智通财经APP获悉，中泰证券发布研报称，未来能量饮料行业将由过去单一的能量补给刚性需求向健康 化、场景细分化进行发展，东鹏饮料(605499.SH)作为行业内头部品牌，在市场升级过程中通过自身无 糖产品提前卡位，精准定位消费者的核心需求，持续强化自身优势。同时考虑到能量饮料主要原材料价 格保持低位，该行重点推荐东鹏饮料。 中泰证券主要观点如下： 海外：从功能刚需到生活方式升维：海外能量饮料行业已从粗放式功能发展，向健康化、功能差异化、 口味多元化转型。美国市场中，2020年前Monster与红牛双寡头市占率达70.9%，2021-2025年Celsius市 占率从1.7%升至13.7%，凭借"0糖+0脂+0热量"健康配方、"燃脂"核心定位及多元口味，成为市场第三 品牌，印证行业转型方向。 主流原材料：牛磺酸与白砂糖价格预计保持低位 牛磺酸：产能过剩致价格低位：饮料是牛磺酸第一大应用市场(占比45%)，全球总产能约20万吨，中国 占比超70%(约15万吨)，国内前五大厂商占据90%以上产量，永安药业市占率约50%。受产能过剩及原 材料环氧乙烷价格低位影响，2022年起牛磺酸价格持续下行，短期预计维持低位。 白砂 ...

冬季严寒，也是火锅"炫个够"的好季节。火锅蘸料五花八门，但作为蘸料届的"灵魂"品类——麻 酱，其色泽金黄、口感细滑、口味醇香，深受广大消费者们喜爱。 近日，调研机构尚普咨询集团通过对比全国（不含港澳台）范围内，全渠道市场，各品牌高香麻酱 产品销售情况，最终确认正庭香高香麻酱全国销量首位。 "正庭香自品牌创立之初，便锁定'高香'这一风味维度进行系统化研发，并以'四大核心原则'构筑不 可复制的品质壁垒，为后续成功开创高香麻酱品类奠定了坚实的技术支撑与产品根基。"正庭香联合创 始人、北京正庭香食品科技有限公司总经理杨金良表示。 这四大核心原则第一是坚持限定产区，甄选湖北枣阳和埃塞俄比亚的优质芝麻，以及东北区域（吉 林松原等地）白沙系列花生，从源头确保产品品质。二是坚持限定新鲜，坚守"只用新鲜原料，不用陈 料"原则，确保每一批次原料新鲜度达到最佳标准。三是坚持三重提香，独家掌握"恒温烘炒增香、石磨 低温研磨留香、低温冷却锁香"三重提香工艺，铸就核心风味优势。四是坚持严控食安，正庭香高香麻 酱在黄曲霉毒素的管控上严于国标，最大程度上确保食品安全，并通过ISO9001质量管理体系、 ISO22000食品安全管理体系、HA ...

今天分享的是：2025年零食行业消费趋势洞察 报告共计：31页 零食行业步入"情绪价值"时代：健康、社交与地域特色成消费新引擎 近日，一份来自行业机构的《2025年零食消费趋势洞察》报告揭示，中国零食市场正经历一场深刻变革。行业规模持续稳步增长，消费驱动力已从传统的饱 腹解馋，全面转向健康化、个性化与场景化。消费者，尤其是占比超七成的年轻群体，展现出"理性健康"与"解压悦己"并重的复合型特征，推动零食角色从 单纯食品升级为承载情绪与社交功能的重要载体。 健康与口感并重，成分与场景成选购关键 报告指出，消费者在选择零食时，口感口味、零食成分和食用场景是最受关注的三大要素。低糖、低脂、低卡、高蛋白、清洁配料等健康关键词热度攀升， 显示消费者对"精准营养"的需求日益凸显。同时，消费场景极大丰富，从日常休闲、办公室解压，延伸至深夜追剧、户外露营、旅行伴手礼等多元情境。零 食不仅满足味蕾，更成为适配不同生活时刻的"场景解决方案"。值得注意的是，"情绪价值"驱动显著，专为缓解压力、焦虑、提供治愈感而设计的零食需求 激增，相关社媒内容热度暴涨。 地域风物与社交共创，赋能产品新生命 地方特色零食正借助文化认同和国潮风范焕发新 ...

Core Insights - The Chinese new tea beverage market has grown to over 350 billion yuan, transitioning from rapid expansion to a critical transformation phase focused on quality and efficiency [1][2] - The industry is experiencing a slowdown in growth, with a projected market size of 354.7 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth rate of only 6.4%, significantly lower than the 24.9% compound annual growth rate from 2017 to 2022 [2] - Key future directions for the industry include health-oriented products, digital transformation, and increased market concentration among leading brands [1][4] Market Dynamics - The market is characterized by a "total increase, declining growth rate, and differentiated landscape," with the total number of tea beverage stores exceeding 415,000, but a net decrease of 39,000 stores in the past year due to closures [2] - Leading brands like Mixue Ice City and Bawang Chaji are expanding despite market challenges, with Mixue Ice City reaching 53,000 global stores and Bawang Chaji increasing its store count by over 40% [2][3] Financial Performance - Mixue Ice City went public in March 2025, achieving a market capitalization of 148.3 billion HKD and generating revenue of 14.875 billion yuan with a net profit of 2.718 billion yuan in the first half of 2025 [3] - In contrast, mid-tier brands like Heytea and Nayuki are facing revenue declines, with Heytea's revenue dropping by 1.9% and Nayuki's by 4.7% [3] Quality Improvement Focus - The industry is shifting from scale expansion to quality enhancement, with health, digitalization, globalization, and market differentiation as core features driving this transition [4] - The use of sugar substitutes in milk tea is projected to reach 61.3% by 2025, with a significant increase in the consumption of erythritol and plant-based ingredients [4] Digital Transformation - Digitalization is becoming essential, with leading brands enhancing their supply chain management and operational efficiency through technology [5][8] - The average capacity utilization rate of tea beverage raw material production has increased to 89.4%, and the application of blockchain technology in sourcing is on the rise [5] Global Expansion - Leading brands are accelerating their international expansion, with Bawang Chaji achieving an overseas GMV of over 300 million yuan, marking a 75.3% year-on-year growth [6] - Mixue Ice City has over 4,800 overseas stores, demonstrating the replicability of its business model in Southeast Asia [6] Challenges and Opportunities - The industry faces challenges such as raw material price volatility, severe product homogenization, and rising compliance costs [7] - To remain competitive, brands are diversifying their supply chains and leveraging technology to mitigate risks and enhance operational resilience [8] Future Outlook - The tea beverage industry is expected to enter a phase of category integration, digital empowerment, and initial globalization from 2026 to 2030, with a market size projected to exceed 1.05 trillion yuan, reflecting a 19% year-on-year growth [9] - The market is moving from a phase of "wild growth" to "refined cultivation," indicating a profound change in growth logic driven by health demands, digitalization, and globalization [9]

炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 来源：中泰证券研究 何长天|中泰饮料行业负责人 S0740522030001 1.2025年软饮料行业回顾 1.1行情回顾：截至2025年11月28日，申万软饮料指数年初以来涨幅7.6%，相对上证指数/食品饮料指数 超额收益分别为-8.4%/12.4%。估值层面，软饮料行业最新PE-TTM（剔除负值）约28.3倍，位于近三年 46%分位数，三季度以来板块估值水平回落。 1.2行业层面：量增推动销额较好增长、品类表现分化。按照尼尔森数据，我国软饮料销售额近年保持 中高个位数增长，量增为主、价基本持平，其中MAT2503销售额、销售量、单价分别同比增长7.4%、 7.2%、0.2%；分月度看，25H1软饮料全渠道销售额同比增速均为正，7月份开始转负且下滑趋势在8、9 月有所扩大，主要受外卖大战及新兴渠道如会员店、零食集合店崛起（尼尔森数据尚未覆盖）影响。细 分品类看，马上赢数据显示仅运动饮料连续3个季度保持较好增长，植物饮料H1销额双位数增长但价格 略承压，即饮果汁个位数增长、单价上行，其他品类销售额则不同程度承压，Q3全品类增长放缓或降 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report emphasizes the sustained demand in the soft drink industry, highlighting structural opportunities under new consumption trends [3][4][5] - The soft drink industry index has shown a year-to-date increase of 7.6% as of November 28, 2025, with a relative underperformance against the Shanghai Composite Index and the food and beverage index [3][4] - The report indicates that the sales volume of soft drinks in China has maintained a mid-to-high single-digit growth, driven primarily by volume increases while prices remain stable [4][5] Group 2 - The macroeconomic outlook suggests that positive price signals have emerged, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) turning positive in October 2025, and the Producer Price Index (PPI) showing a narrowing decline [4][5] - The report forecasts a structural prosperity driven by health and functionality trends in the soft drink market, with a focus on new categories and channels that stimulate consumption growth [5][6] - The beverage industry is expected to continue benefiting from cost advantages, particularly in sugar and PET prices, while the price of corrugated paper is anticipated to rise [6][7] Group 3 - The competitive landscape is characterized by increasing concentration and platformization, with leading companies enhancing their advantages in revenue resilience, growth, and profitability [7][8] - The report suggests that the beverage sector's recovery post-pandemic has outpaced other fast-moving consumer goods, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12.8% from 2022 to 2024 [5][6] - Investment recommendations focus on selecting leading companies in high-growth segments such as functional beverages and sugar-free tea, while also considering the ongoing cost advantages in raw materials and packaging [8]

Core Viewpoint - The beverage consumption peak season has ended, with leading companies reporting stable third-quarter results and further strengthening their advantages. The soft drink industry shows resilience in demand despite environmental disturbances, with a recommendation to focus on structural growth segments within the beverage sector, particularly functional drinks and sugar-free tea leaders [1]. Group 1: Industry Overview - As of November 28, 2025, the Shenwan Soft Drink Index has increased by 7.6% year-to-date, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index and the Food & Beverage Index by 8.4% and outperforming by 12.4% respectively. The current PE-TTM for the soft drink industry is approximately 28.3 times, positioned at the 46th percentile over the past three years, indicating a decline in valuation levels since the third quarter [1]. - The soft drink sales in China have maintained a mid-to-high single-digit growth in recent years, primarily driven by volume increases while prices remain stable. The MAT2503 sales figures show a year-on-year growth of 7.4% in sales revenue, 7.2% in sales volume, and a slight increase of 0.2% in price. However, sales growth turned negative starting in July 2025, influenced by competition in delivery services and the rise of new channels like membership stores and snack collection stores [2]. Group 2: Future Outlook - The soft drink industry is expected to experience structural prosperity driven by health and functionality trends, with demand remaining robust despite environmental disturbances. Positive price signals have emerged, with the CPI turning positive in October 2025 and PPI showing a narrowing decline. However, the recovery of internal demand may take time due to low consumer confidence and income growth being affected by asset prices [3]. - The beverage sector's revenue compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2022 to 2024 is projected at 12.8%, ranking third among food and beverage sub-sectors. The sales growth for the beverage sector in the first three quarters of 2025 was 2.4%, 17.8%, and 14.4% year-on-year, indicating a faster recovery and better resilience compared to other fast-moving consumer goods [4]. Group 3: Category Trends - The health and functionality trends in the soft drink category are expected to continue, with a focus on cost-effectiveness and larger packaging options. The market penetration among key consumer groups like Generation Z and Millennials has reached over 90%, with these demographics showing strong purchasing power and diverse demands for health, nutrition, and emotional satisfaction [5]. - The beverage industry is likely to benefit from continued cost advantages, with expectations of weak pricing for core ingredients like white sugar and PET, while corrugated paper prices are expected to rise, providing support [6]. Group 4: Competitive Landscape - The concentration of the beverage industry is increasing, with leading companies enhancing their competitive advantages. From 2019 to 2024, the revenue CAGR for leading companies is 8.6%, while regional and niche companies have seen a decline of 0.7%. The net profit CAGR for leading companies is 15.5%, compared to 4.6% for smaller firms, indicating a strengthening of market positions for industry leaders [7].

文 |马上赢情报站 2025年已经接近尾声，未来两周马上赢情报站也将开启"年终盘点模式"。与往年类似，今年的年终盘点系列依然从饮料新品开始，通过回顾2024年12 月-2025年11月饮料市场的TOP100单品，以及与上一年同一时间段的对比，来观察在过去一年，饮料市场有什么新的趋势与走向。在下一周，我们将对饮 料各类目中的TOP集团及其份额变动进行盘点，敬请关注！ 本次盘点拉取的时间、TOP100新品选取方式、特别说明及数据说明如下： 时间： 2024年12月-2025年11月为整体（下文记作MAT202511或MAT2511，即自2025年11月起算向前回滚12个月），同比时间周期则为2023年12月-2024年11月为 整体（下文记作MAT202411或MAT2411，即自2024年11月起算向前回滚12个月） TOP100选取方式： 将所有在时间周期内上市的SKU，以其在饮料大类中的销售额市占率进行降序排列，取前100个SKU，限制条件为不含自有品牌产品、不含组合装（内装 数＞1的套组、箱、礼盒等），数据模型为马上赢全量门店模型。 特别说明： Top100新品上市时间虽然都在期内，但实际上市时间各不相同 ...

Core Insights - The children's beverage market is experiencing significant growth and diversification, with new products and brands emerging alongside established players [1][11] - The market is driven by parents' willingness to spend on children's health, with children's food and beverage expenditures accounting for 24% of total family spending on children [12] - The trend towards healthier options is reshaping the market, with a focus on "clean labels" and functional ingredients [8][16] Market Dynamics - The children's beverage category has evolved from traditional products like milk to a wide range of options including sports drinks, flavored beverages, and probiotic drinks [1][2] - New brands are entering the market, while traditional brands like Wahaha and Wangwang maintain strong positions through iconic products [5][6] - The success of products like Jin Yin Hua grapefruit juice, which achieved sales of over 1 billion bags in six months, highlights the potential for rapid growth in this sector [1] Consumer Behavior - Parents are increasingly scrutinizing beverage ingredients, leading to a demand for products with no artificial additives and enhanced nutritional profiles [8][12] - The dual decision-making process in purchasing—children as consumers and parents as decision-makers—requires brands to appeal to both groups [12][16] - Innovative marketing strategies, such as leveraging social media and unique packaging, are crucial for capturing consumer attention [13] Product Innovation - The market is seeing a rise in products that cater to specific health needs, such as those fortified with probiotics, DHA, and dietary fiber [8][16] - New brands are establishing clear identities focused on children's health, differentiating themselves from traditional beverage giants [9][11] - The introduction of functional beverages and plant-based options is further diversifying the market landscape [16] Competitive Landscape - Established brands like Coca-Cola's Qoo have successfully penetrated the market with minimal marketing costs, demonstrating the profitability of children's beverages [6] - The competitive environment is shifting as new entrants challenge the dominance of traditional players, leading to a more dynamic market [11][16] - Brands must build trust through transparency in ingredients and nutritional benefits to succeed in this evolving landscape [15]

李建军认为，当下，消费者对饮料的评判不仅看产品功能，还对健康体验、成分透明，甚至对产品所带 来的情绪共鸣有着较高的期待。第三方数据显示，高达42%的消费者购买饮品是出于"愉悦心情"和"取 悦自己"，可见情感价值的重要性。为此，战马同步推出采用"多巴胺色彩"的新包装与六款无糖含气新 口味（清新柠檬、甜美白桃等），既回应了年轻群体对"颜值"和新鲜体验的追求，也推动品牌从能量补 给提供者，向融合健康理念与潮流态度的生活方式符号转型。 这一变化的背后，离不开华彬快消品集团扎实的产品力支撑以及营销场景思维。战马率先采用速溶咖啡 粉与D-核糖协同配方等核心技术，构建了差异化的护城河。在营销方面，自创立之初，战马便锁定电 竞、篮球、潮流运动等核心圈层，通过赞助顶级赛事、运营"战马敢玩时刻""战马运动世界"等自有IP， 持续创造了沉浸式场景体验，并打通了线上线下（300959）一体的服务场景。 在12月2日至5日期间举行的2025企业家博鳌论坛系列活动上，华彬集团携旗下运营的战马、芙丝品牌亮 相，这也是华彬集团连续五年参加企业家博鳌论坛。在此次论坛上，华彬快消品集团宣布，旗下战马能 量饮料产品焕新，包括经典红罐产品视觉焕新、 ...