance [4] - The gross margin was 20.4%, up 6.4 percentage points year-over-year but down 2.1 percentage points quarter-over-quarter, also surpassing guidance [4] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was $132 million, down 19.5% year-over-year and 29.5% quarter-over-quarter [4] - The company expects Q3 2025 revenue to grow by 5%-7% quarter-over-quarter, with a gross margin of 18%-20% [4] Production Capacity Utilization - In Q2 2025, production capacity utilization increased by 2.9 percentage points to 92.5%, the highest since Q3 2022 [5] - The company shipped 2.39 million 8-inch equivalent wafers, a year-over-year increase of 13.2% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 4.3% [5] - The average price of 8-inch wafers decreased to $874, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 5% but a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 6% [5] Revenue by Application - Revenue from industrial and automotive applications saw the highest growth rates, with automotive electronics shipments increasing by 20% quarter-over-quarter [6] - Year-over-year growth rates for industrial and automotive applications were 54.8% and 36.3%, respectively, while smartphone and wearable devices saw declines of 6.8% and 11.8% [6] - In Q2 2025, 84.1% of revenue came from China, 12.9% from the US, and 3.0% from the Eurasian region [6]
【国信电子胡剑团队】华虹半导体:2Q25毛利率超指引,稼动率保持满载
剑道电子· 2025-08-14 06:16
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a strong performance in 2Q25, exceeding previous guidance for both revenue and gross margin, with expectations for steady growth in 3Q25 [4][5]. Financial Performance - In 2Q25, the company achieved sales revenue of $566.1 million, representing a year-over-year increase of 18.3% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 4.6%. The gross margin was 10.9%, up 0.4 percentage points year-over-year and 1.7 percentage points quarter-over-quarter, surpassing the prior guidance of $550-570 million in revenue and 7%-9% gross margin [5]. - For 3Q25, the company anticipates sales revenue of approximately $620-640 million and a gross margin of around 10%-12% [5]. Capacity Utilization - As of the end of 2Q25, the company's monthly capacity, equivalent to 8-inch wafers, was 447,000 pieces, reflecting an 18.0% year-over-year increase and an 8.2% quarter-over-quarter increase. The capacity utilization rate was 108.3%, up 10.4 percentage points year-over-year and 5.7 percentage points quarter-over-quarter, indicating a stable upward trend [6]. - The company has maintained full capacity utilization for multiple quarters, with stable release of 12-inch capacity contributing to revenue growth [6]. Market Demand - By end-market segmentation, revenue from consumer electronics, communications, and computers increased by 2.7%, 9.8%, and 2.8% quarter-over-quarter, respectively. Revenue from industrial and automotive sectors rose by 7.7% [7]. - Demand for analog and power management products continued to grow, with a year-over-year increase of 59.3% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 17.9%. The recovery in power device demand also showed a year-over-year growth of 9.4% and a quarter-over-quarter growth of 2.4% [7]. Capital Expenditure - The company's capital expenditure in 2Q25 was $407.7 million, with $376 million allocated to Huahong Manufacturing, $17.6 million to Huahong Wuxi, and $13.7 million to Huahong 8-inch [8]. - The company plans for Fab 9 to reach full capacity by the first quarter of 2026, with a corresponding capacity of 60,000 pieces per month. The ramp-up of Fab 9's capacity is expected to accelerate, contributing to stable growth [8].
2019年-2025年上半年全国电力、热力、燃气及水生产和供应业累计产能利用率统计分析
Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang· 2025-08-14 03:21
Group 1 - The capacity utilization rate for the electricity, heat, gas, and water production and supply industry in the second quarter of 2025 was 71.5%, which represents a 0.1 percentage point increase compared to the same period last year [1] - For the first half of 2025, the cumulative capacity utilization rate for the industry was 72.6%, showing a 1.3 percentage point increase compared to the same period last year [1]
2019年-2025年上半年全国制造业累计产能利用率统计分析
Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang· 2025-08-14 03:21
Group 1 - The national manufacturing capacity utilization rate for the second quarter of 2025 is 74.3%, which represents a decrease of 0.9 percentage points compared to the same period last year [1] - The cumulative capacity utilization rate for the national manufacturing sector in the first half of 2025 is 74.2%, reflecting a decline of 0.3 percentage points year-on-year [1]
2019年-2025年上半年全国采矿业累计产能利用率统计分析
Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang· 2025-08-14 03:21
Group 1 - The national mining industry's capacity utilization rate for the second quarter of 2025 was 72.7%, a decrease of 3.3 percentage points compared to the same period last year [1] - The cumulative capacity utilization rate for the national mining industry in the first half of 2025 was 73.6%, down 1.9 percentage points year-on-year [1]
沥青:原油续弱,出货倦怠
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-08-14 02:02
Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating No information about the report's industry investment rating is provided. 2. Core View The asphalt market shows signs of weakness, with a downward trend in prices and a recent decrease in shipments. However, there has been a slight increase in the capacity utilization rate of domestic heavy - traffic asphalt and modified asphalt enterprises. The market is influenced by factors such as crude oil prices, regional demand, and refinery production schedules [1][16]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Fundamental Tracking - **Futures prices**: On August 13, 2025, BU2509 closed at 3,534 yuan/ton, down 0.14%, and the night - session closed at 3,512 yuan/ton, down 0.62%; BU2510 closed at 3,503 yuan/ton, down 0.09%, and the night - session closed at 3,471 yuan/ton, down 0.91% [1]. - **Trading volume and open interest**: The trading volume of BU2509 was 12,434 lots, a decrease of 4,801 lots, and the open interest was 41,183 lots, a decrease of 3,171 lots. The trading volume of BU2510 was 123,189 lots, an increase of 2,907 lots, and the open interest was 224,999 lots, an increase of 1,869 lots [1]. - **Warehouse receipts**: The total market warehouse receipts of asphalt were 73,750 lots, with no change [1]. - **Spreads**: The basis (Shandong - 09) was 106 yuan/ton, a decrease of 5 yuan; the 09 - 10 inter - period spread was 31 yuan/ton, a decrease of 2 yuan; the Shandong - South China spread was 110 yuan/ton, a decrease of 10 yuan; the East China - South China spread remained unchanged at 200 yuan/ton [1]. - **Spot prices**: The Shandong wholesale price was 3,640 yuan/ton, a decrease of 10 yuan; the Yangtze River Delta wholesale price was 3,730 yuan/ton, with no change [1]. - **Refinery indicators**: As of August 7, the refinery operating rate was 34.33%, a decrease of 0.07%, and the refinery inventory rate was 25.54%, a decrease of 0.20% [1]. 3.2 Trend Strength The asphalt trend strength is - 1, indicating a relatively bearish outlook, with the value ranging from - 2 (most bearish) to 2 (most bullish) [10]. 3.3 Market Information - **Shipment volume**: From August 6 - 12, 2025, the total shipment volume of 54 domestic asphalt enterprises was 40.2 tons, a decrease of 3.8% compared to the previous period. The shipment volume decreased significantly in the Northeast and East China regions [16]. - **Capacity utilization rate**: From August 7 - 13, 2025, the capacity utilization rate of 77 domestic heavy - traffic asphalt enterprises was 32.9%, an increase of 1.2% compared to the previous period. From August 6 - 12, 2025, the capacity utilization rate of 69 domestic modified asphalt enterprises was 17.1%, an increase of 1.2% compared to the previous period and an increase of 3.8% year - on - year [16].
纯苯、苯乙烯日报:BZ、EB港口均去库,苯乙烯盘整延续-20250813
Tong Hui Qi Huo· 2025-08-13 14:12
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views - **Pure Benzene**: Supply increases slightly due to new oil - benzene device production, while hydro - benzene开工率 drops. Demand from phenol rises but is partly offset by the decline in adipic acid. Overall demand is flat. Inventory decreases at East China ports due to typhoon - affected arrivals. 8 - 9月 may see slight inventory reduction, but improvement is limited due to high hidden inventory and weak consumption [5]. - **Styrene**: Supply is sufficient with new device production and resumed operations. Demand is weak, with EPS开工率 dropping significantly and PS/ABS rising slightly. Port inventory doesn't increase but remains high. Mid - term supply pressure persists with new capacity planned. The strong pure benzene price provides some support, and the macro - environment helps sentiment, but fundamental positives are limited [6]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1. Daily Market Summary - **Fundamentals** - **Price**: On August 12, styrene futures rose 0.99% to 7322 yuan/ton with a basis of 28 (- 27 yuan/ton), and pure benzene futures rose 0.32% to 6250 yuan/ton [4]. - **Cost**: On August 12, Brent crude closed at 64.0 (+0.1 dollar/barrel), WTI at 66.6 (+0.0 dollar/barrel), and East China pure benzene spot was 6180 yuan/ton (+20 yuan/ton) [4]. - **Inventory**: Styrene factory inventory was 21.1 (-0.6) million tons, a 2.71% decrease; Jiangsu port inventory was 14.9 (-1.0) million tons, a 6.42% decrease. Pure benzene port inventory was 14.6 (-1.7) million tons, a 10.43% decrease [4]. - **Supply**: A new styrene device in Shandong was put into operation. Weekly styrene output was 35.9 (-0.2) million tons, and capacity utilization was 77.7% (-1.2%) [4]. - **Demand**: Among styrene's downstream 3S, EPS capacity utilization dropped 10.6% to 43.7%, ABS rose 5.2% to 71.1%, and PS rose 1.7% to 55.0% [4]. 3.2. Industry Chain Data Monitoring - **Price**: Styrene futures and spot prices rose slightly on August 12 compared to August 11, while the basis decreased. Pure benzene futures, East China spot, and some international prices also changed, with different price differences showing various trends [8]. - **Output and Inventory**: From August 1 to August 8, styrene output decreased by 0.63% to 35.9 million tons, and pure benzene output increased by 2.36% to 44.6 million tons. Styrene and pure benzene inventories at ports and factories all decreased [9]. - **Capacity Utilization**: From August 1 to August 8, the capacity utilization of styrene and some pure - benzene downstream products changed. EPS capacity utilization dropped significantly, while ABS and PS increased [10]. 3.3. Industry News - China's shale cracking raw material supply issues may push up naphtha costs, with an expected record - high naphtha import of 16 - 17 million tons in 2025 [11]. - Global diesel shortage supports refinery profits, affecting the crude oil and chemical chains [11]. - India plans to accelerate petrochemical expansion to counter China's dominance [11]. 3.4. Industry Chain Data Charts The report provides multiple charts showing the historical data of pure benzene and styrene prices, price differences, inventory, and capacity utilization [16][19][21]
【钢铁】7月电解铝产能利用率达98.4%,续创2012年有统计数据以来新高水平——金属周期品高频数据周报(王招华/戴默)
光大证券研究· 2025-08-12 23:06
Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the current economic indicators and trends in various sectors, including liquidity, infrastructure, real estate, industrial products, and export chains, providing insights into potential investment opportunities and market dynamics. Liquidity - The M1 and M2 growth rate difference was -3.7 percentage points in June 2025, with a month-on-month increase of 1.9 percentage points [4] - The BCI small and medium enterprise financing environment index was 46.09 in July 2025, down 6.16% from the previous month [4] - London gold prices increased by 1.07% compared to the previous week [4] Infrastructure and Real Estate Chain - Key enterprises' average daily crude steel production hit a new low for the year in late July [5] - Price changes included rebar down 0.60%, cement price index down 0.37%, rubber down 1.71%, coke up 3.79%, coking coal up 3.55%, and iron ore up 1.31% [5] - National blast furnace capacity utilization rate decreased by 0.15 percentage points, while cement and asphalt production rates increased by 10.00% and decreased by 0.6% respectively [5] Real Estate Completion Chain - Titanium dioxide and flat glass prices changed by -0.39% and 0.00% respectively, with glass profit at -58 CNY/ton and titanium dioxide profit at -1353 CNY/ton [6] - The flat glass operating rate was 73% this week [6] Industrial Products Chain - Major commodity prices showed cold-rolled steel, copper, and aluminum increasing by 1.26%, 0.33%, and 0.68% respectively, with corresponding profit changes of +6.01%, -18.19%, and +4.26% [7] - The national semi-steel tire operating rate was 74.35%, down 0.10 percentage points [7] Subcategories - The electrolytic aluminum capacity utilization rate reached a new high since 2012 [8] - Graphite electrode price was 18,000 CNY/ton, unchanged, with a comprehensive profit of 1357.4 CNY/ton, down 7.35% [8] - The price of electrolytic aluminum was 20,630 CNY/ton, up 0.68%, with estimated profit at 3,050 CNY/ton (excluding tax), up 4.26% [8] Price Comparison Relationships - The price ratio of rebar to iron ore was 4.24 this week [9] - The price difference between hot-rolled and rebar steel was 140 CNY/ton, while the price difference between Shanghai cold-rolled and hot-rolled steel was 380 CNY/ton, down 10 CNY/ton [9] - The price difference between medium-thick plates and rebar steel was 160 CNY/ton this week [9] Export Chain - The new export orders PMI for China in July 2025 was 47.10%, down 0.6 percentage points [10] - The CCFI comprehensive index for container shipping rates was 1200.73 points, down 2.56% [10] - The U.S. crude steel capacity utilization rate was 78.70%, up 0.30 percentage points [10] Valuation Percentiles - The CSI 300 index increased by 1.23%, with the best-performing cyclical sector being engineering machinery at +6.21% [11] - The PB ratio of ordinary steel and industrial metals relative to the CSI 300 index was 47.28% and 69.23% respectively [11] - The current PB ratio for the ordinary steel sector is 0.57, with the highest value since 2013 being 0.82 [11]